Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 23:56:08

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
14.6 oversold
20d Trend
-30.9%
5d Trend
-17.8%
EMA20 Dist
-19.9%
ATR%
6.6%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
1/9

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

38
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
13.9/35
Total Return
16.3/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
1.9/15
Consistency
6.4/10
Raw Quality 38.4/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 38.3

30-Day Momentum

9
-13.9%
30d Return
18%
Win Rate
11
Trades
0.3×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0 Conf: 0.90×
Declining (-29 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
5,070
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
65 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$22,031.64
Current Value
$19,049.50
Period P&L
$-2,982.10
Max Drawdown
-22.8%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.17

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
29
Winners / Losers
8 / 21
Best Trade
+10.36%
Worst Trade
-5.67%
Avg Trade Return
-0.46%
Avg Hold Time
21.6h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,261,729.53
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-2,982.10
Net P&L (after fees)
$-2,982.10
Gross Return
-13.54%
Net Return (after fees)
-13.54%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SOFI Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 65 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 29 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $22,031.64 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2026 10:30am ET $17.41 1,265 $22,017.33 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 25, 2026 12:45pm ET $17.30 1,265 $21,884.50 $21,898.77 $-132.83
(-0.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.3h held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 26, 2026 3:50pm ET $17.89 1,224 $21,897.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 29, 2026 10:15am ET $17.55 1,224 $21,475.08 $21,476.49 $-422.28
(-1.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.8d held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 2, 2026 9:30am ET $18.74 1,146 $21,476.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 2, 2026 10:05am ET $18.43 1,146 $21,126.51 $21,126.96 $-349.53
(-1.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
35m held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 6, 2026 3:20pm ET $18.83 1,121 $21,114.03 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 6, 2026 3:35pm ET $18.75 1,121 $21,024.35 $21,037.28 $-89.68
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
15m held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 8, 2026 12:30pm ET $17.34 1,212 $21,020.81 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 10, 2026 9:30am ET $19.14 1,212 $23,197.68 $23,214.15 +$2,176.87
(+10.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 15, 2026 9:30am ET $18.80 1,234 $23,199.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 15, 2026 9:35am ET $18.46 1,234 $22,779.64 $22,794.59 $-419.56
(-1.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
5m held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 17, 2026 11:40am ET $17.00 1,341 $22,790.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 17, 2026 2:40pm ET $17.31 1,341 $23,206.01 $23,210.30 +$415.71
(+1.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
3h held
8 🟢 BUY Jul 21, 2026 9:50am ET $17.22 1,348 $23,205.82 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 21, 2026 1:35pm ET $17.33 1,348 $23,367.58 $23,372.06 +$161.76
(+0.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.8h held
9 🟢 BUY Jul 22, 2026 3:45pm ET $17.09 1,367 $23,362.03 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 23, 2026 9:30am ET $16.93 1,367 $23,143.31 $23,153.34 $-218.72
(-0.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
17.8h held
10 🟢 BUY Jul 24, 2026 11:15am ET $16.65 1,391 $23,153.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 27, 2026 10:45am ET $16.76 1,391 $23,320.11 $23,320.26 +$166.92
(+0.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
3d held
11 🟢 BUY Jul 28, 2026 3:55pm ET $16.67 1,398 $23,311.65 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 29, 2026 9:30am ET $15.73 1,398 $21,990.54 $21,999.15 $-1,321.11
(-5.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
17.6h held
12 🟢 BUY Jul 30, 2026 9:40am ET $15.52 1,417 $21,991.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 31, 2026 9:50am ET $16.17 1,417 $22,905.81 $22,913.40 +$914.25
(+4.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
1d held
13 🟢 BUY Aug 6, 2026 10:20am ET $18.43 1,242 $22,896.27 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 7, 2026 11:10am ET $18.26 1,242 $22,678.79 $22,695.93 $-217.47
(-0.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
1d held
14 🟢 BUY Aug 10, 2026 11:55am ET $18.18 1,248 $22,686.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 10, 2026 12:45pm ET $18.09 1,248 $22,582.56 $22,591.97 $-103.96
(-0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
50m held
15 🟢 BUY Aug 11, 2026 2:25pm ET $17.98 1,256 $22,583.01 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 11, 2026 3:10pm ET $17.92 1,256 $22,513.80 $22,522.76 $-69.21
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
45m held
16 🟢 BUY Aug 14, 2026 10:15am ET $18.50 1,217 $22,514.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 14, 2026 10:40am ET $18.42 1,217 $22,411.06 $22,419.32 $-103.44
(-0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
25m held
17 🟢 BUY Aug 17, 2026 11:05am ET $18.47 1,214 $22,416.51 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 18, 2026 9:30am ET $17.96 1,214 $21,803.44 $21,806.25 $-613.07
(-2.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
22.4h held
18 🟢 BUY Aug 19, 2026 9:35am ET $18.14 1,202 $21,798.27 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 20, 2026 9:55am ET $18.40 1,202 $22,110.79 $22,118.77 +$312.52
(+1.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
1d held
19 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 2:30pm ET $18.99 1,165 $22,117.53 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 25, 2026 9:35am ET $18.22 1,165 $21,231.43 $21,232.67 $-886.10
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8d held
20 🟢 BUY Aug 26, 2026 1:30pm ET $18.84 1,126 $21,219.47 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 3:30pm ET $18.84 1,126 $21,215.19 $21,228.39 $-4.28
(-0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
2h held
21 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 11:10am ET $17.91 1,185 $21,223.35 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 31, 2026 12:20pm ET $17.85 1,185 $21,152.25 $21,157.29 $-71.10
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.2h held
22 🟢 BUY Sep 1, 2026 3:45pm ET $17.16 1,232 $21,141.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2026 9:30am ET $17.02 1,232 $20,968.64 $20,984.81 $-172.48
(-0.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
17.8h held
23 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 12:15pm ET $18.22 1,151 $20,971.22 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 9:40am ET $18.17 1,151 $20,919.42 $20,933.01 $-51.80
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.9d held
24 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2026 3:30pm ET $17.43 1,200 $20,922.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 10, 2026 2:05pm ET $17.28 1,200 $20,742.00 $20,753.01 $-180.00
(-0.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
22.6h held
25 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2026 3:50pm ET $17.28 1,200 $20,742.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET $17.03 1,200 $20,436.00 $20,447.01 $-306.00
(-1.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.7d held
26 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 12:45pm ET $17.23 1,187 $20,446.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 3:25pm ET $17.24 1,187 $20,463.88 $20,464.81 +$17.80
(+0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.7h held
27 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2026 9:30am ET $17.29 1,183 $20,453.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2026 10:10am ET $16.76 1,183 $19,831.22 $19,842.91 $-621.90
(-3.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
40m held
28 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2026 10:10am ET $16.82 1,179 $19,830.78 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2026 12:05pm ET $16.84 1,179 $19,860.25 $19,872.38 +$29.47
(+0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.9h held
29 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2026 9:30am ET $17.85 1,112 $19,854.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 9:55am ET $17.11 1,112 $19,031.88 $19,049.50 $-822.88
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
25m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $19,049.50
Net Profit/Loss: +$9,049.50
Total Return: +90.50%
Back to Grace Crossover