Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:00:11

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
55.8 neutral
20d Trend
+3.7%
5d Trend
-4.0%
EMA20 Dist
+1.4%
ATR%
3.2%
Range Pos
71%
Bounce Ratio
1.6×
Green/Red 10d
9/1

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

35
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
14.1/35
Total Return
14.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
2.4/15
Consistency
4.9/10
Raw Quality 35.3/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 35.1

30-Day Momentum

59
+8.2%
30d Return
60%
Win Rate
10
Trades
6.3×
Profit Factor
Quality: 67.6 Conf: 0.87×
Accelerating (+24 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,992
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$13,691.54
Current Value
$14,589.80
Period P&L
$898.27
Max Drawdown
-11.7%
Sharpe Ratio
0.10

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
29
Winners / Losers
13 / 16
Best Trade
+8.03%
Worst Trade
-6.83%
Avg Trade Return
+0.25%
Avg Hold Time
15.4h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$821,730.15
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$898.27
Net P&L (after fees)
$898.27
Gross Return
+6.56%
Net Return (after fees)
+6.56%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 USO Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 29 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $13,691.54 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 26, 2026 1:25pm ET $104.98 130 $13,647.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 30, 2026 10:45am ET $107.11 130 $13,924.29 $13,968.52 +$276.99
(+2.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.9d held
2 🟢 BUY Jul 1, 2026 1:30pm ET $103.81 134 $13,910.54 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 1, 2026 3:05pm ET $103.65 134 $13,889.77 $13,947.75 $-20.77
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.6h held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 6, 2026 2:05pm ET $104.13 133 $13,848.63 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 8, 2026 10:15am ET $112.49 133 $14,961.17 $15,060.29 +$1,112.54
(+8.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.8d held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 9, 2026 2:25pm ET $109.42 137 $14,990.06 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 9, 2026 2:45pm ET $108.86 137 $14,913.82 $14,984.05 $-76.24
(-0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
20m held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 14, 2026 2:25pm ET $119.54 125 $14,943.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 15, 2026 10:30am ET $119.92 125 $14,990.00 $15,030.93 +$46.88
(+0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
20.1h held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 16, 2026 3:35pm ET $119.44 125 $14,930.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 17, 2026 2:55pm ET $123.91 125 $15,488.75 $15,589.68 +$558.75
(+3.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
23.3h held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 22, 2026 12:35pm ET $131.71 118 $15,541.78 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 22, 2026 12:45pm ET $131.16 118 $15,476.88 $15,524.78 $-64.90
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
10m held
8 🟢 BUY Jul 24, 2026 1:25pm ET $135.30 114 $15,424.19 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 27, 2026 9:30am ET $128.56 114 $14,655.84 $14,756.43 $-768.35
(-5.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.8d held
9 🟢 BUY Jul 28, 2026 1:35pm ET $120.68 122 $14,722.35 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 28, 2026 2:15pm ET $120.21 122 $14,665.01 $14,699.09 $-57.34
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
40m held
10 🟢 BUY Jul 30, 2026 11:00am ET $128.42 114 $14,640.17 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 30, 2026 2:20pm ET $127.65 114 $14,552.10 $14,611.03 $-88.06
(-0.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.3h held
11 🟢 BUY Jul 31, 2026 2:20pm ET $129.53 112 $14,507.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 3, 2026 9:30am ET $120.68 112 $13,516.16 $13,619.83 $-991.20
(-6.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.8d held
12 🟢 BUY Aug 4, 2026 3:50pm ET $115.89 117 $13,559.13 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 5, 2026 3:50pm ET $114.81 117 $13,432.78 $13,493.48 $-126.35
(-0.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
1d held
13 🟢 BUY Aug 7, 2026 10:10am ET $119.10 113 $13,458.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 7, 2026 1:15pm ET $119.41 113 $13,493.33 $13,528.51 +$35.03
(+0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.1h held
14 🟢 BUY Aug 11, 2026 10:25am ET $125.75 107 $13,454.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 12, 2026 9:35am ET $126.61 107 $13,547.27 $13,621.06 +$92.55
(+0.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
23.2h held
15 🟢 BUY Aug 13, 2026 11:15am ET $126.06 108 $13,614.47 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 13, 2026 12:50pm ET $125.74 108 $13,579.92 $13,586.51 $-34.55
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.6h held
16 🟢 BUY Aug 19, 2026 9:30am ET $131.33 103 $13,527.13 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 19, 2026 1:40pm ET $132.40 103 $13,637.20 $13,696.57 +$110.06
(+0.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
4.2h held
17 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 9:30am ET $134.90 101 $13,624.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 21, 2026 9:55am ET $134.40 101 $13,574.40 $13,646.07 $-50.50
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
25m held
18 🟢 BUY Aug 24, 2026 12:35pm ET $132.62 102 $13,527.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 24, 2026 3:55pm ET $132.16 102 $13,480.32 $13,599.15 $-46.92
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.3h held
19 🟢 BUY Aug 26, 2026 10:50am ET $127.27 106 $13,490.62 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 1:45pm ET $128.35 106 $13,605.15 $13,713.68 +$114.53
(+0.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.9h held
20 🟢 BUY Aug 28, 2026 11:20am ET $129.39 105 $13,585.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2026 12:05pm ET $129.11 105 $13,556.55 $13,684.67 $-29.01
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
45m held
21 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2026 10:45am ET $140.20 97 $13,599.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2026 2:35pm ET $141.03 97 $13,680.10 $13,765.37 +$80.70
(+0.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.8h held
22 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2026 3:00pm ET $142.04 96 $13,635.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 3:40pm ET $141.68 96 $13,601.76 $13,731.77 $-33.60
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
40m held
23 🟢 BUY Sep 8, 2026 2:15pm ET $143.80 95 $13,661.47 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 12:45pm ET $148.60 95 $14,117.00 $14,187.30 +$455.53
(+3.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
22.5h held
24 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2026 12:30pm ET $154.26 91 $14,037.66 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2026 1:15pm ET $153.48 91 $13,966.72 $14,116.36 $-70.94
(-0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
45m held
25 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 3:45pm ET $156.14 90 $14,052.47 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 2:25pm ET $161.92 90 $14,572.80 $14,636.69 +$520.33
(+3.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
22.7h held
26 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2026 11:45am ET $155.02 94 $14,571.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2026 3:00pm ET $155.65 94 $14,631.10 $14,695.91 +$59.22
(+0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.3h held
27 🟢 BUY Sep 21, 2026 1:35pm ET $148.04 99 $14,655.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 3:35pm ET $147.97 99 $14,649.03 $14,688.98 $-6.93
(-0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
2h held
28 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2026 9:40am ET $146.91 99 $14,544.09 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 12:55pm ET $147.13 99 $14,565.87 $14,710.76 +$21.78
(+0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.3h held
29 🟢 BUY Sep 24, 2026 1:40pm ET $153.23 96 $14,710.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2026 2:15pm ET $151.97 96 $14,589.12 $14,589.80 $-120.96
(-0.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
35m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $14,589.80
Net Profit/Loss: +$4,589.80
Total Return: +45.90%
Back to Grace Crossover