Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 4: RECOVERY
Signals generated 2026-06-28 16:32:25

Bounce in progress. Hold existing positions, let trailing stops manage exits.

Fear & Greed
18
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.9
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.40%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.78
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.5
Unsettled
⛈️ 1 storm day in 7d
RSI(14)
71.8 overbought
20d Trend
+12.7%
5d Trend
+2.2%
EMA20 Dist
+5.0%
ATR%
2.4%
Range Pos
97%
Bounce Ratio
1.2×
Green/Red 10d
8/2

Strategy Score Scored Jun 28, 2026

55
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
30.3/35
Total Return
13.7/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
4.5/15
Consistency
7.3/10
Raw Quality 55.8/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 55.2

30-Day Momentum

9
-2.5%
30d Return
30%
Win Rate
10
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0 Conf: 0.87×
Declining (-46 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,836
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-30 → 2026-06-26
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)

Market Closed (3 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$13,895.61
Current Value
$14,322.36
Period P&L
$426.74
Max Drawdown
-4.1%
Sharpe Ratio
0.09

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
26
Winners / Losers
10 / 16
Best Trade
+4.68%
Worst Trade
-1.86%
Avg Trade Return
+0.13%
Avg Hold Time
18.2h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$743,987.21
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$426.74
Net P&L (after fees)
$426.74
Gross Return
+3.07%
Net Return (after fees)
+3.07%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 PM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 26 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $13,895.61 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 9:45am ET $164.39 84 $13,808.76
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 3:05pm ET $164.69 84 $13,833.96 $13,920.82 +$25.20
(+0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
5.3h held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 2:50pm ET $157.08 88 $13,823.04
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 10:05am ET $156.96 88 $13,812.48 $13,910.26 $-10.56
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
19.3h held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 2:45pm ET $159.40 87 $13,867.50
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 10:45am ET $159.55 87 $13,880.85 $13,923.61 +$13.35
(+0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
20h held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 12:50pm ET $161.24 86 $13,866.64
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 9:35am ET $159.18 86 $13,689.48 $13,746.45 $-177.16
(-1.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
20.8h held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 3:00pm ET $158.37 86 $13,619.82
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET $155.42 86 $13,366.12 $13,492.75 $-253.70
(-1.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.8d held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 3:35pm ET $157.62 85 $13,397.63
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 2:25pm ET $163.66 85 $13,911.10 $14,006.22 +$513.47
(+3.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
2d held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 3:30pm ET $163.91 85 $13,932.77
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 10:45am ET $163.65 85 $13,910.25 $13,983.70 $-22.52
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.8d held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 1:45pm ET $164.96 84 $13,857.06
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 1:00pm ET $166.34 84 $13,972.14 $14,098.78 +$115.08
(+0.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
23.3h held
9 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 12:35pm ET $167.77 84 $14,092.68
🔴 SELL May 7, 2026 11:25am ET $170.13 84 $14,291.00 $14,297.10 +$198.32
(+1.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
2d held
10 🟢 BUY May 8, 2026 11:25am ET $171.45 83 $14,230.35
🔴 SELL May 8, 2026 12:40pm ET $171.29 83 $14,216.66 $14,283.41 $-13.69
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held
11 🟢 BUY May 11, 2026 2:30pm ET $180.74 79 $14,278.46
🔴 SELL May 12, 2026 2:50pm ET $189.20 79 $14,946.80 $14,951.75 +$668.34
(+4.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
1d held
12 🟢 BUY May 15, 2026 12:50pm ET $191.43 78 $14,931.35
🔴 SELL May 15, 2026 3:20pm ET $191.56 78 $14,941.68 $14,962.08 +$10.33
(+0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.5h held
13 🟢 BUY May 19, 2026 9:50am ET $191.22 78 $14,915.16
🔴 SELL May 19, 2026 10:55am ET $190.72 78 $14,876.16 $14,923.08 $-39.00
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.1h held
14 🟢 BUY May 20, 2026 11:50am ET $189.02 78 $14,743.56
🔴 SELL May 21, 2026 11:20am ET $188.06 78 $14,668.68 $14,848.20 $-74.88
(-0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
23.5h held
15 🟢 BUY May 22, 2026 2:00pm ET $189.45 78 $14,776.71
🔴 SELL May 22, 2026 3:30pm ET $189.21 78 $14,757.99 $14,829.48 $-18.72
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.5h held
16 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 9:30am ET $182.52 81 $14,784.12
🔴 SELL May 27, 2026 9:45am ET $180.83 81 $14,647.23 $14,692.59 $-136.89
(-0.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
15m held
17 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 2:35pm ET $173.10 84 $14,540.40
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 3:45pm ET $172.71 84 $14,507.22 $14,659.41 $-33.18
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.2h held
18 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 9:35am ET $176.30 83 $14,632.90
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 2:05pm ET $176.76 83 $14,671.07 $14,697.58 +$38.17
(+0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
4.5h held
19 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 9:35am ET $177.73 82 $14,573.86
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 10:20am ET $175.19 82 $14,365.58 $14,489.30 $-208.28
(-1.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
45m held
20 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 1:45pm ET $175.72 82 $14,409.04
🔴 SELL Jun 8, 2026 3:15pm ET $175.29 82 $14,374.19 $14,454.45 $-34.85
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.5h held
21 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 3:50pm ET $178.26 81 $14,438.66
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 1:40pm ET $181.37 81 $14,690.97 $14,706.76 +$252.31
(+1.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
21.8h held
22 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2026 2:45pm ET $183.66 80 $14,693.20
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 3:40pm ET $183.02 80 $14,641.60 $14,655.16 $-51.60
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
55m held
23 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 3:40pm ET $183.51 79 $14,497.29
🔴 SELL Jun 16, 2026 9:45am ET $182.26 79 $14,398.93 $14,556.81 $-98.35
(-0.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.8d held
24 🟢 BUY Jun 18, 2026 10:15am ET $180.08 80 $14,406.40
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2026 11:35am ET $179.35 80 $14,348.33 $14,498.74 $-58.07
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held
25 🟢 BUY Jun 22, 2026 12:45pm ET $176.04 82 $14,434.88
🔴 SELL Jun 22, 2026 3:30pm ET $173.65 82 $14,239.30 $14,303.16 $-195.58
(-1.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.8h held
26 🟢 BUY Jun 24, 2026 2:20pm ET $177.85 80 $14,228.00
🔴 SELL Jun 24, 2026 3:50pm ET $178.09 80 $14,247.20 $14,322.36 +$19.20
(+0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.5h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $14,322.36
Net Profit/Loss: +$4,322.36
Total Return: +43.22%
Back to Grace Crossover