AXP Grace Crossover's Analysis
Last 6 Months: 2026-03-24 to present • 57 trades in period
+5.78%
Last 6 Months Return
$11,619.75
Current Value
32%
Win Rate
$10,984.42
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
44.7 neutral
20d Trend
-0.8%
5d Trend
+1.1%
EMA20 Dist
-0.8%
ATR%
2.1%
Range Pos
55%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
20
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
3.2/35
Total Return
10.3/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
1.4/15
Consistency
5.8/10
Raw Quality
20.6/100
× Confidence 0.98
= 20.1
30-Day Momentum
4
-3.6%
30d Return
14%
Win Rate
7
Trades
0.5×
Profit Factor
Quality: 5.7
Conf: 0.78×
Declining (-16 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,984
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
128 days
Data Gaps
None (5 market holidays)
Market Closed (5 days)
2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)
Period Start Capital
$10,984.42
Current Value
$11,619.75
Period P&L
$635.31
Max Drawdown
-17.9%
Sharpe Ratio
0.07
Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)
Trades in Period
57
Winners / Losers
18 /
39
Best Trade
+8.30%
Worst Trade
-3.44%
Avg Trade Return
+0.11%
Avg Hold Time
15.3h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,275,162.92
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$635.31
Net P&L (after fees)
$635.31
Gross Return
+5.78%
Net Return (after fees)
+5.78%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 AXP Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 128 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 6 Months - 57 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $10,984.42 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 11:05am ET | $302.01 | 36 | $10,872.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 24, 2026 12:40pm ET | $301.46 | 36 | $10,852.56 | $10,964.64 |
$-19.80 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.6h held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 25, 2026 12:40pm ET | $300.92 | 36 | $10,832.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 25, 2026 3:05pm ET | $300.27 | 36 | $10,809.90 | $10,941.60 |
$-23.04 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.4h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 27, 2026 11:40am ET | $295.79 | 36 | $10,648.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 1:15pm ET | $299.19 | 36 | $10,770.75 | $11,064.00 |
+$122.40 (+1.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.1d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $304.71 | 36 | $10,969.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 1, 2026 1:35pm ET | $304.00 | 36 | $10,944.00 | $11,038.44 |
$-25.56 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
4.1h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 2, 2026 3:10pm ET | $300.28 | 36 | $10,810.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 2, 2026 3:30pm ET | $300.04 | 36 | $10,801.29 | $11,029.65 |
$-8.79 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
20m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2026 9:55am ET | $305.12 | 36 | $10,984.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2026 10:10am ET | $303.49 | 36 | $10,925.82 | $10,971.15 |
$-58.50 (-0.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
15m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2026 12:40pm ET | $315.83 | 34 | $10,738.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 12:50pm ET | $315.43 | 34 | $10,724.69 | $10,957.62 |
$-13.53 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
10m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2026 1:30pm ET | $314.35 | 34 | $10,687.73 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 10, 2026 3:25pm ET | $314.14 | 34 | $10,680.93 | $10,950.82 |
$-6.80 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.9h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 16, 2026 12:05pm ET | $327.49 | 33 | $10,807.17 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 16, 2026 12:50pm ET | $326.92 | 33 | $10,788.36 | $10,932.01 |
$-18.81 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
45m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 20, 2026 11:55am ET | $332.01 | 32 | $10,624.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 20, 2026 12:00pm ET | $331.66 | 32 | $10,613.12 | $10,920.97 |
$-11.04 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
5m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 21, 2026 3:25pm ET | $331.12 | 32 | $10,595.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 22, 2026 11:40am ET | $331.96 | 32 | $10,622.88 | $10,948.01 |
+$27.04 (+0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
20.3h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 24, 2026 1:20pm ET | $314.35 | 34 | $10,687.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 24, 2026 3:20pm ET | $314.30 | 34 | $10,686.23 | $10,946.34 |
$-1.67 (-0.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2026 12:15pm ET | $318.15 | 34 | $10,817.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 28, 2026 2:15pm ET | $318.23 | 34 | $10,819.82 | $10,948.89 |
+$2.55 (+0.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 30, 2026 1:25pm ET | $321.30 | 34 | $10,924.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2026 9:40am ET | $321.16 | 34 | $10,919.44 | $10,944.30 |
$-4.59 (-0.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
20.3h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | May 4, 2026 10:15am ET | $320.90 | 34 | $10,910.49 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 4, 2026 11:25am ET | $319.77 | 34 | $10,872.01 | $10,905.82 |
$-38.48 (-0.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.2h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | May 5, 2026 2:10pm ET | $315.81 | 34 | $10,737.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 6, 2026 11:30am ET | $320.77 | 34 | $10,906.35 | $11,074.63 |
+$168.81 (+1.6%) |
DEATH_CROSS
21.3h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | May 7, 2026 11:45am ET | $321.16 | 34 | $10,919.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 8, 2026 9:40am ET | $316.77 | 34 | $10,770.18 | $10,925.37 |
$-149.26 (-1.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
21.9h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | May 12, 2026 10:45am ET | $312.74 | 34 | $10,633.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 12, 2026 3:40pm ET | $314.15 | 34 | $10,681.13 | $10,973.22 |
+$47.85 (+0.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
4.9h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | May 14, 2026 1:15pm ET | $313.42 | 35 | $10,969.87 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 14, 2026 1:30pm ET | $312.54 | 35 | $10,938.90 | $10,942.25 |
$-30.97 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
15m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | May 18, 2026 9:45am ET | $315.05 | 34 | $10,711.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 19, 2026 10:50am ET | $310.60 | 34 | $10,560.40 | $10,791.12 |
$-151.13 (-1.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | May 21, 2026 10:25am ET | $309.65 | 34 | $10,528.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 21, 2026 10:40am ET | $308.22 | 34 | $10,479.48 | $10,742.50 |
$-48.62 (-0.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
15m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | May 22, 2026 2:50pm ET | $312.88 | 34 | $10,637.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 26, 2026 12:55pm ET | $310.81 | 34 | $10,567.54 | $10,672.29 |
$-70.21 (-0.7%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.9d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | May 28, 2026 10:50am ET | $312.61 | 34 | $10,628.57 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 28, 2026 12:25pm ET | $312.41 | 34 | $10,621.94 | $10,665.66 |
$-6.63 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.6h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 2, 2026 11:00am ET | $312.60 | 34 | $10,628.23 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 2, 2026 11:40am ET | $311.71 | 34 | $10,598.31 | $10,635.74 |
$-29.92 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
40m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 3, 2026 12:50pm ET | $304.52 | 34 | $10,353.51 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 3, 2026 2:10pm ET | $303.80 | 34 | $10,329.20 | $10,611.43 |
$-24.31 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 4, 2026 3:40pm ET | $312.52 | 33 | $10,313.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 5, 2026 3:10pm ET | $309.02 | 33 | $10,197.50 | $10,495.93 |
$-115.50 (-1.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
23.5h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $315.00 | 33 | $10,395.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 9, 2026 11:25am ET | $316.91 | 33 | $10,458.03 | $10,558.96 |
+$63.03 (+0.6%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.9h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 11, 2026 11:55am ET | $312.03 | 33 | $10,296.99 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 15, 2026 10:00am ET | $337.92 | 33 | $11,151.36 | $11,413.33 |
+$854.37 (+8.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.9d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 16, 2026 10:40am ET | $337.37 | 33 | $11,133.21 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 17, 2026 1:30pm ET | $345.10 | 33 | $11,388.30 | $11,668.42 |
+$255.09 (+2.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 22, 2026 10:15am ET | $339.16 | 34 | $11,531.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 22, 2026 1:40pm ET | $337.14 | 34 | $11,462.93 | $11,599.91 |
$-68.51 (-0.6%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.4h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 23, 2026 2:25pm ET | $337.48 | 34 | $11,474.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 23, 2026 2:45pm ET | $336.83 | 34 | $11,452.22 | $11,577.81 |
$-22.10 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
20m held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 25, 2026 9:30am ET | $345.86 | 33 | $11,413.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 25, 2026 11:20am ET | $346.59 | 33 | $11,437.47 | $11,602.06 |
+$24.25 (+0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.8h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 26, 2026 3:55pm ET | $341.42 | 33 | $11,266.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 29, 2026 11:20am ET | $341.23 | 33 | $11,260.75 | $11,595.95 |
$-6.11 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.8d held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 30, 2026 2:50pm ET | $338.47 | 34 | $11,507.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 1, 2026 2:50pm ET | $348.15 | 34 | $11,837.10 | $11,925.07 |
+$329.12 (+2.9%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1d held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $359.33 | 33 | $11,857.89 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 7, 2026 3:20pm ET | $351.27 | 33 | $11,591.91 | $11,659.09 |
$-265.98 (-2.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
5.8h held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $337.41 | 34 | $11,471.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 9, 2026 2:30pm ET | $346.59 | 34 | $11,784.06 | $11,971.21 |
+$312.12 (+2.7%) |
DEATH_CROSS
5h held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 13, 2026 1:40pm ET | $355.33 | 33 | $11,725.89 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 13, 2026 2:05pm ET | $354.30 | 33 | $11,691.90 | $11,937.22 |
$-33.99 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
25m held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $357.08 | 33 | $11,783.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 15, 2026 12:35pm ET | $360.25 | 33 | $11,888.25 | $12,041.67 |
+$104.45 (+0.9%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.1h held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 16, 2026 1:20pm ET | $361.35 | 33 | $11,924.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $355.98 | 33 | $11,747.50 | $11,864.62 |
$-177.05 (-1.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
20.2h held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $355.27 | 33 | $11,723.91 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 20, 2026 1:05pm ET | $353.36 | 33 | $11,661.04 | $11,801.76 |
$-62.86 (-0.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.6h held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 22, 2026 11:40am ET | $348.54 | 33 | $11,501.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 22, 2026 2:40pm ET | $348.71 | 33 | $11,507.59 | $11,807.70 |
+$5.94 (+0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3h held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 27, 2026 1:25pm ET | $333.95 | 35 | $11,688.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 28, 2026 10:35am ET | $334.24 | 35 | $11,698.40 | $11,817.85 |
+$10.15 (+0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
21.2h held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 29, 2026 11:10am ET | $335.33 | 35 | $11,736.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 29, 2026 12:10pm ET | $334.30 | 35 | $11,700.50 | $11,781.80 |
$-36.05 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1h held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 31, 2026 11:05am ET | $337.50 | 34 | $11,475.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 31, 2026 11:25am ET | $336.52 | 34 | $11,441.68 | $11,748.48 |
$-33.32 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
20m held |
|
| 45 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 3, 2026 12:45pm ET | $342.46 | 34 | $11,643.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 4, 2026 2:00pm ET | $347.12 | 34 | $11,802.08 | $11,906.92 |
+$158.44 (+1.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held |
|
| 46 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 7, 2026 10:30am ET | $343.27 | 34 | $11,671.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 7, 2026 10:45am ET | $342.26 | 34 | $11,636.84 | $11,872.58 |
$-34.34 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
15m held |
|
| 47 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 10, 2026 11:25am ET | $339.34 | 34 | $11,537.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 10, 2026 2:35pm ET | $337.70 | 34 | $11,481.63 | $11,816.65 |
$-55.93 (-0.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.2h held |
|
| 48 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 11, 2026 2:50pm ET | $341.94 | 34 | $11,625.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 13, 2026 10:35am ET | $342.86 | 34 | $11,657.07 | $11,847.76 |
+$31.11 (+0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.8d held |
|
| 49 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 14, 2026 11:45am ET | $343.29 | 34 | $11,671.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 14, 2026 12:15pm ET | $342.71 | 34 | $11,652.13 | $11,828.03 |
$-19.73 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
30m held |
|
| 50 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 20, 2026 1:40pm ET | $334.03 | 35 | $11,691.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 24, 2026 11:45am ET | $340.47 | 35 | $11,916.45 | $12,053.43 |
+$225.40 (+1.9%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.9d held |
|
| 51 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 26, 2026 1:10pm ET | $335.74 | 35 | $11,750.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $334.02 | 35 | $11,690.70 | $11,993.23 |
$-60.20 (-0.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
20.3h held |
|
| 52 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 28, 2026 12:50pm ET | $334.11 | 35 | $11,693.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 28, 2026 3:30pm ET | $333.33 | 35 | $11,666.72 | $11,966.11 |
$-27.12 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.7h held |
|
| 53 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 1, 2026 2:10pm ET | $325.99 | 36 | $11,735.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 2, 2026 11:40am ET | $329.04 | 36 | $11,845.44 | $12,075.91 |
+$109.80 (+0.9%) |
DEATH_CROSS
21.5h held |
|
| 54 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 3, 2026 1:30pm ET | $330.87 | 36 | $11,911.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 3, 2026 2:45pm ET | $330.29 | 36 | $11,890.44 | $12,055.03 |
$-20.88 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held |
|
| 55 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 8, 2026 1:45pm ET | $327.52 | 36 | $11,790.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 8, 2026 2:50pm ET | $327.10 | 36 | $11,775.60 | $12,039.73 |
$-15.30 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.1h held |
|
| 56 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 10, 2026 12:15pm ET | $321.27 | 37 | $11,886.81 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 10, 2026 1:10pm ET | $320.87 | 37 | $11,872.19 | $12,025.11 |
$-14.62 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
55m held |
|
| 57 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 14, 2026 3:10pm ET | $327.04 | 36 | $11,773.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 16, 2026 2:00pm ET | $315.78 | 36 | $11,368.08 | $11,619.75 |
$-405.36 (-3.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$11,619.75
Net Profit/Loss:
+$1,619.75
Total Return:
+16.20%