Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-26 23:56:29

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
13
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.9
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.40%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.78
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
⛈️ 3.6
Severe
⛈️ 1 storm day in 7d
RSI(14)
22.4 oversold
20d Trend
-22.6%
5d Trend
-9.4%
EMA20 Dist
-13.7%
ATR%
4.9%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.3×
Green/Red 10d
2/8
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 26, 2026

5
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.3/10
Raw Quality 5.3/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 5.3

30-Day Momentum

9
-1.4%
30d Return
30%
Win Rate
10
Trades
0.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0 Conf: 0.87×
Steady (+3 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,992
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-26 → 2026-06-26
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)

Market Closed (3 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$9,708.78
Current Value
$10,020.65
Period P&L
$311.88
Max Drawdown
-17.4%
Sharpe Ratio
0.10

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
27
Winners / Losers
11 / 16
Best Trade
+4.78%
Worst Trade
-2.73%
Avg Trade Return
+0.12%
Avg Hold Time
17.2h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$526,285.64
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$311.88
Net P&L (after fees)
$311.88
Gross Return
+3.21%
Net Return (after fees)
+3.21%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 UNH Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 27 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $9,708.78 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 9:30am ET $259.66 37 $9,607.42
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 9:50am ET $256.99 37 $9,508.63 $9,609.98 $-98.79
(-1.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
20m held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 2:45pm ET $274.18 35 $9,596.30
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 3:50pm ET $273.45 35 $9,570.58 $9,584.26 $-25.72
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.1h held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 9:30am ET $307.79 31 $9,541.49
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 10:10am ET $307.95 31 $9,546.45 $9,589.22 +$4.96
(+0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1d held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 1:35pm ET $306.99 31 $9,516.69
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 2:35pm ET $306.58 31 $9,503.83 $9,576.36 $-12.86
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1h held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 11:20am ET $313.68 30 $9,410.40
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 10:05am ET $313.58 30 $9,407.40 $9,573.36 $-3.00
(-0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
22.8h held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 3:50pm ET $324.05 29 $9,397.45
🔴 SELL Apr 20, 2026 9:40am ET $323.14 29 $9,371.06 $9,546.97 $-26.39
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.7d held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 9:35am ET $354.29 26 $9,211.41
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 1:15pm ET $355.02 26 $9,230.39 $9,565.95 +$18.98
(+0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.7h held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 2:30pm ET $353.86 27 $9,554.22
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 3:00pm ET $352.96 27 $9,529.92 $9,541.65 $-24.30
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
30m held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 12:55pm ET $350.81 27 $9,471.84
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 3:10pm ET $367.59 27 $9,924.93 $9,994.74 +$453.09
(+4.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 10:45am ET $368.35 27 $9,945.32
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 1:55pm ET $369.56 27 $9,978.12 $10,027.55 +$32.81
(+0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.2h held
11 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 11:00am ET $368.76 27 $9,956.52
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 1:00pm ET $368.24 27 $9,942.61 $10,013.64 $-13.91
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
2h held
12 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 3:40pm ET $363.18 27 $9,805.86
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 1:00pm ET $367.26 27 $9,916.02 $10,123.80 +$110.16
(+1.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
21.3h held
13 🟢 BUY May 8, 2026 1:45pm ET $374.02 27 $10,098.41
🔴 SELL May 11, 2026 10:20am ET $377.15 27 $10,183.05 $10,208.44 +$84.64
(+0.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.9d held
14 🟢 BUY May 13, 2026 1:10pm ET $399.88 25 $9,997.00
🔴 SELL May 13, 2026 3:35pm ET $400.83 25 $10,020.75 $10,232.19 +$23.75
(+0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.4h held
15 🟢 BUY May 18, 2026 11:45am ET $387.61 26 $10,077.73
🔴 SELL May 18, 2026 12:10pm ET $386.73 26 $10,055.11 $10,209.57 $-22.62
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
25m held
16 🟢 BUY May 19, 2026 12:50pm ET $393.49 25 $9,837.25
🔴 SELL May 21, 2026 10:20am ET $382.75 25 $9,568.75 $9,941.07 $-268.50
(-2.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.9d held
17 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 9:40am ET $380.23 26 $9,885.98
🔴 SELL May 28, 2026 11:20am ET $384.71 26 $10,002.46 $10,057.55 +$116.48
(+1.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held
18 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 12:50pm ET $378.81 26 $9,849.06
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 3:55pm ET $379.22 26 $9,859.72 $10,068.21 +$10.66
(+0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.1h held
19 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 10:40am ET $378.32 26 $9,836.32
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 11:05am ET $377.72 26 $9,820.72 $10,052.61 $-15.60
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
25m held
20 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 11:10am ET $382.22 26 $9,937.72
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 1:20pm ET $384.00 26 $9,984.00 $10,098.89 +$46.28
(+0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.2h held
21 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 3:40pm ET $401.32 25 $10,033.00
🔴 SELL Jun 8, 2026 9:30am ET $398.66 25 $9,966.50 $10,032.39 $-66.50
(-0.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.7d held
22 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 2:10pm ET $407.48 24 $9,779.52
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 3:10pm ET $406.34 24 $9,752.14 $10,005.01 $-27.38
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
1h held
23 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 10:50am ET $406.88 24 $9,765.12
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2026 12:05pm ET $406.82 24 $9,763.56 $10,003.45 $-1.56
(-0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held
24 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 11:35am ET $410.05 24 $9,841.20
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 12:40pm ET $407.35 24 $9,776.40 $9,938.65 $-64.80
(-0.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
1d held
25 🟢 BUY Jun 18, 2026 1:35pm ET $402.98 24 $9,671.64
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2026 3:50pm ET $401.57 24 $9,637.68 $9,904.69 $-33.96
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.3h held
26 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2026 9:30am ET $408.76 24 $9,810.12
🔴 SELL Jun 24, 2026 12:20pm ET $404.31 24 $9,703.44 $9,798.01 $-106.68
(-1.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held
27 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2026 2:55pm ET $415.30 23 $9,551.90
🔴 SELL Jun 26, 2026 12:35pm ET $424.98 23 $9,774.54 $10,020.65 +$222.64
(+2.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
21.7h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,020.65
Net Profit/Loss: +$20.65
Total Return: +0.21%
Back to Grace Crossover