Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-09-25 20:22:10

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.18%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.36%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 2.8
Storm
⛈️ 1 storm day in 7d
RSI(14)
62.8 neutral
20d Trend
+12.6%
5d Trend
+8.3%
EMA20 Dist
+8.3%
ATR%
4.8%
Range Pos
29%
Bounce Ratio
1.8×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored Sep 25, 2026

4
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.6/10
Raw Quality 3.6/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 3.6

30-Day Momentum

9
-1.4%
30d Return
36%
Win Rate
11
Trades
0.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0 Conf: 0.90×
Steady (+5 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
5,070
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-25 → 2026-09-25
Trading Days
65 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$7,531.11
Current Value
$6,621.68
Period P&L
$-909.46
Max Drawdown
-42.2%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.32

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
29
Winners / Losers
9 / 20
Best Trade
+3.98%
Worst Trade
-3.17%
Avg Trade Return
-0.43%
Avg Hold Time
20.3h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$399,176.52
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-909.46
Net P&L (after fees)
$-909.46
Gross Return
-12.08%
Net Return (after fees)
-12.08%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 VXX Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 65 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 29 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $7,531.11 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 26, 2026 9:30am ET $24.17 311 $7,515.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 26, 2026 10:30am ET $23.54 311 $7,320.94 $7,336.76 $-194.38
(-2.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
1h held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 29, 2026 2:50pm ET $22.66 323 $7,318.31 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 29, 2026 3:05pm ET $22.63 323 $7,307.88 $7,326.33 $-10.43
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
15m held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 1, 2026 10:35am ET $22.19 330 $7,322.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 1, 2026 3:05pm ET $22.22 330 $7,332.57 $7,336.20 +$9.87
(+0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
4.5h held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 6, 2026 1:30pm ET $21.60 339 $7,322.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 7, 2026 12:00pm ET $21.68 339 $7,351.21 $7,365.01 +$28.81
(+0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
22.5h held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 8, 2026 3:20pm ET $22.06 333 $7,344.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 8, 2026 3:40pm ET $21.98 333 $7,319.34 $7,340.03 $-24.98
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
20m held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 13, 2026 9:30am ET $21.43 342 $7,329.06 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 14, 2026 9:30am ET $21.51 342 $7,356.42 $7,367.39 +$27.36
(+0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
1d held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 16, 2026 10:55am ET $21.07 349 $7,353.43 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 16, 2026 11:40am ET $21.00 349 $7,330.74 $7,344.70 $-22.69
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
45m held
8 🟢 BUY Jul 17, 2026 2:00pm ET $22.38 328 $7,340.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 20, 2026 9:30am ET $21.67 328 $7,107.76 $7,111.82 $-232.88
(-3.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.8d held
9 🟢 BUY Jul 23, 2026 9:30am ET $22.78 312 $7,107.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 23, 2026 12:20pm ET $22.60 312 $7,051.20 $7,055.66 $-56.16
(-0.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.8h held
10 🟢 BUY Jul 27, 2026 10:30am ET $22.43 314 $7,044.59 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 28, 2026 10:45am ET $22.24 314 $6,983.36 $6,994.43 $-61.23
(-0.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
1d held
11 🟢 BUY Jul 29, 2026 3:30pm ET $22.59 309 $6,980.31 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 30, 2026 9:55am ET $22.32 309 $6,896.88 $6,911.00 $-83.43
(-1.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
18.4h held
12 🟢 BUY Aug 3, 2026 1:10pm ET $21.02 328 $6,896.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 3, 2026 3:35pm ET $21.02 328 $6,896.20 $6,911.00 $0.00
(+0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.4h held
13 🟢 BUY Aug 6, 2026 9:35am ET $20.64 334 $6,892.09 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 6, 2026 3:15pm ET $20.25 334 $6,765.17 $6,784.08 $-126.92
(-1.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
5.7h held
14 🟢 BUY Aug 7, 2026 3:40pm ET $20.27 334 $6,770.51 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 11, 2026 10:15am ET $20.18 334 $6,740.12 $6,753.69 $-30.39
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.8d held
15 🟢 BUY Aug 13, 2026 11:30am ET $19.58 344 $6,737.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 13, 2026 1:50pm ET $19.57 344 $6,732.05 $6,748.50 $-5.19
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.3h held
16 🟢 BUY Aug 14, 2026 3:00pm ET $19.41 347 $6,735.27 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 14, 2026 3:30pm ET $19.36 347 $6,719.65 $6,732.88 $-15.62
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
30m held
17 🟢 BUY Aug 18, 2026 9:30am ET $19.71 341 $6,720.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 18, 2026 2:30pm ET $19.59 341 $6,680.19 $6,692.27 $-40.61
(-0.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
5h held
18 🟢 BUY Aug 20, 2026 9:45am ET $19.18 348 $6,674.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 20, 2026 3:40pm ET $19.25 348 $6,699.00 $6,716.63 +$24.36
(+0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
5.9h held
19 🟢 BUY Aug 24, 2026 3:45pm ET $18.92 355 $6,714.83 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 11:45am ET $18.64 355 $6,615.43 $6,617.23 $-99.40
(-1.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.8d held
20 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 1:40pm ET $18.27 362 $6,615.55 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2026 2:55pm ET $18.23 362 $6,597.45 $6,599.13 $-18.10
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held
21 🟢 BUY Aug 28, 2026 3:55pm ET $18.36 359 $6,591.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 31, 2026 10:35am ET $18.25 359 $6,552.61 $6,560.50 $-38.63
(-0.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.8d held
22 🟢 BUY Sep 1, 2026 12:15pm ET $18.27 358 $6,542.45 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2026 9:30am ET $18.43 358 $6,599.73 $6,617.78 +$57.28
(+0.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
21.3h held
23 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 1:10pm ET $17.50 378 $6,613.11 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 1:10pm ET $18.19 378 $6,876.01 $6,880.68 +$262.90
(+4.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
5d held
24 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2026 1:25pm ET $18.77 366 $6,869.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2026 9:30am ET $18.24 366 $6,675.84 $6,686.88 $-193.80
(-2.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
20.1h held
25 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET $18.64 358 $6,673.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 11:35am ET $18.27 358 $6,540.66 $6,554.42 $-132.46
(-2.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.1h held
26 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 12:05pm ET $18.38 356 $6,541.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 1:40pm ET $18.24 356 $6,493.44 $6,506.36 $-48.06
(-0.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.6h held
27 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2026 1:25pm ET $17.80 365 $6,497.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2026 3:05pm ET $17.73 365 $6,471.45 $6,480.81 $-25.55
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.7h held
28 🟢 BUY Sep 21, 2026 12:25pm ET $17.63 367 $6,470.21 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 3:50pm ET $17.71 367 $6,499.57 $6,510.17 +$29.36
(+0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.4h held
29 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2026 9:45am ET $17.22 378 $6,509.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2026 12:20pm ET $17.51 378 $6,620.67 $6,621.68 +$111.51
(+1.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $6,621.68
Net Profit/Loss: $-3,378.32
Total Return: -33.78%
Back to Grace Crossover