SLV Grace Crossover's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2026-06-24 to present • 31 trades in period
+0.03%
Last 3 Months Return
$12,131.32
Current Value
26%
Win Rate
$12,127.58
Period Start
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
4.96%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.26%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
38.5 neutral
20d Trend
-12.5%
5d Trend
-40.4%
EMA20 Dist
-22.1%
ATR%
14.8%
Range Pos
32%
Bounce Ratio
0.3×
Green/Red 10d
6/4
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
24
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
5.8/35
Total Return
11.5/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
1.5/15
Consistency
4.9/10
Raw Quality
23.7/100
× Confidence 1.00
= 23.6
30-Day Momentum
9
-6.1%
30d Return
18%
Win Rate
11
Trades
0.5×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0
Conf: 0.90×
Declining (-15 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
5,070
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
65 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)
Market Closed (2 days)
2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$12,127.58
Current Value
$12,131.32
Period P&L
$3.74
Max Drawdown
-14.1%
Sharpe Ratio
0.01
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
31
Winners / Losers
8 /
23
Best Trade
+8.29%
Worst Trade
-2.72%
Avg Trade Return
+0.02%
Avg Hold Time
15h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$756,790.59
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$3.74
Net P&L (after fees)
$3.74
Gross Return
+0.03%
Net Return (after fees)
+0.03%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 SLV Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 65 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 31 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $12,127.58 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 25, 2026 9:30am ET | $52.76 | 229 | $12,080.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 29, 2026 3:05pm ET | $52.53 | 229 | $12,030.51 | $12,077.20 |
$-50.38 (-0.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
4.2d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $55.13 | 219 | $12,072.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 2, 2026 12:10pm ET | $55.08 | 219 | $12,062.54 | $12,066.82 |
$-10.38 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.7h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 6, 2026 12:40pm ET | $55.75 | 216 | $12,042.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $55.27 | 216 | $11,938.32 | $11,963.14 |
$-103.68 (-0.9%) |
DEATH_CROSS
20.8h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 9, 2026 1:50pm ET | $54.62 | 219 | $11,960.69 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 9, 2026 2:05pm ET | $54.49 | 219 | $11,934.40 | $11,936.86 |
$-26.28 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
15m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 10, 2026 3:35pm ET | $53.95 | 221 | $11,922.93 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $52.97 | 221 | $11,707.47 | $11,721.41 |
$-215.45 (-1.8%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.7d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 14, 2026 2:15pm ET | $53.20 | 220 | $11,703.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $52.80 | 220 | $11,616.00 | $11,633.43 |
$-87.98 (-0.8%) |
DEATH_CROSS
19.3h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 16, 2026 11:40am ET | $51.03 | 227 | $11,584.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 17, 2026 1:45pm ET | $50.58 | 227 | $11,481.66 | $11,530.15 |
$-103.28 (-0.9%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $52.84 | 218 | $11,519.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 21, 2026 1:05pm ET | $53.16 | 218 | $11,588.77 | $11,599.52 |
+$69.37 (+0.6%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.6h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 23, 2026 1:05pm ET | $52.31 | 221 | $11,559.41 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 23, 2026 1:40pm ET | $52.03 | 221 | $11,498.63 | $11,538.74 |
$-60.78 (-0.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
35m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 27, 2026 9:35am ET | $53.05 | 217 | $11,511.87 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 27, 2026 10:35am ET | $52.71 | 217 | $11,438.07 | $11,464.94 |
$-73.80 (-0.6%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 28, 2026 11:45am ET | $51.81 | 221 | $11,451.11 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 28, 2026 1:05pm ET | $51.76 | 221 | $11,439.78 | $11,453.60 |
$-11.34 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 30, 2026 10:00am ET | $52.87 | 216 | $11,419.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 30, 2026 11:15am ET | $52.51 | 216 | $11,342.16 | $11,375.84 |
$-77.76 (-0.7%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 3, 2026 11:40am ET | $51.83 | 219 | $11,349.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $56.12 | 219 | $12,291.00 | $12,317.17 |
+$941.33 (+8.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 6, 2026 1:10pm ET | $55.47 | 222 | $12,314.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 7, 2026 12:25pm ET | $57.19 | 222 | $12,695.27 | $12,698.10 |
+$380.93 (+3.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
23.3h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 11, 2026 12:25pm ET | $58.81 | 215 | $12,644.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 11, 2026 12:50pm ET | $58.67 | 215 | $12,612.98 | $12,666.92 |
$-31.18 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
25m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 13, 2026 1:00pm ET | $58.56 | 216 | $12,648.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 13, 2026 1:45pm ET | $58.46 | 216 | $12,627.36 | $12,645.32 |
$-21.60 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
45m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $59.01 | 214 | $12,627.07 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 17, 2026 1:20pm ET | $59.80 | 214 | $12,797.20 | $12,815.45 |
+$170.13 (+1.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.8h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 19, 2026 9:30am ET | $58.94 | 217 | $12,789.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 19, 2026 1:30pm ET | $59.33 | 217 | $12,875.69 | $12,901.21 |
+$85.76 (+0.7%) |
DEATH_CROSS
4h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 20, 2026 3:15pm ET | $61.65 | 209 | $12,885.89 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 21, 2026 2:40pm ET | $62.83 | 209 | $13,131.47 | $13,146.79 |
+$245.58 (+1.9%) |
DEATH_CROSS
23.4h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 24, 2026 3:40pm ET | $62.00 | 212 | $13,144.83 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 25, 2026 9:30am ET | $61.14 | 212 | $12,961.04 | $12,963.01 |
$-183.78 (-1.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
17.8h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 26, 2026 1:10pm ET | $61.50 | 210 | $12,915.21 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 26, 2026 2:00pm ET | $61.43 | 210 | $12,901.33 | $12,949.13 |
$-13.88 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
50m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 27, 2026 3:05pm ET | $62.72 | 206 | $12,920.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 28, 2026 10:15am ET | $62.06 | 206 | $12,783.33 | $12,812.14 |
$-136.99 (-1.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
19.2h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 31, 2026 12:15pm ET | $59.98 | 213 | $12,775.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $58.35 | 213 | $12,428.55 | $12,464.95 |
$-347.19 (-2.7%) |
DEATH_CROSS
21.3h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 2, 2026 12:00pm ET | $58.79 | 212 | $12,463.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 2, 2026 12:35pm ET | $58.72 | 212 | $12,447.58 | $12,449.07 |
$-15.88 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
35m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 4, 2026 11:40am ET | $59.83 | 208 | $12,443.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 4, 2026 12:10pm ET | $59.70 | 208 | $12,418.04 | $12,423.51 |
$-25.56 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
30m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $61.19 | 203 | $12,421.57 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 9, 2026 11:20am ET | $60.47 | 203 | $12,275.41 | $12,277.35 |
$-146.16 (-1.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.8h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 11, 2026 9:30am ET | $58.68 | 209 | $12,264.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 11, 2026 11:10am ET | $58.08 | 209 | $12,138.72 | $12,151.93 |
$-125.42 (-1.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.7h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 14, 2026 11:35am ET | $57.25 | 212 | $12,137.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 14, 2026 3:10pm ET | $57.40 | 212 | $12,168.80 | $12,183.73 |
+$31.80 (+0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.6h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $59.05 | 206 | $12,164.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 18, 2026 2:45pm ET | $60.08 | 206 | $12,377.51 | $12,396.94 |
+$213.21 (+1.8%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.2d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 22, 2026 11:15am ET | $59.63 | 207 | $12,342.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 22, 2026 11:40am ET | $59.38 | 207 | $12,290.63 | $12,345.19 |
$-51.75 (-0.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
25m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 23, 2026 1:55pm ET | $58.35 | 211 | $12,310.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 24, 2026 1:35pm ET | $57.33 | 211 | $12,096.93 | $12,131.32 |
$-213.87 (-1.7%) |
DEATH_CROSS
23.7h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$12,131.32
Net Profit/Loss:
+$2,131.32
Total Return:
+21.31%