Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 23:59:53

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
28.2 oversold
20d Trend
-17.1%
5d Trend
-11.3%
EMA20 Dist
-10.7%
ATR%
4.7%
Range Pos
4%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
2/8

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

5
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.6/10
Raw Quality 4.6/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 4.5

30-Day Momentum

7
-5.0%
30d Return
22%
Win Rate
9
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 8.6 Conf: 0.84×
Steady (+3 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,984
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
128 days
Data Gaps
None (5 market holidays)

Market Closed (5 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$9,523.25
Current Value
$7,893.63
Period P&L
$-1,629.65
Max Drawdown
-7.8%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.25

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
54
Winners / Losers
17 / 37
Best Trade
+3.18%
Worst Trade
-4.69%
Avg Trade Return
-0.40%
Avg Hold Time
19.4h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$900,820.66
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,629.65
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,629.65
Gross Return
-17.11%
Net Return (after fees)
-17.11%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 ACN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 128 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 54 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $9,523.25 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 3:50pm ET $201.37 49 $9,867.13 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 9:40am ET $192.21 49 $9,418.05 $9,432.63 $-449.08
(-4.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.8h held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 12:05pm ET $192.30 49 $9,422.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 2:45pm ET $192.14 49 $9,414.86 $9,424.79 $-7.84
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.7h held
3 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 11:10am ET $193.90 48 $9,306.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 11:45am ET $192.73 48 $9,250.80 $9,368.63 $-56.16
(-0.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
35m held
4 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 11:10am ET $197.77 47 $9,295.19 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 12:00pm ET $197.29 47 $9,272.63 $9,346.07 $-22.56
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
50m held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 11:50am ET $199.10 46 $9,158.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 1:15pm ET $198.32 46 $9,122.49 $9,309.96 $-36.11
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.4h held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $200.17 46 $9,207.82 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:55am ET $197.09 46 $9,066.14 $9,168.28 $-141.68
(-1.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
25m held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 3:20pm ET $184.48 49 $9,039.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 9:35am ET $183.00 49 $8,967.18 $9,095.94 $-72.34
(-0.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
18.3h held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 11:50am ET $193.21 47 $9,080.87 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 3:45pm ET $194.13 47 $9,123.88 $9,138.94 +$43.00
(+0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.9h held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 11:30am ET $197.13 46 $9,067.98 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 11:35am ET $196.85 46 $9,054.87 $9,125.83 $-13.11
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
5m held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 3:00pm ET $189.41 48 $9,091.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET $180.52 48 $8,665.06 $8,699.21 $-426.62
(-4.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
18.5h held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 1:55pm ET $175.51 49 $8,599.99 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 12:30pm ET $179.24 49 $8,782.76 $8,881.98 +$182.77
(+2.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.9d held
12 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 1:30pm ET $179.52 49 $8,796.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 1:25pm ET $177.42 49 $8,693.58 $8,778.84 $-103.14
(-1.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
23.9h held
13 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 2:10pm ET $177.50 49 $8,697.50 — — —
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 10:15am ET $177.26 49 $8,685.50 $8,766.84 $-12.00
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
20.1h held
14 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 2:25pm ET $179.12 48 $8,597.76 — — —
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 11:35am ET $175.85 48 $8,440.80 $8,609.88 $-156.96
(-1.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
21.2h held
15 🟢 BUY May 6, 2026 12:30pm ET $176.59 48 $8,476.32 — — —
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 1:20pm ET $176.29 48 $8,462.16 $8,595.72 $-14.16
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
50m held
16 🟢 BUY May 7, 2026 2:10pm ET $179.80 47 $8,450.60 — — —
🔴 SELL May 8, 2026 9:30am ET $178.02 47 $8,366.94 $8,512.06 $-83.66
(-1.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
19.3h held
17 🟢 BUY May 12, 2026 11:25am ET $173.42 49 $8,497.58 — — —
🔴 SELL May 12, 2026 11:50am ET $172.73 49 $8,463.53 $8,478.01 $-34.05
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
25m held
18 🟢 BUY May 14, 2026 3:50pm ET $164.41 51 $8,384.91 — — —
🔴 SELL May 15, 2026 1:55pm ET $167.06 51 $8,520.06 $8,613.16 +$135.15
(+1.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
22.1h held
19 🟢 BUY May 21, 2026 11:10am ET $177.77 48 $8,533.20 — — —
🔴 SELL May 21, 2026 3:05pm ET $177.34 48 $8,512.32 $8,592.28 $-20.88
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.9h held
20 🟢 BUY May 26, 2026 11:20am ET $177.75 48 $8,532.00 — — —
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 2:05pm ET $177.78 48 $8,533.44 $8,593.72 +$1.44
(+0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.8h held
21 🟢 BUY May 28, 2026 9:45am ET $178.57 48 $8,571.60 — — —
🔴 SELL May 28, 2026 1:20pm ET $178.24 48 $8,555.52 $8,577.64 $-16.08
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.6h held
22 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 2:10pm ET $184.96 46 $8,508.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 9:30am ET $182.93 46 $8,414.78 $8,484.26 $-93.38
(-1.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
19.3h held
23 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 9:30am ET $181.16 46 $8,333.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 11:00am ET $179.77 46 $8,269.65 $8,420.55 $-63.71
(-0.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.5h held
24 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 1:30pm ET $177.83 47 $8,358.01 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 3:00pm ET $177.96 47 $8,364.12 $8,426.66 +$6.11
(+0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.5h held
25 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 1:50pm ET $172.04 48 $8,257.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 9:30am ET $168.68 48 $8,096.64 $8,265.62 $-161.04
(-2.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
19.7h held
26 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 10:15am ET $169.04 48 $8,113.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 16, 2026 12:15pm ET $166.84 48 $8,008.08 $8,160.02 $-105.60
(-1.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
4.1d held
27 🟢 BUY Jun 18, 2026 3:20pm ET $128.22 63 $8,077.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2026 3:50pm ET $125.81 63 $7,925.72 $8,007.88 $-152.14
(-1.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
30m held
28 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2026 12:00pm ET $128.76 62 $7,983.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 25, 2026 12:10pm ET $128.15 62 $7,945.30 $7,970.06 $-37.82
(-0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
10m held
29 🟢 BUY Jun 26, 2026 2:00pm ET $127.67 62 $7,915.23 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 30, 2026 11:15am ET $122.39 62 $7,587.87 $7,642.70 $-327.36
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held
30 🟢 BUY Jul 2, 2026 9:30am ET $134.92 56 $7,555.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 6, 2026 1:55pm ET $137.06 56 $7,675.36 $7,762.54 +$119.84
(+1.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
4.2d held
31 🟢 BUY Jul 9, 2026 10:40am ET $136.72 56 $7,656.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 10, 2026 10:15am ET $138.06 56 $7,731.36 $7,837.58 +$75.04
(+1.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
23.6h held
32 🟢 BUY Jul 14, 2026 11:30am ET $135.69 57 $7,734.33 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 14, 2026 1:55pm ET $135.95 57 $7,748.87 $7,852.12 +$14.54
(+0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.4h held
33 🟢 BUY Jul 16, 2026 9:30am ET $138.77 56 $7,771.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 16, 2026 10:10am ET $137.00 56 $7,672.00 $7,752.72 $-99.40
(-1.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
40m held
34 🟢 BUY Jul 17, 2026 12:25pm ET $141.80 54 $7,657.19 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 20, 2026 9:30am ET $140.86 54 $7,606.44 $7,701.97 $-50.75
(-0.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.9d held
35 🟢 BUY Jul 21, 2026 3:10pm ET $141.02 54 $7,615.35 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 22, 2026 10:20am ET $140.85 54 $7,606.17 $7,692.79 $-9.18
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
19.2h held
36 🟢 BUY Jul 23, 2026 11:40am ET $138.04 55 $7,591.93 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 23, 2026 3:40pm ET $137.91 55 $7,585.32 $7,686.19 $-6.60
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
4h held
37 🟢 BUY Jul 28, 2026 9:30am ET $160.44 47 $7,540.66 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 28, 2026 2:05pm ET $165.30 47 $7,769.33 $7,914.87 +$228.68
(+3.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
4.6h held
38 🟢 BUY Jul 30, 2026 1:15pm ET $163.35 48 $7,840.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 30, 2026 3:00pm ET $163.52 48 $7,849.20 $7,923.27 +$8.40
(+0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.8h held
39 🟢 BUY Aug 3, 2026 12:30pm ET $166.49 47 $7,825.03 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 5, 2026 10:45am ET $168.84 47 $7,935.25 $8,033.49 +$110.22
(+1.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.9d held
40 🟢 BUY Aug 7, 2026 12:05pm ET $172.86 46 $7,951.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 10, 2026 2:30pm ET $178.35 46 $8,204.10 $8,286.03 +$252.54
(+3.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.1d held
41 🟢 BUY Aug 11, 2026 2:45pm ET $178.77 46 $8,223.65 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 12, 2026 9:30am ET $176.30 46 $8,109.80 $8,172.18 $-113.85
(-1.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
18.8h held
42 🟢 BUY Aug 13, 2026 2:50pm ET $178.98 45 $8,054.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 14, 2026 9:30am ET $176.22 45 $7,929.90 $8,047.98 $-124.20
(-1.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
18.7h held
43 🟢 BUY Aug 18, 2026 9:35am ET $171.55 46 $7,891.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 18, 2026 3:30pm ET $175.56 46 $8,075.76 $8,232.44 +$184.46
(+2.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
5.9h held
44 🟢 BUY Aug 20, 2026 10:55am ET $184.60 44 $8,122.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 20, 2026 1:00pm ET $185.01 44 $8,140.22 $8,250.26 +$17.82
(+0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.1h held
45 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 3:50pm ET $184.60 44 $8,122.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 24, 2026 12:35pm ET $186.00 44 $8,184.00 $8,311.86 +$61.60
(+0.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.9d held
46 🟢 BUY Aug 25, 2026 2:05pm ET $186.62 44 $8,211.06 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET $184.92 44 $8,136.48 $8,237.28 $-74.58
(-0.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
19.4h held
47 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 9:30am ET $184.15 44 $8,102.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2026 1:35pm ET $188.47 44 $8,292.68 $8,427.36 +$190.08
(+2.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
4.1h held
48 🟢 BUY Aug 28, 2026 2:05pm ET $189.82 44 $8,352.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2026 2:50pm ET $189.59 44 $8,341.96 $8,417.02 $-10.34
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
45m held
49 🟢 BUY Sep 1, 2026 1:35pm ET $188.18 44 $8,279.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 3:15pm ET $187.92 44 $8,268.48 $8,405.58 $-11.44
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.7h held
50 🟢 BUY Sep 8, 2026 2:10pm ET $178.42 47 $8,385.79 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 2:45pm ET $177.76 47 $8,354.72 $8,374.51 $-31.07
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
35m held
51 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2026 3:35pm ET $177.31 47 $8,333.57 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 10, 2026 12:10pm ET $177.85 47 $8,358.95 $8,399.89 +$25.38
(+0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
20.6h held
52 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 10:55am ET $194.43 43 $8,360.49 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 3:00pm ET $190.54 43 $8,193.22 $8,232.62 $-167.27
(-2.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.2d held
53 🟢 BUY Sep 21, 2026 9:30am ET $192.76 42 $8,096.09 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 11:30am ET $185.22 42 $7,779.24 $7,915.77 $-316.85
(-3.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
2h held
54 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2026 12:35pm ET $183.84 43 $7,904.91 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 9:50am ET $183.32 43 $7,882.76 $7,893.63 $-22.14
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
21.3h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $7,893.63
Net Profit/Loss: $-2,106.37
Total Return: -21.06%
Back to Grace Crossover