Compendium › Grace Crossover › VTI
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
VTI
Alpaca Tradeable

Grace Crossover's Analysis

Last 3 Months: 2026-06-25 to present • 27 trades in period

+7.50%
Last 3 Months Return
$10,264.11
Current Value
52%
Win Rate
$9,547.88
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:08:08

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
36.2 neutral
20d Trend
-2.9%
5d Trend
-2.1%
EMA20 Dist
-1.9%
ATR%
1.1%
Range Pos
52%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

12
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.8/35
Total Return
4.7/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.4/15
Consistency
5.8/10
Raw Quality 11.7/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 11.6

30-Day Momentum

37
+2.5%
30d Return
56%
Win Rate
9
Trades
10.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 44.5 Conf: 0.84×
Accelerating (+26 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,992
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$9,547.88
Current Value
$10,264.11
Period P&L
$716.29
Max Drawdown
-11.1%
Sharpe Ratio
0.32

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
27
Winners / Losers
14 / 13
Best Trade
+3.92%
Worst Trade
-0.53%
Avg Trade Return
+0.28%
Avg Hold Time
1.1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$524,894.35
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$716.29
Net P&L (after fees)
$716.29
Gross Return
+7.50%
Net Return (after fees)
+7.50%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 VTI Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 27 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $9,547.88 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2026 11:45am ET $365.00 26 $9,490.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 25, 2026 12:30pm ET $364.35 26 $9,473.10 $9,530.92 $-16.90
(-0.2%) 		DEATH_CROSS
45m held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 29, 2026 9:30am ET $364.75 26 $9,483.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 1, 2026 9:30am ET $368.66 26 $9,585.16 $9,632.58 +$101.66
(+1.1%) 		DEATH_CROSS
2d held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 2, 2026 9:35am ET $370.80 25 $9,270.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 6, 2026 1:35pm ET $371.40 25 $9,284.88 $9,647.46 +$14.88
(+0.2%) 		DEATH_CROSS
4.2d held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 8, 2026 12:30pm ET $367.14 26 $9,545.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 9, 2026 2:55pm ET $371.35 26 $9,655.10 $9,756.92 +$109.46
(+1.1%) 		DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 14, 2026 9:30am ET $370.68 26 $9,637.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 14, 2026 2:50pm ET $371.13 26 $9,649.38 $9,768.62 +$11.70
(+0.1%) 		DEATH_CROSS
5.3h held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 15, 2026 3:40pm ET $372.07 26 $9,673.82 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 16, 2026 9:35am ET $371.24 26 $9,652.37 $9,747.17 $-21.45
(-0.2%) 		DEATH_CROSS
17.9h held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 17, 2026 12:00pm ET $368.81 26 $9,589.06 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 17, 2026 12:25pm ET $367.97 26 $9,567.22 $9,725.33 $-21.84
(-0.2%) 		DEATH_CROSS
25m held
8 🟢 BUY Jul 20, 2026 2:20pm ET $367.93 26 $9,566.18 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 22, 2026 9:30am ET $368.67 26 $9,585.29 $9,744.44 +$19.11
(+0.2%) 		DEATH_CROSS
1.8d held
9 🟢 BUY Jul 23, 2026 12:30pm ET $365.13 26 $9,493.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 23, 2026 12:50pm ET $364.51 26 $9,477.13 $9,728.19 $-16.25
(-0.2%) 		DEATH_CROSS
20m held
10 🟢 BUY Jul 24, 2026 1:35pm ET $366.49 26 $9,528.87 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 27, 2026 10:30am ET $364.57 26 $9,478.82 $9,678.14 $-50.05
(-0.5%) 		DEATH_CROSS
2.9d held
11 🟢 BUY Jul 28, 2026 10:50am ET $365.20 26 $9,495.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 28, 2026 1:45pm ET $365.90 26 $9,513.49 $9,696.43 +$18.29
(+0.2%) 		DEATH_CROSS
2.9h held
12 🟢 BUY Jul 30, 2026 9:55am ET $364.26 26 $9,470.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 30, 2026 11:00am ET $363.02 26 $9,438.52 $9,664.19 $-32.24
(-0.3%) 		DEATH_CROSS
1.1h held
13 🟢 BUY Jul 31, 2026 11:40am ET $366.22 26 $9,521.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 5, 2026 2:30pm ET $380.59 26 $9,895.34 $10,037.81 +$373.62
(+3.9%) 		DEATH_CROSS
5.1d held
14 🟢 BUY Aug 7, 2026 9:30am ET $380.50 26 $9,893.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 7, 2026 12:30pm ET $380.83 26 $9,901.58 $10,046.39 +$8.58
(+0.1%) 		DEATH_CROSS
3h held
15 🟢 BUY Aug 10, 2026 3:00pm ET $381.70 26 $9,924.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 11, 2026 11:15am ET $381.63 26 $9,922.38 $10,044.57 $-1.82
(-0.0%) 		DEATH_CROSS
20.3h held
16 🟢 BUY Aug 13, 2026 9:30am ET $382.67 26 $9,949.42 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 13, 2026 11:30am ET $383.51 26 $9,971.13 $10,066.28 +$21.71
(+0.2%) 		DEATH_CROSS
2h held
17 🟢 BUY Aug 18, 2026 12:55pm ET $379.95 26 $9,878.65 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 18, 2026 1:00pm ET $379.80 26 $9,874.67 $10,062.30 $-3.98
(-0.0%) 		DEATH_CROSS
5m held
18 🟢 BUY Aug 19, 2026 3:25pm ET $380.33 26 $9,888.71 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 21, 2026 1:25pm ET $378.31 26 $9,836.06 $10,009.65 $-52.65
(-0.5%) 		DEATH_CROSS
1.9d held
19 🟢 BUY Aug 24, 2026 2:20pm ET $377.45 26 $9,813.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 25, 2026 10:45am ET $377.42 26 $9,813.05 $10,009.00 $-0.65
(-0.0%) 		DEATH_CROSS
20.4h held
20 🟢 BUY Aug 26, 2026 11:45am ET $378.29 26 $9,835.54 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2026 11:55am ET $380.55 26 $9,894.43 $10,067.89 +$58.89
(+0.6%) 		DEATH_CROSS
2d held
21 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 1:20pm ET $377.52 26 $9,815.41 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 31, 2026 1:25pm ET $377.45 26 $9,813.57 $10,066.05 $-1.84
(-0.0%) 		DEATH_CROSS
5m held
22 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2026 9:30am ET $375.45 26 $9,761.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2026 12:40pm ET $376.76 26 $9,795.76 $10,100.11 +$34.06
(+0.3%) 		DEATH_CROSS
3.2h held
23 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 2:45pm ET $379.64 26 $9,870.58 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 4, 2026 3:10pm ET $379.43 26 $9,865.18 $10,094.71 $-5.40
(-0.1%) 		DEATH_CROSS
25m held
24 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2026 1:05pm ET $373.87 27 $10,094.49 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 10, 2026 1:30pm ET $373.58 27 $10,086.79 $10,087.01 $-7.70
(-0.1%) 		DEATH_CROSS
25m held
25 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 11:40am ET $374.85 26 $9,746.17 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 3:00pm ET $375.29 26 $9,757.54 $10,098.38 +$11.37
(+0.1%) 		DEATH_CROSS
3.3h held
26 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 9:30am ET $373.88 27 $10,094.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 12:55pm ET $374.19 27 $10,103.13 $10,106.75 +$8.37
(+0.1%) 		DEATH_CROSS
3.4h held
27 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2026 3:00pm ET $375.27 26 $9,756.89 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 10:30am ET $381.32 26 $9,914.25 $10,264.11 +$157.36
(+1.6%) 		DEATH_CROSS
4.8d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,264.11
Net Profit/Loss: +$264.11
Total Return: +2.64%
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