Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-09-24 19:10:16

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
4.96%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.26%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
49.9 neutral
20d Trend
-0.2%
5d Trend
+0.1%
EMA20 Dist
+0.1%
ATR%
0.7%
Range Pos
20%
Bounce Ratio
2.0×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

4
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.6/10
Raw Quality 3.6/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 3.6

30-Day Momentum

16
+0.7%
30d Return
22%
Win Rate
9
Trades
1.5×
Profit Factor
Quality: 18.7 Conf: 0.84×
Accelerating (+12 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
5,070
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
65 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$9,041.67
Current Value
$8,926.33
Period P&L
$-115.36
Max Drawdown
-7.1%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.11

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
29
Winners / Losers
7 / 22
Best Trade
+1.54%
Worst Trade
-1.02%
Avg Trade Return
-0.04%
Avg Hold Time
22.9h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$516,075.28
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-115.36
Net P&L (after fees)
$-115.36
Gross Return
-1.28%
Net Return (after fees)
-1.28%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 TLT Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 65 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 29 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $9,041.67 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 24, 2026 9:30am ET $87.16 103 $8,977.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 25, 2026 11:10am ET $87.52 103 $9,014.56 $9,078.77 +$37.08
(+0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 26, 2026 3:50pm ET $87.32 103 $8,994.47 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 30, 2026 9:30am ET $87.15 103 $8,976.44 $9,060.74 $-18.03
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.7d held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 6, 2026 12:30pm ET $85.33 106 $9,044.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 6, 2026 12:45pm ET $85.29 106 $9,041.27 $9,057.51 $-3.23
(-0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
15m held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 9, 2026 10:35am ET $84.38 107 $9,028.13 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 13, 2026 9:30am ET $84.19 107 $9,008.33 $9,037.72 $-19.79
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
4d held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 14, 2026 9:30am ET $84.18 107 $9,007.79 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 14, 2026 11:50am ET $84.15 107 $9,004.58 $9,034.51 $-3.21
(-0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.3h held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 15, 2026 1:10pm ET $84.29 107 $9,019.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 15, 2026 1:35pm ET $84.26 107 $9,016.35 $9,031.57 $-2.94
(-0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
25m held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 17, 2026 2:25pm ET $84.60 106 $8,967.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 21, 2026 9:30am ET $83.74 106 $8,876.39 $8,940.36 $-91.21
(-1.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.8d held
8 🟢 BUY Jul 22, 2026 11:40am ET $83.62 106 $8,863.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 23, 2026 1:55pm ET $83.13 106 $8,811.25 $8,887.89 $-52.47
(-0.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held
9 🟢 BUY Jul 24, 2026 3:40pm ET $83.36 106 $8,836.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 27, 2026 1:40pm ET $83.68 106 $8,870.61 $8,922.34 +$34.45
(+0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.9d held
10 🟢 BUY Jul 28, 2026 3:50pm ET $84.23 105 $8,844.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 29, 2026 9:30am ET $84.11 105 $8,831.03 $8,909.20 $-13.14
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
17.7h held
11 🟢 BUY Jul 30, 2026 12:20pm ET $82.82 107 $8,861.21 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 31, 2026 9:30am ET $82.44 107 $8,821.61 $8,869.61 $-39.59
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
21.2h held
12 🟢 BUY Aug 3, 2026 2:10pm ET $82.25 107 $8,800.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 3, 2026 3:30pm ET $82.21 107 $8,795.94 $8,864.80 $-4.81
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held
13 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2026 1:05pm ET $82.93 106 $8,790.58 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 5, 2026 3:00pm ET $82.96 106 $8,793.23 $8,867.45 +$2.65
(+0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.9h held
14 🟢 BUY Aug 6, 2026 3:15pm ET $82.50 107 $8,828.03 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 7, 2026 11:00am ET $82.58 107 $8,836.59 $8,876.01 +$8.56
(+0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
19.8h held
15 🟢 BUY Aug 11, 2026 9:35am ET $82.27 107 $8,802.89 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 11, 2026 11:35am ET $82.21 107 $8,795.94 $8,869.06 $-6.95
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
2h held
16 🟢 BUY Aug 12, 2026 1:15pm ET $82.31 107 $8,806.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 12, 2026 1:35pm ET $82.25 107 $8,800.67 $8,863.10 $-5.96
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
20m held
17 🟢 BUY Aug 13, 2026 2:15pm ET $82.63 107 $8,841.41 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 13, 2026 3:10pm ET $82.57 107 $8,834.46 $8,856.15 $-6.95
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
55m held
18 🟢 BUY Aug 18, 2026 10:05am ET $81.44 108 $8,796.06 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 18, 2026 3:45pm ET $81.68 108 $8,821.87 $8,881.96 +$25.81
(+0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
5.7h held
19 🟢 BUY Aug 20, 2026 2:00pm ET $82.36 107 $8,812.83 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 20, 2026 2:15pm ET $82.32 107 $8,808.24 $8,877.37 $-4.59
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
15m held
20 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 2:45pm ET $82.02 108 $8,858.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 25, 2026 2:20pm ET $83.29 108 $8,994.78 $9,013.99 +$136.62
(+1.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
4d held
21 🟢 BUY Aug 26, 2026 3:00pm ET $83.20 108 $8,985.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2026 10:10am ET $83.17 108 $8,982.33 $9,010.72 $-3.27
(-0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
19.2h held
22 🟢 BUY Sep 1, 2026 10:35am ET $82.35 109 $8,975.61 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2026 2:30pm ET $81.85 109 $8,921.11 $8,956.22 $-54.50
(-0.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.2d held
23 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 9:35am ET $82.38 108 $8,897.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 4, 2026 11:00am ET $82.24 108 $8,881.92 $8,941.10 $-15.12
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.4h held
24 🟢 BUY Sep 8, 2026 1:05pm ET $82.25 108 $8,883.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 1:30pm ET $82.22 108 $8,879.76 $8,937.86 $-3.24
(-0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
25m held
25 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2026 12:50pm ET $81.11 110 $8,922.09 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2026 12:00pm ET $81.10 110 $8,921.00 $8,936.77 $-1.09
(-0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
23.2h held
26 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2026 9:35am ET $81.50 109 $8,883.39 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2026 1:05pm ET $81.59 109 $8,893.31 $8,946.69 +$9.92
(+0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.5h held
27 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2026 1:35pm ET $81.24 110 $8,936.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2026 3:25pm ET $81.19 110 $8,930.90 $8,941.19 $-5.50
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.8h held
28 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2026 1:45pm ET $81.65 109 $8,899.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 2:55pm ET $81.64 109 $8,898.22 $8,939.57 $-1.62
(-0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.2h held
29 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2026 3:10pm ET $80.46 111 $8,930.51 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2026 10:20am ET $80.34 111 $8,917.26 $8,926.33 $-13.24
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
19.2h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $8,926.33
Net Profit/Loss: $-1,073.67
Total Return: -10.74%
Back to Grace Crossover