Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-09-24 23:19:16

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
74.9 overbought
20d Trend
+15.2%
5d Trend
+3.0%
EMA20 Dist
+5.9%
ATR%
2.4%
Range Pos
94%
Bounce Ratio
3.7×
Green/Red 10d
7/3

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

36
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
13.9/35
Total Return
12.5/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
3.1/15
Consistency
6.7/10
Raw Quality 36.1/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 35.5

30-Day Momentum

42
+7.1%
30d Return
43%
Win Rate
7
Trades
6.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 53.4 Conf: 0.78×
Steady (+6 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
5,070
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
65 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$11,533.90
Current Value
$13,064.81
Period P&L
$1,531.01
Max Drawdown
-7.7%
Sharpe Ratio
0.24

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
29
Winners / Losers
9 / 20
Best Trade
+4.42%
Worst Trade
-2.91%
Avg Trade Return
+0.34%
Avg Hold Time
14.9h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$685,432.11
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,531.01
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,531.01
Gross Return
+13.27%
Net Return (after fees)
+13.27%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 XOM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 65 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 29 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $11,533.90 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2026 3:30pm ET $140.11 84 $11,769.23 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 24, 2026 1:30pm ET $136.03 84 $11,426.51 $11,548.49 $-342.72
(-2.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
22h held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2026 2:00pm ET $137.20 84 $11,524.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 25, 2026 3:35pm ET $137.16 84 $11,521.44 $11,545.13 $-3.36
(-0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.6h held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 26, 2026 3:40pm ET $136.47 84 $11,463.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 26, 2026 3:45pm ET $136.28 84 $11,447.52 $11,529.17 $-15.96
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
5m held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 30, 2026 11:10am ET $136.29 84 $11,448.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 30, 2026 12:45pm ET $136.01 84 $11,424.84 $11,505.65 $-23.52
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.6h held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 2, 2026 9:30am ET $137.50 83 $11,412.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 2, 2026 11:35am ET $137.29 83 $11,395.07 $11,488.22 $-17.43
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.1h held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 6, 2026 11:35am ET $136.76 84 $11,487.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 6, 2026 3:10pm ET $136.60 84 $11,474.40 $11,474.78 $-13.44
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.6h held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 8, 2026 2:20pm ET $141.25 81 $11,441.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 9, 2026 9:30am ET $139.52 81 $11,301.12 $11,334.65 $-140.13
(-1.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
19.2h held
8 🟢 BUY Jul 10, 2026 9:35am ET $138.08 82 $11,322.77 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 10, 2026 10:30am ET $137.45 82 $11,270.49 $11,282.38 $-52.27
(-0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
55m held
9 🟢 BUY Jul 14, 2026 9:30am ET $145.60 77 $11,211.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 14, 2026 12:40pm ET $144.55 77 $11,130.73 $11,201.91 $-80.47
(-0.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.2h held
10 🟢 BUY Jul 15, 2026 12:40pm ET $143.38 78 $11,183.87 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 16, 2026 12:50pm ET $145.95 78 $11,383.71 $11,401.75 +$199.84
(+1.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
1d held
11 🟢 BUY Jul 17, 2026 2:25pm ET $148.14 76 $11,258.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 17, 2026 2:40pm ET $147.87 76 $11,238.12 $11,381.23 $-20.52
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
15m held
12 🟢 BUY Jul 20, 2026 3:05pm ET $148.77 76 $11,306.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 21, 2026 1:00pm ET $150.65 76 $11,449.02 $11,523.73 +$142.50
(+1.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
21.9h held
13 🟢 BUY Jul 23, 2026 2:35pm ET $157.64 73 $11,507.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 23, 2026 3:15pm ET $157.45 73 $11,493.85 $11,509.86 $-13.87
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
40m held
14 🟢 BUY Jul 27, 2026 12:00pm ET $155.10 74 $11,477.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 27, 2026 12:25pm ET $154.33 74 $11,420.42 $11,452.80 $-57.06
(-0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
25m held
15 🟢 BUY Jul 28, 2026 2:00pm ET $153.10 74 $11,329.77 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 29, 2026 12:30pm ET $157.24 74 $11,635.39 $11,758.42 +$305.62
(+2.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
22.5h held
16 🟢 BUY Aug 3, 2026 12:50pm ET $155.28 75 $11,646.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 3, 2026 1:25pm ET $154.93 75 $11,619.75 $11,732.17 $-26.25
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
35m held
17 🟢 BUY Aug 6, 2026 9:30am ET $154.09 76 $11,710.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 7, 2026 9:30am ET $152.49 76 $11,589.24 $11,610.57 $-121.60
(-1.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
1d held
18 🟢 BUY Aug 10, 2026 9:30am ET $154.97 74 $11,467.78 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 10, 2026 3:35pm ET $159.33 74 $11,790.42 $11,933.21 +$322.64
(+2.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
6.1h held
19 🟢 BUY Aug 11, 2026 3:45pm ET $159.97 74 $11,837.78 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 12, 2026 3:35pm ET $159.63 74 $11,812.62 $11,908.05 $-25.16
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
23.8h held
20 🟢 BUY Aug 13, 2026 3:35pm ET $158.74 75 $11,905.13 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 14, 2026 1:50pm ET $160.66 75 $12,049.50 $12,052.43 +$144.38
(+1.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
22.3h held
21 🟢 BUY Aug 18, 2026 9:30am ET $164.74 73 $12,026.02 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 19, 2026 11:45am ET $166.95 73 $12,187.36 $12,213.77 +$161.34
(+1.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held
22 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 2:55pm ET $165.51 73 $12,082.23 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 21, 2026 3:10pm ET $165.30 73 $12,066.90 $12,198.44 $-15.33
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
15m held
23 🟢 BUY Aug 25, 2026 12:35pm ET $162.02 75 $12,151.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 25, 2026 1:50pm ET $161.77 75 $12,132.75 $12,179.69 $-18.75
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held
24 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 11:55am ET $157.06 77 $12,093.62 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2026 9:35am ET $164.00 77 $12,628.00 $12,714.07 +$534.38
(+4.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
5.9d held
25 🟢 BUY Sep 8, 2026 9:30am ET $161.10 78 $12,565.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 3:35pm ET $164.27 78 $12,813.06 $12,961.33 +$247.26
(+2.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.3d held
26 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2026 11:50am ET $165.56 78 $12,913.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2026 1:10pm ET $165.20 78 $12,885.21 $12,932.86 $-28.47
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held
27 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 1:05pm ET $164.88 78 $12,860.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 2:30pm ET $164.44 78 $12,826.32 $12,898.54 $-34.32
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.4h held
28 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2026 2:10pm ET $162.79 79 $12,860.02 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2026 2:45pm ET $162.68 79 $12,851.33 $12,889.85 $-8.69
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
35m held
29 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2026 10:25am ET $158.80 81 $12,862.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 3:00pm ET $160.96 81 $13,037.76 $13,064.81 +$174.96
(+1.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.2d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $13,064.81
Net Profit/Loss: +$3,064.81
Total Return: +30.65%
Back to Grace Crossover