DKNG Grace Crossover's Analysis
Last 6 Months: 2026-03-25 to present • 57 trades in period
-5.96%
Last 6 Months Return
$10,934.76
Current Value
30%
Win Rate
$11,627.24
Period Start
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
22.5 oversold
20d Trend
-25.9%
5d Trend
-7.4%
EMA20 Dist
-13.7%
ATR%
5.3%
Range Pos
8%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
15
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
1.3/35
Total Return
8.4/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.4/15
Consistency
4.9/10
Raw Quality
15.0/100
× Confidence 0.98
= 14.7
30-Day Momentum
6
-11.0%
30d Return
13%
Win Rate
8
Trades
0.5×
Profit Factor
Quality: 7.1
Conf: 0.81×
Cooling (-9 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,906
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
127 days
Data Gaps
None (5 market holidays)
Market Closed (5 days)
2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)
Period Start Capital
$11,627.24
Current Value
$10,934.76
Period P&L
$-692.54
Max Drawdown
-25.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.03
Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)
Trades in Period
57
Winners / Losers
17 /
40
Best Trade
+9.22%
Worst Trade
-4.39%
Avg Trade Return
-0.08%
Avg Hold Time
14.3h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,429,965.49
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-692.54
Net P&L (after fees)
$-692.54
Gross Return
-5.96%
Net Return (after fees)
-5.96%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 DKNG Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 127 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 6 Months - 57 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $11,627.24 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 26, 2026 10:35am ET | $21.52 | 540 | $11,623.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 26, 2026 11:10am ET | $21.48 | 540 | $11,599.20 | $11,603.00 |
$-24.30 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
35m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 11:05am ET | $20.84 | 556 | $11,587.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 1, 2026 1:05pm ET | $22.51 | 556 | $12,515.56 | $12,531.52 |
+$928.52 (+8.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.1d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 10:00am ET | $23.00 | 544 | $12,512.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 1:10pm ET | $22.81 | 544 | $12,405.92 | $12,425.44 |
$-106.08 (-0.8%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.2h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2026 1:35pm ET | $23.02 | 539 | $12,407.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2026 3:10pm ET | $22.95 | 539 | $12,372.74 | $12,390.40 |
$-35.04 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.6h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2026 10:50am ET | $22.45 | 551 | $12,370.01 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 10, 2026 11:15am ET | $22.23 | 551 | $12,245.98 | $12,266.37 |
$-124.03 (-1.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
25m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $22.85 | 536 | $12,247.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 14, 2026 1:05pm ET | $23.14 | 536 | $12,400.36 | $12,419.13 |
+$152.76 (+1.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.6h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 16, 2026 9:35am ET | $23.84 | 520 | $12,399.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 16, 2026 12:30pm ET | $23.51 | 520 | $12,225.20 | $12,244.93 |
$-174.20 (-1.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.9h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $23.24 | 526 | $12,224.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2026 11:40am ET | $23.19 | 526 | $12,197.94 | $12,218.63 |
$-26.30 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.2h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 23, 2026 2:30pm ET | $22.11 | 552 | $12,207.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 3:45pm ET | $22.01 | 552 | $12,149.52 | $12,160.67 |
$-57.96 (-0.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 27, 2026 11:55am ET | $23.45 | 518 | $12,147.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 28, 2026 9:40am ET | $23.55 | 518 | $12,196.31 | $12,209.88 |
+$49.21 (+0.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
21.8h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 30, 2026 1:35pm ET | $23.11 | 528 | $12,204.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 30, 2026 2:10pm ET | $23.05 | 528 | $12,170.45 | $12,175.61 |
$-34.27 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
35m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | May 1, 2026 3:25pm ET | $23.02 | 528 | $12,157.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 4, 2026 11:40am ET | $23.38 | 528 | $12,344.64 | $12,363.05 |
+$187.44 (+1.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.8d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | May 5, 2026 3:30pm ET | $23.84 | 518 | $12,349.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 6, 2026 1:30pm ET | $24.18 | 518 | $12,525.24 | $12,539.17 |
+$176.12 (+1.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
22h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | May 8, 2026 3:35pm ET | $25.95 | 483 | $12,536.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 11, 2026 9:35am ET | $24.88 | 483 | $12,017.04 | $12,019.94 |
$-519.23 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | May 12, 2026 9:40am ET | $24.90 | 482 | $12,001.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 12, 2026 12:10pm ET | $25.27 | 482 | $12,179.56 | $12,197.70 |
+$177.76 (+1.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.5h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | May 14, 2026 11:35am ET | $24.92 | 489 | $12,188.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 14, 2026 1:30pm ET | $24.92 | 489 | $12,183.48 | $12,192.86 |
$-4.84 (-0.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.9h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | May 15, 2026 3:10pm ET | $25.17 | 484 | $12,179.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 18, 2026 2:20pm ET | $25.72 | 484 | $12,448.48 | $12,461.48 |
+$268.62 (+2.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | May 20, 2026 11:10am ET | $25.32 | 492 | $12,457.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 20, 2026 11:50am ET | $25.15 | 492 | $12,373.80 | $12,377.84 |
$-83.64 (-0.7%) |
DEATH_CROSS
40m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | May 22, 2026 9:30am ET | $25.84 | 478 | $12,353.91 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 22, 2026 11:35am ET | $25.90 | 478 | $12,380.20 | $12,404.13 |
+$26.29 (+0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.1h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | May 28, 2026 10:00am ET | $25.14 | 493 | $12,394.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 28, 2026 11:25am ET | $25.16 | 493 | $12,401.42 | $12,411.53 |
+$7.40 (+0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.4h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | May 29, 2026 11:25am ET | $24.19 | 513 | $12,409.47 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 29, 2026 3:30pm ET | $24.57 | 513 | $12,601.85 | $12,603.91 |
+$192.38 (+1.6%) |
DEATH_CROSS
4.1h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 2, 2026 3:30pm ET | $25.56 | 493 | $12,598.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 3, 2026 3:05pm ET | $24.85 | 493 | $12,253.51 | $12,258.81 |
$-345.10 (-2.7%) |
DEATH_CROSS
23.6h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 4, 2026 3:15pm ET | $25.39 | 482 | $12,235.57 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 5, 2026 3:25pm ET | $24.82 | 482 | $11,960.83 | $11,984.07 |
$-274.74 (-2.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 8, 2026 3:50pm ET | $24.89 | 481 | $11,969.69 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 9, 2026 9:40am ET | $27.02 | 481 | $12,996.62 | $13,011.01 |
+$1,026.94 (+8.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
17.8h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 10, 2026 1:05pm ET | $29.13 | 446 | $12,989.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 10, 2026 1:35pm ET | $29.02 | 446 | $12,945.15 | $12,966.41 |
$-44.60 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
30m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 11, 2026 1:40pm ET | $29.68 | 436 | $12,940.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 12, 2026 9:35am ET | $29.62 | 436 | $12,914.32 | $12,940.25 |
$-26.16 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
19.9h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 15, 2026 10:30am ET | $29.21 | 443 | $12,940.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 15, 2026 10:55am ET | $29.07 | 443 | $12,878.01 | $12,878.23 |
$-62.02 (-0.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
25m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 16, 2026 11:45am ET | $28.83 | 446 | $12,860.41 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 16, 2026 1:05pm ET | $28.57 | 446 | $12,739.99 | $12,757.81 |
$-120.42 (-0.9%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 18, 2026 2:00pm ET | $26.33 | 484 | $12,741.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 18, 2026 3:20pm ET | $26.18 | 484 | $12,673.54 | $12,690.05 |
$-67.76 (-0.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 23, 2026 10:55am ET | $25.86 | 490 | $12,671.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 23, 2026 12:00pm ET | $25.65 | 490 | $12,568.50 | $12,587.15 |
$-102.90 (-0.8%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.1h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $23.75 | 529 | $12,563.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $25.94 | 529 | $13,722.26 | $13,745.66 |
+$1,158.51 (+9.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 30, 2026 12:40pm ET | $25.17 | 546 | $13,740.09 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 30, 2026 1:20pm ET | $25.07 | 546 | $13,685.49 | $13,691.06 |
$-54.60 (-0.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
40m held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 1, 2026 3:15pm ET | $25.93 | 527 | $13,667.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 2, 2026 10:00am ET | $25.77 | 527 | $13,580.79 | $13,604.11 |
$-86.95 (-0.6%) |
DEATH_CROSS
18.8h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 6, 2026 11:15am ET | $25.65 | 530 | $13,591.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 6, 2026 1:55pm ET | $25.58 | 530 | $13,554.75 | $13,567.01 |
$-37.10 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.7h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 8, 2026 9:35am ET | $26.89 | 504 | $13,552.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 9, 2026 9:50am ET | $26.74 | 504 | $13,477.01 | $13,491.46 |
$-75.55 (-0.6%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1d held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $26.83 | 502 | $13,468.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 13, 2026 1:05pm ET | $26.92 | 502 | $13,511.33 | $13,534.13 |
+$42.67 (+0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.6h held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 16, 2026 9:35am ET | $25.49 | 530 | $13,510.23 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 16, 2026 3:25pm ET | $25.06 | 530 | $13,281.80 | $13,305.70 |
$-228.43 (-1.7%) |
DEATH_CROSS
5.8h held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 20, 2026 11:10am ET | $24.81 | 536 | $13,295.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 20, 2026 1:10pm ET | $24.81 | 536 | $13,298.16 | $13,308.38 |
+$2.68 (+0.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2h held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 21, 2026 2:00pm ET | $24.10 | 552 | $13,303.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 21, 2026 3:05pm ET | $24.02 | 552 | $13,261.80 | $13,266.98 |
$-41.40 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.1h held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 22, 2026 3:10pm ET | $23.01 | 576 | $13,256.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 22, 2026 3:45pm ET | $22.92 | 576 | $13,199.04 | $13,209.38 |
$-57.60 (-0.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
35m held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 24, 2026 10:50am ET | $23.06 | 572 | $13,190.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 24, 2026 12:05pm ET | $23.06 | 572 | $13,190.32 | $13,209.38 |
$0.00 (+0.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 28, 2026 2:50pm ET | $24.45 | 540 | $13,205.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 29, 2026 10:05am ET | $24.31 | 540 | $13,124.70 | $13,128.38 |
$-81.00 (-0.6%) |
DEATH_CROSS
19.3h held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 30, 2026 1:55pm ET | $23.50 | 558 | $13,115.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 30, 2026 2:15pm ET | $23.42 | 558 | $13,065.57 | $13,078.61 |
$-49.77 (-0.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
20m held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 3, 2026 1:15pm ET | $23.52 | 555 | $13,056.37 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $22.72 | 555 | $12,609.60 | $12,631.83 |
$-446.78 (-3.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.8d held |
|
| 45 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 7, 2026 1:40pm ET | $23.48 | 538 | $12,629.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 7, 2026 2:35pm ET | $23.39 | 538 | $12,581.13 | $12,583.41 |
$-48.42 (-0.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
55m held |
|
| 46 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 11, 2026 9:40am ET | $24.58 | 511 | $12,560.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 11, 2026 12:40pm ET | $25.15 | 511 | $12,851.29 | $12,874.32 |
+$290.91 (+2.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3h held |
|
| 47 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 13, 2026 10:05am ET | $25.73 | 500 | $12,865.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 13, 2026 10:55am ET | $25.65 | 500 | $12,825.00 | $12,834.32 |
$-40.00 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
50m held |
|
| 48 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 17, 2026 12:50pm ET | $25.66 | 500 | $12,827.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 18, 2026 1:45pm ET | $24.61 | 500 | $12,307.50 | $12,314.32 |
$-520.00 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 49 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 21, 2026 2:10pm ET | $25.82 | 476 | $12,290.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 21, 2026 2:55pm ET | $25.76 | 476 | $12,261.76 | $12,285.76 |
$-28.56 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
45m held |
|
| 50 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 26, 2026 1:40pm ET | $24.90 | 493 | $12,273.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 28, 2026 11:20am ET | $24.22 | 493 | $11,940.46 | $11,952.98 |
$-332.78 (-2.7%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.9d held |
|
| 51 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 31, 2026 11:40am ET | $24.74 | 483 | $11,947.01 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 31, 2026 12:20pm ET | $24.49 | 483 | $11,826.26 | $11,832.23 |
$-120.75 (-1.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
40m held |
|
| 52 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 3, 2026 12:45pm ET | $24.41 | 484 | $11,814.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 3, 2026 2:40pm ET | $24.40 | 484 | $11,807.18 | $11,824.97 |
$-7.26 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.9h held |
|
| 53 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 9, 2026 10:55am ET | $23.75 | 497 | $11,803.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 9, 2026 2:25pm ET | $23.40 | 497 | $11,629.80 | $11,651.02 |
$-173.95 (-1.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.5h held |
|
| 54 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 10, 2026 3:05pm ET | $23.72 | 491 | $11,644.07 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 14, 2026 9:40am ET | $24.33 | 491 | $11,946.03 | $11,952.98 |
+$301.96 (+2.6%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.8d held |
|
| 55 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 15, 2026 2:10pm ET | $24.93 | 479 | $11,941.47 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 15, 2026 3:10pm ET | $24.84 | 479 | $11,900.75 | $11,912.26 |
$-40.72 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1h held |
|
| 56 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $24.32 | 489 | $11,892.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 17, 2026 12:55pm ET | $23.34 | 489 | $11,415.70 | $11,435.48 |
$-476.78 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.4h held |
|
| 57 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 22, 2026 9:30am ET | $22.39 | 510 | $11,416.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 23, 2026 10:00am ET | $21.40 | 510 | $10,915.63 | $10,934.76 |
$-500.72 (-4.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$10,934.76
Net Profit/Loss:
+$934.76
Total Return:
+9.35%