Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-26 10:34:45

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
13
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.6
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.50%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.76
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
⛈️ 3.6
Severe
⛈️ 1 storm day in 7d
RSI(14)
31.4 neutral
20d Trend
-11.9%
5d Trend
-13.2%
EMA20 Dist
-11.3%
ATR%
5.7%
Range Pos
9%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 26, 2026

4
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.3/10
Raw Quality 4.3/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 4.3

30-Day Momentum

9
-11.8%
30d Return
10%
Win Rate
10
Trades
0.3×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0 Conf: 0.87×
Steady (+4 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,927
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-26 → 2026-06-26
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)

Market Closed (3 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$8,111.00
Current Value
$8,324.16
Period P&L
$213.17
Max Drawdown
-36.1%
Sharpe Ratio
0.05

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
27
Winners / Losers
8 / 19
Best Trade
+8.31%
Worst Trade
-5.48%
Avg Trade Return
+0.15%
Avg Hold Time
1.1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$454,068.90
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$213.17
Net P&L (after fees)
$213.17
Gross Return
+2.63%
Net Return (after fees)
+2.63%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 TQQQ Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 27 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $8,111.00 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 9:35am ET $39.49 205 $8,094.43
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 9:55am ET $38.86 205 $7,966.30 $7,982.86 $-128.13
(-1.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
20m held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 3:45pm ET $43.40 183 $7,942.20
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET $41.02 183 $7,506.66 $7,547.32 $-435.54
(-5.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.8h held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 2:20pm ET $43.92 171 $7,511.17
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 11:00am ET $42.11 171 $7,200.83 $7,236.97 $-310.35
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20.7h held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 9:30am ET $48.10 150 $7,215.00
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 10:10am ET $47.61 150 $7,141.50 $7,163.47 $-73.50
(-1.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
40m held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 3:05pm ET $49.15 145 $7,126.39
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 9:30am ET $48.85 145 $7,083.25 $7,120.33 $-43.14
(-0.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.8d held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 2:40pm ET $52.99 134 $7,101.33
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 1:10pm ET $56.33 134 $7,548.23 $7,567.23 +$446.90
(+6.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.9d held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 3:40pm ET $58.49 129 $7,544.57
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 11:00am ET $57.90 129 $7,468.46 $7,491.12 $-76.11
(-1.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.8d held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 9:30am ET $60.96 122 $7,437.11
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 2:55pm ET $62.30 122 $7,600.60 $7,654.61 +$163.49
(+2.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.2d held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 1:50pm ET $61.22 125 $7,652.50
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 2:05pm ET $60.99 125 $7,623.74 $7,625.85 $-28.76
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
15m held
10 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 1:10pm ET $65.39 116 $7,585.82
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 2:35pm ET $65.33 116 $7,578.16 $7,618.19 $-7.66
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.4h held
11 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 3:15pm ET $64.90 117 $7,593.30
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 10:45am ET $70.29 117 $8,224.51 $8,249.40 +$631.21
(+8.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.8d held
12 🟢 BUY May 7, 2026 3:45pm ET $71.35 115 $8,204.68
🔴 SELL May 11, 2026 11:50am ET $77.10 115 $8,866.50 $8,911.22 +$661.82
(+8.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.8d held
13 🟢 BUY May 12, 2026 1:35pm ET $72.92 122 $8,895.63
🔴 SELL May 13, 2026 3:55pm ET $77.18 122 $9,416.57 $9,432.16 +$520.94
(+5.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held
14 🟢 BUY May 15, 2026 12:45pm ET $76.20 123 $9,373.02
🔴 SELL May 15, 2026 2:45pm ET $76.41 123 $9,398.43 $9,457.57 +$25.41
(+0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
2h held
15 🟢 BUY May 18, 2026 3:35pm ET $73.26 129 $9,450.54
🔴 SELL May 19, 2026 10:00am ET $72.94 129 $9,409.26 $9,416.29 $-41.28
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
18.4h held
16 🟢 BUY May 21, 2026 1:00pm ET $75.68 124 $9,384.28
🔴 SELL May 21, 2026 2:55pm ET $75.89 124 $9,410.36 $9,442.37 +$26.08
(+0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.9h held
17 🟢 BUY May 26, 2026 9:30am ET $80.67 117 $9,438.39
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 11:55am ET $80.61 117 $9,431.37 $9,435.35 $-7.02
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.4h held
18 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 12:20pm ET $81.27 116 $9,427.26
🔴 SELL May 28, 2026 9:35am ET $81.18 116 $9,416.88 $9,424.97 $-10.38
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
21.3h held
19 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 12:00pm ET $84.66 111 $9,397.14
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 1:05pm ET $84.50 111 $9,379.50 $9,407.33 $-17.64
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.1h held
20 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 10:10am ET $86.46 108 $9,337.68
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 10:30am ET $86.00 108 $9,288.22 $9,357.87 $-49.46
(-0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
20m held
21 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 1:45pm ET $86.50 108 $9,341.46
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 9:30am ET $83.37 108 $9,003.96 $9,020.37 $-337.50
(-3.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
19.8h held
22 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 2:10pm ET $77.41 116 $8,979.56
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 10:20am ET $75.85 116 $8,798.60 $8,839.41 $-180.96
(-2.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
20.2h held
23 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 2:05pm ET $71.35 123 $8,776.05
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 11:00am ET $69.95 123 $8,603.85 $8,667.21 $-172.20
(-2.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
20.9h held
24 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 12:15pm ET $77.40 111 $8,591.40
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2026 2:20pm ET $77.23 111 $8,572.53 $8,648.34 $-18.87
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.1h held
25 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2026 9:45am ET $81.79 105 $8,587.43
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 9:55am ET $80.25 105 $8,426.27 $8,487.19 $-161.15
(-1.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
10m held
26 🟢 BUY Jun 18, 2026 2:50pm ET $82.95 102 $8,460.80
🔴 SELL Jun 22, 2026 10:35am ET $82.99 102 $8,464.98 $8,491.37 +$4.18
(+0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.8d held
27 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2026 1:25pm ET $76.39 111 $8,478.74
🔴 SELL Jun 24, 2026 12:30pm ET $74.88 111 $8,311.52 $8,324.16 $-167.21
(-2.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
23.1h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $8,324.16
Net Profit/Loss: $-1,675.84
Total Return: -16.76%
Back to Grace Crossover