Compendium › Grace Crossover › SNOW
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
SNOW
Alpaca Tradeable

Grace Crossover's Analysis

Last 3 Months: 2026-03-28 to present • 24 trades in period

+47.59%
Last 3 Months Return
$13,139.03
Current Value
38%
Win Rate
$8,902.46
Period Start
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PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-28 16:34:46

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
18
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.9
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.40%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.78
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.5
Unsettled
⛈️ 1 storm day in 7d
RSI(14)
15.5 oversold
20d Trend
-26.5%
5d Trend
-20.2%
EMA20 Dist
-19.8%
ATR%
6.8%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Jun 28, 2026

24
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
5.2/35
Total Return
12.5/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
1.7/15
Consistency
4.3/10
Raw Quality 23.8/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 23.6

30-Day Momentum

7
-1.3%
30d Return
22%
Win Rate
9
Trades
0.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 8.6 Conf: 0.84×
Declining (-16 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,836
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-30 → 2026-06-26
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)

Market Closed (3 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$8,902.46
Current Value
$13,139.03
Period P&L
$4,236.61
Max Drawdown
-21.1%
Sharpe Ratio
0.27

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
24
Winners / Losers
9 / 15
Best Trade
+30.64%
Worst Trade
-4.88%
Avg Trade Return
+1.84%
Avg Hold Time
1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$526,380.37
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$4,236.61
Net P&L (after fees)
$4,236.61
Gross Return
+47.59%
Net Return (after fees)
+47.59%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SNOW Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 24 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $8,902.46 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 10:10am ET $152.41 58 $8,840.07 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 11:50am ET $151.83 58 $8,806.14 $8,868.49 $-33.93
(-0.4%) 		DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 1:30pm ET $148.96 59 $8,788.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 3:55pm ET $149.20 59 $8,802.80 $8,882.65 +$14.16
(+0.2%) 		DEATH_CROSS
2.4h held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 3:15pm ET $119.94 74 $8,875.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 11:40am ET $129.96 74 $9,616.68 $9,623.77 +$741.12
(+8.4%) 		🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 10:40am ET $145.44 66 $9,599.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 11:20am ET $144.83 66 $9,558.78 $9,583.51 $-40.26
(-0.4%) 		DEATH_CROSS
1d held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 12:05pm ET $152.79 62 $9,472.86 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 1:05pm ET $151.59 62 $9,398.58 $9,509.23 $-74.28
(-0.8%) 		DEATH_CROSS
1h held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 2:30pm ET $154.47 61 $9,422.67 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET $146.93 61 $8,962.73 $9,049.29 $-459.94
(-4.9%) 		DEATH_CROSS
19h held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 11:50am ET $138.95 65 $9,031.43 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 3:05pm ET $144.67 65 $9,403.55 $9,421.41 +$372.12
(+4.1%) 		DEATH_CROSS
3.1d held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 11:50am ET $140.74 66 $9,288.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 9:30am ET $139.16 66 $9,184.56 $9,317.13 $-104.28
(-1.1%) 		DEATH_CROSS
21.7h held
9 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 12:50pm ET $139.77 66 $9,225.15 — — —
🔴 SELL May 7, 2026 9:30am ET $153.63 66 $10,139.25 $10,231.23 +$914.10
(+9.9%) 		🎯 +5% Target
5.9d held
10 🟢 BUY May 11, 2026 3:35pm ET $149.65 68 $10,176.20 — — —
🔴 SELL May 12, 2026 11:30am ET $150.92 68 $10,262.56 $10,317.59 +$86.36
(+0.8%) 		DEATH_CROSS
19.9h held
11 🟢 BUY May 13, 2026 2:15pm ET $152.82 67 $10,238.94 — — —
🔴 SELL May 14, 2026 9:30am ET $150.56 67 $10,087.52 $10,166.17 $-151.42
(-1.5%) 		DEATH_CROSS
19.3h held
12 🟢 BUY May 15, 2026 9:50am ET $152.31 66 $10,052.46 — — —
🔴 SELL May 15, 2026 3:00pm ET $158.06 66 $10,431.96 $10,545.67 +$379.50
(+3.8%) 		DEATH_CROSS
5.2h held
13 🟢 BUY May 19, 2026 1:15pm ET $169.40 62 $10,502.80 — — —
🔴 SELL May 20, 2026 2:50pm ET $164.49 62 $10,198.69 $10,241.56 $-304.11
(-2.9%) 		DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held
14 🟢 BUY May 22, 2026 2:40pm ET $172.63 59 $10,185.17 — — —
🔴 SELL May 22, 2026 3:15pm ET $171.91 59 $10,142.69 $10,199.08 $-42.48
(-0.4%) 		DEATH_CROSS
35m held
15 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 10:15am ET $178.27 57 $10,161.39 — — —
🔴 SELL May 28, 2026 9:30am ET $232.90 57 $13,275.30 $13,312.99 +$3,113.91
(+30.6%) 		🎯 +5% Target
23.3h held
16 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 9:35am ET $248.32 53 $13,160.96 — — —
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 12:15pm ET $247.19 53 $13,101.07 $13,253.10 $-59.89
(-0.5%) 		DEATH_CROSS
2.7h held
17 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 2:00pm ET $247.71 53 $13,128.89 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 3:00pm ET $247.04 53 $13,092.86 $13,217.06 $-36.04
(-0.3%) 		DEATH_CROSS
1h held
18 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 1:55pm ET $241.77 54 $13,055.58 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 8, 2026 3:05pm ET $241.36 54 $13,033.44 $13,194.92 $-22.14
(-0.2%) 		DEATH_CROSS
1.2h held
19 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 12:20pm ET $243.26 54 $13,136.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 12:55pm ET $242.65 54 $13,102.83 $13,161.71 $-33.21
(-0.3%) 		DEATH_CROSS
35m held
20 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 11:25am ET $240.00 54 $12,960.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 12:55pm ET $240.98 54 $13,012.87 $13,214.58 +$52.87
(+0.4%) 		DEATH_CROSS
3.1d held
21 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 2:40pm ET $238.84 55 $13,136.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 9:30am ET $236.17 55 $12,989.35 $13,067.73 $-146.85
(-1.1%) 		DEATH_CROSS
18.8h held
22 🟢 BUY Jun 18, 2026 11:05am ET $230.48 56 $12,906.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2026 11:35am ET $228.55 56 $12,798.80 $12,959.93 $-107.80
(-0.8%) 		DEATH_CROSS
30m held
23 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2026 10:20am ET $227.70 56 $12,751.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 23, 2026 2:25pm ET $231.86 56 $12,984.16 $13,192.89 +$232.96
(+1.8%) 		DEATH_CROSS
4.1h held
24 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2026 10:20am ET $227.63 57 $12,975.19 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 25, 2026 1:50pm ET $226.69 57 $12,921.33 $13,139.03 $-53.86
(-0.4%) 		DEATH_CROSS
3.5h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $13,139.03
Net Profit/Loss: +$3,139.03
Total Return: +31.39%
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