Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 18:38:14

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
4.96%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.26%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
15.5 oversold
20d Trend
-26.5%
5d Trend
-20.2%
EMA20 Dist
-19.8%
ATR%
6.8%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

16
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
2.2/35
Total Return
9.6/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.6/15
Consistency
3.9/10
Raw Quality 16.4/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 16.3

30-Day Momentum

9
-11.2%
30d Return
18%
Win Rate
11
Trades
0.5×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0 Conf: 0.90×
Cooling (-7 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
5,070
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
65 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$13,192.93
Current Value
$11,339.29
Period P&L
$-1,853.60
Max Drawdown
-21.1%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.25

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
29
Winners / Losers
8 / 21
Best Trade
+3.78%
Worst Trade
-4.34%
Avg Trade Return
-0.51%
Avg Hold Time
14.2h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$732,875.21
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,853.60
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,853.60
Gross Return
-14.05%
Net Return (after fees)
-14.05%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SNOW Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 65 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 29 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $13,192.93 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2026 10:20am ET $227.63 57 $12,975.19 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 25, 2026 1:50pm ET $226.69 57 $12,921.33 $13,139.03 $-53.86
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.5h held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 30, 2026 11:25am ET $251.09 52 $13,056.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 1, 2026 12:40pm ET $260.57 52 $13,549.64 $13,631.99 +$492.96
(+3.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 6, 2026 11:15am ET $261.69 52 $13,607.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 6, 2026 1:30pm ET $262.62 52 $13,656.24 $13,680.35 +$48.36
(+0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.3h held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2026 2:05pm ET $269.39 50 $13,469.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 8, 2026 9:30am ET $257.68 50 $12,884.25 $13,095.35 $-585.00
(-4.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
19.4h held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 10, 2026 3:25pm ET $261.93 49 $12,834.57 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 13, 2026 1:20pm ET $270.67 49 $13,262.83 $13,523.61 +$428.26
(+3.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.9d held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 15, 2026 2:00pm ET $269.30 50 $13,465.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 17, 2026 10:50am ET $268.52 50 $13,426.00 $13,484.61 $-39.00
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.9d held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 21, 2026 3:35pm ET $270.88 49 $13,273.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 21, 2026 3:45pm ET $270.46 49 $13,252.54 $13,464.03 $-20.58
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
10m held
8 🟢 BUY Jul 23, 2026 9:30am ET $273.55 49 $13,403.95 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 23, 2026 10:35am ET $266.54 49 $13,060.22 $13,120.30 $-343.73
(-2.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.1h held
9 🟢 BUY Jul 27, 2026 9:30am ET $275.30 47 $12,939.33 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 27, 2026 10:30am ET $268.79 47 $12,633.13 $12,814.10 $-306.20
(-2.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
1h held
10 🟢 BUY Jul 28, 2026 11:05am ET $265.96 48 $12,766.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 28, 2026 2:25pm ET $272.05 48 $13,058.16 $13,106.18 +$292.08
(+2.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.3h held
11 🟢 BUY Jul 30, 2026 9:55am ET $290.27 45 $13,062.15 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 30, 2026 10:55am ET $287.09 45 $12,919.05 $12,963.08 $-143.10
(-1.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1h held
12 🟢 BUY Aug 4, 2026 9:35am ET $311.55 41 $12,773.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 5, 2026 11:00am ET $317.70 41 $13,025.70 $13,215.10 +$252.02
(+2.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held
13 🟢 BUY Aug 6, 2026 1:00pm ET $319.60 41 $13,103.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 7, 2026 11:20am ET $323.52 41 $13,264.12 $13,375.62 +$160.52
(+1.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
22.3h held
14 🟢 BUY Aug 10, 2026 2:45pm ET $335.48 39 $13,083.77 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 10, 2026 3:40pm ET $334.39 39 $13,041.21 $13,333.06 $-42.56
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
55m held
15 🟢 BUY Aug 13, 2026 9:50am ET $337.10 39 $13,146.71 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 13, 2026 10:15am ET $333.32 39 $12,999.48 $13,185.84 $-147.22
(-1.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
25m held
16 🟢 BUY Aug 14, 2026 2:45pm ET $330.02 39 $12,870.97 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 18, 2026 2:40pm ET $323.62 39 $12,621.18 $12,936.05 $-249.79
(-1.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
4d held
17 🟢 BUY Aug 20, 2026 10:45am ET $322.65 40 $12,906.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 20, 2026 11:15am ET $320.88 40 $12,835.20 $12,865.05 $-71.00
(-0.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
30m held
18 🟢 BUY Aug 24, 2026 10:40am ET $328.96 39 $12,829.63 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 24, 2026 11:15am ET $326.55 39 $12,735.45 $12,770.86 $-94.19
(-0.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
35m held
19 🟢 BUY Aug 25, 2026 2:50pm ET $315.67 40 $12,626.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET $307.50 40 $12,300.00 $12,444.06 $-326.80
(-2.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
18.7h held
20 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 9:30am ET $321.01 38 $12,198.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2026 2:10pm ET $331.00 38 $12,578.00 $12,823.68 +$379.62
(+3.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
4.7h held
21 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 11:40am ET $326.26 39 $12,723.95 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 31, 2026 12:30pm ET $325.71 39 $12,702.88 $12,802.62 $-21.06
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
50m held
22 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2026 10:45am ET $318.53 40 $12,741.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2026 11:55am ET $305.62 40 $12,224.80 $12,286.22 $-516.40
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2h held
23 🟢 BUY Sep 8, 2026 10:40am ET $339.46 36 $12,220.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 3:20pm ET $336.30 36 $12,106.80 $12,172.46 $-113.76
(-0.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
4.7h held
24 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2026 9:45am ET $337.68 36 $12,156.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 10, 2026 10:55am ET $332.96 36 $11,986.56 $12,002.54 $-169.92
(-1.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.2h held
25 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2026 11:50am ET $329.36 36 $11,857.14 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2026 12:55pm ET $328.09 36 $11,811.24 $11,956.64 $-45.90
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.1h held
26 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 3:45pm ET $333.70 35 $11,679.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 10:05am ET $319.27 35 $11,174.62 $11,451.76 $-504.88
(-4.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.3h held
27 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 2:20pm ET $333.67 34 $11,344.86 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 2:55pm ET $332.65 34 $11,310.10 $11,417.00 $-34.76
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
35m held
28 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2026 3:00pm ET $338.48 33 $11,169.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2026 9:30am ET $336.00 33 $11,088.00 $11,335.16 $-81.84
(-0.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
18.5h held
29 🟢 BUY Sep 21, 2026 11:45am ET $335.70 33 $11,077.94 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 10:45am ET $335.82 33 $11,082.06 $11,339.29 +$4.13
(+0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
23h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,339.29
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,339.29
Total Return: +13.39%
Back to Grace Crossover