Compendium › Grace Crossover › UNH
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
UNH
Alpaca Tradeable

Grace Crossover's Analysis

Last 3 Months: 2026-06-25 to present • 30 trades in period

-12.48%
Last 3 Months Return
$8,575.53
Current Value
23%
Win Rate
$9,798.02
Period Start
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PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:06:06

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
22.4 oversold
20d Trend
-22.6%
5d Trend
-9.4%
EMA20 Dist
-13.7%
ATR%
4.9%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.3×
Green/Red 10d
2/8

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

5
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.9/10
Raw Quality 4.9/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 4.8

30-Day Momentum

9
-8.4%
30d Return
30%
Win Rate
10
Trades
0.4×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0 Conf: 0.87×
Steady (+4 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,992
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$9,798.02
Current Value
$8,575.53
Period P&L
$-1,222.48
Max Drawdown
-17.4%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.35

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
30
Winners / Losers
7 / 23
Best Trade
+2.33%
Worst Trade
-4.76%
Avg Trade Return
-0.45%
Avg Hold Time
6.2h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$555,083.59
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,222.48
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,222.48
Gross Return
-12.48%
Net Return (after fees)
-12.48%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 UNH Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 30 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $9,798.02 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2026 2:55pm ET $415.30 23 $9,551.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 26, 2026 12:35pm ET $424.98 23 $9,774.54 $10,020.65 +$222.64
(+2.3%) 		DEATH_CROSS
21.7h held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 30, 2026 11:45am ET $416.90 24 $10,005.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 30, 2026 12:45pm ET $416.42 24 $9,993.96 $10,008.89 $-11.76
(-0.1%) 		DEATH_CROSS
1h held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 6, 2026 12:55pm ET $418.22 23 $9,619.06 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 6, 2026 1:20pm ET $416.35 23 $9,576.05 $9,965.88 $-43.01
(-0.4%) 		DEATH_CROSS
25m held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2026 3:35pm ET $426.36 23 $9,806.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 8, 2026 11:20am ET $426.49 23 $9,809.38 $9,968.99 +$3.11
(+0.0%) 		DEATH_CROSS
19.8h held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 9, 2026 2:05pm ET $430.42 23 $9,899.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 9, 2026 3:30pm ET $429.57 23 $9,880.00 $9,949.30 $-19.69
(-0.2%) 		DEATH_CROSS
1.4h held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 13, 2026 2:55pm ET $429.45 23 $9,877.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 13, 2026 3:20pm ET $428.92 23 $9,865.05 $9,937.11 $-12.19
(-0.1%) 		DEATH_CROSS
25m held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 15, 2026 11:20am ET $422.42 23 $9,715.77 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 15, 2026 12:20pm ET $421.22 23 $9,688.06 $9,909.40 $-27.71
(-0.3%) 		DEATH_CROSS
1h held
8 🟢 BUY Jul 17, 2026 9:35am ET $434.70 22 $9,563.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 17, 2026 10:35am ET $426.53 22 $9,383.66 $9,729.66 $-179.74
(-1.9%) 		DEATH_CROSS
1h held
9 🟢 BUY Jul 21, 2026 3:25pm ET $434.52 22 $9,559.55 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 22, 2026 9:55am ET $434.28 22 $9,554.16 $9,724.27 $-5.39
(-0.1%) 		DEATH_CROSS
18.5h held
10 🟢 BUY Jul 24, 2026 9:30am ET $426.48 22 $9,382.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 24, 2026 9:40am ET $423.24 22 $9,311.28 $9,652.99 $-71.28
(-0.8%) 		DEATH_CROSS
10m held
11 🟢 BUY Jul 27, 2026 11:00am ET $418.64 23 $9,628.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 27, 2026 11:35am ET $417.28 23 $9,597.44 $9,621.71 $-31.28
(-0.3%) 		DEATH_CROSS
35m held
12 🟢 BUY Jul 29, 2026 2:45pm ET $424.92 22 $9,348.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 29, 2026 3:35pm ET $422.64 22 $9,298.08 $9,571.55 $-50.16
(-0.5%) 		DEATH_CROSS
50m held
13 🟢 BUY Jul 31, 2026 11:15am ET $420.63 22 $9,253.86 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 31, 2026 12:55pm ET $419.96 22 $9,239.23 $9,556.92 $-14.63
(-0.2%) 		DEATH_CROSS
1.7h held
14 🟢 BUY Aug 3, 2026 1:35pm ET $416.08 22 $9,153.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 3, 2026 2:30pm ET $415.67 22 $9,144.63 $9,547.79 $-9.13
(-0.1%) 		DEATH_CROSS
55m held
15 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2026 10:25am ET $409.60 23 $9,420.69 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 5, 2026 11:00am ET $408.24 23 $9,389.52 $9,516.62 $-31.17
(-0.3%) 		DEATH_CROSS
35m held
16 🟢 BUY Aug 7, 2026 9:55am ET $405.47 23 $9,325.81 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 7, 2026 11:55am ET $407.43 23 $9,370.89 $9,561.70 +$45.08
(+0.5%) 		DEATH_CROSS
2h held
17 🟢 BUY Aug 11, 2026 11:55am ET $406.37 23 $9,346.51 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 12, 2026 12:55pm ET $404.26 23 $9,297.87 $9,513.06 $-48.64
(-0.5%) 		DEATH_CROSS
1d held
18 🟢 BUY Aug 14, 2026 1:25pm ET $401.72 23 $9,239.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 14, 2026 3:55pm ET $401.85 23 $9,242.44 $9,515.94 +$2.88
(+0.0%) 		DEATH_CROSS
2.5h held
19 🟢 BUY Aug 19, 2026 10:35am ET $395.39 24 $9,489.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 19, 2026 2:05pm ET $389.47 24 $9,347.28 $9,373.74 $-142.20
(-1.5%) 		DEATH_CROSS
3.5h held
20 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 2:15pm ET $390.58 23 $8,983.45 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 21, 2026 3:35pm ET $390.01 23 $8,970.26 $9,360.54 $-13.20
(-0.1%) 		DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held
21 🟢 BUY Aug 25, 2026 11:55am ET $397.98 23 $9,153.65 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 25, 2026 2:40pm ET $397.49 23 $9,142.36 $9,349.25 $-11.29
(-0.1%) 		DEATH_CROSS
2.8h held
22 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 11:15am ET $399.29 23 $9,183.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2026 11:55am ET $397.90 23 $9,151.70 $9,317.39 $-31.86
(-0.3%) 		DEATH_CROSS
40m held
23 🟢 BUY Sep 1, 2026 9:30am ET $394.14 23 $9,065.33 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 12:45pm ET $394.89 23 $9,082.36 $9,334.41 +$17.02
(+0.2%) 		DEATH_CROSS
3.3h held
24 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2026 2:05pm ET $399.73 23 $9,193.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 2:05pm ET $403.18 23 $9,273.14 $9,413.87 +$79.46
(+0.9%) 		DEATH_CROSS
1d held
25 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2026 9:30am ET $405.19 23 $9,319.37 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 9:45am ET $385.90 23 $8,875.81 $8,970.31 $-443.56
(-4.8%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
15m held
26 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2026 12:45pm ET $391.87 22 $8,621.14 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2026 2:50pm ET $376.10 22 $8,274.20 $8,623.37 $-346.94
(-4.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
27 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 2:15pm ET $377.08 22 $8,295.65 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 2:40pm ET $376.48 22 $8,282.45 $8,610.17 $-13.20
(-0.2%) 		DEATH_CROSS
25m held
28 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 2:45pm ET $379.29 22 $8,344.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2026 11:05am ET $377.27 22 $8,299.83 $8,565.62 $-44.55
(-0.5%) 		DEATH_CROSS
20.3h held
29 🟢 BUY Sep 21, 2026 12:20pm ET $375.03 22 $8,250.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 3:30pm ET $376.30 22 $8,278.49 $8,593.35 +$27.73
(+0.3%) 		DEATH_CROSS
3.2h held
30 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2026 10:50am ET $371.92 23 $8,554.27 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 11:10am ET $371.15 23 $8,536.45 $8,575.53 $-17.82
(-0.2%) 		DEATH_CROSS
20m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $8,575.53
Net Profit/Loss: $-1,424.47
Total Return: -14.24%
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