Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 20:52:50

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
29.6 oversold
20d Trend
-10.0%
5d Trend
-6.7%
EMA20 Dist
-7.6%
ATR%
3.3%
Range Pos
48%
Bounce Ratio
0.3×
Green/Red 10d
2/8

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

5
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.2/10
Raw Quality 5.2/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 5.1

30-Day Momentum

9
-2.3%
30d Return
20%
Win Rate
10
Trades
0.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0 Conf: 0.87×
Steady (+4 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
5,070
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
65 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$9,022.45
Current Value
$9,434.13
Period P&L
$411.69
Max Drawdown
-14.5%
Sharpe Ratio
0.21

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
28
Winners / Losers
10 / 18
Best Trade
+4.51%
Worst Trade
-3.06%
Avg Trade Return
+0.29%
Avg Hold Time
19.3h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$514,669.78
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$411.69
Net P&L (after fees)
$411.69
Gross Return
+4.56%
Net Return (after fees)
+4.56%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 TMO Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 65 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 28 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $9,022.45 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2026 2:35pm ET $466.11 18 $8,390.07 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 24, 2026 1:25pm ET $487.12 18 $8,768.16 $9,130.26 +$378.09
(+4.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
22.8h held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 26, 2026 1:05pm ET $504.20 18 $9,075.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 26, 2026 1:20pm ET $503.80 18 $9,068.49 $9,123.15 $-7.11
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
15m held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 29, 2026 1:35pm ET $503.98 18 $9,071.55 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 29, 2026 2:25pm ET $503.14 18 $9,056.52 $9,108.12 $-15.03
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
50m held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 1, 2026 9:40am ET $504.75 18 $9,085.47 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 2, 2026 12:55pm ET $524.32 18 $9,437.67 $9,460.32 +$352.20
(+3.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2026 2:50pm ET $515.06 18 $9,271.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 8, 2026 9:30am ET $510.08 18 $9,181.35 $9,370.59 $-89.73
(-1.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
18.7h held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 10, 2026 1:05pm ET $525.89 17 $8,940.13 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 13, 2026 1:55pm ET $531.42 17 $9,034.15 $9,464.61 +$94.02
(+1.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
3d held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 17, 2026 12:00pm ET $535.79 17 $9,108.51 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 17, 2026 3:35pm ET $533.15 17 $9,063.55 $9,419.65 $-44.96
(-0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.6h held
8 🟢 BUY Jul 21, 2026 12:25pm ET $520.42 18 $9,367.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 21, 2026 3:20pm ET $520.28 18 $9,365.13 $9,417.22 $-2.43
(-0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.9h held
9 🟢 BUY Jul 23, 2026 9:30am ET $573.00 16 $9,168.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 23, 2026 12:45pm ET $570.63 16 $9,130.08 $9,379.30 $-37.92
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.3h held
10 🟢 BUY Jul 27, 2026 1:20pm ET $563.25 16 $9,012.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 27, 2026 2:30pm ET $562.07 16 $8,993.12 $9,360.42 $-18.88
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.2h held
11 🟢 BUY Jul 28, 2026 3:40pm ET $572.30 16 $9,156.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 29, 2026 12:15pm ET $577.18 16 $9,234.88 $9,438.50 +$78.08
(+0.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
20.6h held
12 🟢 BUY Jul 31, 2026 11:45am ET $568.80 16 $9,100.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 3, 2026 3:45pm ET $575.00 16 $9,200.00 $9,537.70 +$99.20
(+1.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.2d held
13 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2026 9:40am ET $567.96 16 $9,087.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 5, 2026 2:30pm ET $575.79 16 $9,212.64 $9,662.98 +$125.28
(+1.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
4.8h held
14 🟢 BUY Aug 10, 2026 12:20pm ET $594.15 16 $9,506.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 11, 2026 11:10am ET $598.80 16 $9,580.80 $9,737.46 +$74.48
(+0.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
22.8h held
15 🟢 BUY Aug 12, 2026 11:40am ET $600.64 16 $9,610.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 13, 2026 10:50am ET $600.85 16 $9,613.60 $9,740.82 +$3.36
(+0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
23.2h held
16 🟢 BUY Aug 14, 2026 11:10am ET $594.20 16 $9,507.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 14, 2026 12:35pm ET $592.48 16 $9,479.68 $9,713.38 $-27.44
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.4h held
17 🟢 BUY Aug 18, 2026 9:45am ET $588.43 16 $9,414.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 18, 2026 11:25am ET $586.58 16 $9,385.20 $9,683.70 $-29.68
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.7h held
18 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 11:05am ET $626.39 15 $9,395.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 21, 2026 12:30pm ET $624.59 15 $9,368.85 $9,656.70 $-27.00
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.4h held
19 🟢 BUY Aug 25, 2026 12:20pm ET $627.73 15 $9,415.95 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 25, 2026 1:45pm ET $626.97 15 $9,404.55 $9,645.30 $-11.40
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.4h held
20 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 11:05am ET $633.09 15 $9,496.35 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 31, 2026 9:30am ET $613.73 15 $9,205.95 $9,354.90 $-290.40
(-3.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.9d held
21 🟢 BUY Sep 1, 2026 3:15pm ET $602.54 15 $9,038.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2026 11:35am ET $606.81 15 $9,102.15 $9,418.95 +$64.05
(+0.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
20.3h held
22 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2026 2:00pm ET $611.30 15 $9,169.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 4, 2026 9:35am ET $607.90 15 $9,118.50 $9,367.95 $-51.00
(-0.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
19.6h held
23 🟢 BUY Sep 8, 2026 12:10pm ET $605.22 15 $9,078.37 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 2:40pm ET $605.22 15 $9,078.23 $9,367.80 $-0.15
(-0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.5h held
24 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2026 12:00pm ET $603.41 15 $9,051.22 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 10, 2026 1:50pm ET $602.55 15 $9,038.25 $9,354.83 $-12.97
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.8h held
25 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2026 3:20pm ET $612.25 15 $9,183.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 9:35am ET $611.02 15 $9,165.23 $9,336.31 $-18.52
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.8d held
26 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 2:05pm ET $637.83 14 $8,929.62 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 3:10pm ET $648.10 14 $9,073.40 $9,480.09 +$143.78
(+1.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
1d held
27 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2026 2:30pm ET $652.27 14 $9,131.78 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2026 3:05pm ET $649.79 14 $9,097.02 $9,445.33 $-34.76
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
35m held
28 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2026 12:25pm ET $659.28 14 $9,229.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 2:00pm ET $658.48 14 $9,218.72 $9,434.13 $-11.20
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.6h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,434.13
Net Profit/Loss: $-565.87
Total Return: -5.66%
Back to Grace Crossover