Compendium › Grace Crossover › SPY
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
SPY
Alpaca Tradeable

Grace Crossover's Analysis

Last 3 Months: 2026-06-25 to present • 28 trades in period

-0.58%
Last 3 Months Return
$10,773.81
Current Value
43%
Win Rate
$10,837.03
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:36:04

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
37.4 neutral
20d Trend
-2.6%
5d Trend
-2.0%
EMA20 Dist
-1.7%
ATR%
1.1%
Range Pos
54%
Bounce Ratio
0.7×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

19
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
4.2/35
Total Return
7.8/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
1.4/15
Consistency
5.5/10
Raw Quality 18.9/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 18.8

30-Day Momentum

11
+0.1%
30d Return
36%
Win Rate
11
Trades
1.1×
Profit Factor
Quality: 12.0 Conf: 0.90×
Cooling (-8 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,992
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$10,837.03
Current Value
$10,773.81
Period P&L
$-63.20
Max Drawdown
-6.4%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.05

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
28
Winners / Losers
12 / 16
Best Trade
+1.11%
Worst Trade
-1.10%
Avg Trade Return
-0.02%
Avg Hold Time
18.7h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$591,228.36
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-63.20
Net P&L (after fees)
$-63.20
Gross Return
-0.58%
Net Return (after fees)
-0.58%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SPY Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 28 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $10,837.03 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2026 11:45am ET $735.16 14 $10,292.17 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 25, 2026 12:30pm ET $733.65 14 $10,271.10 $10,815.94 $-21.07
(-0.2%) 		DEATH_CROSS
45m held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 29, 2026 9:30am ET $736.56 14 $10,311.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 1, 2026 9:30am ET $744.11 14 $10,417.54 $10,921.64 +$105.70
(+1.0%) 		DEATH_CROSS
2d held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 2, 2026 9:35am ET $748.51 14 $10,479.14 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 6, 2026 1:40pm ET $750.22 14 $10,503.08 $10,945.58 +$23.94
(+0.2%) 		DEATH_CROSS
4.2d held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 8, 2026 12:25pm ET $742.70 14 $10,397.81 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 9, 2026 3:00pm ET $750.91 14 $10,512.74 $11,060.51 +$114.93
(+1.1%) 		DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 14, 2026 12:45pm ET $751.70 14 $10,523.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 14, 2026 3:05pm ET $751.92 14 $10,526.88 $11,063.59 +$3.08
(+0.0%) 		DEATH_CROSS
2.3h held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 16, 2026 10:20am ET $753.60 14 $10,550.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 17, 2026 12:25pm ET $745.28 14 $10,433.92 $10,947.11 $-116.48
(-1.1%) 		DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 21, 2026 9:30am ET $746.56 14 $10,451.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 21, 2026 2:20pm ET $748.13 14 $10,473.82 $10,969.09 +$21.98
(+0.2%) 		DEATH_CROSS
4.8h held
8 🟢 BUY Jul 23, 2026 12:35pm ET $739.08 14 $10,347.05 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 23, 2026 1:35pm ET $738.03 14 $10,332.42 $10,954.46 $-14.63
(-0.1%) 		DEATH_CROSS
1h held
9 🟢 BUY Jul 24, 2026 1:35pm ET $742.07 14 $10,388.98 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 27, 2026 10:30am ET $738.06 14 $10,332.84 $10,898.32 $-56.14
(-0.5%) 		DEATH_CROSS
2.9d held
10 🟢 BUY Jul 28, 2026 3:00pm ET $741.62 14 $10,382.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 28, 2026 3:50pm ET $741.03 14 $10,374.35 $10,889.99 $-8.33
(-0.1%) 		DEATH_CROSS
50m held
11 🟢 BUY Jul 30, 2026 9:55am ET $737.71 14 $10,327.94 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 30, 2026 11:00am ET $735.41 14 $10,295.74 $10,857.79 $-32.20
(-0.3%) 		DEATH_CROSS
1.1h held
12 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2026 2:05pm ET $772.06 14 $10,808.78 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 5, 2026 3:35pm ET $771.36 14 $10,799.11 $10,848.12 $-9.67
(-0.1%) 		DEATH_CROSS
1.5h held
13 🟢 BUY Aug 7, 2026 9:30am ET $770.80 14 $10,791.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 7, 2026 12:30pm ET $771.23 14 $10,797.22 $10,854.14 +$6.02
(+0.1%) 		DEATH_CROSS
3h held
14 🟢 BUY Aug 11, 2026 9:30am ET $774.02 14 $10,836.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 11, 2026 11:10am ET $772.84 14 $10,819.76 $10,837.62 $-16.52
(-0.2%) 		DEATH_CROSS
1.7h held
15 🟢 BUY Aug 12, 2026 12:00pm ET $772.10 14 $10,809.47 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 12, 2026 3:35pm ET $772.91 14 $10,820.81 $10,848.96 +$11.34
(+0.1%) 		DEATH_CROSS
3.6h held
16 🟢 BUY Aug 14, 2026 2:25pm ET $776.21 13 $10,090.73 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 18, 2026 1:25pm ET $768.19 13 $9,986.47 $10,744.70 $-104.26
(-1.0%) 		DEATH_CROSS
4d held
17 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 9:35am ET $764.74 14 $10,706.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 21, 2026 1:25pm ET $765.80 14 $10,721.20 $10,759.54 +$14.84
(+0.1%) 		DEATH_CROSS
3.8h held
18 🟢 BUY Aug 24, 2026 2:20pm ET $764.38 14 $10,701.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 25, 2026 10:45am ET $764.29 14 $10,700.11 $10,758.33 $-1.21
(-0.0%) 		DEATH_CROSS
20.4h held
19 🟢 BUY Aug 26, 2026 11:45am ET $766.10 14 $10,725.45 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2026 11:55am ET $771.86 14 $10,806.04 $10,838.92 +$80.59
(+0.8%) 		DEATH_CROSS
2d held
20 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 1:40pm ET $765.90 14 $10,722.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 31, 2026 2:40pm ET $765.42 14 $10,715.88 $10,832.20 $-6.72
(-0.1%) 		DEATH_CROSS
1h held
21 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2026 9:30am ET $762.13 14 $10,669.82 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2026 2:40pm ET $764.83 14 $10,707.62 $10,870.00 +$37.80
(+0.4%) 		DEATH_CROSS
5.2h held
22 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 12:20pm ET $770.91 14 $10,792.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 4, 2026 1:15pm ET $770.33 14 $10,784.62 $10,861.92 $-8.08
(-0.1%) 		DEATH_CROSS
55m held
23 🟢 BUY Sep 8, 2026 1:15pm ET $767.67 14 $10,747.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 3:50pm ET $762.50 14 $10,675.00 $10,789.54 $-72.38
(-0.7%) 		DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held
24 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2026 9:30am ET $764.53 14 $10,703.42 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2026 2:20pm ET $765.44 14 $10,716.16 $10,802.28 +$12.74
(+0.1%) 		DEATH_CROSS
4.8h held
25 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 12:55pm ET $758.03 14 $10,612.42 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 2:45pm ET $757.07 14 $10,598.98 $10,788.84 $-13.44
(-0.1%) 		DEATH_CROSS
1.8h held
26 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2026 9:35am ET $761.33 14 $10,658.55 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2026 9:30am ET $761.34 14 $10,658.76 $10,789.05 +$0.21
(+0.0%) 		DEATH_CROSS
23.9h held
27 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2026 12:55pm ET $773.61 13 $10,056.93 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 1:20pm ET $773.17 13 $10,051.21 $10,783.33 $-5.72
(-0.1%) 		DEATH_CROSS
25m held
28 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2026 1:55pm ET $768.48 14 $10,758.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 2:40pm ET $767.80 14 $10,749.20 $10,773.81 $-9.52
(-0.1%) 		DEATH_CROSS
45m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,773.81
Net Profit/Loss: +$773.81
Total Return: +7.74%
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