Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 22:31:12

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
53.6 neutral
20d Trend
-3.7%
5d Trend
+4.3%
EMA20 Dist
+1.1%
ATR%
2.8%
Range Pos
81%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
6/4

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

2
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
2.4/10
Raw Quality 2.4/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 2.4

30-Day Momentum

7
-1.7%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
9
Trades
0.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 8.6 Conf: 0.84×
Steady (+5 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
5,065
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
65 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$5,246.28
Current Value
$5,525.47
Period P&L
$279.18
Max Drawdown
-33.9%
Sharpe Ratio
0.17

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
31
Winners / Losers
14 / 17
Best Trade
+3.22%
Worst Trade
-2.09%
Avg Trade Return
+0.21%
Avg Hold Time
15.7h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$314,471.88
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$279.18
Net P&L (after fees)
$279.18
Gross Return
+5.32%
Net Return (after fees)
+5.32%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 REGN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 65 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 31 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $5,246.28 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 24, 2026 11:25am ET $622.96 8 $4,983.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 24, 2026 3:45pm ET $625.61 8 $5,004.88 $5,267.48 +$21.20
(+0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
4.3h held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 26, 2026 9:35am ET $630.75 8 $5,046.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 26, 2026 12:15pm ET $632.78 8 $5,062.24 $5,283.72 +$16.24
(+0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.7h held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 29, 2026 2:35pm ET $629.43 8 $5,035.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 30, 2026 9:50am ET $627.87 8 $5,022.96 $5,271.24 $-12.48
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
19.3h held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 1, 2026 3:50pm ET $626.63 8 $5,013.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 6, 2026 9:45am ET $640.33 8 $5,122.64 $5,380.84 +$109.60
(+2.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
4.7d held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 8, 2026 1:15pm ET $664.41 8 $5,315.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 8, 2026 1:25pm ET $663.36 8 $5,306.88 $5,372.48 $-8.36
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
10m held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 9, 2026 3:05pm ET $666.65 8 $5,333.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 10, 2026 9:35am ET $661.58 8 $5,292.64 $5,331.92 $-40.56
(-0.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
18.5h held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 13, 2026 9:55am ET $664.89 8 $5,319.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 13, 2026 10:15am ET $657.82 8 $5,262.56 $5,275.36 $-56.56
(-1.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
20m held
8 🟢 BUY Jul 14, 2026 11:55am ET $658.68 8 $5,269.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 14, 2026 3:25pm ET $659.09 8 $5,272.68 $5,278.56 +$3.20
(+0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.5h held
9 🟢 BUY Jul 16, 2026 9:30am ET $666.28 7 $4,663.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 16, 2026 2:05pm ET $677.24 7 $4,740.68 $5,355.28 +$76.72
(+1.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
4.6h held
10 🟢 BUY Jul 17, 2026 3:15pm ET $676.05 7 $4,732.35 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 17, 2026 3:30pm ET $673.92 7 $4,717.47 $5,340.41 $-14.88
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
15m held
11 🟢 BUY Jul 21, 2026 10:10am ET $675.47 7 $4,728.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 21, 2026 10:45am ET $672.13 7 $4,704.91 $5,317.02 $-23.39
(-0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
35m held
12 🟢 BUY Jul 22, 2026 2:50pm ET $655.83 8 $5,246.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 23, 2026 1:35pm ET $650.24 8 $5,201.92 $5,272.34 $-44.68
(-0.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
22.8h held
13 🟢 BUY Jul 27, 2026 9:35am ET $666.68 7 $4,666.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 28, 2026 11:55am ET $682.49 7 $4,777.43 $5,383.01 +$110.67
(+2.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held
14 🟢 BUY Jul 29, 2026 12:25pm ET $697.41 7 $4,881.87 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 29, 2026 2:55pm ET $695.05 7 $4,865.35 $5,366.49 $-16.52
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.5h held
15 🟢 BUY Jul 31, 2026 11:40am ET $740.07 7 $5,180.49 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 3, 2026 10:50am ET $761.08 7 $5,327.56 $5,513.56 +$147.07
(+2.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
3d held
16 🟢 BUY Aug 4, 2026 11:25am ET $758.39 7 $5,308.73 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 4, 2026 3:30pm ET $759.82 7 $5,318.74 $5,523.57 +$10.01
(+0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
4.1h held
17 🟢 BUY Aug 6, 2026 9:30am ET $777.85 7 $5,444.95 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 6, 2026 10:20am ET $765.61 7 $5,359.30 $5,437.93 $-85.64
(-1.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
50m held
18 🟢 BUY Aug 7, 2026 3:20pm ET $782.09 6 $4,692.54 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 11, 2026 2:20pm ET $807.31 6 $4,843.86 $5,589.25 +$151.32
(+3.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
4d held
19 🟢 BUY Aug 13, 2026 9:30am ET $802.21 6 $4,813.26 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 13, 2026 1:40pm ET $810.54 6 $4,863.24 $5,639.23 +$49.98
(+1.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
4.2h held
20 🟢 BUY Aug 18, 2026 1:35pm ET $819.19 6 $4,915.14 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 18, 2026 2:45pm ET $816.77 6 $4,900.59 $5,624.68 $-14.55
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.2h held
21 🟢 BUY Aug 20, 2026 11:25am ET $838.68 6 $5,032.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 21, 2026 1:10pm ET $840.10 6 $5,040.63 $5,633.23 +$8.55
(+0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held
22 🟢 BUY Aug 24, 2026 1:25pm ET $826.19 6 $4,957.14 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 25, 2026 12:30pm ET $834.45 6 $5,006.70 $5,682.79 +$49.56
(+1.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
23.1h held
23 🟢 BUY Aug 26, 2026 12:30pm ET $823.18 6 $4,939.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 2:05pm ET $822.07 6 $4,932.42 $5,676.13 $-6.66
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.6h held
24 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 10:40am ET $793.05 7 $5,551.35 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 31, 2026 2:50pm ET $796.47 7 $5,575.29 $5,700.07 +$23.94
(+0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
4.2h held
25 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2026 3:55pm ET $844.84 6 $5,069.07 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 4, 2026 9:30am ET $833.79 6 $5,002.74 $5,633.74 $-66.33
(-1.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
17.6h held
26 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2026 1:10pm ET $804.02 7 $5,628.14 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 2:35pm ET $803.94 7 $5,627.58 $5,633.18 $-0.56
(-0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.4h held
27 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2026 9:35am ET $799.63 7 $5,597.41 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2026 3:40pm ET $782.89 7 $5,480.23 $5,516.00 $-117.18
(-2.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
6.1h held
28 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 9:50am ET $778.41 7 $5,448.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 10:10am ET $775.34 7 $5,427.38 $5,494.48 $-21.52
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
20m held
29 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2026 10:50am ET $786.01 6 $4,716.06 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2026 3:55pm ET $784.37 6 $4,706.22 $5,484.64 $-9.84
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
5.1h held
30 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2026 10:45am ET $797.96 6 $4,787.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 3:45pm ET $806.96 6 $4,841.76 $5,538.64 +$54.00
(+1.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
5h held
31 🟢 BUY Sep 24, 2026 2:05pm ET $796.53 6 $4,779.21 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2026 3:20pm ET $794.34 6 $4,766.04 $5,525.47 $-13.17
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $5,525.47
Net Profit/Loss: $-4,474.53
Total Return: -44.75%
Back to Grace Crossover