Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-09-24 19:30:14

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
4.96%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.26%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
50.5 neutral
20d Trend
+69.9%
5d Trend
-8.4%
EMA20 Dist
+0.9%
ATR%
11.0%
Range Pos
31%
Bounce Ratio
1.9×
Green/Red 10d
5/5

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

4
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.9/10
Raw Quality 3.9/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 3.9

30-Day Momentum

9
-11.7%
30d Return
44%
Win Rate
9
Trades
0.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.2 Conf: 0.84×
Steady (+5 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
5,070
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
65 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$9,116.94
Current Value
$8,300.80
Period P&L
$-816.13
Max Drawdown
-51.2%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.02

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
32
Winners / Losers
11 / 21
Best Trade
+18.44%
Worst Trade
-14.81%
Avg Trade Return
-0.10%
Avg Hold Time
13.5h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$650,038.61
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-816.13
Net P&L (after fees)
$-816.13
Gross Return
-8.95%
Net Return (after fees)
-8.95%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SOXL Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 65 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 32 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $9,116.94 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 24, 2026 10:45am ET $232.14 39 $9,053.46 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 24, 2026 11:25am ET $226.62 39 $8,838.18 $8,901.65 $-215.28
(-2.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
40m held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 26, 2026 12:50pm ET $222.93 39 $8,694.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 26, 2026 1:50pm ET $220.49 39 $8,599.11 $8,806.40 $-95.25
(-1.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1h held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 30, 2026 9:30am ET $242.54 36 $8,731.26 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 30, 2026 10:30am ET $263.80 36 $9,496.80 $9,571.94 +$765.54
(+8.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
1h held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 1, 2026 3:10pm ET $225.41 42 $9,467.43 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 1, 2026 3:55pm ET $218.65 42 $9,183.30 $9,287.81 $-284.13
(-3.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
45m held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 6, 2026 3:20pm ET $200.33 46 $9,215.18 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 6, 2026 3:50pm ET $197.76 46 $9,097.19 $9,169.82 $-117.99
(-1.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
30m held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 8, 2026 12:15pm ET $167.24 54 $9,030.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 9, 2026 9:30am ET $198.08 54 $10,696.32 $10,835.18 +$1,665.36
(+18.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
21.3h held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 10, 2026 11:30am ET $190.20 56 $10,651.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 10, 2026 2:40pm ET $191.65 56 $10,732.12 $10,916.10 +$80.92
(+0.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.2h held
8 🟢 BUY Jul 15, 2026 1:20pm ET $160.81 67 $10,774.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 15, 2026 3:25pm ET $160.43 67 $10,748.48 $10,890.08 $-26.02
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.1h held
9 🟢 BUY Jul 17, 2026 11:45am ET $133.65 81 $10,825.69 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 17, 2026 2:05pm ET $138.40 81 $11,210.40 $11,274.79 +$384.71
(+3.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.3h held
10 🟢 BUY Jul 21, 2026 9:30am ET $152.71 73 $11,148.19 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 22, 2026 1:10pm ET $164.93 73 $12,040.07 $12,166.67 +$891.88
(+8.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.2d held
11 🟢 BUY Jul 23, 2026 1:20pm ET $157.23 77 $12,106.71 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 24, 2026 9:30am ET $149.19 77 $11,487.63 $11,547.59 $-619.08
(-5.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
20.2h held
12 🟢 BUY Jul 27, 2026 2:00pm ET $122.02 94 $11,469.89 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 28, 2026 9:30am ET $113.81 94 $10,698.13 $10,775.83 $-771.76
(-6.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
19.5h held
13 🟢 BUY Jul 30, 2026 9:35am ET $106.63 101 $10,769.13 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 30, 2026 10:30am ET $116.73 101 $11,789.73 $11,796.44 +$1,020.61
(+9.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
55m held
14 🟢 BUY Jul 31, 2026 12:30pm ET $119.33 98 $11,694.34 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 31, 2026 12:45pm ET $117.55 98 $11,519.90 $11,622.00 $-174.44
(-1.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
15m held
15 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2026 9:50am ET $143.17 81 $11,596.77 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 5, 2026 10:20am ET $136.41 81 $11,049.21 $11,074.44 $-547.56
(-4.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
30m held
16 🟢 BUY Aug 6, 2026 1:00pm ET $136.92 80 $10,953.79 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 7, 2026 10:10am ET $134.13 80 $10,730.20 $10,850.85 $-223.59
(-2.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
21.2h held
17 🟢 BUY Aug 10, 2026 10:10am ET $140.19 77 $10,794.63 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 10, 2026 10:55am ET $134.20 77 $10,333.40 $10,389.62 $-461.23
(-4.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
45m held
18 🟢 BUY Aug 11, 2026 3:25pm ET $131.40 79 $10,380.21 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 12, 2026 9:30am ET $147.01 79 $11,614.08 $11,623.50 +$1,233.88
(+11.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
18.1h held
19 🟢 BUY Aug 13, 2026 9:45am ET $146.26 79 $11,554.54 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 14, 2026 11:25am ET $139.66 79 $11,033.14 $11,102.10 $-521.40
(-4.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
20 🟢 BUY Aug 18, 2026 2:40pm ET $126.28 87 $10,986.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 19, 2026 9:55am ET $120.61 87 $10,493.07 $10,608.81 $-493.29
(-4.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
19.3h held
21 🟢 BUY Aug 20, 2026 10:25am ET $121.97 86 $10,489.03 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 20, 2026 11:35am ET $120.58 86 $10,370.31 $10,490.09 $-118.72
(-1.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.2h held
22 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 11:45am ET $120.15 87 $10,453.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 24, 2026 9:30am ET $113.06 87 $9,835.79 $9,872.83 $-617.26
(-5.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.9d held
23 🟢 BUY Aug 25, 2026 9:30am ET $116.58 84 $9,792.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 25, 2026 3:20pm ET $114.81 84 $9,644.04 $9,723.91 $-148.92
(-1.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
5.8h held
24 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 3:35pm ET $120.86 80 $9,668.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2026 9:35am ET $118.34 80 $9,467.20 $9,522.31 $-201.60
(-2.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
18h held
25 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 12:45pm ET $111.90 85 $9,511.51 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 31, 2026 1:30pm ET $111.39 85 $9,468.32 $9,479.12 $-43.19
(-0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
45m held
26 🟢 BUY Sep 1, 2026 3:15pm ET $105.58 89 $9,396.62 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2026 12:50pm ET $106.06 89 $9,438.90 $9,521.39 +$42.27
(+0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
21.6h held
27 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2026 3:50pm ET $106.61 89 $9,488.29 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 4, 2026 9:50am ET $115.92 89 $10,316.88 $10,349.98 +$828.59
(+8.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
18h held
28 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2026 9:50am ET $124.61 83 $10,342.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 2:20pm ET $125.57 83 $10,422.19 $10,429.57 +$79.59
(+0.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
4.5h held
29 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2026 9:30am ET $119.08 87 $10,359.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET $101.44 87 $8,825.60 $8,895.21 $-1,534.36
(-14.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
30 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 9:50am ET $104.57 85 $8,888.14 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 2:40pm ET $101.55 85 $8,631.74 $8,638.81 $-256.40
(-2.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
4.8h held
31 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2026 9:30am ET $113.71 75 $8,528.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2026 3:50pm ET $114.76 75 $8,607.01 $8,717.57 +$78.76
(+0.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
6.3h held
32 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2026 11:25am ET $145.93 59 $8,609.58 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2026 9:30am ET $138.86 59 $8,192.80 $8,300.80 $-416.77
(-4.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
22.1h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $8,300.80
Net Profit/Loss: $-1,699.20
Total Return: -16.99%
Back to Grace Crossover