Compendium › Grace Crossover › SQQQ
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
SQQQ
Alpaca Tradeable

Grace Crossover's Analysis

Last 3 Months: 2026-03-26 to present • 29 trades in period

+4.46%
Last 3 Months Return
$11,305.66
Current Value
38%
Win Rate
$10,822.88
Period Start
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PHASE 4: RECOVERY
Signals generated 2026-06-26 08:49:27

Bounce in progress. Hold existing positions, let trailing stops manage exits.

Fear & Greed
13
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.6
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.50%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.76
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
⛈️ 3.6
Severe
⛈️ 1 storm day in 7d
RSI(14)
67.3 neutral
20d Trend
+15.2%
5d Trend
+22.2%
EMA20 Dist
+12.2%
ATR%
4.2%
Range Pos
70%
Bounce Ratio
3.0×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 26, 2026

16
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
1.7/35
Total Return
9.5/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.6/15
Consistency
4.3/10
Raw Quality 16.1/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 16.0

30-Day Momentum

26
+3.5%
30d Return
36%
Win Rate
11
Trades
1.3×
Profit Factor
Quality: 28.9 Conf: 0.90×
Accelerating (+10 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,914
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-26 → 2026-06-25
Trading Days
63 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)

Market Closed (3 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$10,822.88
Current Value
$11,305.66
Period P&L
$482.78
Max Drawdown
-27.4%
Sharpe Ratio
0.11

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
29
Winners / Losers
11 / 18
Best Trade
+9.83%
Worst Trade
-4.53%
Avg Trade Return
+0.31%
Avg Hold Time
14.9h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$650,879.54
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$482.78
Net P&L (after fees)
$482.78
Gross Return
+4.46%
Net Return (after fees)
+4.46%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SQQQ Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 63 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 29 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $10,822.88 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 2:35pm ET $76.58 136 $10,414.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 9:30am ET $84.11 136 $11,438.96 $11,472.96 +$1,024.08
(+9.8%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1.8d held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 9:55am ET $87.22 131 $11,425.82 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 11:00am ET $86.67 131 $11,353.53 $11,400.67 $-72.29
(-0.6%) 		DEATH_CROSS
1.1h held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 1:50pm ET $78.63 144 $11,322.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 2:50pm ET $78.10 144 $11,246.40 $11,324.35 $-76.32
(-0.7%) 		DEATH_CROSS
1h held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 1:40pm ET $69.25 163 $11,287.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 9:30am ET $69.20 163 $11,279.60 $11,316.75 $-7.60
(-0.1%) 		DEATH_CROSS
19.8h held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 11:50am ET $67.48 167 $11,269.18 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 3:05pm ET $67.69 167 $11,305.06 $11,352.64 +$35.89
(+0.3%) 		DEATH_CROSS
3.3h held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 2:25pm ET $62.91 180 $11,323.55 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 3:05pm ET $62.50 180 $11,250.36 $11,279.45 $-73.19
(-0.6%) 		DEATH_CROSS
40m held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 1:10pm ET $58.72 192 $11,275.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 3:35pm ET $58.76 192 $11,282.88 $11,287.13 +$7.68
(+0.1%) 		DEATH_CROSS
2.4h held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 11:00am ET $57.07 197 $11,242.77 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 2:05pm ET $57.10 197 $11,247.72 $11,292.07 +$4.94
(+0.0%) 		DEATH_CROSS
3.1h held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 10:05am ET $55.14 204 $11,248.54 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 10:50am ET $54.99 204 $11,217.96 $11,261.49 $-30.58
(-0.3%) 		DEATH_CROSS
45m held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 9:35am ET $52.87 213 $11,260.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 12:15pm ET $52.87 213 $11,261.31 $11,262.55 +$1.06
(+0.0%) 		DEATH_CROSS
2.7h held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 9:35am ET $54.22 207 $11,223.54 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 1:50pm ET $53.65 207 $11,106.58 $11,145.59 $-116.96
(-1.0%) 		DEATH_CROSS
4.3h held
12 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 2:35pm ET $50.22 221 $11,098.60 — — —
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 3:20pm ET $50.04 221 $11,059.94 $11,106.94 $-38.65
(-0.3%) 		DEATH_CROSS
45m held
13 🟢 BUY May 7, 2026 12:00pm ET $45.37 244 $11,069.65 — — —
🔴 SELL May 7, 2026 3:45pm ET $45.75 244 $11,162.98 $11,200.27 +$93.33
(+0.8%) 		DEATH_CROSS
3.8h held
14 🟢 BUY May 11, 2026 1:00pm ET $42.25 265 $11,196.22 — — —
🔴 SELL May 11, 2026 1:30pm ET $42.14 265 $11,168.35 $11,172.39 $-27.88
(-0.2%) 		DEATH_CROSS
30m held
15 🟢 BUY May 13, 2026 3:55pm ET $42.03 265 $11,137.92 — — —
🔴 SELL May 14, 2026 1:55pm ET $40.85 265 $10,825.25 $10,859.72 $-312.67
(-2.8%) 		DEATH_CROSS
22h held
16 🟢 BUY May 15, 2026 2:45pm ET $42.41 256 $10,856.96 — — —
🔴 SELL May 18, 2026 2:00pm ET $43.96 256 $11,253.38 $11,256.14 +$396.42
(+3.7%) 		DEATH_CROSS
3d held
17 🟢 BUY May 20, 2026 1:10pm ET $42.90 262 $11,239.80 — — —
🔴 SELL May 21, 2026 11:45am ET $42.73 262 $11,195.26 $11,211.60 $-44.54
(-0.4%) 		DEATH_CROSS
22.6h held
18 🟢 BUY May 22, 2026 2:15pm ET $41.05 273 $11,206.65 — — —
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 9:30am ET $40.01 273 $10,922.89 $10,927.84 $-283.76
(-2.5%) 		DEATH_CROSS
3.8d held
19 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 9:50am ET $39.65 275 $10,903.69 — — —
🔴 SELL May 27, 2026 12:20pm ET $39.64 275 $10,900.72 $10,924.87 $-2.97
(-0.0%) 		DEATH_CROSS
2.5h held
20 🟢 BUY May 28, 2026 3:55pm ET $38.52 283 $10,901.13 — — —
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 2:35pm ET $38.09 283 $10,779.50 $10,803.24 $-121.63
(-1.1%) 		DEATH_CROSS
22.7h held
21 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 3:35pm ET $37.31 289 $10,782.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 10:10am ET $37.25 289 $10,765.45 $10,786.02 $-17.22
(-0.2%) 		DEATH_CROSS
18.6h held
22 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 11:25am ET $37.23 289 $10,759.53 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 1:45pm ET $37.22 289 $10,756.58 $10,783.07 $-2.95
(-0.0%) 		DEATH_CROSS
2.3h held
23 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 3:50pm ET $37.60 286 $10,753.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 11:25am ET $40.65 286 $11,625.90 $11,655.37 +$872.30
(+8.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
19.6h held
24 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 1:00pm ET $40.74 286 $11,650.21 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 8, 2026 2:10pm ET $40.60 286 $11,613.03 $11,618.19 $-37.18
(-0.3%) 		DEATH_CROSS
1.2h held
25 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 11:00am ET $43.85 264 $11,575.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 2:05pm ET $44.01 264 $11,618.67 $11,661.78 +$43.59
(+0.4%) 		DEATH_CROSS
3.1h held
26 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 12:00pm ET $40.85 285 $11,642.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2026 12:15pm ET $40.08 285 $11,422.80 $11,442.33 $-219.45
(-1.9%) 		DEATH_CROSS
15m held
27 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 2:05pm ET $36.47 313 $11,413.55 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 9:45am ET $37.48 313 $11,731.24 $11,760.02 +$317.69
(+2.8%) 		DEATH_CROSS
1.8d held
28 🟢 BUY Jun 22, 2026 10:35am ET $36.76 319 $11,726.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 22, 2026 1:50pm ET $37.01 319 $11,806.99 $11,840.57 +$80.55
(+0.7%) 		DEATH_CROSS
3.3h held
29 🟢 BUY Jun 24, 2026 12:35pm ET $39.61 298 $11,803.78 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 25, 2026 9:30am ET $37.81 298 $11,268.87 $11,305.66 $-534.91
(-4.5%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
20.9h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,305.66
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,305.66
Total Return: +13.06%
Back to Grace Crossover