Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:14:43

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
61.7 neutral
20d Trend
+17.9%
5d Trend
+12.1%
EMA20 Dist
+11.8%
ATR%
7.0%
Range Pos
24%
Bounce Ratio
1.5×
Green/Red 10d
7/3

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

22
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
4.7/35
Total Return
12.6/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.6/15
Consistency
4.2/10
Raw Quality 22.1/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 22.0

30-Day Momentum

7
-9.0%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
9
Trades
0.4×
Profit Factor
Quality: 8.6 Conf: 0.84×
Declining (-15 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,992
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$15,376.33
Current Value
$13,532.44
Period P&L
$-1,843.89
Max Drawdown
-23.5%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.15

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
29
Winners / Losers
11 / 18
Best Trade
+8.48%
Worst Trade
-4.95%
Avg Trade Return
-0.40%
Avg Hold Time
18.2h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$830,922.79
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,843.89
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,843.89
Gross Return
-11.99%
Net Return (after fees)
-11.99%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 UVXY Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 29 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $15,376.33 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2026 11:15am ET $27.69 555 $15,367.95 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 25, 2026 1:10pm ET $27.07 555 $15,023.85 $15,032.23 $-344.10
(-2.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.9h held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 29, 2026 2:55pm ET $25.84 581 $15,015.94 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 30, 2026 9:45am ET $25.70 581 $14,931.70 $14,947.99 $-84.24
(-0.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
18.8h held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 1, 2026 10:50am ET $25.01 597 $14,930.97 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 1, 2026 11:00am ET $24.90 597 $14,862.32 $14,879.34 $-68.65
(-0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
10m held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 2, 2026 11:05am ET $24.85 598 $14,860.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 6, 2026 10:25am ET $23.85 598 $14,265.29 $14,284.27 $-595.07
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2026 2:50pm ET $23.93 596 $14,262.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 8, 2026 11:30am ET $25.96 596 $15,472.16 $15,494.15 +$1,209.88
(+8.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
20.7h held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 9, 2026 2:25pm ET $24.19 640 $15,484.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 9, 2026 3:20pm ET $24.09 640 $15,417.60 $15,426.95 $-67.20
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
55m held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 13, 2026 9:30am ET $23.66 652 $15,426.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 14, 2026 9:30am ET $23.81 652 $15,524.12 $15,524.75 +$97.80
(+0.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
1d held
8 🟢 BUY Jul 15, 2026 12:05pm ET $23.48 661 $15,520.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 15, 2026 1:00pm ET $23.38 661 $15,450.88 $15,455.35 $-69.40
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
55m held
9 🟢 BUY Jul 17, 2026 2:00pm ET $25.23 612 $15,440.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 20, 2026 9:30am ET $23.98 612 $14,675.76 $14,690.35 $-765.00
(-5.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.8d held
10 🟢 BUY Jul 22, 2026 9:35am ET $23.85 615 $14,668.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 22, 2026 11:50am ET $23.85 615 $14,670.82 $14,692.38 +$2.03
(+0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.3h held
11 🟢 BUY Jul 23, 2026 12:50pm ET $26.01 564 $14,672.46 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 24, 2026 10:10am ET $24.94 564 $14,066.16 $14,086.08 $-606.30
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.3h held
12 🟢 BUY Jul 27, 2026 10:30am ET $25.25 557 $14,061.47 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 27, 2026 12:40pm ET $25.03 557 $13,941.77 $13,966.38 $-119.70
(-0.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.2h held
13 🟢 BUY Jul 28, 2026 3:55pm ET $24.50 570 $13,962.15 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 29, 2026 1:00pm ET $25.78 570 $14,694.60 $14,698.83 +$732.45
(+5.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
21.1h held
14 🟢 BUY Aug 3, 2026 1:10pm ET $22.79 644 $14,676.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 3, 2026 2:20pm ET $22.76 644 $14,656.60 $14,678.67 $-20.16
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.2h held
15 🟢 BUY Aug 6, 2026 9:35am ET $22.16 662 $14,669.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 7, 2026 10:25am ET $21.57 662 $14,279.34 $14,288.09 $-390.58
(-2.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
1d held
16 🟢 BUY Aug 10, 2026 11:35am ET $21.41 667 $14,280.27 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 11, 2026 10:15am ET $21.45 667 $14,308.02 $14,315.84 +$27.75
(+0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
22.7h held
17 🟢 BUY Aug 13, 2026 11:30am ET $20.48 699 $14,315.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 13, 2026 1:45pm ET $20.44 699 $14,287.56 $14,287.88 $-27.96
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.3h held
18 🟢 BUY Aug 17, 2026 10:40am ET $20.16 708 $14,269.74 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 17, 2026 2:05pm ET $20.32 708 $14,386.56 $14,404.70 +$116.82
(+0.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.4h held
19 🟢 BUY Aug 20, 2026 9:45am ET $19.80 727 $14,394.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 20, 2026 3:40pm ET $19.89 727 $14,456.40 $14,466.50 +$61.80
(+0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
5.9h held
20 🟢 BUY Aug 26, 2026 12:25pm ET $19.01 760 $14,447.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2026 12:40pm ET $18.24 760 $13,858.60 $13,877.50 $-589.00
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
21 🟢 BUY Aug 28, 2026 2:20pm ET $18.53 748 $13,860.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 10:45am ET $18.22 748 $13,628.56 $13,645.62 $-231.88
(-1.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.9d held
22 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 1:10pm ET $17.17 794 $13,633.06 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 4, 2026 2:55pm ET $17.21 794 $13,664.74 $13,677.30 +$31.68
(+0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.8h held
23 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2026 3:00pm ET $18.27 748 $13,668.43 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 3:05pm ET $18.23 748 $13,636.04 $13,644.91 $-32.39
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
5m held
24 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2026 2:45pm ET $17.99 758 $13,632.63 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2026 3:30pm ET $17.94 758 $13,597.53 $13,609.81 $-35.10
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
45m held
25 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 3:45pm ET $18.17 749 $13,609.33 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 11:45am ET $18.25 749 $13,672.99 $13,673.47 +$63.66
(+0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
20h held
26 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 12:05pm ET $18.05 757 $13,663.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2026 9:30am ET $17.40 757 $13,171.80 $13,181.42 $-492.05
(-3.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
21.4h held
27 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2026 9:30am ET $17.50 753 $13,177.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2026 11:15am ET $17.59 753 $13,249.03 $13,252.95 +$71.53
(+0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.8h held
28 🟢 BUY Sep 21, 2026 11:50am ET $17.34 764 $13,247.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 12:05pm ET $17.23 764 $13,159.90 $13,165.09 $-87.86
(-0.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
15m held
29 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2026 9:35am ET $16.66 790 $13,161.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2026 12:20pm ET $17.13 790 $13,528.75 $13,532.44 +$367.35
(+2.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $13,532.44
Net Profit/Loss: +$3,532.44
Total Return: +35.32%
Back to Grace Crossover