Compendium › Grace Crossover › SPXU
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
SPXU
Alpaca Tradeable

Grace Crossover's Analysis

Last 3 Months: 2026-06-25 to present • 27 trades in period

-1.51%
Last 3 Months Return
$7,356.84
Current Value
37%
Win Rate
$7,469.81
Period Start
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PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 02:26:12

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
42.6 neutral
20d Trend
-5.1%
5d Trend
-1.5%
EMA20 Dist
-1.8%
ATR%
3.2%
Range Pos
9%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
6/4

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

3
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
2.7/10
Raw Quality 2.7/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 2.7

30-Day Momentum

37
+3.3%
30d Return
44%
Win Rate
9
Trades
3.3×
Profit Factor
Quality: 43.4 Conf: 0.84×
Accelerating (+34 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,992
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$7,469.81
Current Value
$7,356.84
Period P&L
$-113.00
Max Drawdown
-29.7%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.06

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
27
Winners / Losers
10 / 17
Best Trade
+2.24%
Worst Trade
-4.12%
Avg Trade Return
-0.07%
Avg Hold Time
23.9h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$382,244.80
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-113.00
Net P&L (after fees)
$-113.00
Gross Return
-1.51%
Net Return (after fees)
-1.51%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SPXU Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 27 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $7,469.81 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 24, 2026 12:40pm ET $38.62 194 $7,492.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 25, 2026 9:30am ET $38.18 194 $7,406.92 $7,415.52 $-85.36
(-1.1%) 		DEATH_CROSS
20.8h held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 26, 2026 1:50pm ET $39.05 189 $7,380.45 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 30, 2026 10:05am ET $37.44 189 $7,076.14 $7,111.21 $-304.31
(-4.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3.8d held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 1, 2026 1:00pm ET $36.92 192 $7,087.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 6, 2026 2:10pm ET $36.51 192 $7,009.92 $7,033.45 $-77.76
(-1.1%) 		DEATH_CROSS
5d held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2026 2:50pm ET $36.93 190 $7,016.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 9, 2026 3:40pm ET $36.48 190 $6,931.20 $6,947.95 $-85.50
(-1.2%) 		DEATH_CROSS
2d held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 13, 2026 9:30am ET $36.34 191 $6,940.94 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 14, 2026 12:45pm ET $36.49 191 $6,969.59 $6,976.60 +$28.65
(+0.4%) 		DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 15, 2026 3:20pm ET $36.26 192 $6,961.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 15, 2026 3:30pm ET $36.20 192 $6,950.40 $6,965.08 $-11.52
(-0.2%) 		DEATH_CROSS
10m held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 17, 2026 12:25pm ET $37.49 185 $6,935.67 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 20, 2026 9:30am ET $37.17 185 $6,876.45 $6,905.86 $-59.22
(-0.9%) 		DEATH_CROSS
2.9d held
8 🟢 BUY Jul 21, 2026 2:25pm ET $37.05 186 $6,891.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 21, 2026 2:45pm ET $36.99 186 $6,879.21 $6,893.77 $-12.09
(-0.2%) 		DEATH_CROSS
20m held
9 🟢 BUY Jul 23, 2026 1:35pm ET $38.60 178 $6,870.78 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 24, 2026 9:30am ET $38.53 178 $6,858.34 $6,881.33 $-12.44
(-0.2%) 		DEATH_CROSS
19.9h held
10 🟢 BUY Jul 27, 2026 2:35pm ET $38.83 177 $6,872.91 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 27, 2026 2:50pm ET $38.74 177 $6,856.98 $6,865.40 $-15.93
(-0.2%) 		DEATH_CROSS
15m held
11 🟢 BUY Jul 28, 2026 3:50pm ET $38.20 179 $6,837.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 29, 2026 1:05pm ET $39.06 179 $6,990.85 $7,018.44 +$153.04
(+2.2%) 		DEATH_CROSS
21.3h held
12 🟢 BUY Jul 31, 2026 10:05am ET $38.29 183 $7,007.98 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 31, 2026 10:50am ET $37.94 183 $6,943.02 $6,953.48 $-64.96
(-0.9%) 		DEATH_CROSS
45m held
13 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2026 3:35pm ET $33.75 206 $6,952.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 6, 2026 2:10pm ET $34.12 206 $7,027.69 $7,028.67 +$75.19
(+1.1%) 		DEATH_CROSS
22.6h held
14 🟢 BUY Aug 11, 2026 9:50am ET $33.63 208 $6,995.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 11, 2026 3:40pm ET $33.92 208 $7,056.40 $7,090.03 +$61.36
(+0.9%) 		DEATH_CROSS
5.8h held
15 🟢 BUY Aug 13, 2026 11:30am ET $33.23 213 $7,077.97 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 14, 2026 2:20pm ET $33.27 213 $7,086.51 $7,098.57 +$8.54
(+0.1%) 		DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held
16 🟢 BUY Aug 18, 2026 1:25pm ET $34.33 206 $7,071.79 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 18, 2026 2:40pm ET $34.32 206 $7,069.84 $7,096.61 $-1.96
(-0.0%) 		DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held
17 🟢 BUY Aug 24, 2026 9:30am ET $34.92 203 $7,089.77 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 24, 2026 2:20pm ET $34.91 203 $7,086.73 $7,093.57 $-3.04
(-0.0%) 		DEATH_CROSS
4.8h held
18 🟢 BUY Aug 25, 2026 3:25pm ET $34.81 203 $7,067.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 11:45am ET $34.69 203 $7,042.07 $7,068.52 $-25.05
(-0.4%) 		DEATH_CROSS
20.3h held
19 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 2:05pm ET $34.10 207 $7,057.67 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2026 3:45pm ET $34.09 207 $7,056.63 $7,067.48 $-1.04
(-0.0%) 		DEATH_CROSS
1.7h held
20 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 9:30am ET $34.58 204 $7,054.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 11:45am ET $34.97 204 $7,132.86 $7,146.02 +$78.54
(+1.1%) 		DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held
21 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2026 12:40pm ET $34.94 204 $7,126.74 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2026 1:00pm ET $34.84 204 $7,108.18 $7,127.46 $-18.56
(-0.3%) 		DEATH_CROSS
20m held
22 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 1:15pm ET $34.22 208 $7,118.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 4, 2026 2:45pm ET $34.26 208 $7,126.08 $7,134.74 +$7.28
(+0.1%) 		DEATH_CROSS
1.5h held
23 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2026 3:50pm ET $35.32 202 $7,134.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 10, 2026 1:00pm ET $35.78 202 $7,228.17 $7,228.27 +$93.53
(+1.3%) 		DEATH_CROSS
21.2h held
24 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2026 2:20pm ET $34.95 206 $7,199.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 11:40am ET $35.53 206 $7,318.15 $7,346.72 +$118.45
(+1.6%) 		DEATH_CROSS
2.9d held
25 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 2:45pm ET $36.13 203 $7,333.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 3:00pm ET $36.08 203 $7,324.24 $7,337.59 $-9.13
(-0.1%) 		DEATH_CROSS
15m held
26 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2026 1:20pm ET $33.69 217 $7,309.65 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 1:25pm ET $33.63 217 $7,298.79 $7,326.74 $-10.85
(-0.1%) 		DEATH_CROSS
5m held
27 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2026 2:40pm ET $33.99 215 $7,308.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2026 12:20pm ET $34.13 215 $7,339.02 $7,356.84 +$30.10
(+0.4%) 		DEATH_CROSS
21.7h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $7,356.84
Net Profit/Loss: $-2,643.16
Total Return: -26.43%
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