DIS Grace Crossover's Analysis
Last 6 Months: 2026-03-25 to present • 56 trades in period
+2.73%
Last 6 Months Return
$9,305.10
Current Value
36%
Win Rate
$9,057.90
Period Start
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
37.5 neutral
20d Trend
-7.1%
5d Trend
-7.2%
EMA20 Dist
-4.1%
ATR%
3.0%
Range Pos
19%
Bounce Ratio
0.5×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
4
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.2/10
Raw Quality
4.2/100
× Confidence 0.99
= 4.2
30-Day Momentum
7
-4.0%
30d Return
22%
Win Rate
9
Trades
0.5×
Profit Factor
Quality: 8.6
Conf: 0.84×
Steady (+3 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,906
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
127 days
Data Gaps
None (5 market holidays)
Market Closed (5 days)
2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)
Period Start Capital
$9,057.90
Current Value
$9,305.10
Period P&L
$247.18
Max Drawdown
-15.9%
Sharpe Ratio
0.04
Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)
Trades in Period
56
Winners / Losers
20 /
36
Best Trade
+2.75%
Worst Trade
-4.25%
Avg Trade Return
+0.05%
Avg Hold Time
17.2h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,047,024.28
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$247.18
Net P&L (after fees)
$247.18
Gross Return
+2.73%
Net Return (after fees)
+2.73%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 DIS Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 127 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 6 Months - 56 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $9,057.90 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 2:45pm ET | $97.07 | 93 | $9,027.97 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 25, 2026 3:55pm ET | $96.09 | 93 | $8,936.37 | $9,011.42 |
$-91.61 (-1.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $94.06 | 95 | $8,935.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 1:00pm ET | $94.57 | 95 | $8,984.15 | $9,059.87 |
+$48.45 (+0.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.5h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 12:45pm ET | $97.23 | 93 | $9,042.39 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 1, 2026 1:25pm ET | $97.09 | 93 | $9,029.37 | $9,046.85 |
$-13.02 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
40m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 2, 2026 3:00pm ET | $96.71 | 93 | $8,994.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 2, 2026 3:20pm ET | $96.64 | 93 | $8,987.06 | $9,039.88 |
$-6.97 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
20m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2026 9:50am ET | $96.69 | 93 | $8,992.17 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $98.01 | 93 | $9,114.93 | $9,162.64 |
+$122.76 (+1.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2026 2:10pm ET | $99.21 | 92 | $9,126.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 10, 2026 3:00pm ET | $98.97 | 92 | $9,105.24 | $9,141.02 |
$-21.62 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
50m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 13, 2026 3:55pm ET | $101.13 | 90 | $9,101.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 14, 2026 2:25pm ET | $102.46 | 90 | $9,221.40 | $9,261.17 |
+$120.15 (+1.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
22.5h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 16, 2026 11:20am ET | $103.40 | 89 | $9,202.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2026 1:25pm ET | $105.83 | 89 | $9,418.87 | $9,477.44 |
+$216.27 (+2.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 21, 2026 2:00pm ET | $104.76 | 90 | $9,428.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 22, 2026 10:55am ET | $104.96 | 90 | $9,446.40 | $9,494.99 |
+$17.55 (+0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
20.9h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 23, 2026 3:15pm ET | $103.43 | 91 | $9,412.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 3:40pm ET | $103.24 | 91 | $9,394.84 | $9,477.70 |
$-17.29 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
25m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $102.66 | 92 | $9,444.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 28, 2026 1:40pm ET | $101.70 | 92 | $9,356.40 | $9,389.38 |
$-88.32 (-0.9%) |
DEATH_CROSS
4.2h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 29, 2026 2:05pm ET | $100.87 | 93 | $9,380.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2026 12:15pm ET | $103.64 | 93 | $9,638.52 | $9,647.45 |
+$258.07 (+2.8%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.9d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | May 5, 2026 1:45pm ET | $100.81 | 95 | $9,576.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 5, 2026 1:55pm ET | $100.69 | 95 | $9,565.56 | $9,636.06 |
$-11.39 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
10m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | May 6, 2026 2:05pm ET | $107.43 | 89 | $9,561.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 7, 2026 12:45pm ET | $109.70 | 89 | $9,763.30 | $9,838.09 |
+$202.03 (+2.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
22.7h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | May 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $104.99 | 93 | $9,764.07 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 12, 2026 1:35pm ET | $105.38 | 93 | $9,799.88 | $9,873.90 |
+$35.81 (+0.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
4.1h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | May 14, 2026 2:10pm ET | $105.68 | 93 | $9,827.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 14, 2026 3:25pm ET | $105.44 | 93 | $9,805.92 | $9,852.04 |
$-21.86 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | May 18, 2026 9:40am ET | $102.82 | 95 | $9,767.43 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 18, 2026 12:10pm ET | $103.90 | 95 | $9,870.50 | $9,955.11 |
+$103.07 (+1.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.5h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | May 19, 2026 1:45pm ET | $102.71 | 96 | $9,860.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 19, 2026 2:00pm ET | $102.51 | 96 | $9,841.44 | $9,936.39 |
$-18.72 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
15m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | May 22, 2026 9:40am ET | $104.24 | 95 | $9,902.33 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 22, 2026 10:15am ET | $103.72 | 95 | $9,853.39 | $9,887.46 |
$-48.93 (-0.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
35m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | May 26, 2026 10:15am ET | $103.30 | 95 | $9,813.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 26, 2026 1:45pm ET | $102.87 | 95 | $9,772.51 | $9,846.47 |
$-40.99 (-0.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.5h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | May 27, 2026 2:50pm ET | $103.67 | 94 | $9,745.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 28, 2026 9:35am ET | $103.37 | 94 | $9,716.78 | $9,817.99 |
$-28.48 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
18.8h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | May 29, 2026 11:15am ET | $103.33 | 95 | $9,816.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $101.79 | 95 | $9,669.70 | $9,671.34 |
$-146.65 (-1.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.9d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 3, 2026 2:25pm ET | $99.84 | 96 | $9,584.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 3, 2026 3:15pm ET | $99.56 | 96 | $9,557.76 | $9,644.56 |
$-26.78 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
50m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 4, 2026 3:50pm ET | $99.50 | 96 | $9,552.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 5, 2026 10:40am ET | $99.40 | 96 | $9,542.88 | $9,635.44 |
$-9.12 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
18.8h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $99.34 | 96 | $9,536.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 9, 2026 10:50am ET | $99.21 | 96 | $9,524.64 | $9,623.44 |
$-12.00 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 10, 2026 11:00am ET | $99.25 | 96 | $9,527.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 10, 2026 12:40pm ET | $99.30 | 96 | $9,532.80 | $9,628.72 |
+$5.28 (+0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.7h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 12, 2026 11:00am ET | $100.46 | 95 | $9,544.17 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 12, 2026 11:40am ET | $100.07 | 95 | $9,506.65 | $9,591.20 |
$-37.52 (-0.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
40m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 15, 2026 2:55pm ET | $101.66 | 94 | $9,556.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $101.43 | 94 | $9,534.42 | $9,569.58 |
$-21.62 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
18.6h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 17, 2026 12:40pm ET | $102.08 | 93 | $9,493.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 17, 2026 1:30pm ET | $101.80 | 93 | $9,467.40 | $9,543.54 |
$-26.04 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
50m held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 22, 2026 2:20pm ET | $102.35 | 93 | $9,518.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 22, 2026 3:40pm ET | $102.09 | 93 | $9,494.37 | $9,519.36 |
$-24.18 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 24, 2026 2:35pm ET | $102.50 | 92 | $9,430.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $98.14 | 92 | $9,028.88 | $9,118.24 |
$-401.12 (-4.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 29, 2026 12:25pm ET | $99.04 | 92 | $9,112.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 6, 2026 9:40am ET | $97.93 | 92 | $9,009.56 | $9,015.66 |
$-102.58 (-1.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
6.9d held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 8, 2026 12:00pm ET | $97.00 | 92 | $8,924.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 8, 2026 3:15pm ET | $97.21 | 92 | $8,943.78 | $9,035.44 |
+$19.78 (+0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.3h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 9, 2026 3:50pm ET | $96.05 | 94 | $9,028.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 10, 2026 10:15am ET | $95.91 | 94 | $9,015.54 | $9,022.28 |
$-13.16 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
18.4h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 15, 2026 9:45am ET | $96.45 | 93 | $8,969.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 15, 2026 1:25pm ET | $97.03 | 93 | $9,023.33 | $9,075.76 |
+$53.48 (+0.6%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.7h held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 20, 2026 11:15am ET | $96.83 | 93 | $9,005.19 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 20, 2026 12:10pm ET | $96.71 | 93 | $8,994.49 | $9,065.06 |
$-10.70 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
55m held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 21, 2026 1:50pm ET | $96.46 | 93 | $8,970.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 21, 2026 3:35pm ET | $96.33 | 93 | $8,958.68 | $9,052.96 |
$-12.10 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.8h held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 27, 2026 3:40pm ET | $96.74 | 93 | $8,996.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 28, 2026 3:05pm ET | $98.81 | 93 | $9,189.33 | $9,245.47 |
+$192.51 (+2.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
23.4h held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 31, 2026 12:05pm ET | $96.04 | 96 | $9,220.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 31, 2026 3:35pm ET | $96.15 | 96 | $9,230.88 | $9,256.03 |
+$10.56 (+0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.5h held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $100.78 | 91 | $9,170.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 5, 2026 11:55am ET | $100.08 | 91 | $9,107.73 | $9,193.24 |
$-62.79 (-0.7%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.4h held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 7, 2026 1:15pm ET | $104.76 | 87 | $9,114.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 7, 2026 2:10pm ET | $104.71 | 87 | $9,109.77 | $9,188.89 |
$-4.35 (-0.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
55m held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 10, 2026 2:25pm ET | $103.15 | 89 | $9,180.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 11, 2026 9:30am ET | $103.04 | 89 | $9,170.56 | $9,179.10 |
$-9.79 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
19.1h held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 12, 2026 10:40am ET | $103.04 | 89 | $9,170.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 12, 2026 12:10pm ET | $102.94 | 89 | $9,161.66 | $9,170.20 |
$-8.90 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.5h held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 13, 2026 12:55pm ET | $104.11 | 88 | $9,162.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 14, 2026 12:35pm ET | $106.31 | 88 | $9,355.28 | $9,363.36 |
+$193.16 (+2.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
23.7h held |
|
| 45 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 18, 2026 9:50am ET | $104.22 | 89 | $9,275.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 18, 2026 11:45am ET | $104.54 | 89 | $9,304.07 | $9,391.85 |
+$28.49 (+0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.9h held |
|
| 46 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 19, 2026 1:35pm ET | $106.15 | 88 | $9,341.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 20, 2026 10:50am ET | $107.15 | 88 | $9,429.61 | $9,479.82 |
+$87.97 (+0.9%) |
DEATH_CROSS
21.3h held |
|
| 47 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 21, 2026 2:30pm ET | $107.38 | 88 | $9,449.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 24, 2026 12:25pm ET | $109.83 | 88 | $9,665.04 | $9,695.33 |
+$215.51 (+2.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.9d held |
|
| 48 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $111.39 | 87 | $9,691.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 28, 2026 12:20pm ET | $107.55 | 87 | $9,356.85 | $9,361.16 |
$-334.17 (-3.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.1d held |
|
| 49 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 31, 2026 2:10pm ET | $107.57 | 87 | $9,358.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 31, 2026 2:25pm ET | $107.49 | 87 | $9,351.63 | $9,354.63 |
$-6.53 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
15m held |
|
| 50 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 3, 2026 2:15pm ET | $107.68 | 86 | $9,260.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 3, 2026 2:55pm ET | $107.56 | 86 | $9,250.16 | $9,344.31 |
$-10.32 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
40m held |
|
| 51 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 8, 2026 1:00pm ET | $104.59 | 89 | $9,308.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 9, 2026 9:35am ET | $103.74 | 89 | $9,232.86 | $9,269.01 |
$-75.30 (-0.8%) |
DEATH_CROSS
20.6h held |
|
| 52 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 10, 2026 10:20am ET | $104.49 | 88 | $9,195.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 10, 2026 2:10pm ET | $104.86 | 88 | $9,227.24 | $9,301.13 |
+$32.12 (+0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.8h held |
|
| 53 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 11, 2026 2:40pm ET | $106.77 | 87 | $9,288.99 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 11, 2026 3:40pm ET | $106.49 | 87 | $9,264.63 | $9,276.77 |
$-24.36 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1h held |
|
| 54 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 15, 2026 11:25am ET | $107.66 | 86 | $9,258.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 15, 2026 12:00pm ET | $107.36 | 86 | $9,232.96 | $9,250.97 |
$-25.80 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
35m held |
|
| 55 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 18, 2026 3:15pm ET | $102.93 | 89 | $9,160.77 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 21, 2026 2:15pm ET | $104.14 | 89 | $9,268.46 | $9,358.66 |
+$107.69 (+1.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3d held |
|
| 56 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 22, 2026 3:10pm ET | $103.67 | 90 | $9,330.31 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 23, 2026 9:35am ET | $103.07 | 90 | $9,276.75 | $9,305.10 |
$-53.56 (-0.6%) |
DEATH_CROSS
18.4h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$9,305.10
Net Profit/Loss:
$-694.90
Total Return:
-6.95%