Compendium › Grace Crossover › RBLX
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
RBLX
Alpaca Tradeable

Grace Crossover's Analysis

Last 3 Months: 2026-06-24 to present • 29 trades in period

+39.45%
Last 3 Months Return
$12,598.59
Current Value
45%
Win Rate
$9,034.72
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 23:19:24

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
33.4 neutral
20d Trend
-23.4%
5d Trend
-1.8%
EMA20 Dist
-9.2%
ATR%
7.4%
Range Pos
5%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
5/5

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

22
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
4.0/35
Total Return
11.9/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
1.2/15
Consistency
4.6/10
Raw Quality 21.6/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 21.5

30-Day Momentum

81
+31.8%
30d Return
55%
Win Rate
11
Trades
5.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 90.5 Conf: 0.90×
Accelerating (+60 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
5,070
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
65 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$9,034.72
Current Value
$12,598.59
Period P&L
$3,563.96
Max Drawdown
-23.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.35

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
29
Winners / Losers
13 / 16
Best Trade
+9.21%
Worst Trade
-4.28%
Avg Trade Return
+1.21%
Avg Hold Time
1.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$568,634.06
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$3,563.96
Net P&L (after fees)
$3,563.96
Gross Return
+39.45%
Net Return (after fees)
+39.45%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 RBLX Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 65 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 29 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $9,034.72 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2026 2:20pm ET $46.03 196 $9,021.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 25, 2026 2:55pm ET $45.77 196 $8,970.92 $8,983.67 $-50.96
(-0.6%) 		DEATH_CROSS
35m held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 29, 2026 3:40pm ET $54.68 164 $8,967.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 30, 2026 9:40am ET $54.39 164 $8,919.96 $8,936.11 $-47.56
(-0.5%) 		DEATH_CROSS
18h held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 1, 2026 12:55pm ET $57.57 155 $8,923.35 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 1, 2026 3:55pm ET $57.91 155 $8,976.05 $8,988.81 +$52.70
(+0.6%) 		DEATH_CROSS
3h held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 6, 2026 3:20pm ET $57.67 155 $8,938.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 7, 2026 2:50pm ET $56.74 155 $8,793.93 $8,843.89 $-144.92
(-1.6%) 		DEATH_CROSS
23.5h held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 9, 2026 12:40pm ET $55.75 158 $8,808.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 10, 2026 9:55am ET $55.62 158 $8,787.96 $8,823.35 $-20.54
(-0.2%) 		DEATH_CROSS
21.3h held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 14, 2026 12:40pm ET $54.51 161 $8,776.11 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 14, 2026 1:50pm ET $54.26 161 $8,735.86 $8,783.10 $-40.25
(-0.5%) 		DEATH_CROSS
1.2h held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 16, 2026 10:45am ET $56.33 155 $8,731.15 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 16, 2026 3:45pm ET $53.92 155 $8,357.60 $8,409.55 $-373.55
(-4.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
5h held
8 🟢 BUY Jul 20, 2026 9:35am ET $52.41 160 $8,385.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 20, 2026 2:00pm ET $54.43 160 $8,708.80 $8,732.75 +$323.20
(+3.9%) 		DEATH_CROSS
4.4h held
9 🟢 BUY Jul 21, 2026 3:35pm ET $53.08 164 $8,705.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 22, 2026 9:55am ET $50.94 164 $8,354.16 $8,381.79 $-350.96
(-4.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
18.3h held
10 🟢 BUY Jul 23, 2026 1:05pm ET $47.70 175 $8,347.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 23, 2026 1:45pm ET $47.57 175 $8,324.75 $8,359.04 $-22.75
(-0.3%) 		DEATH_CROSS
40m held
11 🟢 BUY Jul 27, 2026 2:45pm ET $48.51 172 $8,343.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 29, 2026 3:35pm ET $50.00 172 $8,600.00 $8,615.32 +$256.28
(+3.1%) 		DEATH_CROSS
2d held
12 🟢 BUY Jul 31, 2026 2:45pm ET $34.78 247 $8,591.89 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 3, 2026 11:55am ET $37.64 247 $9,295.87 $9,319.30 +$703.98
(+8.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held
13 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2026 1:30pm ET $36.15 257 $9,290.55 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 6, 2026 12:50pm ET $36.69 257 $9,429.33 $9,458.08 +$138.78
(+1.5%) 		DEATH_CROSS
23.3h held
14 🟢 BUY Aug 7, 2026 3:05pm ET $37.24 253 $9,421.59 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 10, 2026 11:30am ET $38.26 253 $9,678.52 $9,715.00 +$256.92
(+2.7%) 		DEATH_CROSS
2.9d held
15 🟢 BUY Aug 11, 2026 12:25pm ET $36.96 262 $9,683.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 11, 2026 12:50pm ET $36.74 262 $9,625.88 $9,657.36 $-57.64
(-0.6%) 		DEATH_CROSS
25m held
16 🟢 BUY Aug 12, 2026 12:55pm ET $35.58 271 $9,642.18 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 12, 2026 2:20pm ET $35.44 271 $9,605.59 $9,620.77 $-36.59
(-0.4%) 		DEATH_CROSS
1.4h held
17 🟢 BUY Aug 14, 2026 2:30pm ET $38.68 248 $9,592.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 18, 2026 10:55am ET $37.88 248 $9,394.24 $9,422.37 $-198.40
(-2.1%) 		DEATH_CROSS
3.9d held
18 🟢 BUY Aug 20, 2026 12:05pm ET $38.08 247 $9,405.51 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 21, 2026 1:30pm ET $38.62 247 $9,539.14 $9,556.00 +$133.63
(+1.4%) 		DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held
19 🟢 BUY Aug 24, 2026 3:55pm ET $38.70 246 $9,519.95 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 25, 2026 10:35am ET $38.68 246 $9,515.28 $9,551.33 $-4.67
(-0.0%) 		DEATH_CROSS
18.7h held
20 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 9:45am ET $37.75 253 $9,550.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2026 11:35am ET $37.77 253 $9,555.81 $9,556.39 +$5.06
(+0.1%) 		DEATH_CROSS
1.8h held
21 🟢 BUY Aug 28, 2026 12:50pm ET $39.01 244 $9,519.66 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 9:35am ET $39.87 244 $9,728.28 $9,765.01 +$208.62
(+2.2%) 		DEATH_CROSS
3.9d held
22 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2026 1:30pm ET $40.00 244 $9,760.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 9:35am ET $43.20 244 $10,540.80 $10,545.81 +$780.80
(+8.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
20.1h held
23 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 9:35am ET $42.41 248 $10,517.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $44.41 248 $11,013.68 $11,041.81 +$496.00
(+4.7%) 		DEATH_CROSS
5.3d held
24 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2026 9:30am ET $45.39 243 $11,029.77 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 10:35am ET $49.57 243 $12,045.51 $12,057.55 +$1,015.74
(+9.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
3d held
25 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 11:20am ET $50.60 238 $12,042.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 2:50pm ET $50.43 238 $12,002.34 $12,017.09 $-40.46
(-0.3%) 		DEATH_CROSS
3.5h held
26 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2026 9:35am ET $48.61 247 $12,006.67 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2026 11:05am ET $47.47 247 $11,726.32 $11,736.74 $-280.35
(-2.3%) 		DEATH_CROSS
1.5h held
27 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2026 12:05pm ET $47.07 249 $11,720.43 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 9:30am ET $51.00 249 $12,699.00 $12,715.31 +$978.57
(+8.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held
28 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2026 11:40am ET $50.23 253 $12,708.19 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 12:45pm ET $49.81 253 $12,601.93 $12,609.05 $-106.26
(-0.8%) 		DEATH_CROSS
1.1h held
29 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2026 1:35pm ET $49.34 255 $12,581.95 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 3:20pm ET $49.30 255 $12,571.50 $12,598.59 $-10.46
(-0.1%) 		DEATH_CROSS
1.8h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,598.59
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,598.59
Total Return: +25.99%
Back to Grace Crossover