Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-09-24 22:47:30

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
44.4 neutral
20d Trend
-1.7%
5d Trend
+0.1%
EMA20 Dist
-0.7%
ATR%
1.2%
Range Pos
44%
Bounce Ratio
1.3×
Green/Red 10d
5/5

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

19
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
4.4/35
Total Return
8.2/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
1.2/15
Consistency
4.9/10
Raw Quality 18.7/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 18.6

30-Day Momentum

19
+0.7%
30d Return
30%
Win Rate
10
Trades
1.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 21.3 Conf: 0.87×
Cooling (-0 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
5,070
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
65 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$10,550.76
Current Value
$10,863.69
Period P&L
$312.99
Max Drawdown
-6.8%
Sharpe Ratio
0.15

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
29
Winners / Losers
10 / 19
Best Trade
+1.79%
Worst Trade
-1.09%
Avg Trade Return
+0.09%
Avg Hold Time
16.4h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$617,002.76
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$312.99
Net P&L (after fees)
$312.99
Gross Return
+2.97%
Net Return (after fees)
+2.97%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 XLF Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 65 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 29 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $10,550.76 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2026 1:40pm ET $53.96 196 $10,575.18 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 24, 2026 12:20pm ET $53.81 196 $10,547.74 $10,563.46 $-27.44
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
22.7h held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 26, 2026 10:30am ET $53.60 197 $10,559.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 26, 2026 10:55am ET $53.49 197 $10,537.53 $10,541.79 $-21.67
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
25m held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 29, 2026 1:15pm ET $53.81 195 $10,492.95 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 29, 2026 3:15pm ET $53.78 195 $10,488.07 $10,536.91 $-4.88
(-0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
2h held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 1, 2026 9:30am ET $53.87 195 $10,504.65 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 1, 2026 2:10pm ET $54.83 195 $10,692.82 $10,725.09 +$188.18
(+1.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
4.7h held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2026 3:25pm ET $56.17 190 $10,672.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 9, 2026 2:00pm ET $55.56 190 $10,555.45 $10,608.24 $-116.85
(-1.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.9d held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 13, 2026 11:50am ET $55.83 189 $10,552.81 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 14, 2026 9:30am ET $55.67 189 $10,521.63 $10,577.05 $-31.19
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
21.7h held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 15, 2026 12:50pm ET $56.69 186 $10,544.34 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 15, 2026 1:10pm ET $56.59 186 $10,525.74 $10,558.45 $-18.60
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
20m held
8 🟢 BUY Jul 16, 2026 3:20pm ET $56.63 186 $10,533.18 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 16, 2026 3:30pm ET $56.51 186 $10,509.93 $10,535.20 $-23.25
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
10m held
9 🟢 BUY Jul 20, 2026 11:15am ET $56.15 187 $10,499.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 21, 2026 11:00am ET $56.02 187 $10,475.76 $10,511.84 $-23.36
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
23.8h held
10 🟢 BUY Jul 22, 2026 3:55pm ET $56.06 187 $10,483.22 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 23, 2026 12:50pm ET $55.65 187 $10,405.62 $10,434.23 $-77.61
(-0.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
20.9h held
11 🟢 BUY Jul 24, 2026 3:10pm ET $56.19 185 $10,395.15 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 27, 2026 11:55am ET $56.76 185 $10,500.60 $10,539.68 +$105.45
(+1.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.9d held
12 🟢 BUY Jul 28, 2026 3:40pm ET $57.49 183 $10,521.58 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 29, 2026 9:30am ET $57.14 183 $10,456.62 $10,474.72 $-64.96
(-0.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
17.8h held
13 🟢 BUY Jul 30, 2026 12:00pm ET $56.56 185 $10,462.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 31, 2026 9:35am ET $56.74 185 $10,497.82 $10,509.87 +$35.15
(+0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
21.6h held
14 🟢 BUY Aug 3, 2026 1:45pm ET $57.17 183 $10,461.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 4, 2026 3:55pm ET $57.92 183 $10,598.45 $10,647.12 +$137.25
(+1.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held
15 🟢 BUY Aug 6, 2026 12:35pm ET $57.82 184 $10,638.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 6, 2026 1:05pm ET $57.76 184 $10,626.92 $10,635.16 $-11.96
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
30m held
16 🟢 BUY Aug 12, 2026 11:45am ET $57.86 183 $10,588.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 12, 2026 12:10pm ET $57.76 183 $10,570.08 $10,616.86 $-18.30
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
25m held
17 🟢 BUY Aug 13, 2026 12:55pm ET $57.92 183 $10,598.45 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 14, 2026 10:35am ET $58.12 183 $10,635.96 $10,654.37 +$37.51
(+0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
21.7h held
18 🟢 BUY Aug 18, 2026 11:40am ET $57.85 184 $10,643.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 19, 2026 9:30am ET $57.89 184 $10,651.76 $10,662.65 +$8.28
(+0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
21.8h held
19 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 2:25pm ET $57.42 185 $10,623.62 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 24, 2026 12:25pm ET $58.10 185 $10,749.42 $10,788.45 +$125.80
(+1.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.9d held
20 🟢 BUY Aug 26, 2026 11:55am ET $58.26 185 $10,778.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 12:40pm ET $58.19 185 $10,766.07 $10,776.43 $-12.02
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
45m held
21 🟢 BUY Aug 28, 2026 9:30am ET $58.13 185 $10,754.05 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2026 12:25pm ET $58.13 185 $10,753.13 $10,775.50 $-0.93
(-0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.9h held
22 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 1:35pm ET $57.76 186 $10,744.29 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 31, 2026 2:50pm ET $57.74 186 $10,738.71 $10,769.92 $-5.58
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held
23 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2026 9:35am ET $57.40 187 $10,732.87 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2026 12:00pm ET $57.82 187 $10,812.34 $10,849.39 +$79.47
(+0.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.4h held
24 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 11:55am ET $58.12 186 $10,810.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 4, 2026 3:05pm ET $58.15 186 $10,814.97 $10,854.04 +$4.65
(+0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.2h held
25 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2026 10:55am ET $57.28 189 $10,824.98 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 2:15pm ET $57.16 189 $10,803.24 $10,832.30 $-21.74
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.3h held
26 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2026 3:35pm ET $56.83 190 $10,796.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2026 3:45pm ET $57.23 190 $10,873.70 $10,909.25 +$76.95
(+0.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
1d held
27 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 1:35pm ET $56.60 192 $10,868.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 9:35am ET $56.50 192 $10,848.00 $10,889.09 $-20.16
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
20h held
28 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2026 11:30am ET $55.85 194 $10,834.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2026 11:45am ET $55.76 194 $10,818.41 $10,872.60 $-16.49
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
1d held
29 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2026 12:50pm ET $54.90 198 $10,870.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 1:15pm ET $54.85 198 $10,861.29 $10,863.69 $-8.91
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
25m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,863.69
Net Profit/Loss: +$863.69
Total Return: +8.64%
Back to Grace Crossover