Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:07:48

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
35.8 neutral
20d Trend
-2.8%
5d Trend
-2.4%
EMA20 Dist
-1.9%
ATR%
1.1%
Range Pos
50%
Bounce Ratio
0.7×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

20
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
5.2/35
Total Return
7.7/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
1.3/15
Consistency
5.8/10
Raw Quality 19.9/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 19.9

30-Day Momentum

13
+0.3%
30d Return
36%
Win Rate
11
Trades
1.2×
Profit Factor
Quality: 14.2 Conf: 0.90×
Cooling (-7 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,992
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$10,741.61
Current Value
$10,741.16
Period P&L
$-0.46
Max Drawdown
-4.8%
Sharpe Ratio
0.01

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
29
Winners / Losers
10 / 19
Best Trade
+1.55%
Worst Trade
-0.96%
Avg Trade Return
+0.00%
Avg Hold Time
14.6h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$610,451.04
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-0.46
Net P&L (after fees)
$-0.46
Gross Return
-0.00%
Net Return (after fees)
-0.00%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 VOO Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 29 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $10,741.61 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2026 11:45am ET $677.72 15 $10,165.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 25, 2026 12:30pm ET $676.32 15 $10,144.80 $10,720.62 $-21.00
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
45m held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 29, 2026 9:30am ET $676.84 15 $10,152.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 1, 2026 1:00pm ET $687.35 15 $10,310.25 $10,878.27 +$157.65
(+1.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.1d held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 6, 2026 2:10pm ET $690.25 15 $10,353.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 7, 2026 9:30am ET $689.60 15 $10,344.00 $10,868.52 $-9.75
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
19.3h held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 8, 2026 12:25pm ET $682.62 15 $10,239.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 9, 2026 3:00pm ET $690.22 15 $10,353.23 $10,982.49 +$113.97
(+1.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 14, 2026 12:45pm ET $690.96 15 $10,364.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 14, 2026 3:05pm ET $691.15 15 $10,367.18 $10,985.26 +$2.77
(+0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.3h held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 15, 2026 3:30pm ET $692.78 15 $10,391.77 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 16, 2026 9:35am ET $691.26 15 $10,368.83 $10,962.31 $-22.95
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
18.1h held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 17, 2026 12:00pm ET $686.67 15 $10,300.05 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 17, 2026 12:25pm ET $685.02 15 $10,275.30 $10,937.56 $-24.75
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
25m held
8 🟢 BUY Jul 20, 2026 2:20pm ET $684.97 15 $10,274.55 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 21, 2026 2:20pm ET $687.66 15 $10,314.90 $10,977.91 +$40.35
(+0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
1d held
9 🟢 BUY Jul 23, 2026 12:35pm ET $679.32 16 $10,869.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 23, 2026 12:50pm ET $678.29 16 $10,852.72 $10,961.59 $-16.32
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
15m held
10 🟢 BUY Jul 24, 2026 1:35pm ET $682.10 16 $10,913.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 27, 2026 10:30am ET $678.34 16 $10,853.44 $10,901.43 $-60.16
(-0.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.9d held
11 🟢 BUY Jul 28, 2026 3:00pm ET $681.64 15 $10,224.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 28, 2026 3:50pm ET $681.13 15 $10,216.88 $10,893.75 $-7.68
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
50m held
12 🟢 BUY Jul 30, 2026 9:55am ET $678.06 16 $10,848.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 30, 2026 11:00am ET $675.94 16 $10,815.04 $10,859.83 $-33.92
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.1h held
13 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2026 2:05pm ET $709.77 15 $10,646.55 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 5, 2026 2:55pm ET $709.34 15 $10,640.10 $10,853.38 $-6.45
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
50m held
14 🟢 BUY Aug 7, 2026 9:30am ET $708.56 15 $10,628.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 7, 2026 12:30pm ET $708.97 15 $10,634.55 $10,859.53 +$6.15
(+0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
3h held
15 🟢 BUY Aug 11, 2026 9:30am ET $711.53 15 $10,672.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 11, 2026 9:55am ET $710.48 15 $10,657.27 $10,843.93 $-15.60
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
25m held
16 🟢 BUY Aug 13, 2026 9:30am ET $711.73 15 $10,675.95 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 13, 2026 11:30am ET $713.48 15 $10,702.27 $10,870.26 +$26.33
(+0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
2h held
17 🟢 BUY Aug 17, 2026 11:30am ET $712.96 15 $10,694.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 18, 2026 1:25pm ET $706.10 15 $10,591.50 $10,767.36 $-102.90
(-1.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held
18 🟢 BUY Aug 19, 2026 3:30pm ET $707.69 15 $10,615.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 21, 2026 1:25pm ET $703.98 15 $10,559.70 $10,711.68 $-55.68
(-0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.9d held
19 🟢 BUY Aug 24, 2026 2:20pm ET $702.60 15 $10,539.07 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 25, 2026 10:45am ET $702.55 15 $10,538.25 $10,710.86 $-0.82
(-0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
20.4h held
20 🟢 BUY Aug 26, 2026 11:45am ET $704.20 15 $10,562.99 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2026 11:55am ET $709.57 15 $10,643.57 $10,791.44 +$80.58
(+0.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
2d held
21 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 1:40pm ET $704.05 15 $10,560.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 31, 2026 2:40pm ET $703.64 15 $10,554.53 $10,785.22 $-6.22
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1h held
22 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2026 9:30am ET $700.47 15 $10,507.05 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2026 12:45pm ET $703.06 15 $10,545.90 $10,824.07 +$38.85
(+0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.3h held
23 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 12:20pm ET $708.68 15 $10,630.19 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 4, 2026 1:15pm ET $708.13 15 $10,621.95 $10,815.83 $-8.24
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
55m held
24 🟢 BUY Sep 8, 2026 1:15pm ET $705.68 15 $10,585.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 3:50pm ET $700.95 15 $10,514.25 $10,744.88 $-70.95
(-0.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held
25 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2026 9:30am ET $702.78 15 $10,541.77 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2026 2:20pm ET $703.63 15 $10,554.45 $10,757.56 +$12.68
(+0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
4.8h held
26 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 12:55pm ET $696.80 15 $10,452.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 2:45pm ET $695.93 15 $10,438.95 $10,744.51 $-13.05
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.8h held
27 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2026 9:35am ET $699.90 15 $10,498.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2026 9:50am ET $700.72 15 $10,510.80 $10,756.81 +$12.30
(+0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1d held
28 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2026 12:55pm ET $712.91 15 $10,693.65 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 1:20pm ET $712.52 15 $10,687.73 $10,750.89 $-5.92
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
25m held
29 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2026 1:55pm ET $708.18 15 $10,622.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 2:40pm ET $707.53 15 $10,612.96 $10,741.16 $-9.73
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
45m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,741.16
Net Profit/Loss: +$741.16
Total Return: +7.41%
Back to Grace Crossover