Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-09-24 22:43:36

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
67.3 neutral
20d Trend
+15.2%
5d Trend
+22.2%
EMA20 Dist
+12.2%
ATR%
4.2%
Range Pos
70%
Bounce Ratio
3.0×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

17
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
1.9/35
Total Return
9.9/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.6/15
Consistency
4.6/10
Raw Quality 16.9/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 16.6

30-Day Momentum

7
-2.8%
30d Return
22%
Win Rate
9
Trades
0.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 8.6 Conf: 0.84×
Cooling (-9 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
5,070
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
65 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$11,840.57
Current Value
$11,457.08
Period P&L
$-383.49
Max Drawdown
-27.4%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.04

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
28
Winners / Losers
8 / 20
Best Trade
+9.09%
Worst Trade
-4.53%
Avg Trade Return
-0.09%
Avg Hold Time
16.9h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$646,908.43
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-383.49
Net P&L (after fees)
$-383.49
Gross Return
-3.24%
Net Return (after fees)
-3.24%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SQQQ Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 65 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 28 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $11,840.57 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 24, 2026 12:35pm ET $39.61 298 $11,803.78 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 25, 2026 9:30am ET $37.81 298 $11,268.87 $11,305.66 $-534.91
(-4.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20.9h held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 26, 2026 12:20pm ET $40.33 280 $11,292.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 26, 2026 12:30pm ET $40.23 280 $11,264.40 $11,277.66 $-28.00
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
10m held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 1, 2026 9:30am ET $37.39 301 $11,254.39 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 2, 2026 9:55am ET $37.32 301 $11,233.32 $11,256.59 $-21.07
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
1d held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 6, 2026 1:05pm ET $38.07 295 $11,230.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 6, 2026 2:50pm ET $38.15 295 $11,254.19 $11,280.10 +$23.51
(+0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.8h held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 9, 2026 3:00pm ET $38.19 295 $11,265.61 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 10, 2026 10:10am ET $38.11 295 $11,242.45 $11,256.94 $-23.16
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
19.2h held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 14, 2026 2:50pm ET $38.51 292 $11,244.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 15, 2026 9:30am ET $37.94 292 $11,077.02 $11,089.04 $-167.90
(-1.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
18.7h held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 16, 2026 9:30am ET $39.71 279 $11,079.09 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 17, 2026 9:30am ET $43.32 279 $12,086.28 $12,096.23 +$1,007.19
(+9.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
8 🟢 BUY Jul 20, 2026 10:55am ET $42.10 287 $12,082.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 20, 2026 11:10am ET $41.87 287 $12,016.69 $12,030.22 $-66.01
(-0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
15m held
9 🟢 BUY Jul 22, 2026 9:30am ET $41.11 292 $12,004.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 22, 2026 11:10am ET $40.36 292 $11,786.02 $11,812.12 $-218.10
(-1.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.7h held
10 🟢 BUY Jul 23, 2026 1:00pm ET $43.22 273 $11,797.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 23, 2026 1:15pm ET $43.10 273 $11,767.66 $11,782.09 $-30.03
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
15m held
11 🟢 BUY Jul 24, 2026 1:40pm ET $43.91 268 $11,767.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 27, 2026 9:30am ET $43.34 268 $11,615.12 $11,629.36 $-152.73
(-1.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.8d held
12 🟢 BUY Jul 28, 2026 9:30am ET $46.29 251 $11,618.79 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 28, 2026 11:20am ET $46.42 251 $11,651.42 $11,661.99 +$32.63
(+0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.8h held
13 🟢 BUY Jul 31, 2026 10:10am ET $45.12 258 $11,640.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 31, 2026 10:50am ET $44.06 258 $11,368.77 $11,389.80 $-272.19
(-2.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
40m held
14 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2026 10:35am ET $37.24 305 $11,358.05 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 5, 2026 3:20pm ET $37.65 305 $11,484.77 $11,516.53 +$126.73
(+1.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
4.8h held
15 🟢 BUY Aug 7, 2026 12:30pm ET $38.01 303 $11,515.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 7, 2026 3:10pm ET $37.54 303 $11,374.59 $11,375.60 $-140.93
(-1.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.7h held
16 🟢 BUY Aug 11, 2026 10:45am ET $37.73 301 $11,356.58 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 13, 2026 9:35am ET $36.94 301 $11,118.25 $11,137.27 $-238.33
(-2.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
2d held
17 🟢 BUY Aug 14, 2026 2:30pm ET $36.51 305 $11,137.07 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 18, 2026 12:50pm ET $37.99 305 $11,586.95 $11,587.15 +$449.88
(+4.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.9d held
18 🟢 BUY Aug 19, 2026 12:55pm ET $38.35 302 $11,581.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 20, 2026 12:45pm ET $39.12 302 $11,814.24 $11,819.69 +$232.54
(+2.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
23.8h held
19 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 2:00pm ET $39.07 302 $11,799.11 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 21, 2026 3:00pm ET $38.98 302 $11,770.66 $11,791.24 $-28.45
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
1h held
20 🟢 BUY Aug 25, 2026 1:05pm ET $39.60 297 $11,759.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 11:05am ET $39.49 297 $11,730.01 $11,761.54 $-29.70
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
22h held
21 🟢 BUY Aug 28, 2026 10:10am ET $38.17 308 $11,757.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2026 10:25am ET $37.96 308 $11,691.68 $11,695.32 $-66.22
(-0.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
15m held
22 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 1:30pm ET $38.92 300 $11,677.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 31, 2026 1:40pm ET $38.83 300 $11,647.50 $11,665.32 $-30.00
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
10m held
23 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2026 9:30am ET $40.13 290 $11,637.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2026 3:10pm ET $39.83 290 $11,550.67 $11,578.29 $-87.03
(-0.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
5.7h held
24 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2026 3:25pm ET $38.34 301 $11,540.34 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 4, 2026 2:45pm ET $38.37 301 $11,547.87 $11,585.82 +$7.53
(+0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
23.3h held
25 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2026 2:15pm ET $38.67 299 $11,563.82 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 2:25pm ET $38.62 299 $11,548.34 $11,570.33 $-15.49
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
10m held
26 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 3:10pm ET $39.49 292 $11,531.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 2:15pm ET $40.50 292 $11,826.00 $11,865.25 +$294.92
(+2.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
23.1h held
27 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 2:25pm ET $39.76 298 $11,846.99 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2026 9:30am ET $38.64 298 $11,514.72 $11,532.98 $-332.27
(-2.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
19.1h held
28 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2026 11:55am ET $34.23 336 $11,499.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 11:25am ET $34.00 336 $11,424.00 $11,457.08 $-75.90
(-0.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
23.5h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,457.08
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,457.08
Total Return: +14.57%
Back to Grace Crossover