Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 18:38:39

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
4.96%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.26%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
32.7 neutral
20d Trend
-13.0%
5d Trend
-6.9%
EMA20 Dist
-6.4%
ATR%
4.0%
Range Pos
10%
Bounce Ratio
0.5×
Green/Red 10d
7/3

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

4
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.9/10
Raw Quality 3.9/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 3.9

30-Day Momentum

48
+5.4%
30d Return
45%
Win Rate
11
Trades
3.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 53.1 Conf: 0.90×
Accelerating (+44 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,984
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
128 days
Data Gaps
None (5 market holidays)

Market Closed (5 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$10,191.52
Current Value
$9,212.47
Period P&L
$-979.05
Max Drawdown
-26.2%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.07

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
60
Winners / Losers
19 / 41
Best Trade
+6.86%
Worst Trade
-4.66%
Avg Trade Return
-0.15%
Avg Hold Time
17.7h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,184,312.34
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-979.05
Net P&L (after fees)
$-979.05
Gross Return
-9.61%
Net Return (after fees)
-9.61%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AVGO Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 128 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 60 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $10,191.52 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 2:05pm ET $322.18 31 $9,987.58 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET $319.58 31 $9,906.98 $10,136.18 $-80.60
(-0.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
19.4h held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 9:40am ET $319.70 31 $9,910.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 9:30am ET $304.81 31 $9,449.11 $9,674.44 $-461.74
(-4.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
3 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 3:55pm ET $293.50 32 $9,392.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 1:20pm ET $313.64 32 $10,036.32 $10,318.76 +$644.32
(+6.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.9d held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 9:50am ET $313.54 32 $10,033.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 12:40pm ET $312.30 32 $9,993.60 $10,279.24 $-39.52
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.8h held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 3:20pm ET $332.10 30 $9,962.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 3:00pm ET $349.37 30 $10,481.10 $10,797.49 +$518.25
(+5.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
23.7h held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 9:30am ET $360.98 29 $10,468.42 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 12:30pm ET $371.28 29 $10,767.12 $11,096.19 +$298.70
(+2.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
3h held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 12:30pm ET $374.30 29 $10,854.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 10:40am ET $378.57 29 $10,978.53 $11,219.88 +$123.69
(+1.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
22.2h held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 2:10pm ET $392.34 28 $10,985.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 12:35pm ET $396.36 28 $11,097.94 $11,332.30 +$112.42
(+1.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
22.4h held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 1:45pm ET $403.41 28 $11,295.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 3:15pm ET $403.05 28 $11,285.40 $11,322.22 $-10.08
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.5h held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 10:20am ET $398.73 28 $11,164.58 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 1:20pm ET $400.39 28 $11,210.92 $11,368.56 +$46.34
(+0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
3h held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 3:20pm ET $416.55 27 $11,246.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET $400.30 27 $10,808.23 $10,929.95 $-438.61
(-3.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
18.2h held
12 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 10:25am ET $400.88 27 $10,823.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 11:10am ET $399.71 27 $10,792.17 $10,898.36 $-31.59
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
45m held
13 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 1:20pm ET $420.76 25 $10,519.00 — — —
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 3:05pm ET $430.47 25 $10,761.73 $11,141.09 +$242.73
(+2.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
4.1d held
14 🟢 BUY May 8, 2026 3:55pm ET $429.29 25 $10,732.25 — — —
🔴 SELL May 11, 2026 9:30am ET $427.61 25 $10,690.37 $11,099.21 $-41.88
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.7d held
15 🟢 BUY May 12, 2026 2:10pm ET $412.88 26 $10,734.88 — — —
🔴 SELL May 13, 2026 9:40am ET $410.58 26 $10,675.08 $11,039.41 $-59.80
(-0.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
19.5h held
16 🟢 BUY May 18, 2026 12:55pm ET $420.30 26 $10,927.80 — — —
🔴 SELL May 19, 2026 9:30am ET $409.71 26 $10,652.59 $10,764.20 $-275.21
(-2.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
20.6h held
17 🟢 BUY May 21, 2026 1:45pm ET $414.63 25 $10,365.75 — — —
🔴 SELL May 21, 2026 2:30pm ET $413.45 25 $10,336.25 $10,734.70 $-29.50
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
45m held
18 🟢 BUY May 26, 2026 3:10pm ET $423.30 25 $10,582.50 — — —
🔴 SELL May 27, 2026 10:20am ET $422.33 25 $10,558.25 $10,710.45 $-24.25
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
19.2h held
19 🟢 BUY May 28, 2026 3:05pm ET $428.02 25 $10,700.50 — — —
🔴 SELL May 28, 2026 3:20pm ET $427.06 25 $10,676.50 $10,686.45 $-24.00
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
15m held
20 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 3:20pm ET $437.57 24 $10,501.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 2:25pm ET $460.42 24 $11,050.08 $11,234.85 +$548.40
(+5.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
3d held
21 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 3:20pm ET $477.62 23 $10,985.26 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 9:50am ET $474.08 23 $10,903.84 $11,153.43 $-81.42
(-0.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
18.5h held
22 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 1:05pm ET $414.88 26 $10,786.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 9:30am ET $407.52 26 $10,595.39 $10,961.94 $-191.49
(-1.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
20.4h held
23 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 9:30am ET $402.68 27 $10,872.49 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 10:50am ET $386.49 27 $10,435.23 $10,524.67 $-437.27
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
24 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2026 9:40am ET $376.74 27 $10,171.98 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 10:55am ET $375.25 27 $10,131.75 $10,484.44 $-40.23
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held
25 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 1:00pm ET $381.74 27 $10,306.98 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2026 2:10pm ET $380.60 27 $10,276.20 $10,453.66 $-30.78
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.2h held
26 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 2:05pm ET $380.70 27 $10,278.77 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 16, 2026 3:20pm ET $379.55 27 $10,247.72 $10,422.61 $-31.05
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held
27 🟢 BUY Jun 18, 2026 9:30am ET $409.76 25 $10,244.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2026 1:10pm ET $407.59 25 $10,189.75 $10,368.26 $-54.35
(-0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.7h held
28 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2026 12:50pm ET $383.26 27 $10,347.89 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 24, 2026 12:50pm ET $383.99 27 $10,367.73 $10,388.10 +$19.84
(+0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
1d held
29 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2026 2:25pm ET $381.71 27 $10,306.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 26, 2026 10:40am ET $366.24 27 $9,888.48 $9,970.46 $-417.64
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20.3h held
30 🟢 BUY Jun 29, 2026 10:55am ET $369.85 26 $9,615.97 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 30, 2026 11:00am ET $374.81 26 $9,745.06 $10,099.55 +$129.09
(+1.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
1d held
31 🟢 BUY Jul 2, 2026 9:55am ET $371.15 27 $10,021.05 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 2, 2026 10:30am ET $368.98 27 $9,962.46 $10,040.96 $-58.59
(-0.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
35m held
32 🟢 BUY Jul 6, 2026 2:10pm ET $376.32 26 $9,784.19 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 6, 2026 2:35pm ET $374.68 26 $9,741.56 $9,998.33 $-42.63
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
25m held
33 🟢 BUY Jul 8, 2026 9:30am ET $377.99 26 $9,827.87 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 8, 2026 1:55pm ET $389.30 26 $10,121.80 $10,292.26 +$293.93
(+3.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
4.4h held
34 🟢 BUY Jul 10, 2026 11:30am ET $401.14 25 $10,028.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 13, 2026 3:20pm ET $385.03 25 $9,625.75 $9,889.63 $-402.63
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.2d held
35 🟢 BUY Jul 15, 2026 9:35am ET $397.05 24 $9,529.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 15, 2026 10:25am ET $391.32 24 $9,391.68 $9,751.99 $-137.64
(-1.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
50m held
36 🟢 BUY Jul 17, 2026 10:40am ET $372.58 26 $9,686.95 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 17, 2026 2:10pm ET $373.27 26 $9,704.89 $9,769.93 +$17.94
(+0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.5h held
37 🟢 BUY Jul 21, 2026 9:30am ET $389.82 25 $9,745.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 21, 2026 2:15pm ET $386.07 25 $9,651.75 $9,676.18 $-93.75
(-1.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
4.8h held
38 🟢 BUY Jul 23, 2026 12:35pm ET $392.13 24 $9,411.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 23, 2026 1:05pm ET $390.15 24 $9,363.60 $9,628.78 $-47.40
(-0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
30m held
39 🟢 BUY Jul 27, 2026 9:30am ET $388.62 24 $9,326.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 27, 2026 12:20pm ET $379.56 24 $9,109.44 $9,411.34 $-217.44
(-2.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.8h held
40 🟢 BUY Jul 29, 2026 1:00pm ET $374.76 25 $9,369.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 29, 2026 3:40pm ET $375.56 25 $9,389.00 $9,431.34 +$20.00
(+0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.7h held
41 🟢 BUY Jul 31, 2026 10:50am ET $388.22 24 $9,317.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 31, 2026 11:25am ET $384.73 24 $9,233.52 $9,347.58 $-83.76
(-0.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
35m held
42 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2026 11:40am ET $422.42 22 $9,293.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 5, 2026 1:15pm ET $419.82 22 $9,236.04 $9,290.38 $-57.20
(-0.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.6h held
43 🟢 BUY Aug 7, 2026 9:30am ET $429.19 21 $9,012.99 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 7, 2026 10:15am ET $422.48 21 $8,872.08 $9,149.47 $-140.91
(-1.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
45m held
44 🟢 BUY Aug 11, 2026 9:30am ET $426.53 21 $8,957.17 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 11, 2026 11:10am ET $421.39 21 $8,849.19 $9,041.49 $-107.98
(-1.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.7h held
45 🟢 BUY Aug 13, 2026 9:40am ET $420.12 21 $8,822.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 13, 2026 11:55am ET $421.29 21 $8,846.99 $9,065.96 +$24.47
(+0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.3h held
46 🟢 BUY Aug 18, 2026 12:45pm ET $381.10 23 $8,765.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 18, 2026 2:00pm ET $380.17 23 $8,743.80 $9,044.46 $-21.50
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held
47 🟢 BUY Aug 19, 2026 2:40pm ET $364.24 24 $8,741.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 20, 2026 10:00am ET $363.74 24 $8,729.88 $9,032.58 $-11.88
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
19.3h held
48 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 2:55pm ET $366.98 24 $8,807.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 24, 2026 2:50pm ET $361.11 24 $8,666.76 $8,891.86 $-140.72
(-1.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
3d held
49 🟢 BUY Aug 26, 2026 1:15pm ET $352.40 25 $8,810.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2026 1:45pm ET $368.50 25 $9,212.50 $9,294.24 +$402.38
(+4.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
1d held
50 🟢 BUY Aug 28, 2026 1:55pm ET $368.44 25 $9,211.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 31, 2026 9:45am ET $367.13 25 $9,178.25 $9,261.49 $-32.75
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.8d held
51 🟢 BUY Sep 1, 2026 11:05am ET $366.83 25 $9,170.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 2:05pm ET $368.64 25 $9,216.00 $9,306.74 +$45.25
(+0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
3h held
52 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2026 2:55pm ET $368.93 25 $9,223.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2026 3:30pm ET $367.58 25 $9,189.50 $9,272.99 $-33.75
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
35m held
53 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 10:30am ET $358.44 25 $8,961.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 4, 2026 11:20am ET $356.27 25 $8,906.63 $9,218.62 $-54.37
(-0.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
50m held
54 🟢 BUY Sep 8, 2026 2:00pm ET $368.55 25 $9,213.63 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 3:40pm ET $367.89 25 $9,197.13 $9,202.12 $-16.50
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.7h held
55 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2026 10:30am ET $363.13 25 $9,078.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 10, 2026 12:30pm ET $363.52 25 $9,088.00 $9,211.87 +$9.75
(+0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
2h held
56 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2026 1:00pm ET $365.16 25 $9,129.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2026 2:40pm ET $364.31 25 $9,107.75 $9,190.62 $-21.25
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.7h held
57 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 2:25pm ET $339.52 27 $9,167.17 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 3:50pm ET $339.32 27 $9,161.64 $9,185.09 $-5.53
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.4h held
58 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2026 9:30am ET $347.21 26 $9,027.46 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2026 12:35pm ET $348.02 26 $9,048.52 $9,206.15 +$21.06
(+0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.1h held
59 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2026 3:00pm ET $354.86 25 $8,871.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 9:45am ET $361.53 25 $9,038.25 $9,373.02 +$166.87
(+1.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.8d held
60 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2026 2:50pm ET $355.42 26 $9,240.79 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2026 3:05pm ET $349.24 26 $9,080.24 $9,212.47 $-160.55
(-1.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,212.47
Net Profit/Loss: $-787.53
Total Return: -7.88%
Back to Grace Crossover