VRTX Grace Crossover's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2026-06-24 to present • 32 trades in period
-0.81%
Last 3 Months Return
$12,843.55
Current Value
28%
Win Rate
$12,949.11
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
49.5 neutral
20d Trend
-1.8%
5d Trend
-1.9%
EMA20 Dist
-0.6%
ATR%
2.9%
Range Pos
71%
Bounce Ratio
1.0×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
30
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
10.4/35
Total Return
12.2/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
2.2/15
Consistency
5.2/10
Raw Quality
29.9/100
× Confidence 0.99
= 29.7
30-Day Momentum
9
-6.9%
30d Return
9%
Win Rate
11
Trades
0.4×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0
Conf: 0.90×
Declining (-21 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
5,070
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
65 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)
Market Closed (2 days)
2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$12,949.11
Current Value
$12,843.55
Period P&L
$-105.52
Max Drawdown
-9.6%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.02
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
32
Winners / Losers
9 /
23
Best Trade
+4.53%
Worst Trade
-2.27%
Avg Trade Return
-0.02%
Avg Hold Time
17.9h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$841,500.25
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-105.52
Net P&L (after fees)
$-105.52
Gross Return
-0.81%
Net Return (after fees)
-0.81%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 VRTX Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 65 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 32 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $12,949.11 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 24, 2026 2:35pm ET | $478.63 | 27 | $12,923.01 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 24, 2026 3:35pm ET | $477.35 | 27 | $12,888.45 | $12,914.51 |
$-34.56 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1h held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 26, 2026 9:35am ET | $488.65 | 26 | $12,704.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 26, 2026 12:35pm ET | $496.73 | 26 | $12,914.85 | $13,124.46 |
+$209.95 (+1.7%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 29, 2026 1:25pm ET | $493.83 | 26 | $12,839.71 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 29, 2026 1:45pm ET | $492.71 | 26 | $12,810.46 | $13,095.21 |
$-29.25 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
20m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 30, 2026 1:50pm ET | $497.95 | 26 | $12,946.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 30, 2026 3:10pm ET | $496.43 | 26 | $12,907.31 | $13,055.82 |
$-39.39 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $503.71 | 25 | $12,592.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 6, 2026 3:15pm ET | $526.52 | 25 | $13,162.88 | $13,625.95 |
+$570.13 (+4.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
4.2d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 9, 2026 1:55pm ET | $489.38 | 27 | $13,213.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 9, 2026 2:40pm ET | $486.89 | 27 | $13,146.03 | $13,558.72 |
$-67.23 (-0.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
45m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 10, 2026 3:15pm ET | $486.47 | 27 | $13,134.69 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 13, 2026 3:40pm ET | $480.72 | 27 | $12,979.44 | $13,403.47 |
$-155.25 (-1.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 15, 2026 10:55am ET | $475.55 | 28 | $13,315.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 15, 2026 1:40pm ET | $477.99 | 28 | $13,383.72 | $13,471.79 |
+$68.32 (+0.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.8h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 17, 2026 2:55pm ET | $485.52 | 27 | $13,109.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 20, 2026 10:45am ET | $485.44 | 27 | $13,106.88 | $13,469.63 |
$-2.16 (-0.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.8d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 21, 2026 11:10am ET | $482.08 | 27 | $13,016.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 21, 2026 11:40am ET | $480.31 | 27 | $12,968.37 | $13,421.84 |
$-47.79 (-0.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
30m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 22, 2026 1:55pm ET | $474.12 | 28 | $13,275.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 22, 2026 3:10pm ET | $473.37 | 28 | $13,254.36 | $13,400.84 |
$-21.00 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 24, 2026 9:40am ET | $476.86 | 28 | $13,352.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 24, 2026 12:35pm ET | $478.62 | 28 | $13,401.36 | $13,449.98 |
+$49.14 (+0.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.9h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $484.08 | 27 | $13,070.29 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 29, 2026 11:05am ET | $488.68 | 27 | $13,194.36 | $13,574.05 |
+$124.07 (+0.9%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 30, 2026 12:20pm ET | $475.55 | 28 | $13,315.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 31, 2026 9:35am ET | $473.76 | 28 | $13,265.28 | $13,524.07 |
$-49.98 (-0.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
21.3h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 4, 2026 1:35pm ET | $479.07 | 28 | $13,413.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 4, 2026 2:15pm ET | $478.30 | 28 | $13,392.40 | $13,502.51 |
$-21.56 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
40m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 5, 2026 2:15pm ET | $483.14 | 27 | $13,044.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 5, 2026 3:15pm ET | $482.46 | 27 | $13,026.42 | $13,484.15 |
$-18.36 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 11, 2026 9:40am ET | $527.55 | 25 | $13,188.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 11, 2026 12:25pm ET | $528.16 | 25 | $13,204.00 | $13,499.40 |
+$15.25 (+0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.8h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 12, 2026 2:55pm ET | $526.62 | 25 | $13,165.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 12, 2026 3:25pm ET | $525.84 | 25 | $13,146.00 | $13,479.90 |
$-19.50 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
30m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 14, 2026 12:10pm ET | $508.61 | 26 | $13,223.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 17, 2026 3:10pm ET | $515.27 | 26 | $13,396.89 | $13,652.93 |
+$173.03 (+1.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.1d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 19, 2026 9:30am ET | $535.27 | 25 | $13,381.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 20, 2026 9:40am ET | $542.65 | 25 | $13,566.25 | $13,837.43 |
+$184.50 (+1.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 21, 2026 3:55pm ET | $548.46 | 25 | $13,711.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 24, 2026 10:50am ET | $547.02 | 25 | $13,675.50 | $13,801.56 |
$-35.87 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.8d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 26, 2026 1:05pm ET | $550.99 | 25 | $13,774.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 27, 2026 12:40pm ET | $547.82 | 25 | $13,695.50 | $13,722.31 |
$-79.25 (-0.6%) |
DEATH_CROSS
23.6h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 28, 2026 1:40pm ET | $543.16 | 25 | $13,579.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 28, 2026 2:00pm ET | $542.20 | 25 | $13,555.00 | $13,698.31 |
$-24.00 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
20m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $551.84 | 24 | $13,244.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 2, 2026 11:00am ET | $551.04 | 24 | $13,225.08 | $13,679.23 |
$-19.08 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.5h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 3, 2026 1:55pm ET | $557.73 | 24 | $13,385.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $549.92 | 24 | $13,198.08 | $13,491.79 |
$-187.44 (-1.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
19.6h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 8, 2026 1:35pm ET | $528.93 | 25 | $13,223.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $526.22 | 25 | $13,155.62 | $13,424.16 |
$-67.63 (-0.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
19.9h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 10, 2026 1:20pm ET | $518.50 | 25 | $12,962.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 10, 2026 3:20pm ET | $517.10 | 25 | $12,927.50 | $13,389.16 |
$-35.00 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $522.66 | 25 | $13,066.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 14, 2026 10:10am ET | $515.93 | 25 | $12,898.37 | $13,220.91 |
$-168.25 (-1.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
40m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 15, 2026 11:40am ET | $515.14 | 25 | $12,878.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 15, 2026 2:20pm ET | $514.87 | 25 | $12,871.75 | $13,214.28 |
$-6.63 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.7h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $518.15 | 25 | $12,953.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 17, 2026 10:00am ET | $513.26 | 25 | $12,831.50 | $13,092.03 |
$-122.25 (-0.9%) |
DEATH_CROSS
30m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 21, 2026 10:20am ET | $509.23 | 25 | $12,730.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 21, 2026 2:55pm ET | $511.15 | 25 | $12,778.87 | $13,140.28 |
+$48.25 (+0.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
4.6h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 22, 2026 3:00pm ET | $522.62 | 25 | $13,065.61 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 23, 2026 2:25pm ET | $510.76 | 25 | $12,768.88 | $12,843.55 |
$-296.73 (-2.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
23.4h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$12,843.55
Net Profit/Loss:
+$2,843.55
Total Return:
+28.44%