DIA Grace Crossover's Analysis
Last 6 Months: 2025-12-23 to present • 54 trades in period
+1.76%
Last 6 Months Return
$10,048.63
Current Value
33%
Win Rate
$9,874.81
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
16.8
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.46%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.66
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.2
Unsettled
RSI(14)
47 neutral
20d Trend
-0.8%
5d Trend
-0.1%
EMA20 Dist
-0.5%
ATR%
1.0%
Range Pos
78%
Bounce Ratio
1.0×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
Strategy Score Scored Jun 23, 2026
7
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.2/35
Total Return
1.4/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.1/15
Consistency
5.0/10
Raw Quality
6.7/100
× Confidence 0.98
= 6.6
30-Day Momentum
30
+2.3%
30d Return
44%
Win Rate
9
Trades
2.1×
Profit Factor
Quality: 35.3
Conf: 0.84×
Accelerating (+23 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
11,633
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-12-23 → 2026-06-22
Trading Days
129 days
Data Gaps
None (7 market holidays)
Market Closed (7 days)
2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)
Period Start Capital
$9,874.81
Current Value
$10,048.63
Period P&L
$173.81
Max Drawdown
-8.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.06
Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)
Trades in Period
54
Winners / Losers
18 /
36
Best Trade
+2.18%
Worst Trade
-1.76%
Avg Trade Return
+0.03%
Avg Hold Time
1d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,053,690.19
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$173.81
Net P&L (after fees)
$173.81
Gross Return
+1.76%
Net Return (after fees)
+1.76%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 DIA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 129 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 6 Months - 54 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $9,874.81 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 24, 2025 9:40am ET | $484.91 | 20 | $9,698.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 26, 2025 10:15am ET | $486.75 | 20 | $9,735.00 | $9,911.62 |
+$36.80 (+0.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 29, 2025 1:20pm ET | $484.75 | 20 | $9,695.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 29, 2025 2:15pm ET | $484.45 | 20 | $9,689.00 | $9,905.62 |
$-6.00 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
54m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 30, 2025 3:30pm ET | $484.07 | 20 | $9,681.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 30, 2025 3:55pm ET | $483.61 | 20 | $9,672.20 | $9,896.52 |
$-9.10 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
24m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 2, 2026 10:50am ET | $481.34 | 20 | $9,626.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 2, 2026 1:05pm ET | $481.12 | 20 | $9,622.40 | $9,892.14 |
$-4.38 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.3h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 6, 2026 10:05am ET | $491.43 | 20 | $9,828.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 7, 2026 9:50am ET | $493.81 | 20 | $9,876.20 | $9,939.74 |
+$47.60 (+0.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
23.8h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 8, 2026 10:10am ET | $491.38 | 20 | $9,827.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 8, 2026 1:50pm ET | $492.59 | 20 | $9,851.80 | $9,963.94 |
+$24.20 (+0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.7h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 12, 2026 11:00am ET | $493.88 | 20 | $9,877.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 13, 2026 9:35am ET | $494.13 | 20 | $9,882.60 | $9,968.94 |
+$5.00 (+0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
22.6h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 14, 2026 1:25pm ET | $489.94 | 20 | $9,798.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 14, 2026 1:35pm ET | $489.25 | 20 | $9,785.00 | $9,955.14 |
$-13.80 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
12m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 16, 2026 11:20am ET | $494.01 | 20 | $9,880.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 16, 2026 2:25pm ET | $493.89 | 20 | $9,877.80 | $9,952.74 |
$-2.40 (-0.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.1h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $486.66 | 20 | $9,733.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 21, 2026 11:55am ET | $487.64 | 20 | $9,752.80 | $9,972.34 |
+$19.60 (+0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.4h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 22, 2026 2:05pm ET | $495.42 | 20 | $9,908.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 22, 2026 2:35pm ET | $494.69 | 20 | $9,893.80 | $9,957.74 |
$-14.60 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
30m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 26, 2026 11:50am ET | $492.57 | 20 | $9,851.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 26, 2026 11:55am ET | $492.31 | 20 | $9,846.20 | $9,952.54 |
$-5.20 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
6m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 27, 2026 2:15pm ET | $489.69 | 20 | $9,793.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 28, 2026 10:05am ET | $489.32 | 20 | $9,786.40 | $9,945.14 |
$-7.40 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
19.8h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 29, 2026 11:45am ET | $489.14 | 20 | $9,782.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 29, 2026 12:55pm ET | $487.97 | 20 | $9,759.40 | $9,921.74 |
$-23.40 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.2h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 30, 2026 1:50pm ET | $487.59 | 20 | $9,751.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 2, 2026 3:40pm ET | $493.84 | 20 | $9,876.80 | $10,046.74 |
+$125.00 (+1.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.1d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 4, 2026 2:25pm ET | $493.38 | 20 | $9,867.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $491.79 | 20 | $9,835.80 | $10,014.94 |
$-31.80 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
19.1h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $494.64 | 20 | $9,892.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 9:45am ET | $498.73 | 20 | $9,974.60 | $10,096.84 |
+$81.90 (+0.8%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 10, 2026 11:35am ET | $503.96 | 20 | $10,079.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2026 1:05pm ET | $503.22 | 20 | $10,064.40 | $10,082.04 |
$-14.80 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.5h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 9:50am ET | $496.27 | 20 | $9,925.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 17, 2026 12:45pm ET | $494.31 | 20 | $9,886.20 | $10,042.84 |
$-39.20 (-0.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.9h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 18, 2026 3:55pm ET | $497.47 | 20 | $9,949.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 20, 2026 11:30am ET | $493.48 | 20 | $9,869.60 | $9,963.04 |
$-79.80 (-0.8%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.8d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 25, 2026 9:30am ET | $493.55 | 20 | $9,871.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 25, 2026 10:35am ET | $492.12 | 20 | $9,842.40 | $9,934.44 |
$-28.60 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.1h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 26, 2026 11:00am ET | $495.52 | 20 | $9,910.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 26, 2026 11:35am ET | $494.65 | 20 | $9,893.00 | $9,917.04 |
$-17.40 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
35m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 27, 2026 11:35am ET | $490.39 | 20 | $9,807.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 27, 2026 2:15pm ET | $488.17 | 20 | $9,763.50 | $9,872.64 |
$-44.40 (-0.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.7h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 3, 2026 11:40am ET | $481.14 | 20 | $9,622.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 3, 2026 3:55pm ET | $485.43 | 20 | $9,708.60 | $9,958.44 |
+$85.80 (+0.9%) |
DEATH_CROSS
4.3h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 6, 2026 11:05am ET | $475.68 | 20 | $9,513.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 6, 2026 2:05pm ET | $474.23 | 20 | $9,484.70 | $9,929.54 |
$-28.90 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 9, 2026 2:20pm ET | $472.12 | 21 | $9,914.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 10, 2026 2:15pm ET | $479.13 | 21 | $10,061.73 | $10,076.75 |
+$147.21 (+1.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
23.9h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 11, 2026 2:25pm ET | $474.51 | 21 | $9,964.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 11, 2026 2:50pm ET | $473.98 | 21 | $9,953.58 | $10,065.69 |
$-11.06 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
25m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 12, 2026 3:35pm ET | $469.20 | 21 | $9,853.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 13, 2026 10:45am ET | $468.86 | 21 | $9,846.06 | $10,058.55 |
$-7.14 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
19.2h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 16, 2026 2:15pm ET | $470.42 | 21 | $9,878.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 16, 2026 3:40pm ET | $470.25 | 21 | $9,875.25 | $10,054.98 |
$-3.57 (-0.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.4h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 18, 2026 2:10pm ET | $466.74 | 21 | $9,801.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 20, 2026 9:35am ET | $458.52 | 21 | $9,628.92 | $9,882.36 |
$-172.62 (-1.8%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.8d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 23, 2026 1:40pm ET | $463.78 | 21 | $9,739.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 24, 2026 3:35pm ET | $461.99 | 21 | $9,701.79 | $9,844.77 |
$-37.59 (-0.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 26, 2026 10:00am ET | $464.74 | 21 | $9,759.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 1, 2026 1:55pm ET | $467.21 | 21 | $9,811.41 | $9,896.64 |
+$51.87 (+0.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
6.2d held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 2:20pm ET | $466.09 | 21 | $9,787.89 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2026 2:45pm ET | $464.14 | 21 | $9,746.94 | $9,855.69 |
$-40.95 (-0.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1d held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2026 3:45pm ET | $478.23 | 20 | $9,564.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 9, 2026 10:30am ET | $477.99 | 20 | $9,559.72 | $9,850.81 |
$-4.88 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
18.8h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2026 2:20pm ET | $479.46 | 20 | $9,589.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 14, 2026 1:10pm ET | $484.75 | 20 | $9,695.00 | $9,956.51 |
+$105.70 (+1.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
4d held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 15, 2026 1:15pm ET | $483.69 | 20 | $9,673.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 16, 2026 10:05am ET | $483.96 | 20 | $9,679.20 | $9,961.91 |
+$5.40 (+0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
20.8h held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 20, 2026 11:55am ET | $493.90 | 20 | $9,878.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 20, 2026 3:45pm ET | $493.64 | 20 | $9,872.80 | $9,956.71 |
$-5.20 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.8h held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 22, 2026 9:35am ET | $495.02 | 20 | $9,900.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 22, 2026 11:50am ET | $494.68 | 20 | $9,893.60 | $9,949.91 |
$-6.80 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.3h held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 24, 2026 11:45am ET | $492.81 | 20 | $9,856.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 24, 2026 12:35pm ET | $491.29 | 20 | $9,825.80 | $9,919.51 |
$-30.40 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
50m held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 27, 2026 2:15pm ET | $491.60 | 20 | $9,832.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 28, 2026 12:45pm ET | $491.82 | 20 | $9,836.40 | $9,923.91 |
+$4.40 (+0.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
22.5h held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | May 1, 2026 1:55pm ET | $496.89 | 19 | $9,440.91 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 6, 2026 12:50pm ET | $497.97 | 19 | $9,461.43 | $9,944.43 |
+$20.52 (+0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
5d held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | May 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $498.24 | 19 | $9,466.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 8, 2026 11:10am ET | $496.12 | 19 | $9,426.28 | $9,904.15 |
$-40.28 (-0.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.7h held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | May 11, 2026 12:25pm ET | $496.64 | 19 | $9,436.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 11, 2026 12:45pm ET | $496.15 | 19 | $9,426.85 | $9,894.75 |
$-9.40 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
20m held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | May 14, 2026 1:50pm ET | $500.93 | 19 | $9,517.67 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 14, 2026 3:45pm ET | $500.61 | 19 | $9,511.68 | $9,888.76 |
$-5.99 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.9h held |
|
| 45 | 🟢 BUY | May 18, 2026 9:50am ET | $496.85 | 19 | $9,440.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 19, 2026 9:35am ET | $493.41 | 19 | $9,374.79 | $9,823.50 |
$-65.26 (-0.7%) |
DEATH_CROSS
23.8h held |
|
| 46 | 🟢 BUY | May 20, 2026 10:20am ET | $496.02 | 19 | $9,424.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 26, 2026 9:55am ET | $506.82 | 19 | $9,629.58 | $10,028.70 |
+$205.20 (+2.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
6d held |
|
| 47 | 🟢 BUY | May 27, 2026 12:30pm ET | $507.26 | 19 | $9,637.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 27, 2026 1:05pm ET | $506.86 | 19 | $9,630.43 | $10,021.29 |
$-7.41 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
35m held |
|
| 48 | 🟢 BUY | May 29, 2026 2:35pm ET | $510.73 | 19 | $9,703.87 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 29, 2026 2:45pm ET | $510.13 | 19 | $9,692.47 | $10,009.89 |
$-11.40 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
10m held |
|
| 49 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 3, 2026 2:00pm ET | $509.69 | 19 | $9,684.11 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 3, 2026 2:45pm ET | $509.52 | 19 | $9,680.88 | $10,006.66 |
$-3.23 (-0.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
45m held |
|
| 50 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 8, 2026 9:45am ET | $511.22 | 19 | $9,713.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 8, 2026 11:30am ET | $510.74 | 19 | $9,704.06 | $9,997.54 |
$-9.12 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.8h held |
|
| 51 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 9, 2026 1:35pm ET | $507.19 | 19 | $9,636.61 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 11, 2026 11:00am ET | $501.99 | 19 | $9,537.81 | $9,898.74 |
$-98.80 (-1.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.9d held |
|
| 52 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 12, 2026 12:45pm ET | $513.13 | 19 | $9,749.47 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 15, 2026 1:50pm ET | $519.98 | 19 | $9,879.62 | $10,028.89 |
+$130.15 (+1.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3d held |
|
| 53 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 17, 2026 9:45am ET | $522.34 | 19 | $9,924.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 17, 2026 1:10pm ET | $522.98 | 19 | $9,936.62 | $10,041.05 |
+$12.16 (+0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.4h held |
|
| 54 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 18, 2026 3:45pm ET | $516.50 | 19 | $9,813.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 22, 2026 10:45am ET | $516.90 | 19 | $9,821.08 | $10,048.63 |
+$7.58 (+0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.8d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$10,048.63
Net Profit/Loss:
+$48.63
Total Return:
+0.49%