Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:36:09

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
74 overbought
20d Trend
+6.1%
5d Trend
+7.2%
EMA20 Dist
+5.3%
ATR%
1.8%
Range Pos
94%
Bounce Ratio
3.3×
Green/Red 10d
6/4

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

52
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
26.3/35
Total Return
14.1/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
5.1/15
Consistency
6.7/10
Raw Quality 52.1/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 51.8

30-Day Momentum

7
-0.2%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
9
Trades
0.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 8.6 Conf: 0.84×
Declining (-45 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,992
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$14,358.76
Current Value
$14,839.78
Period P&L
$481.01
Max Drawdown
-6.4%
Sharpe Ratio
0.18

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
27
Winners / Losers
8 / 19
Best Trade
+2.44%
Worst Trade
-0.97%
Avg Trade Return
+0.12%
Avg Hold Time
9.6h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$790,853.14
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$481.01
Net P&L (after fees)
$481.01
Gross Return
+3.35%
Net Return (after fees)
+3.35%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 WMT Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 27 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $14,358.76 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2026 2:20pm ET $116.32 123 $14,307.18 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 25, 2026 3:55pm ET $115.89 123 $14,253.86 $14,305.44 $-53.32
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.6h held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 30, 2026 12:10pm ET $113.86 125 $14,233.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 30, 2026 12:40pm ET $113.70 125 $14,212.50 $14,284.81 $-20.63
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
30m held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 1, 2026 1:05pm ET $108.19 132 $14,281.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 1, 2026 2:20pm ET $107.98 132 $14,253.36 $14,257.09 $-27.72
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2026 3:20pm ET $111.75 127 $14,192.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 8, 2026 12:55pm ET $112.97 127 $14,347.19 $14,412.03 +$154.94
(+1.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
21.6h held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 13, 2026 12:40pm ET $114.63 125 $14,328.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 13, 2026 1:15pm ET $114.35 125 $14,293.75 $14,377.03 $-35.00
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
35m held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 15, 2026 9:45am ET $114.15 125 $14,268.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 16, 2026 2:55pm ET $115.06 125 $14,382.50 $14,490.78 +$113.75
(+0.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.2d held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 20, 2026 3:25pm ET $112.57 128 $14,408.83 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 20, 2026 3:50pm ET $112.36 128 $14,382.08 $14,464.03 $-26.75
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
25m held
8 🟢 BUY Jul 22, 2026 2:00pm ET $109.04 132 $14,393.94 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 22, 2026 3:15pm ET $109.00 132 $14,388.00 $14,458.09 $-5.94
(-0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held
9 🟢 BUY Jul 27, 2026 2:10pm ET $111.54 129 $14,388.66 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 28, 2026 11:40am ET $114.26 129 $14,739.54 $14,808.97 +$350.88
(+2.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
21.5h held
10 🟢 BUY Jul 29, 2026 11:40am ET $113.34 130 $14,734.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 30, 2026 9:30am ET $112.24 130 $14,591.20 $14,665.97 $-143.00
(-1.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
21.8h held
11 🟢 BUY Jul 31, 2026 2:15pm ET $111.61 131 $14,620.91 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 3, 2026 10:05am ET $111.32 131 $14,582.92 $14,627.98 $-37.99
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.8d held
12 🟢 BUY Aug 4, 2026 11:45am ET $109.96 133 $14,624.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 5, 2026 11:30am ET $111.87 133 $14,878.72 $14,882.02 +$254.04
(+1.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
23.8h held
13 🟢 BUY Aug 7, 2026 10:00am ET $111.74 133 $14,861.43 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 7, 2026 11:25am ET $111.59 133 $14,841.47 $14,862.06 $-19.96
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.4h held
14 🟢 BUY Aug 10, 2026 11:55am ET $111.50 133 $14,830.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 11, 2026 11:15am ET $112.41 133 $14,950.53 $14,982.43 +$120.37
(+0.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
23.3h held
15 🟢 BUY Aug 13, 2026 10:30am ET $115.63 129 $14,915.63 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 13, 2026 11:20am ET $115.43 129 $14,890.47 $14,957.28 $-25.15
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
50m held
16 🟢 BUY Aug 14, 2026 11:50am ET $115.37 129 $14,882.73 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 14, 2026 3:55pm ET $115.25 129 $14,866.61 $14,941.16 $-16.13
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
4.1h held
17 🟢 BUY Aug 18, 2026 2:55pm ET $115.68 129 $14,922.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 18, 2026 3:30pm ET $115.51 129 $14,900.79 $14,919.23 $-21.93
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
35m held
18 🟢 BUY Aug 20, 2026 1:05pm ET $104.17 143 $14,895.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 20, 2026 2:10pm ET $103.80 143 $14,843.40 $14,867.04 $-52.19
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.1h held
19 🟢 BUY Aug 25, 2026 12:40pm ET $105.09 141 $14,817.69 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 25, 2026 3:45pm ET $105.36 141 $14,855.76 $14,905.11 +$38.07
(+0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.1h held
20 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 1:20pm ET $102.85 144 $14,810.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2026 2:30pm ET $102.75 144 $14,796.72 $14,891.43 $-13.68
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.2h held
21 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2026 9:45am ET $106.07 140 $14,849.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2026 11:40am ET $105.96 140 $14,833.70 $14,876.03 $-15.40
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.9h held
22 🟢 BUY Sep 8, 2026 12:35pm ET $106.08 140 $14,851.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 2:30pm ET $105.94 140 $14,832.30 $14,857.13 $-18.90
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.9h held
23 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2026 9:30am ET $106.28 139 $14,772.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2026 10:35am ET $105.86 139 $14,714.54 $14,798.75 $-58.38
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.1h held
24 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 1:10pm ET $108.77 136 $14,792.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 3:00pm ET $108.68 136 $14,779.80 $14,785.83 $-12.92
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.8h held
25 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2026 12:40pm ET $106.68 138 $14,721.83 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2026 11:10am ET $107.02 138 $14,768.76 $14,832.76 +$46.93
(+0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
22.5h held
26 🟢 BUY Sep 21, 2026 2:50pm ET $107.51 137 $14,728.87 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 3:50pm ET $107.39 137 $14,713.11 $14,817.00 $-15.76
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1h held
27 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2026 12:30pm ET $110.08 134 $14,750.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 2:15pm ET $110.25 134 $14,773.50 $14,839.78 +$22.78
(+0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.8h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $14,839.78
Net Profit/Loss: +$4,839.78
Total Return: +48.40%
Back to Grace Crossover