Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 19:10:41

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
4.96%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.26%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
30.4 neutral
20d Trend
-15.2%
5d Trend
-20.7%
EMA20 Dist
-16.9%
ATR%
7.4%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.7×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

10
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.3/35
Total Return
4.7/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.1/15
Consistency
4.9/10
Raw Quality 9.9/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 9.9

30-Day Momentum

75
+13.1%
30d Return
70%
Win Rate
10
Trades
6.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 85.9 Conf: 0.87×
Accelerating (+65 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,984
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
128 days
Data Gaps
None (5 market holidays)

Market Closed (5 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$7,954.56
Current Value
$10,271.74
Period P&L
$2,317.10
Max Drawdown
-38.6%
Sharpe Ratio
0.15

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
58
Winners / Losers
26 / 32
Best Trade
+10.03%
Worst Trade
-6.54%
Avg Trade Return
+0.50%
Avg Hold Time
19.8h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$997,009.11
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$2,317.10
Net P&L (after fees)
$2,317.10
Gross Return
+29.13%
Net Return (after fees)
+29.13%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AMD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 128 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 58 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $7,954.56 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 11:40am ET $201.55 39 $7,860.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 2:25pm ET $201.22 39 $7,847.51 $7,941.51 $-13.13
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.8h held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 9:30am ET $198.05 40 $7,922.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 11:45am ET $198.62 40 $7,944.80 $7,964.11 +$22.60
(+0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.3h held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 3:25pm ET $211.85 37 $7,838.45 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 3:40pm ET $210.66 37 $7,794.60 $7,920.26 $-43.85
(-0.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
15m held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 11:50am ET $220.58 35 $7,720.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 12:45pm ET $220.10 35 $7,703.50 $7,903.46 $-16.80
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
55m held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 3:25pm ET $218.98 36 $7,883.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 2:45pm ET $231.78 36 $8,344.08 $8,364.26 +$460.80
(+5.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
23.3h held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 1:45pm ET $245.82 34 $8,357.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 2:10pm ET $245.27 34 $8,339.18 $8,345.56 $-18.70
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
3d held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 2:30pm ET $254.76 32 $8,152.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 11:35am ET $276.10 32 $8,835.20 $9,028.28 +$682.72
(+8.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
21.1h held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 12:10pm ET $278.64 32 $8,916.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 2:30pm ET $278.48 32 $8,911.20 $9,023.00 $-5.28
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.3h held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 2:30pm ET $274.46 32 $8,782.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 1:30pm ET $281.23 32 $8,999.36 $9,239.66 +$216.66
(+2.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
23h held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 9:30am ET $336.83 27 $9,094.54 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 3:50pm ET $335.51 27 $9,058.64 $9,203.75 $-35.91
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.3d held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET $326.58 28 $9,144.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 12:15pm ET $327.35 28 $9,165.66 $9,225.17 +$21.42
(+0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.8h held
12 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 11:20am ET $354.17 26 $9,208.42 — — —
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 2:50pm ET $358.08 26 $9,309.95 $9,326.70 +$101.53
(+1.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.5h held
13 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 3:45pm ET $343.77 27 $9,281.92 — — —
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 3:55pm ET $342.11 27 $9,236.97 $9,281.74 $-44.96
(-0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
10m held
14 🟢 BUY May 6, 2026 9:30am ET $426.80 21 $8,962.80 — — —
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 10:20am ET $404.50 21 $8,494.50 $8,813.44 $-468.30
(-5.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
50m held
15 🟢 BUY May 7, 2026 10:20am ET $419.91 20 $8,398.20 — — —
🔴 SELL May 7, 2026 12:20pm ET $402.86 20 $8,057.30 $8,472.54 $-340.90
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2h held
16 🟢 BUY May 12, 2026 1:35pm ET $437.78 19 $8,317.82 — — —
🔴 SELL May 13, 2026 10:05am ET $437.30 19 $8,308.78 $8,463.50 $-9.04
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
20.5h held
17 🟢 BUY May 15, 2026 1:30pm ET $433.87 19 $8,243.53 — — —
🔴 SELL May 18, 2026 10:35am ET $413.82 19 $7,862.58 $8,082.55 $-380.95
(-4.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held
18 🟢 BUY May 19, 2026 11:30am ET $408.01 19 $7,752.19 — — —
🔴 SELL May 19, 2026 2:40pm ET $417.70 19 $7,936.30 $8,266.66 +$184.11
(+2.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.2h held
19 🟢 BUY May 20, 2026 3:05pm ET $445.55 18 $8,019.90 — — —
🔴 SELL May 21, 2026 9:30am ET $441.73 18 $7,951.05 $8,197.81 $-68.85
(-0.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
18.4h held
20 🟢 BUY May 26, 2026 9:30am ET $482.23 16 $7,715.68 — — —
🔴 SELL May 27, 2026 1:05pm ET $492.35 16 $7,877.65 $8,359.78 +$161.97
(+2.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held
21 🟢 BUY May 28, 2026 3:05pm ET $520.49 16 $8,327.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 9:40am ET $495.99 16 $7,935.84 $7,967.78 $-392.00
(-4.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8d held
22 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 11:30am ET $512.90 15 $7,693.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 12:45pm ET $530.92 15 $7,963.80 $8,238.08 +$270.30
(+3.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held
23 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 3:35pm ET $528.43 15 $7,926.45 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 3:45pm ET $525.88 15 $7,888.20 $8,199.83 $-38.25
(-0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
10m held
24 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 3:50pm ET $473.59 17 $8,051.03 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 8, 2026 3:10pm ET $488.78 17 $8,309.26 $8,458.06 +$258.23
(+3.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
3d held
25 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2026 9:30am ET $461.60 18 $8,308.71 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2026 9:30am ET $499.68 18 $8,994.19 $9,143.54 +$685.48
(+8.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
26 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET $535.75 17 $9,107.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 1:50pm ET $548.47 17 $9,323.91 $9,359.70 +$216.16
(+2.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
4.3h held
27 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2026 2:40pm ET $525.60 17 $8,935.21 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 3:20pm ET $520.01 17 $8,840.17 $9,264.66 $-95.04
(-1.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
40m held
28 🟢 BUY Jun 22, 2026 12:50pm ET $544.16 17 $9,250.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 23, 2026 9:30am ET $508.58 17 $8,645.86 $8,659.80 $-604.86
(-6.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
20.7h held
29 🟢 BUY Jun 24, 2026 9:30am ET $521.49 16 $8,343.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 24, 2026 11:10am ET $517.33 16 $8,277.20 $8,593.08 $-66.72
(-0.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.7h held
30 🟢 BUY Jun 26, 2026 10:30am ET $522.56 16 $8,360.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 26, 2026 2:10pm ET $519.44 16 $8,311.04 $8,543.16 $-49.92
(-0.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.7h held
31 🟢 BUY Jul 1, 2026 1:25pm ET $553.71 15 $8,305.65 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 1, 2026 1:45pm ET $550.35 15 $8,255.25 $8,492.76 $-50.40
(-0.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
20m held
32 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2026 12:10pm ET $518.40 16 $8,294.39 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 9, 2026 1:00pm ET $551.22 16 $8,819.52 $9,017.89 +$525.13
(+6.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
2d held
33 🟢 BUY Jul 10, 2026 3:05pm ET $556.27 16 $8,900.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 13, 2026 9:30am ET $539.49 16 $8,631.84 $8,749.41 $-268.48
(-3.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.8d held
34 🟢 BUY Jul 14, 2026 9:30am ET $568.00 15 $8,520.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 14, 2026 12:20pm ET $554.82 15 $8,322.32 $8,551.73 $-197.68
(-2.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.8h held
35 🟢 BUY Jul 17, 2026 11:35am ET $487.86 17 $8,293.62 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 17, 2026 2:15pm ET $497.49 17 $8,457.33 $8,715.44 +$163.71
(+2.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.7h held
36 🟢 BUY Jul 21, 2026 9:30am ET $526.10 16 $8,417.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 21, 2026 3:25pm ET $541.32 16 $8,661.12 $8,958.88 +$243.44
(+2.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
5.9h held
37 🟢 BUY Jul 23, 2026 2:35pm ET $537.99 16 $8,607.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 23, 2026 2:50pm ET $535.18 16 $8,562.85 $8,913.89 $-44.99
(-0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
15m held
38 🟢 BUY Jul 28, 2026 11:45am ET $461.88 19 $8,775.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 28, 2026 1:10pm ET $458.24 19 $8,706.56 $8,844.73 $-69.16
(-0.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.4h held
39 🟢 BUY Jul 29, 2026 1:10pm ET $433.62 20 $8,672.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 29, 2026 3:35pm ET $437.42 20 $8,748.40 $8,920.73 +$76.00
(+0.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.4h held
40 🟢 BUY Jul 31, 2026 9:30am ET $509.48 17 $8,661.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 31, 2026 10:10am ET $485.93 17 $8,260.81 $8,520.46 $-400.27
(-4.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
40m held
41 🟢 BUY Aug 3, 2026 10:40am ET $479.77 17 $8,156.17 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 4, 2026 11:10am ET $518.51 17 $8,814.67 $9,178.96 +$658.50
(+8.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
42 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2026 12:55pm ET $489.51 18 $8,811.18 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 5, 2026 1:05pm ET $487.43 18 $8,773.74 $9,141.52 $-37.44
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
10m held
43 🟢 BUY Aug 6, 2026 2:20pm ET $492.77 18 $8,869.82 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 10, 2026 9:30am ET $477.42 18 $8,593.61 $8,865.31 $-276.21
(-3.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.8d held
44 🟢 BUY Aug 11, 2026 11:15am ET $470.20 18 $8,463.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 12, 2026 1:25pm ET $486.75 18 $8,761.57 $9,163.28 +$297.97
(+3.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held
45 🟢 BUY Aug 14, 2026 9:45am ET $495.40 18 $8,917.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 14, 2026 11:45am ET $498.12 18 $8,966.16 $9,212.24 +$48.96
(+0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
2h held
46 🟢 BUY Aug 18, 2026 2:40pm ET $479.62 19 $9,112.78 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 19, 2026 9:40am ET $475.50 19 $9,034.50 $9,133.96 $-78.28
(-0.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
19h held
47 🟢 BUY Aug 20, 2026 1:55pm ET $464.27 19 $8,821.22 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 21, 2026 10:20am ET $462.95 19 $8,796.05 $9,108.79 $-25.17
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
20.4h held
48 🟢 BUY Aug 24, 2026 11:40am ET $460.59 19 $8,751.21 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 24, 2026 1:00pm ET $459.28 19 $8,726.32 $9,083.90 $-24.89
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held
49 🟢 BUY Aug 25, 2026 1:20pm ET $476.92 19 $9,061.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET $475.04 19 $9,025.76 $9,048.18 $-35.72
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
20.2h held
50 🟢 BUY Aug 28, 2026 1:20pm ET $471.30 19 $8,954.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 31, 2026 10:10am ET $468.76 19 $8,906.44 $8,999.92 $-48.26
(-0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.9d held
51 🟢 BUY Sep 1, 2026 11:45am ET $459.92 19 $8,738.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 12:20pm ET $457.13 19 $8,685.47 $8,946.91 $-53.01
(-0.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
35m held
52 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2026 3:15pm ET $457.16 19 $8,686.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 2:30pm ET $457.17 19 $8,686.23 $8,947.10 +$0.19
(+0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
23.3h held
53 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2026 9:30am ET $514.14 17 $8,740.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 2:45pm ET $522.51 17 $8,882.67 $9,089.48 +$142.38
(+1.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
5.3h held
54 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2026 9:30am ET $511.18 17 $8,690.14 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2026 12:25pm ET $511.90 17 $8,702.30 $9,101.63 +$12.15
(+0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.9h held
55 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 9:30am ET $501.13 18 $9,020.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 11:15am ET $503.01 18 $9,054.09 $9,135.47 +$33.84
(+0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.8h held
56 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2026 9:30am ET $534.35 17 $9,083.95 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2026 2:00pm ET $546.47 17 $9,289.99 $9,341.51 +$206.04
(+2.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
4.5h held
57 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2026 3:00pm ET $544.97 17 $9,264.46 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 9:40am ET $599.65 17 $10,194.05 $10,271.10 +$929.59
(+10.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.8d held
58 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2026 1:35pm ET $617.16 16 $9,874.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 9:40am ET $617.20 16 $9,875.20 $10,271.74 +$0.64
(+0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
20.1h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,271.74
Net Profit/Loss: +$271.74
Total Return: +2.72%
Back to Grace Crossover