Compendium › Grace Crossover › TSLA
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
TSLA
Alpaca Tradeable

Grace Crossover's Analysis

Last 3 Months: 2026-06-25 to present • 27 trades in period

+29.34%
Last 3 Months Return
$8,761.98
Current Value
37%
Win Rate
$6,774.58
Period Start
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PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 19:24:14

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 2.8
Storm
⛈️ 1 storm day in 7d
RSI(14)
30.3 neutral
20d Trend
-11.8%
5d Trend
-10.2%
EMA20 Dist
-9.3%
ATR%
3.6%
Range Pos
7%
Bounce Ratio
0.8×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored Sep 25, 2026

4
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.9/10
Raw Quality 3.9/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 3.9

30-Day Momentum

68
+14.5%
30d Return
40%
Win Rate
10
Trades
5.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 78.6 Conf: 0.87×
Accelerating (+65 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
5,070
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-25 → 2026-09-25
Trading Days
65 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$6,774.58
Current Value
$8,761.98
Period P&L
$1,987.34
Max Drawdown
-26.6%
Sharpe Ratio
0.34

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
27
Winners / Losers
10 / 17
Best Trade
+8.07%
Worst Trade
-2.24%
Avg Trade Return
+0.92%
Avg Hold Time
1.1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$414,637.32
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,987.34
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,987.34
Gross Return
+29.34%
Net Return (after fees)
+29.34%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 TSLA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 65 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 27 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $6,774.58 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 24, 2026 10:30am ET $382.57 18 $6,886.26 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 25, 2026 9:30am ET $375.28 18 $6,755.04 $6,810.46 $-131.22
(-1.9%) 		DEATH_CROSS
23h held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 26, 2026 10:00am ET $375.45 18 $6,758.01 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 26, 2026 2:10pm ET $383.55 18 $6,903.99 $6,956.44 +$145.98
(+2.2%) 		DEATH_CROSS
4.2h held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 6, 2026 9:30am ET $396.24 17 $6,736.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 6, 2026 1:55pm ET $414.29 17 $7,042.93 $7,263.29 +$306.85
(+4.6%) 		DEATH_CROSS
4.4h held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 8, 2026 12:50pm ET $394.36 18 $7,098.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 9, 2026 3:45pm ET $404.91 18 $7,288.38 $7,453.19 +$189.90
(+2.7%) 		DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 14, 2026 2:30pm ET $396.41 18 $7,135.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 16, 2026 12:00pm ET $392.46 18 $7,064.37 $7,382.18 $-71.01
(-1.0%) 		DEATH_CROSS
1.9d held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 17, 2026 12:10pm ET $383.94 19 $7,294.78 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 21, 2026 1:10pm ET $380.08 19 $7,221.52 $7,308.92 $-73.26
(-1.0%) 		DEATH_CROSS
4d held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 24, 2026 3:30pm ET $309.38 23 $7,115.74 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 27, 2026 10:10am ET $308.98 23 $7,106.65 $7,299.83 $-9.09
(-0.1%) 		DEATH_CROSS
2.8d held
8 🟢 BUY Jul 28, 2026 2:30pm ET $307.45 23 $7,071.31 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 29, 2026 2:35pm ET $302.13 23 $6,948.99 $7,177.51 $-122.32
(-1.7%) 		DEATH_CROSS
1d held
9 🟢 BUY Jul 31, 2026 10:50am ET $309.78 23 $7,124.94 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 31, 2026 3:25pm ET $310.18 23 $7,134.14 $7,186.71 +$9.20
(+0.1%) 		DEATH_CROSS
4.6h held
10 🟢 BUY Aug 4, 2026 9:30am ET $323.80 22 $7,123.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 5, 2026 9:30am ET $321.95 22 $7,082.90 $7,146.01 $-40.70
(-0.6%) 		DEATH_CROSS
1d held
11 🟢 BUY Aug 6, 2026 10:35am ET $321.81 22 $7,079.82 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 6, 2026 11:45am ET $320.54 22 $7,051.88 $7,118.07 $-27.94
(-0.4%) 		DEATH_CROSS
1.2h held
12 🟢 BUY Aug 10, 2026 3:05pm ET $329.63 21 $6,922.23 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 10, 2026 3:20pm ET $329.00 21 $6,909.00 $7,104.84 $-13.23
(-0.2%) 		DEATH_CROSS
15m held
13 🟢 BUY Aug 12, 2026 12:20pm ET $326.65 21 $6,859.69 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 14, 2026 10:55am ET $341.47 21 $7,170.87 $7,416.02 +$311.18
(+4.5%) 		DEATH_CROSS
1.9d held
14 🟢 BUY Aug 17, 2026 10:55am ET $341.26 21 $7,166.46 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 17, 2026 11:25am ET $340.10 21 $7,142.10 $7,391.66 $-24.36
(-0.3%) 		DEATH_CROSS
30m held
15 🟢 BUY Aug 18, 2026 3:35pm ET $337.05 21 $7,078.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 21, 2026 12:55pm ET $364.25 21 $7,649.25 $7,962.83 +$571.17
(+8.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held
16 🟢 BUY Aug 24, 2026 1:30pm ET $356.64 22 $7,846.19 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 25, 2026 10:50am ET $350.35 22 $7,707.70 $7,824.34 $-138.49
(-1.8%) 		DEATH_CROSS
21.3h held
17 🟢 BUY Aug 26, 2026 1:05pm ET $345.19 22 $7,594.18 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 2:15pm ET $344.69 22 $7,583.16 $7,813.32 $-11.02
(-0.1%) 		DEATH_CROSS
1.2h held
18 🟢 BUY Aug 28, 2026 3:25pm ET $347.20 22 $7,638.51 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 31, 2026 2:45pm ET $365.80 22 $8,047.60 $8,222.41 +$409.09
(+5.4%) 		DEATH_CROSS
3d held
19 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2026 10:35am ET $355.26 23 $8,170.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 2:35pm ET $381.57 23 $8,776.11 $8,827.62 +$605.21
(+7.4%) 		DEATH_CROSS
1.2d held
20 🟢 BUY Sep 8, 2026 3:10pm ET $367.18 24 $8,812.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 12:10pm ET $369.84 24 $8,876.16 $8,891.46 +$63.84
(+0.7%) 		DEATH_CROSS
21h held
21 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2026 12:45pm ET $367.11 24 $8,810.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2026 1:55pm ET $365.05 24 $8,761.20 $8,842.02 $-49.44
(-0.6%) 		DEATH_CROSS
1d held
22 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 11:20am ET $360.38 24 $8,649.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 12:50pm ET $359.59 24 $8,630.16 $8,823.06 $-18.96
(-0.2%) 		DEATH_CROSS
1.5h held
23 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 12:50pm ET $362.66 24 $8,703.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 1:15pm ET $361.75 24 $8,681.95 $8,801.17 $-21.89
(-0.3%) 		DEATH_CROSS
25m held
24 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2026 1:30pm ET $367.80 23 $8,459.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2026 2:15pm ET $367.31 23 $8,448.06 $8,789.83 $-11.34
(-0.1%) 		DEATH_CROSS
45m held
25 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2026 3:50pm ET $365.00 24 $8,760.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 3:50pm ET $373.79 24 $8,970.96 $9,000.79 +$210.96
(+2.4%) 		DEATH_CROSS
3d held
26 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2026 11:25am ET $381.45 23 $8,773.35 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 3:45pm ET $379.59 23 $8,730.57 $8,958.01 $-42.78
(-0.5%) 		DEATH_CROSS
4.3h held
27 🟢 BUY Sep 24, 2026 3:50pm ET $379.96 23 $8,739.19 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 25, 2026 12:35pm ET $371.44 23 $8,543.17 $8,761.98 $-196.03
(-2.2%) 		DEATH_CROSS
20.8h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $8,761.98
Net Profit/Loss: $-1,238.02
Total Return: -12.38%
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