AMZN Grace Crossover's Analysis
Last 6 Months: 2026-03-25 to present • 54 trades in period
-4.93%
Last 6 Months Return
$8,943.58
Current Value
39%
Win Rate
$9,407.13
Period Start
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
22.1 oversold
20d Trend
-18.5%
5d Trend
-17.4%
EMA20 Dist
-14.4%
ATR%
4.1%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
5
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.9/10
Raw Quality
4.8/100
× Confidence 0.98
= 4.8
30-Day Momentum
6
-4.5%
30d Return
13%
Win Rate
8
Trades
0.5×
Profit Factor
Quality: 7.1
Conf: 0.81×
Steady (+1 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,906
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
127 days
Data Gaps
None (5 market holidays)
Market Closed (5 days)
2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)
Period Start Capital
$9,407.13
Current Value
$8,943.58
Period P&L
$-463.55
Max Drawdown
-24.3%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.03
Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)
Trades in Period
54
Winners / Losers
21 /
33
Best Trade
+8.44%
Worst Trade
-4.54%
Avg Trade Return
-0.07%
Avg Hold Time
1.1d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,013,512.54
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-463.55
Net P&L (after fees)
$-463.55
Gross Return
-4.93%
Net Return (after fees)
-4.93%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 AMZN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 127 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 6 Months - 54 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $9,407.13 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 25, 2026 9:30am ET | $211.36 | 44 | $9,299.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 25, 2026 2:10pm ET | $211.66 | 44 | $9,313.04 | $9,420.33 |
+$13.20 (+0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
4.7h held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 9:35am ET | $201.80 | 46 | $9,282.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 1:10pm ET | $202.48 | 46 | $9,314.08 | $9,451.61 |
+$31.28 (+0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.6h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 3:35pm ET | $211.58 | 44 | $9,309.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 2, 2026 12:00pm ET | $209.68 | 44 | $9,226.14 | $9,368.23 |
$-83.38 (-0.9%) |
DEATH_CROSS
20.4h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2026 12:00pm ET | $210.97 | 44 | $9,282.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2026 2:55pm ET | $211.81 | 44 | $9,319.64 | $9,405.19 |
+$36.96 (+0.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.9h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $225.23 | 41 | $9,234.51 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 10, 2026 12:05pm ET | $237.58 | 41 | $9,740.78 | $9,911.46 |
+$506.27 (+5.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 13, 2026 3:35pm ET | $238.78 | 41 | $9,789.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 14, 2026 2:35pm ET | $249.35 | 41 | $10,223.35 | $10,344.83 |
+$433.37 (+4.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
23h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 16, 2026 11:15am ET | $247.11 | 41 | $10,131.51 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2026 12:25pm ET | $253.46 | 41 | $10,391.86 | $10,605.18 |
+$260.35 (+2.6%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 20, 2026 12:45pm ET | $247.12 | 42 | $10,378.83 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2026 12:55pm ET | $251.98 | 42 | $10,583.16 | $10,809.51 |
+$204.33 (+2.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 23, 2026 3:20pm ET | $255.56 | 42 | $10,733.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 3:50pm ET | $255.05 | 42 | $10,712.14 | $10,788.13 |
$-21.38 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
30m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 27, 2026 11:00am ET | $262.89 | 41 | $10,778.29 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $258.21 | 41 | $10,586.81 | $10,596.66 |
$-191.47 (-1.8%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.9d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $273.04 | 38 | $10,375.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 30, 2026 9:40am ET | $260.65 | 38 | $9,904.70 | $10,125.84 |
$-470.82 (-4.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | May 1, 2026 2:00pm ET | $269.29 | 37 | $9,963.73 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 4, 2026 11:45am ET | $271.60 | 37 | $10,049.20 | $10,211.31 |
+$85.47 (+0.9%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.9d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | May 5, 2026 2:50pm ET | $273.96 | 37 | $10,136.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 5, 2026 3:30pm ET | $273.82 | 37 | $10,131.34 | $10,206.13 |
$-5.18 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
40m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | May 7, 2026 2:15pm ET | $272.80 | 37 | $10,093.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 7, 2026 2:40pm ET | $272.34 | 37 | $10,076.58 | $10,189.29 |
$-16.84 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
25m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | May 8, 2026 3:15pm ET | $272.80 | 37 | $10,093.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 11, 2026 9:30am ET | $270.16 | 37 | $9,995.92 | $10,091.61 |
$-97.68 (-1.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.8d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | May 15, 2026 1:25pm ET | $263.03 | 38 | $9,995.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 15, 2026 3:15pm ET | $263.04 | 38 | $9,995.52 | $10,091.99 |
+$0.38 (+0.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.8h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | May 18, 2026 3:40pm ET | $264.56 | 38 | $10,053.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 19, 2026 9:30am ET | $262.02 | 38 | $9,956.76 | $9,995.47 |
$-96.52 (-1.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
17.8h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | May 20, 2026 1:45pm ET | $263.46 | 37 | $9,748.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 22, 2026 10:10am ET | $267.85 | 37 | $9,910.45 | $10,157.90 |
+$162.43 (+1.7%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.9d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | May 26, 2026 10:10am ET | $267.98 | 37 | $9,915.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 26, 2026 3:00pm ET | $262.90 | 37 | $9,727.30 | $9,970.12 |
$-187.78 (-1.9%) |
DEATH_CROSS
4.8h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | May 29, 2026 11:35am ET | $272.57 | 36 | $9,812.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $266.29 | 36 | $9,586.44 | $9,744.04 |
$-226.08 (-2.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.9d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 2, 2026 10:55am ET | $259.89 | 37 | $9,615.93 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 3, 2026 12:20pm ET | $249.43 | 37 | $9,228.91 | $9,357.02 |
$-387.02 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 4, 2026 1:20pm ET | $254.07 | 36 | $9,146.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 4, 2026 1:40pm ET | $253.78 | 36 | $9,136.08 | $9,346.40 |
$-10.62 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
20m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 9, 2026 1:35pm ET | $244.00 | 38 | $9,272.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 9, 2026 3:35pm ET | $244.03 | 38 | $9,273.14 | $9,347.54 |
+$1.14 (+0.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 11, 2026 1:30pm ET | $238.72 | 39 | $9,310.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 12, 2026 9:35am ET | $237.45 | 39 | $9,260.63 | $9,298.09 |
$-49.45 (-0.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
20.1h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $248.03 | 37 | $9,177.11 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 17, 2026 3:20pm ET | $237.93 | 37 | $8,803.41 | $8,924.39 |
$-373.70 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 18, 2026 3:55pm ET | $244.42 | 36 | $8,799.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 22, 2026 9:30am ET | $240.39 | 36 | $8,654.04 | $8,779.31 |
$-145.08 (-1.6%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.7d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 23, 2026 9:45am ET | $234.53 | 37 | $8,677.61 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 23, 2026 11:10am ET | $234.45 | 37 | $8,674.65 | $8,776.35 |
$-2.96 (-0.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.4h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 26, 2026 3:55pm ET | $232.48 | 37 | $8,601.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 29, 2026 12:15pm ET | $240.61 | 37 | $8,902.57 | $9,077.16 |
+$300.81 (+3.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.8d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 6, 2026 10:40am ET | $243.45 | 37 | $9,007.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 6, 2026 2:10pm ET | $244.66 | 37 | $9,052.42 | $9,121.93 |
+$44.77 (+0.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.5h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 7, 2026 3:45pm ET | $245.72 | 37 | $9,091.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $244.18 | 37 | $9,034.77 | $9,065.06 |
$-56.87 (-0.6%) |
DEATH_CROSS
17.8h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 9, 2026 10:00am ET | $242.71 | 37 | $8,980.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 10, 2026 10:35am ET | $245.50 | 37 | $9,083.50 | $9,168.29 |
+$103.23 (+1.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 13, 2026 1:15pm ET | $248.20 | 36 | $8,935.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 13, 2026 3:25pm ET | $248.28 | 36 | $8,938.08 | $9,171.17 |
+$2.88 (+0.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.2h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 16, 2026 10:20am ET | $254.90 | 35 | $8,921.67 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 16, 2026 1:40pm ET | $255.36 | 35 | $8,937.60 | $9,187.10 |
+$15.93 (+0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.3h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $248.75 | 36 | $8,955.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 21, 2026 2:35pm ET | $247.54 | 36 | $8,911.44 | $9,143.54 |
$-43.56 (-0.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.2d held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 22, 2026 3:00pm ET | $243.82 | 37 | $9,021.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $236.38 | 37 | $8,746.06 | $8,868.26 |
$-275.28 (-3.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
18.5h held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $235.58 | 37 | $8,716.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 27, 2026 10:55am ET | $233.18 | 37 | $8,627.66 | $8,779.46 |
$-88.80 (-1.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.4h held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 28, 2026 11:35am ET | $230.26 | 38 | $8,749.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 28, 2026 2:15pm ET | $231.16 | 38 | $8,784.08 | $8,813.66 |
+$34.20 (+0.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.7h held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 31, 2026 9:30am ET | $264.11 | 33 | $8,715.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 3, 2026 9:40am ET | $286.40 | 33 | $9,451.20 | $9,549.23 |
+$735.57 (+8.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3d held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 4, 2026 12:40pm ET | $278.46 | 34 | $9,467.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 4, 2026 3:55pm ET | $277.46 | 34 | $9,433.64 | $9,515.23 |
$-34.00 (-0.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.3h held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 7, 2026 3:55pm ET | $275.45 | 34 | $9,365.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 10, 2026 12:40pm ET | $277.67 | 34 | $9,440.78 | $9,590.71 |
+$75.48 (+0.8%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.9d held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 11, 2026 1:50pm ET | $272.74 | 35 | $9,545.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 11, 2026 2:30pm ET | $272.03 | 35 | $9,521.05 | $9,565.86 |
$-24.85 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
40m held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 12, 2026 2:45pm ET | $268.91 | 35 | $9,411.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 12, 2026 3:50pm ET | $268.13 | 35 | $9,384.64 | $9,538.65 |
$-27.21 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.1h held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 14, 2026 12:40pm ET | $264.33 | 36 | $9,515.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 18, 2026 9:35am ET | $258.80 | 36 | $9,316.95 | $9,339.72 |
$-198.93 (-2.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.9d held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 19, 2026 10:10am ET | $260.80 | 35 | $9,128.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 20, 2026 9:35am ET | $262.64 | 35 | $9,192.23 | $9,403.95 |
+$64.23 (+0.7%) |
DEATH_CROSS
23.4h held |
|
| 45 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 21, 2026 11:00am ET | $260.20 | 36 | $9,367.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 21, 2026 11:15am ET | $259.49 | 36 | $9,341.64 | $9,378.39 |
$-25.56 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
15m held |
|
| 46 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 24, 2026 2:15pm ET | $262.67 | 35 | $9,193.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 24, 2026 2:50pm ET | $262.15 | 35 | $9,175.25 | $9,360.02 |
$-18.37 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
35m held |
|
| 47 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 25, 2026 2:55pm ET | $260.68 | 35 | $9,123.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 26, 2026 10:20am ET | $260.23 | 35 | $9,108.05 | $9,344.27 |
$-15.75 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
19.4h held |
|
| 48 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 28, 2026 2:40pm ET | $265.75 | 35 | $9,301.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 31, 2026 2:00pm ET | $259.21 | 35 | $9,072.35 | $9,115.37 |
$-228.90 (-2.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3d held |
|
| 49 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 3, 2026 2:05pm ET | $259.17 | 35 | $9,070.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 8, 2026 12:00pm ET | $256.30 | 35 | $8,970.50 | $9,014.92 |
$-100.45 (-1.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
4.9d held |
|
| 50 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 9, 2026 1:05pm ET | $251.95 | 35 | $8,818.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 9, 2026 3:05pm ET | $251.76 | 35 | $8,811.60 | $9,008.27 |
$-6.65 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2h held |
|
| 51 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 11, 2026 9:30am ET | $254.04 | 35 | $8,891.57 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $253.43 | 35 | $8,869.88 | $8,986.57 |
$-21.70 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3d held |
|
| 52 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 16, 2026 11:15am ET | $248.15 | 36 | $8,933.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 16, 2026 1:10pm ET | $247.62 | 36 | $8,914.32 | $8,967.31 |
$-19.26 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.9h held |
|
| 53 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 17, 2026 2:40pm ET | $251.52 | 35 | $8,803.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 18, 2026 1:15pm ET | $253.16 | 35 | $8,860.60 | $9,024.71 |
+$57.40 (+0.7%) |
DEATH_CROSS
22.6h held |
|
| 54 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 22, 2026 1:55pm ET | $255.62 | 35 | $8,946.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $253.30 | 35 | $8,865.57 | $8,943.58 |
$-81.13 (-0.9%) |
DEATH_CROSS
19.6h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$8,943.58
Net Profit/Loss:
$-1,056.42
Total Return:
-10.56%