Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 23:58:36

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
13.1 oversold
20d Trend
-42.6%
5d Trend
-24.4%
EMA20 Dist
-25.8%
ATR%
6.8%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
2/8

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

13
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.9/35
Total Return
7.1/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.2/15
Consistency
4.9/10
Raw Quality 13.0/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 12.9

30-Day Momentum

45
+11.5%
30d Return
40%
Win Rate
10
Trades
1.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 52.1 Conf: 0.87×
Accelerating (+32 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,984
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
128 days
Data Gaps
None (5 market holidays)

Market Closed (5 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$14,452.41
Current Value
$10,606.25
Period P&L
$-3,846.20
Max Drawdown
-23.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.18

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
60
Winners / Losers
17 / 43
Best Trade
+8.50%
Worst Trade
-6.10%
Avg Trade Return
-0.48%
Avg Hold Time
14.8h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,371,193.93
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-3,846.20
Net P&L (after fees)
$-3,846.20
Gross Return
-26.61%
Net Return (after fees)
-26.61%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 COIN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 128 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 60 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $14,452.41 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 9:30am ET $184.75 78 $14,410.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 11:15am ET $184.99 78 $14,429.22 $14,471.17 +$18.72
(+0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.8h held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 26, 2026 3:20pm ET $173.70 83 $14,417.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 9:30am ET $166.16 83 $13,791.28 $13,845.35 $-625.82
(-4.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
18.2h held
3 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 9:30am ET $164.53 84 $13,820.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 10:05am ET $161.07 84 $13,529.88 $13,554.71 $-290.64
(-2.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
35m held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 3:00pm ET $171.50 79 $13,548.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 3:30pm ET $175.31 79 $13,849.49 $13,855.70 +$300.99
(+2.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
4d held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 11:25am ET $171.28 80 $13,702.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 1:00pm ET $172.01 80 $13,761.20 $13,914.50 +$58.80
(+0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.6h held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 2:00pm ET $168.03 82 $13,778.46 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 9:30am ET $164.85 82 $13,518.11 $13,654.15 $-260.35
(-1.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.8d held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 3:45pm ET $184.10 74 $13,623.03 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 12:50pm ET $189.49 74 $14,022.26 $14,053.38 +$399.23
(+2.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
21.1h held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 11:25am ET $205.68 68 $13,986.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 1:20pm ET $196.70 68 $13,375.27 $13,442.41 $-610.97
(-4.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 11:10am ET $202.67 66 $13,376.22 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 11:55am ET $201.31 66 $13,286.46 $13,352.65 $-89.76
(-0.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
45m held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 10:40am ET $201.07 66 $13,270.95 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 3:30pm ET $196.88 66 $12,994.41 $13,076.11 $-276.54
(-2.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
4.8h held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 1:15pm ET $180.07 72 $12,965.05 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 2:15pm ET $178.79 72 $12,872.88 $12,983.94 $-92.17
(-0.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
1h held
12 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 9:30am ET $192.50 67 $12,897.38 — — —
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 12:20pm ET $192.03 67 $12,866.01 $12,952.57 $-31.37
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.8h held
13 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 9:30am ET $206.39 62 $12,796.18 — — —
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 9:50am ET $203.02 62 $12,587.24 $12,743.63 $-208.94
(-1.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
20m held
14 🟢 BUY May 6, 2026 12:10pm ET $196.16 64 $12,554.56 — — —
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 12:55pm ET $194.66 64 $12,458.24 $12,647.31 $-96.32
(-0.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
45m held
15 🟢 BUY May 7, 2026 2:05pm ET $193.84 65 $12,599.28 — — —
🔴 SELL May 8, 2026 9:30am ET $185.40 65 $12,050.68 $12,098.71 $-548.60
(-4.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
19.4h held
16 🟢 BUY May 11, 2026 3:55pm ET $215.25 56 $12,054.00 — — —
🔴 SELL May 12, 2026 9:30am ET $211.90 56 $11,866.40 $11,911.11 $-187.60
(-1.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
17.6h held
17 🟢 BUY May 13, 2026 11:10am ET $203.29 58 $11,790.53 — — —
🔴 SELL May 13, 2026 1:05pm ET $200.58 58 $11,633.64 $11,754.22 $-156.89
(-1.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.9h held
18 🟢 BUY May 15, 2026 1:25pm ET $195.57 60 $11,734.20 — — —
🔴 SELL May 15, 2026 3:15pm ET $195.96 60 $11,757.60 $11,777.62 +$23.40
(+0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.8h held
19 🟢 BUY May 19, 2026 3:05pm ET $194.40 60 $11,663.70 — — —
🔴 SELL May 20, 2026 2:45pm ET $194.41 60 $11,664.90 $11,778.82 +$1.20
(+0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
23.7h held
20 🟢 BUY May 22, 2026 1:30pm ET $190.18 61 $11,600.98 — — —
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 10:25am ET $186.11 61 $11,352.71 $11,530.55 $-248.27
(-2.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.9d held
21 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 2:25pm ET $176.37 65 $11,464.05 — — —
🔴 SELL May 27, 2026 3:10pm ET $175.48 65 $11,406.20 $11,472.70 $-57.85
(-0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
45m held
22 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 11:00am ET $183.09 62 $11,351.44 — — —
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 2:50pm ET $188.64 62 $11,695.68 $11,816.94 +$344.24
(+3.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.8h held
23 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 12:30pm ET $174.52 67 $11,692.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 1:50pm ET $174.00 67 $11,658.00 $11,782.10 $-34.84
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held
24 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 2:05pm ET $165.71 71 $11,765.41 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 2:55pm ET $165.10 71 $11,722.10 $11,738.79 $-43.31
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
50m held
25 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 9:45am ET $163.23 71 $11,589.33 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 11:25am ET $155.85 71 $11,065.35 $11,214.81 $-523.98
(-4.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.7h held
26 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 11:40am ET $158.68 70 $11,107.95 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 11:45am ET $157.34 70 $11,013.80 $11,120.66 $-94.15
(-0.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
5m held
27 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2026 1:30pm ET $156.07 71 $11,080.97 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2026 9:40am ET $157.00 71 $11,147.00 $11,186.69 +$66.03
(+0.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
20.2h held
28 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 9:35am ET $172.17 64 $11,018.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 16, 2026 10:20am ET $169.42 64 $10,842.89 $11,010.70 $-175.99
(-1.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
45m held
29 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2026 11:30am ET $170.57 64 $10,916.47 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 2:05pm ET $169.75 64 $10,864.00 $10,958.23 $-52.47
(-0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.6h held
30 🟢 BUY Jun 18, 2026 3:40pm ET $162.84 67 $10,909.95 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 22, 2026 10:00am ET $175.91 67 $11,785.97 $11,834.25 +$876.02
(+8.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.8d held
31 🟢 BUY Jun 24, 2026 2:25pm ET $152.07 77 $11,709.39 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 24, 2026 3:20pm ET $150.42 77 $11,582.34 $11,707.20 $-127.05
(-1.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
55m held
32 🟢 BUY Jun 29, 2026 10:35am ET $148.73 78 $11,600.94 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 29, 2026 11:00am ET $147.84 78 $11,531.52 $11,637.78 $-69.42
(-0.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
25m held
33 🟢 BUY Jul 6, 2026 11:00am ET $165.38 70 $11,576.95 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 6, 2026 2:00pm ET $168.47 70 $11,792.90 $11,853.73 +$215.95
(+1.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
3h held
34 🟢 BUY Jul 8, 2026 12:10pm ET $160.50 73 $11,716.49 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 8, 2026 2:25pm ET $159.33 73 $11,631.10 $11,768.34 $-85.39
(-0.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.3h held
35 🟢 BUY Jul 10, 2026 9:30am ET $166.41 70 $11,649.05 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 10, 2026 11:15am ET $159.45 70 $11,161.50 $11,280.79 $-487.55
(-4.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8h held
36 🟢 BUY Jul 13, 2026 2:50pm ET $157.01 71 $11,147.71 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 13, 2026 3:50pm ET $155.84 71 $11,064.64 $11,197.72 $-83.07
(-0.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
1h held
37 🟢 BUY Jul 15, 2026 9:30am ET $165.86 67 $11,112.42 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 15, 2026 12:10pm ET $162.41 67 $10,881.54 $10,966.84 $-230.88
(-2.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.7h held
38 🟢 BUY Jul 17, 2026 12:20pm ET $157.48 69 $10,866.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 17, 2026 2:25pm ET $157.90 69 $10,895.10 $10,995.82 +$28.98
(+0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.1h held
39 🟢 BUY Jul 21, 2026 9:30am ET $173.90 63 $10,955.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 22, 2026 12:55pm ET $170.38 63 $10,733.94 $10,774.06 $-221.76
(-2.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held
40 🟢 BUY Jul 27, 2026 9:30am ET $163.45 65 $10,623.95 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 27, 2026 10:55am ET $161.67 65 $10,508.55 $10,658.66 $-115.40
(-1.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.4h held
41 🟢 BUY Jul 28, 2026 11:20am ET $164.42 64 $10,522.59 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 29, 2026 2:25pm ET $163.43 64 $10,459.52 $10,595.59 $-63.07
(-0.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held
42 🟢 BUY Jul 30, 2026 3:05pm ET $163.24 64 $10,447.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 31, 2026 9:30am ET $153.28 64 $9,809.92 $9,958.15 $-637.44
(-6.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
18.4h held
43 🟢 BUY Aug 4, 2026 10:55am ET $149.04 66 $9,836.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 5, 2026 9:30am ET $148.45 66 $9,797.46 $9,918.97 $-39.18
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
22.6h held
44 🟢 BUY Aug 6, 2026 11:10am ET $149.88 66 $9,891.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 7, 2026 1:10pm ET $151.55 66 $10,002.30 $10,029.43 +$110.46
(+1.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held
45 🟢 BUY Aug 10, 2026 3:15pm ET $149.33 67 $10,005.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 10, 2026 3:55pm ET $148.78 67 $9,968.26 $9,992.45 $-36.98
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
40m held
46 🟢 BUY Aug 12, 2026 12:05pm ET $148.35 67 $9,939.66 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 13, 2026 10:55am ET $149.55 67 $10,020.18 $10,072.98 +$80.53
(+0.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
22.8h held
47 🟢 BUY Aug 14, 2026 11:45am ET $150.29 67 $10,069.43 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 14, 2026 1:50pm ET $149.88 67 $10,041.96 $10,045.51 $-27.47
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.1h held
48 🟢 BUY Aug 17, 2026 2:15pm ET $151.07 66 $9,970.63 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 17, 2026 2:50pm ET $150.56 66 $9,936.96 $10,011.84 $-33.67
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
35m held
49 🟢 BUY Aug 20, 2026 9:30am ET $172.89 57 $9,854.62 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 20, 2026 3:45pm ET $171.48 57 $9,774.36 $9,931.58 $-80.26
(-0.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
6.3h held
50 🟢 BUY Aug 24, 2026 9:30am ET $188.81 52 $9,818.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 24, 2026 2:35pm ET $180.81 52 $9,402.12 $9,515.58 $-416.00
(-4.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.1h held
51 🟢 BUY Aug 26, 2026 1:35pm ET $181.47 52 $9,436.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2026 3:35pm ET $190.18 52 $9,889.36 $9,968.50 +$452.92
(+4.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held
52 🟢 BUY Sep 1, 2026 3:35pm ET $177.31 56 $9,929.47 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2026 9:30am ET $174.30 56 $9,760.80 $9,799.83 $-168.67
(-1.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
17.9h held
53 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2026 9:30am ET $181.26 54 $9,788.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 2:20pm ET $192.10 54 $10,373.55 $10,385.34 +$585.51
(+6.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
4.8h held
54 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 3:05pm ET $185.47 55 $10,200.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 12:10pm ET $181.00 55 $9,955.00 $10,139.49 $-245.85
(-2.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.9d held
55 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2026 2:00pm ET $178.15 56 $9,976.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 2:05pm ET $177.60 56 $9,945.32 $10,108.69 $-30.80
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
5m held
56 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2026 2:55pm ET $173.56 58 $10,066.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2026 11:55am ET $177.68 58 $10,305.44 $10,347.65 +$238.96
(+2.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
21h held
57 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 11:50am ET $181.40 57 $10,339.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 2:40pm ET $173.36 57 $9,881.52 $9,889.65 $-458.00
(-4.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8h held
58 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2026 9:30am ET $168.38 58 $9,766.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2026 9:40am ET $182.70 58 $10,596.31 $10,719.92 +$830.27
(+8.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
59 🟢 BUY Sep 21, 2026 2:05pm ET $203.57 52 $10,585.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 2:25pm ET $202.88 52 $10,549.76 $10,684.30 $-35.62
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
20m held
60 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2026 11:30am ET $200.56 53 $10,629.82 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 11:50am ET $199.09 53 $10,551.77 $10,606.25 $-78.05
(-0.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
20m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,606.25
Net Profit/Loss: +$606.25
Total Return: +6.06%
Back to Grace Crossover