Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 23:22:12

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
21.5 oversold
20d Trend
-29.6%
5d Trend
-14.4%
EMA20 Dist
-18.7%
ATR%
7.0%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.8×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

41
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
15.6/35
Total Return
16.8/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
2.6/15
Consistency
5.8/10
Raw Quality 40.8/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 40.6

30-Day Momentum

9
-4.8%
30d Return
9%
Win Rate
11
Trades
0.3×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0 Conf: 0.90×
Declining (-32 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
5,070
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
65 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$20,989.83
Current Value
$20,421.75
Period P&L
$-568.04
Max Drawdown
-23.6%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.04

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
30
Winners / Losers
6 / 24
Best Trade
+8.45%
Worst Trade
-1.79%
Avg Trade Return
-0.08%
Avg Hold Time
13.2h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,249,869.74
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-568.04
Net P&L (after fees)
$-568.04
Gross Return
-2.71%
Net Return (after fees)
-2.71%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 PLTR Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 65 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 30 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $20,989.83 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 24, 2026 3:25pm ET $113.65 184 $20,911.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 25, 2026 9:30am ET $111.85 184 $20,580.40 $20,658.59 $-331.20
(-1.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
18.1h held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 26, 2026 9:30am ET $109.56 188 $20,597.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 26, 2026 1:25pm ET $112.62 188 $21,172.80 $21,234.11 +$575.52
(+2.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.9h held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 30, 2026 10:30am ET $116.23 182 $21,153.86 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 30, 2026 10:40am ET $115.86 182 $21,087.43 $21,167.68 $-66.43
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
10m held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 6, 2026 9:45am ET $131.23 161 $21,128.03 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 6, 2026 10:55am ET $130.25 161 $20,970.73 $21,010.38 $-157.30
(-0.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.2h held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 9, 2026 12:40pm ET $127.25 165 $20,996.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 10, 2026 10:00am ET $127.35 165 $21,012.75 $21,026.88 +$16.50
(+0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
21.3h held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 13, 2026 2:35pm ET $129.60 162 $20,995.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 13, 2026 3:15pm ET $129.21 162 $20,932.83 $20,964.51 $-62.37
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
40m held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 15, 2026 9:35am ET $135.89 154 $20,927.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 15, 2026 9:45am ET $133.60 154 $20,574.40 $20,611.83 $-352.68
(-1.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
10m held
8 🟢 BUY Jul 16, 2026 10:45am ET $132.79 155 $20,582.45 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 17, 2026 9:30am ET $131.61 155 $20,399.55 $20,428.93 $-182.90
(-0.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
22.8h held
9 🟢 BUY Jul 21, 2026 12:00pm ET $134.33 152 $20,418.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 21, 2026 12:10pm ET $133.76 152 $20,331.52 $20,342.29 $-86.64
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
10m held
10 🟢 BUY Jul 22, 2026 3:30pm ET $124.80 163 $20,342.11 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 24, 2026 3:35pm ET $123.75 163 $20,172.06 $20,172.25 $-170.04
(-0.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
2d held
11 🟢 BUY Jul 28, 2026 11:30am ET $123.78 162 $20,051.55 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 28, 2026 2:15pm ET $123.50 162 $20,007.00 $20,127.70 $-44.55
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.8h held
12 🟢 BUY Jul 30, 2026 12:15pm ET $122.07 164 $20,018.66 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 30, 2026 2:40pm ET $121.85 164 $19,983.40 $20,092.44 $-35.26
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.4h held
13 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2026 12:30pm ET $160.99 124 $19,962.14 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 5, 2026 12:45pm ET $160.29 124 $19,876.58 $20,006.88 $-85.56
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
15m held
14 🟢 BUY Aug 6, 2026 1:25pm ET $156.03 128 $19,971.83 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 7, 2026 10:20am ET $169.21 128 $21,659.30 $21,694.35 +$1,687.47
(+8.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
20.9h held
15 🟢 BUY Aug 10, 2026 1:15pm ET $178.16 121 $21,557.35 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 11, 2026 11:10am ET $175.19 121 $21,197.99 $21,334.99 $-359.36
(-1.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
21.9h held
16 🟢 BUY Aug 12, 2026 12:15pm ET $170.76 124 $21,174.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 13, 2026 11:15am ET $173.74 124 $21,543.83 $21,704.59 +$369.60
(+1.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
23h held
17 🟢 BUY Aug 14, 2026 11:45am ET $177.46 122 $21,650.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 17, 2026 10:35am ET $174.28 122 $21,262.17 $21,316.64 $-387.95
(-1.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
3d held
18 🟢 BUY Aug 19, 2026 10:50am ET $173.15 123 $21,297.46 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 20, 2026 3:45pm ET $174.79 123 $21,499.17 $21,518.35 +$201.71
(+0.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.2d held
19 🟢 BUY Aug 24, 2026 11:05am ET $176.29 122 $21,507.99 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 25, 2026 10:05am ET $176.18 122 $21,493.96 $21,504.32 $-14.03
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
23h held
20 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 2:10pm ET $185.86 115 $21,373.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2026 9:30am ET $185.40 115 $21,321.00 $21,451.42 $-52.90
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
19.3h held
21 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 11:05am ET $186.07 115 $21,398.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 31, 2026 1:15pm ET $185.81 115 $21,368.15 $21,421.29 $-30.13
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.2h held
22 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2026 1:45pm ET $169.07 126 $21,302.82 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2026 2:45pm ET $168.60 126 $21,243.60 $21,362.07 $-59.22
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
1h held
23 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2026 2:55pm ET $183.06 116 $21,234.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 3:55pm ET $182.31 116 $21,147.96 $21,275.07 $-87.00
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
1h held
24 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2026 10:40am ET $171.80 123 $21,131.39 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 11:15am ET $169.99 123 $20,908.77 $21,052.45 $-222.62
(-1.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
35m held
25 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2026 2:55pm ET $166.63 126 $20,996.01 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 10, 2026 3:20pm ET $166.18 126 $20,938.68 $20,995.12 $-57.33
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
25m held
26 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 3:25pm ET $173.18 121 $20,954.18 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 9:30am ET $170.13 121 $20,585.73 $20,626.68 $-368.44
(-1.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
18.1h held
27 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 11:10am ET $172.29 119 $20,501.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 11:55am ET $171.45 119 $20,402.76 $20,527.53 $-99.15
(-0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
45m held
28 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2026 3:25pm ET $175.65 116 $20,375.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2026 12:40pm ET $175.02 116 $20,302.32 $20,454.45 $-73.08
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
21.3h held
29 🟢 BUY Sep 21, 2026 2:10pm ET $182.15 112 $20,400.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 10:40am ET $182.53 112 $20,443.36 $20,497.01 +$42.56
(+0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
20.5h held
30 🟢 BUY Sep 24, 2026 10:25am ET $191.57 106 $20,305.89 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2026 11:15am ET $190.85 106 $20,230.63 $20,421.75 $-75.26
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
50m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $20,421.75
Net Profit/Loss: +$10,421.75
Total Return: +104.22%
Back to Grace Crossover