CRM Grace Crossover's Analysis
Last 6 Months: 2026-03-24 to present • 56 trades in period
-0.33%
Last 6 Months Return
$11,199.01
Current Value
43%
Win Rate
$11,236.57
Period Start
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
18.8 oversold
20d Trend
-22.1%
5d Trend
-11.2%
EMA20 Dist
-13.2%
ATR%
4.2%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
2/8
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
17
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
2.7/35
Total Return
9.2/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.6/15
Consistency
4.9/10
Raw Quality
17.4/100
× Confidence 1.00
= 17.3
30-Day Momentum
7
-6.5%
30d Return
22%
Win Rate
9
Trades
0.4×
Profit Factor
Quality: 8.6
Conf: 0.84×
Declining (-10 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,984
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
128 days
Data Gaps
None (5 market holidays)
Market Closed (5 days)
2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)
Period Start Capital
$11,236.57
Current Value
$11,199.01
Period P&L
$-37.52
Max Drawdown
-15.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.01
Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)
Trades in Period
56
Winners / Losers
24 /
32
Best Trade
+8.10%
Worst Trade
-5.21%
Avg Trade Return
+0.02%
Avg Hold Time
17.8h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,324,646.51
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-37.52
Net P&L (after fees)
$-37.52
Gross Return
-0.33%
Net Return (after fees)
-0.33%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 CRM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 128 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 6 Months - 56 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $11,236.57 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 25, 2026 9:30am ET | $186.20 | 60 | $11,172.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 25, 2026 10:10am ET | $183.51 | 60 | $11,010.60 | $11,075.13 |
$-161.40 (-1.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
40m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 26, 2026 1:05pm ET | $185.46 | 59 | $10,941.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 26, 2026 3:10pm ET | $184.89 | 59 | $10,908.51 | $11,041.79 |
$-33.34 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.1h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 3:50pm ET | $186.00 | 59 | $10,974.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 2, 2026 2:20pm ET | $186.05 | 59 | $10,976.95 | $11,044.74 |
+$2.95 (+0.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
22.5h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 2:30pm ET | $185.50 | 59 | $10,944.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 3:40pm ET | $185.34 | 59 | $10,935.06 | $11,035.30 |
$-9.44 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.2h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $186.21 | 59 | $10,986.39 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 3:05pm ET | $178.39 | 59 | $10,525.01 | $10,573.92 |
$-461.38 (-4.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5.6h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2026 3:10pm ET | $164.82 | 64 | $10,548.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 13, 2026 3:10pm ET | $172.45 | 64 | $11,036.80 | $11,062.24 |
+$488.32 (+4.6%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $174.40 | 63 | $10,987.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 16, 2026 1:05pm ET | $180.09 | 63 | $11,345.67 | $11,420.71 |
+$358.47 (+3.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $182.85 | 62 | $11,336.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 20, 2026 2:50pm ET | $186.26 | 62 | $11,548.43 | $11,632.44 |
+$211.73 (+1.9%) |
DEATH_CROSS
5.3h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 21, 2026 3:25pm ET | $188.82 | 61 | $11,518.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 22, 2026 10:45am ET | $187.92 | 61 | $11,463.12 | $11,577.54 |
$-54.90 (-0.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
19.3h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 23, 2026 2:20pm ET | $172.87 | 66 | $11,409.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 24, 2026 12:20pm ET | $175.04 | 66 | $11,552.64 | $11,720.76 |
+$143.22 (+1.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
22h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2026 9:35am ET | $182.81 | 64 | $11,699.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 28, 2026 11:10am ET | $182.21 | 64 | $11,661.76 | $11,682.68 |
$-38.08 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.6h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 29, 2026 11:50am ET | $180.32 | 64 | $11,540.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 1:05pm ET | $179.87 | 64 | $11,511.36 | $11,653.88 |
$-28.80 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 30, 2026 2:10pm ET | $175.89 | 66 | $11,608.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 4, 2026 10:30am ET | $190.13 | 66 | $12,548.58 | $12,593.72 |
+$939.84 (+8.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.8d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | May 5, 2026 10:50am ET | $185.13 | 68 | $12,589.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 5, 2026 12:15pm ET | $184.78 | 68 | $12,565.04 | $12,569.58 |
$-24.14 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.4h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | May 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $185.88 | 67 | $12,453.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 7, 2026 12:50pm ET | $186.25 | 67 | $12,478.75 | $12,594.37 |
+$24.79 (+0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.3h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | May 11, 2026 3:50pm ET | $177.46 | 70 | $12,421.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $168.21 | 70 | $11,774.70 | $11,947.22 |
$-647.15 (-5.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.7d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | May 14, 2026 10:05am ET | $166.58 | 71 | $11,827.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 14, 2026 3:30pm ET | $167.74 | 71 | $11,909.89 | $12,029.93 |
+$82.71 (+0.7%) |
DEATH_CROSS
5.4h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | May 18, 2026 9:40am ET | $176.19 | 68 | $11,980.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 18, 2026 11:55am ET | $177.59 | 68 | $12,076.12 | $12,125.13 |
+$95.20 (+0.8%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.3h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | May 19, 2026 2:30pm ET | $180.99 | 66 | $11,945.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 19, 2026 2:55pm ET | $180.17 | 66 | $11,891.22 | $12,071.01 |
$-54.12 (-0.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
25m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | May 21, 2026 3:45pm ET | $176.08 | 68 | $11,973.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 22, 2026 3:55pm ET | $180.24 | 68 | $12,255.98 | $12,353.55 |
+$282.54 (+2.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | May 27, 2026 9:40am ET | $181.18 | 68 | $12,320.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 27, 2026 3:45pm ET | $178.30 | 68 | $12,124.40 | $12,157.71 |
$-195.84 (-1.6%) |
DEATH_CROSS
6.1h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | May 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $180.33 | 67 | $12,082.11 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 29, 2026 2:15pm ET | $192.16 | 67 | $12,874.72 | $12,950.32 |
+$792.61 (+6.6%) |
DEATH_CROSS
4.8h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 2, 2026 1:30pm ET | $198.29 | 65 | $12,888.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 3, 2026 9:35am ET | $194.71 | 65 | $12,656.47 | $12,717.95 |
$-232.37 (-1.8%) |
DEATH_CROSS
20.1h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 4, 2026 1:50pm ET | $189.85 | 66 | $12,530.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 4, 2026 2:45pm ET | $189.39 | 66 | $12,499.74 | $12,687.59 |
$-30.36 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
55m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 5, 2026 3:05pm ET | $186.76 | 67 | $12,512.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 5, 2026 3:15pm ET | $186.35 | 67 | $12,485.45 | $12,660.12 |
$-27.47 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
10m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 9, 2026 1:40pm ET | $174.42 | 72 | $12,558.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $170.62 | 72 | $12,284.64 | $12,386.52 |
$-273.60 (-2.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
19.8h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 11, 2026 12:35pm ET | $166.26 | 74 | $12,302.87 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 11, 2026 3:05pm ET | $166.29 | 74 | $12,305.83 | $12,389.48 |
+$2.96 (+0.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.5h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 16, 2026 9:50am ET | $165.63 | 74 | $12,256.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 16, 2026 10:00am ET | $164.85 | 74 | $12,198.90 | $12,331.76 |
$-57.72 (-0.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
10m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 18, 2026 3:40pm ET | $153.22 | 80 | $12,257.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 24, 2026 10:10am ET | $153.26 | 80 | $12,261.20 | $12,335.36 |
+$3.60 (+0.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
5.8d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 25, 2026 10:20am ET | $153.71 | 80 | $12,296.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 25, 2026 3:00pm ET | $150.15 | 80 | $12,012.00 | $12,050.96 |
$-284.40 (-2.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
4.7h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 26, 2026 3:20pm ET | $157.10 | 76 | $11,939.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 1, 2026 1:10pm ET | $164.29 | 76 | $12,486.13 | $12,597.87 |
+$546.91 (+4.6%) |
DEATH_CROSS
4.9d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $169.84 | 74 | $12,568.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 7, 2026 2:55pm ET | $171.35 | 74 | $12,680.26 | $12,709.97 |
+$112.10 (+0.9%) |
DEATH_CROSS
5.4h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 9, 2026 1:30pm ET | $163.20 | 77 | $12,566.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 10, 2026 10:50am ET | $163.42 | 77 | $12,583.34 | $12,726.91 |
+$16.94 (+0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
21.3h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 14, 2026 10:55am ET | $168.67 | 75 | $12,650.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 14, 2026 2:00pm ET | $169.56 | 75 | $12,717.00 | $12,793.47 |
+$66.56 (+0.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.1h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 15, 2026 3:40pm ET | $167.76 | 76 | $12,749.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 15, 2026 3:50pm ET | $167.23 | 76 | $12,709.10 | $12,752.81 |
$-40.66 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
10m held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 17, 2026 1:00pm ET | $171.03 | 74 | $12,656.41 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 17, 2026 2:40pm ET | $170.89 | 74 | $12,645.86 | $12,742.26 |
$-10.55 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.7h held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 20, 2026 3:50pm ET | $173.88 | 73 | $12,693.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 22, 2026 9:30am ET | $169.30 | 73 | $12,359.26 | $12,408.47 |
$-333.79 (-2.6%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.7d held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $164.91 | 75 | $12,368.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 23, 2026 10:10am ET | $158.29 | 75 | $11,871.75 | $11,911.97 |
$-496.50 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
40m held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 28, 2026 9:35am ET | $179.71 | 66 | $11,860.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 28, 2026 2:20pm ET | $183.14 | 66 | $12,087.24 | $12,138.35 |
+$226.38 (+1.9%) |
DEATH_CROSS
4.8h held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 30, 2026 12:45pm ET | $179.60 | 67 | $12,032.87 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 30, 2026 3:10pm ET | $179.83 | 67 | $12,048.61 | $12,154.10 |
+$15.75 (+0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.4h held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 3, 2026 1:05pm ET | $188.78 | 64 | $12,081.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $183.87 | 64 | $11,767.68 | $11,839.86 |
$-314.24 (-2.6%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.9d held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 7, 2026 1:40pm ET | $191.77 | 61 | $11,697.97 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 7, 2026 2:20pm ET | $191.40 | 61 | $11,675.40 | $11,817.29 |
$-22.57 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
40m held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 11, 2026 9:55am ET | $198.43 | 59 | $11,707.37 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $192.52 | 59 | $11,358.60 | $11,468.52 |
$-348.77 (-3.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
23.6h held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 14, 2026 11:55am ET | $197.32 | 58 | $11,444.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 14, 2026 2:35pm ET | $196.61 | 58 | $11,403.38 | $11,427.05 |
$-41.47 (-0.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.7h held |
|
| 45 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 17, 2026 3:05pm ET | $191.01 | 59 | $11,269.59 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 18, 2026 3:00pm ET | $198.19 | 59 | $11,693.21 | $11,850.67 |
+$423.62 (+3.8%) |
DEATH_CROSS
23.9h held |
|
| 46 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 20, 2026 2:50pm ET | $207.16 | 57 | $11,808.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 21, 2026 12:40pm ET | $208.94 | 57 | $11,909.58 | $11,952.13 |
+$101.46 (+0.9%) |
DEATH_CROSS
21.8h held |
|
| 47 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 24, 2026 2:25pm ET | $209.90 | 56 | $11,754.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 25, 2026 3:25pm ET | $205.49 | 56 | $11,507.44 | $11,705.17 |
$-246.96 (-2.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1d held |
|
| 48 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 28, 2026 1:45pm ET | $260.90 | 44 | $11,479.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 28, 2026 2:35pm ET | $259.27 | 44 | $11,407.66 | $11,633.23 |
$-71.94 (-0.6%) |
DEATH_CROSS
50m held |
|
| 49 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 1, 2026 10:30am ET | $260.61 | 44 | $11,466.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 1, 2026 2:55pm ET | $256.97 | 44 | $11,306.68 | $11,473.07 |
$-160.16 (-1.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
4.4h held |
|
| 50 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 3, 2026 1:35pm ET | $265.43 | 43 | $11,413.49 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 3, 2026 3:20pm ET | $265.44 | 43 | $11,413.92 | $11,473.50 |
+$0.43 (+0.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.8h held |
|
| 51 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 8, 2026 3:20pm ET | $248.57 | 46 | $11,433.99 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 10, 2026 11:05am ET | $244.80 | 46 | $11,261.03 | $11,300.54 |
$-172.96 (-1.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.8d held |
|
| 52 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 11, 2026 2:55pm ET | $248.91 | 45 | $11,200.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 11, 2026 3:20pm ET | $248.29 | 45 | $11,173.27 | $11,272.86 |
$-27.68 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
25m held |
|
| 53 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 15, 2026 11:10am ET | $258.68 | 43 | $11,123.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 15, 2026 1:35pm ET | $259.86 | 43 | $11,173.77 | $11,323.39 |
+$50.53 (+0.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.4h held |
|
| 54 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 17, 2026 11:45am ET | $245.68 | 46 | $11,301.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 17, 2026 3:35pm ET | $243.76 | 46 | $11,212.96 | $11,235.07 |
$-88.32 (-0.8%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.8h held |
|
| 55 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 21, 2026 2:05pm ET | $238.27 | 47 | $11,198.69 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 22, 2026 9:45am ET | $236.94 | 47 | $11,136.18 | $11,172.56 |
$-62.51 (-0.6%) |
DEATH_CROSS
19.7h held |
|
| 56 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 24, 2026 10:25am ET | $239.33 | 46 | $11,009.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 24, 2026 12:40pm ET | $239.90 | 46 | $11,035.63 | $11,199.01 |
+$26.45 (+0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.3h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$11,199.01
Net Profit/Loss:
+$1,199.01
Total Return:
+11.99%