Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-09-24 20:27:55

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
76.9 overbought
20d Trend
+10.5%
5d Trend
+5.2%
EMA20 Dist
+5.3%
ATR%
1.7%
Range Pos
98%
Bounce Ratio
1.9×
Green/Red 10d
7/3

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

19
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
5.2/35
Total Return
7.7/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.8/15
Consistency
5.5/10
Raw Quality 19.1/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 18.8

30-Day Momentum

17
+0.9%
30d Return
44%
Win Rate
9
Trades
1.3×
Profit Factor
Quality: 20.2 Conf: 0.84×
Cooling (-2 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
5,070
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
65 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$10,444.11
Current Value
$10,726.35
Period P&L
$282.23
Max Drawdown
-4.6%
Sharpe Ratio
0.16

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
30
Winners / Losers
13 / 17
Best Trade
+2.73%
Worst Trade
-1.69%
Avg Trade Return
+0.13%
Avg Hold Time
20.1h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$634,124.94
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$282.23
Net P&L (after fees)
$282.23
Gross Return
+2.70%
Net Return (after fees)
+2.70%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 PG Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 65 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 30 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $10,444.11 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2026 9:35am ET $149.96 68 $10,197.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 24, 2026 1:15pm ET $152.70 68 $10,383.61 $10,518.25 +$186.33
(+1.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.2d held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 26, 2026 2:35pm ET $149.09 70 $10,436.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 29, 2026 9:30am ET $148.46 70 $10,391.85 $10,473.80 $-44.45
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.8d held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 30, 2026 11:45am ET $145.95 71 $10,362.45 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 30, 2026 3:40pm ET $146.31 71 $10,388.01 $10,499.36 +$25.56
(+0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.9h held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 6, 2026 12:50pm ET $147.98 70 $10,358.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 7, 2026 11:55am ET $152.02 70 $10,641.40 $10,782.16 +$282.80
(+2.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
23.1h held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 9, 2026 12:35pm ET $147.22 73 $10,747.06 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 10, 2026 11:35am ET $147.43 73 $10,762.39 $10,797.49 +$15.33
(+0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
23h held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 13, 2026 1:35pm ET $147.73 73 $10,784.29 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 14, 2026 9:30am ET $146.92 73 $10,725.16 $10,738.36 $-59.13
(-0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
19.9h held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 15, 2026 10:05am ET $146.42 73 $10,688.66 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 15, 2026 2:25pm ET $147.87 73 $10,794.15 $10,843.85 +$105.49
(+1.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
4.3h held
8 🟢 BUY Jul 17, 2026 3:45pm ET $149.96 72 $10,797.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 20, 2026 9:30am ET $148.87 72 $10,718.64 $10,765.37 $-78.48
(-0.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.7d held
9 🟢 BUY Jul 21, 2026 12:30pm ET $147.90 72 $10,648.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 24, 2026 9:35am ET $145.40 72 $10,468.80 $10,585.37 $-180.00
(-1.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.9d held
10 🟢 BUY Jul 27, 2026 1:25pm ET $148.76 71 $10,561.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 27, 2026 3:30pm ET $148.82 71 $10,566.22 $10,589.63 +$4.26
(+0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.1h held
11 🟢 BUY Jul 29, 2026 12:35pm ET $145.73 72 $10,492.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 29, 2026 1:45pm ET $145.13 72 $10,449.00 $10,546.07 $-43.56
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.2h held
12 🟢 BUY Jul 30, 2026 3:35pm ET $143.45 73 $10,471.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 31, 2026 1:35pm ET $143.43 73 $10,470.75 $10,544.98 $-1.09
(-0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
22h held
13 🟢 BUY Aug 3, 2026 3:40pm ET $144.88 72 $10,431.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 5, 2026 9:30am ET $146.13 72 $10,521.00 $10,634.98 +$90.00
(+0.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.7d held
14 🟢 BUY Aug 6, 2026 2:15pm ET $146.48 72 $10,546.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 6, 2026 3:20pm ET $146.20 72 $10,526.40 $10,615.18 $-19.80
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.1h held
15 🟢 BUY Aug 10, 2026 3:55pm ET $145.96 72 $10,509.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 11, 2026 9:30am ET $145.48 72 $10,474.56 $10,580.62 $-34.56
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
17.6h held
16 🟢 BUY Aug 12, 2026 1:00pm ET $144.47 73 $10,546.31 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 13, 2026 2:55pm ET $144.25 73 $10,530.25 $10,564.56 $-16.06
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held
17 🟢 BUY Aug 17, 2026 1:25pm ET $143.03 73 $10,441.19 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 17, 2026 2:45pm ET $142.89 73 $10,430.97 $10,554.34 $-10.22
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held
18 🟢 BUY Aug 18, 2026 3:20pm ET $143.75 73 $10,493.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 19, 2026 11:35am ET $144.84 73 $10,573.32 $10,633.91 +$79.57
(+0.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
20.3h held
19 🟢 BUY Aug 20, 2026 12:20pm ET $143.44 74 $10,614.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 20, 2026 1:20pm ET $143.16 74 $10,593.84 $10,613.19 $-20.72
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
1h held
20 🟢 BUY Aug 24, 2026 9:30am ET $145.43 72 $10,471.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 24, 2026 11:45am ET $145.91 72 $10,505.52 $10,647.39 +$34.20
(+0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.3h held
21 🟢 BUY Aug 26, 2026 11:45am ET $145.15 73 $10,595.59 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2026 9:30am ET $143.63 73 $10,484.99 $10,536.80 $-110.59
(-1.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
21.8h held
22 🟢 BUY Aug 28, 2026 12:05pm ET $143.72 73 $10,491.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 31, 2026 3:10pm ET $145.16 73 $10,596.68 $10,641.92 +$105.12
(+1.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.1d held
23 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2026 9:45am ET $146.50 72 $10,547.82 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2026 3:10pm ET $147.87 72 $10,646.64 $10,740.74 +$98.82
(+0.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
5.4h held
24 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 11:35am ET $146.75 73 $10,712.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 4, 2026 1:05pm ET $146.73 73 $10,711.01 $10,739.00 $-1.74
(-0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.5h held
25 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2026 3:45pm ET $142.90 75 $10,717.87 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 10, 2026 3:50pm ET $142.87 75 $10,714.88 $10,736.00 $-3.00
(-0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
1d held
26 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET $146.78 73 $10,714.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 11:40am ET $146.02 73 $10,659.46 $10,680.70 $-55.30
(-0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.2h held
27 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 9:35am ET $147.10 72 $10,591.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 1:05pm ET $147.53 72 $10,622.16 $10,711.66 +$30.96
(+0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.5h held
28 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2026 12:55pm ET $146.38 73 $10,685.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2026 3:45pm ET $146.31 73 $10,680.63 $10,706.91 $-4.75
(-0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.8h held
29 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2026 9:30am ET $147.42 72 $10,614.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 11:05am ET $147.88 72 $10,647.00 $10,739.67 +$32.76
(+0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held
30 🟢 BUY Sep 24, 2026 2:20pm ET $147.13 72 $10,593.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2026 2:50pm ET $146.95 72 $10,580.40 $10,726.35 $-13.32
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
30m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,726.35
Net Profit/Loss: +$726.35
Total Return: +7.26%
Back to Grace Crossover