Compendium › Grace Crossover › QQQ
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
QQQ
Alpaca Tradeable

Grace Crossover's Analysis

Last 3 Months: 2026-06-24 to present • 28 trades in period

-4.60%
Last 3 Months Return
$10,928.31
Current Value
25%
Win Rate
$11,455.31
Period Start
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PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 23:56:24

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
31.7 neutral
20d Trend
-3.6%
5d Trend
-4.6%
EMA20 Dist
-3.6%
ATR%
1.8%
Range Pos
21%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

19
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
3.8/35
Total Return
8.7/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
1.2/15
Consistency
5.5/10
Raw Quality 19.1/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 19.1

30-Day Momentum

30
+1.4%
30d Return
40%
Win Rate
10
Trades
2.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 34.6 Conf: 0.87×
Accelerating (+11 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
5,070
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
65 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$11,455.31
Current Value
$10,928.31
Period P&L
$-526.99
Max Drawdown
-9.3%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.34

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
28
Winners / Losers
7 / 21
Best Trade
+1.41%
Worst Trade
-1.70%
Avg Trade Return
-0.18%
Avg Hold Time
13.6h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$598,277.59
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-526.99
Net P&L (after fees)
$-526.99
Gross Return
-4.60%
Net Return (after fees)
-4.60%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 QQQ Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 65 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 28 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $11,455.31 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2026 1:25pm ET $719.49 15 $10,792.37 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 24, 2026 12:30pm ET $715.71 15 $10,735.68 $11,425.18 $-56.69
(-0.5%) 		DEATH_CROSS
23.1h held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 26, 2026 11:30am ET $713.62 16 $11,417.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 26, 2026 12:25pm ET $711.59 16 $11,385.49 $11,392.75 $-32.43
(-0.3%) 		DEATH_CROSS
55m held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 6, 2026 2:50pm ET $723.39 15 $10,850.86 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 7, 2026 2:45pm ET $711.12 15 $10,666.80 $11,208.69 $-184.06
(-1.7%) 		DEATH_CROSS
23.9h held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 10, 2026 10:05am ET $723.51 15 $10,852.65 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 10, 2026 11:45am ET $721.33 15 $10,819.95 $11,175.99 $-32.70
(-0.3%) 		DEATH_CROSS
1.7h held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 14, 2026 9:30am ET $719.74 15 $10,796.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 14, 2026 2:50pm ET $720.49 15 $10,807.35 $11,187.24 +$11.25
(+0.1%) 		DEATH_CROSS
5.3h held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 15, 2026 3:40pm ET $716.75 15 $10,751.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 16, 2026 9:30am ET $712.88 15 $10,693.20 $11,129.19 $-58.05
(-0.5%) 		DEATH_CROSS
17.8h held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 17, 2026 11:55am ET $698.40 15 $10,476.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 17, 2026 2:00pm ET $698.70 15 $10,480.50 $11,133.69 +$4.50
(+0.0%) 		DEATH_CROSS
2.1h held
8 🟢 BUY Jul 21, 2026 9:30am ET $706.25 15 $10,593.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 22, 2026 9:30am ET $704.18 15 $10,562.70 $11,102.64 $-31.05
(-0.3%) 		DEATH_CROSS
1d held
9 🟢 BUY Jul 23, 2026 12:30pm ET $694.07 15 $10,411.05 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 23, 2026 1:00pm ET $692.34 15 $10,385.10 $11,076.69 $-25.95
(-0.2%) 		DEATH_CROSS
30m held
10 🟢 BUY Jul 27, 2026 9:30am ET $691.76 16 $11,068.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 27, 2026 10:10am ET $684.19 16 $10,947.04 $10,955.57 $-121.12
(-1.1%) 		DEATH_CROSS
40m held
11 🟢 BUY Jul 28, 2026 11:20am ET $676.22 16 $10,819.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 28, 2026 1:55pm ET $676.04 16 $10,816.64 $10,952.69 $-2.88
(-0.0%) 		DEATH_CROSS
2.6h held
12 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2026 3:20pm ET $721.24 15 $10,818.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 6, 2026 11:20am ET $716.86 15 $10,752.90 $10,886.99 $-65.70
(-0.6%) 		DEATH_CROSS
20h held
13 🟢 BUY Aug 7, 2026 3:10pm ET $722.05 15 $10,830.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 10, 2026 11:10am ET $721.82 15 $10,827.30 $10,883.54 $-3.45
(-0.0%) 		DEATH_CROSS
2.8d held
14 🟢 BUY Aug 13, 2026 9:35am ET $726.34 14 $10,168.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 13, 2026 11:55am ET $730.23 14 $10,223.22 $10,938.00 +$54.46
(+0.5%) 		DEATH_CROSS
2.3h held
15 🟢 BUY Aug 14, 2026 2:10pm ET $729.66 14 $10,215.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 14, 2026 2:30pm ET $729.22 14 $10,209.15 $10,931.90 $-6.10
(-0.1%) 		DEATH_CROSS
20m held
16 🟢 BUY Aug 18, 2026 3:45pm ET $717.97 15 $10,769.55 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 19, 2026 12:55pm ET $717.14 15 $10,757.10 $10,919.45 $-12.45
(-0.1%) 		DEATH_CROSS
21.2h held
17 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 3:00pm ET $713.58 15 $10,703.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 24, 2026 9:30am ET $709.49 15 $10,642.35 $10,858.10 $-61.35
(-0.6%) 		DEATH_CROSS
2.8d held
18 🟢 BUY Aug 25, 2026 9:30am ET $710.88 15 $10,663.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 25, 2026 11:05am ET $709.05 15 $10,635.75 $10,830.65 $-27.45
(-0.3%) 		DEATH_CROSS
1.6h held
19 🟢 BUY Aug 26, 2026 11:05am ET $710.55 15 $10,658.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 11:35am ET $709.95 15 $10,649.25 $10,821.65 $-9.00
(-0.1%) 		DEATH_CROSS
30m held
20 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 3:25pm ET $718.76 15 $10,781.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2026 11:50am ET $720.08 15 $10,801.20 $10,841.45 +$19.80
(+0.2%) 		DEATH_CROSS
20.4h held
21 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 1:40pm ET $714.68 15 $10,720.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 31, 2026 2:40pm ET $714.18 15 $10,712.70 $10,833.95 $-7.50
(-0.1%) 		DEATH_CROSS
1h held
22 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2026 10:15am ET $707.66 15 $10,614.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 3:25pm ET $717.63 15 $10,764.45 $10,983.50 +$149.55
(+1.4%) 		DEATH_CROSS
1.2d held
23 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2026 1:45pm ET $716.40 15 $10,746.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 2:15pm ET $716.08 15 $10,741.20 $10,978.70 $-4.80
(-0.0%) 		DEATH_CROSS
30m held
24 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2026 9:30am ET $714.99 15 $10,724.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2026 2:20pm ET $716.03 15 $10,740.45 $10,994.30 +$15.60
(+0.1%) 		DEATH_CROSS
4.8h held
25 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 9:30am ET $708.20 15 $10,623.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 1:00pm ET $709.87 15 $10,648.05 $11,019.35 +$25.05
(+0.2%) 		DEATH_CROSS
3.5h held
26 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2026 3:05pm ET $716.71 15 $10,750.65 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2026 10:15am ET $716.42 15 $10,746.30 $11,015.00 $-4.35
(-0.0%) 		DEATH_CROSS
19.2h held
27 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2026 12:00pm ET $744.62 14 $10,424.71 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 12:25pm ET $744.33 14 $10,420.62 $11,010.91 $-4.09
(-0.0%) 		DEATH_CROSS
25m held
28 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2026 1:50pm ET $740.87 14 $10,372.18 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2026 9:30am ET $734.97 14 $10,289.58 $10,928.31 $-82.60
(-0.8%) 		DEATH_CROSS
19.7h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,928.31
Net Profit/Loss: +$928.31
Total Return: +9.28%
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