Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-09-24 22:46:58

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
71.8 overbought
20d Trend
+12.7%
5d Trend
+2.2%
EMA20 Dist
+5.0%
ATR%
2.4%
Range Pos
97%
Bounce Ratio
1.2×
Green/Red 10d
8/2

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

55
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
30.4/35
Total Return
13.7/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
4.1/15
Consistency
7.0/10
Raw Quality 55.1/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 54.9

30-Day Momentum

7
-1.4%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
9
Trades
0.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 8.6 Conf: 0.84×
Declining (-48 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
5,070
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
65 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$14,303.15
Current Value
$14,386.41
Period P&L
$83.25
Max Drawdown
-4.1%
Sharpe Ratio
0.03

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
32
Winners / Losers
15 / 17
Best Trade
+1.67%
Worst Trade
-0.78%
Avg Trade Return
+0.02%
Avg Hold Time
9.4h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$919,727.93
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$83.25
Net P&L (after fees)
$83.25
Gross Return
+0.58%
Net Return (after fees)
+0.58%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 PM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 65 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 32 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $14,303.15 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 24, 2026 2:20pm ET $177.85 80 $14,228.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 24, 2026 3:50pm ET $178.09 80 $14,247.20 $14,322.36 +$19.20
(+0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.5h held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 29, 2026 10:05am ET $181.02 79 $14,300.58 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 30, 2026 11:15am ET $180.36 79 $14,248.46 $14,270.24 $-52.12
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
1d held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 1, 2026 12:00pm ET $178.52 79 $14,103.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 1, 2026 2:25pm ET $178.80 79 $14,125.59 $14,292.75 +$22.51
(+0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.4h held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 6, 2026 12:40pm ET $182.35 78 $14,223.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 6, 2026 2:45pm ET $183.24 78 $14,292.33 $14,361.78 +$69.03
(+0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.1h held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2026 3:05pm ET $186.25 77 $14,341.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 8, 2026 3:50pm ET $187.74 77 $14,455.60 $14,476.13 +$114.35
(+0.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
1d held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 13, 2026 12:05pm ET $181.51 79 $14,338.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 13, 2026 2:25pm ET $181.51 79 $14,339.68 $14,476.92 +$0.79
(+0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.3h held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 14, 2026 3:40pm ET $177.55 81 $14,381.39 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 15, 2026 2:50pm ET $179.73 81 $14,558.13 $14,653.66 +$176.74
(+1.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
23.2h held
8 🟢 BUY Jul 17, 2026 2:40pm ET $191.74 76 $14,572.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 20, 2026 11:35am ET $191.99 76 $14,591.24 $14,672.66 +$19.00
(+0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.9d held
9 🟢 BUY Jul 21, 2026 12:15pm ET $190.85 76 $14,504.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 21, 2026 1:15pm ET $190.45 76 $14,474.20 $14,642.26 $-30.40
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
1h held
10 🟢 BUY Jul 22, 2026 3:10pm ET $193.66 75 $14,524.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 23, 2026 9:45am ET $193.07 75 $14,480.62 $14,598.38 $-43.88
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
18.6h held
11 🟢 BUY Jul 24, 2026 1:45pm ET $194.22 75 $14,566.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 24, 2026 3:30pm ET $193.82 75 $14,536.50 $14,568.38 $-30.00
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.8h held
12 🟢 BUY Jul 29, 2026 9:55am ET $201.74 72 $14,525.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 29, 2026 11:35am ET $200.65 72 $14,446.80 $14,489.90 $-78.48
(-0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.7h held
13 🟢 BUY Jul 30, 2026 3:00pm ET $192.58 75 $14,443.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 30, 2026 3:55pm ET $192.23 75 $14,417.25 $14,463.65 $-26.25
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
55m held
14 🟢 BUY Aug 3, 2026 10:35am ET $190.60 75 $14,294.63 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 3, 2026 12:10pm ET $189.83 75 $14,237.25 $14,406.28 $-57.37
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.6h held
15 🟢 BUY Aug 4, 2026 1:00pm ET $185.22 77 $14,261.94 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 5, 2026 10:50am ET $185.92 77 $14,315.84 $14,460.18 +$53.90
(+0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
21.8h held
16 🟢 BUY Aug 6, 2026 11:55am ET $188.01 76 $14,288.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 6, 2026 2:30pm ET $188.40 76 $14,318.40 $14,489.82 +$29.64
(+0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.6h held
17 🟢 BUY Aug 10, 2026 11:05am ET $188.18 76 $14,302.06 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 10, 2026 11:50am ET $187.32 76 $14,236.32 $14,424.08 $-65.74
(-0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
45m held
18 🟢 BUY Aug 11, 2026 11:50am ET $186.19 77 $14,336.63 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 11, 2026 3:15pm ET $186.26 77 $14,341.64 $14,429.09 +$5.01
(+0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.4h held
19 🟢 BUY Aug 12, 2026 3:25pm ET $186.15 77 $14,333.17 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 13, 2026 12:25pm ET $189.26 77 $14,573.01 $14,668.94 +$239.85
(+1.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
21h held
20 🟢 BUY Aug 14, 2026 3:30pm ET $190.09 77 $14,636.93 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 14, 2026 3:50pm ET $189.87 77 $14,619.99 $14,652.00 $-16.94
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
20m held
21 🟢 BUY Aug 19, 2026 9:30am ET $188.51 77 $14,514.89 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 19, 2026 11:20am ET $187.99 77 $14,475.23 $14,612.35 $-39.65
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.8h held
22 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 1:35pm ET $189.32 77 $14,578.02 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 21, 2026 2:40pm ET $188.46 77 $14,511.42 $14,545.75 $-66.60
(-0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.1h held
23 🟢 BUY Aug 24, 2026 3:55pm ET $191.18 76 $14,529.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 25, 2026 9:50am ET $190.00 76 $14,440.23 $14,456.30 $-89.45
(-0.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
17.9h held
24 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 11:35am ET $193.20 74 $14,296.43 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2026 12:15pm ET $191.68 74 $14,184.32 $14,344.19 $-112.11
(-0.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
40m held
25 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2026 10:50am ET $187.60 76 $14,257.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2026 2:30pm ET $188.34 76 $14,313.84 $14,400.43 +$56.24
(+0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.7h held
26 🟢 BUY Sep 8, 2026 9:30am ET $183.59 78 $14,320.02 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 1:35pm ET $185.57 78 $14,474.07 $14,554.48 +$154.05
(+1.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
4.1h held
27 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2026 1:50pm ET $189.59 76 $14,408.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 10, 2026 2:55pm ET $189.08 76 $14,370.08 $14,515.72 $-38.76
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.1h held
28 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 9:35am ET $194.03 74 $14,358.22 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 10:50am ET $193.23 74 $14,298.65 $14,456.15 $-59.57
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held
29 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 2:30pm ET $194.35 74 $14,381.53 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 3:55pm ET $193.74 74 $14,337.13 $14,411.75 $-44.40
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.4h held
30 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2026 1:55pm ET $189.70 75 $14,227.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2026 9:30am ET $188.26 75 $14,119.87 $14,304.13 $-107.62
(-0.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
19.6h held
31 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2026 10:10am ET $187.84 76 $14,275.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 12:20pm ET $188.28 76 $14,309.28 $14,337.57 +$33.44
(+0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.2h held
32 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2026 2:00pm ET $191.44 74 $14,166.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2026 11:45am ET $192.10 74 $14,215.40 $14,386.41 +$48.84
(+0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
21.8h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $14,386.41
Net Profit/Loss: +$4,386.41
Total Return: +43.86%
Back to Grace Crossover