GLD Grace Crossover's Analysis
Last 6 Months: 2026-01-26 to present • 56 trades in period
-3.42%
Last 6 Months Return
$13,458.74
Current Value
32%
Win Rate
$13,935.16
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
26
Fear
VIX
18.7
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.71%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.36%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.4
Unsettled
⛈️ 2 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
48.3 neutral
20d Trend
+3.5%
5d Trend
-2.6%
EMA20 Dist
-2.0%
ATR%
5.7%
Range Pos
51%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
Strategy Score Scored Jul 26, 2026
43
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
19.9/35
Total Return
12.9/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
4.4/15
Consistency
6.5/10
Raw Quality
43.6/100
× Confidence 1.00
= 43.4
30-Day Momentum
19
+1.6%
30d Return
38%
Win Rate
8
Trades
1.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 23.2
Conf: 0.81×
Declining (-25 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
10,878
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-26 → 2026-07-24
Trading Days
126 days
Data Gaps
None (5 market holidays)
Market Closed (5 days)
2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed)
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)
Period Start Capital
$13,935.16
Current Value
$13,458.74
Period P&L
$-476.42
Max Drawdown
-6.1%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.03
Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)
Trades in Period
56
Winners / Losers
18 /
38
Best Trade
+8.02%
Worst Trade
-4.45%
Avg Trade Return
-0.05%
Avg Hold Time
21.2h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,505,466.56
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-476.42
Net P&L (after fees)
$-476.42
Gross Return
-3.42%
Net Return (after fees)
-3.42%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 GLD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 126 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 6 Months - 56 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $13,935.16 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 26, 2026 3:55pm ET | $464.73 | 29 | $13,477.17 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 27, 2026 12:45pm ET | $466.83 | 29 | $13,538.07 | $13,996.07 |
+$60.90 (+0.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
20.8h held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 28, 2026 2:20pm ET | $486.62 | 28 | $13,625.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 28, 2026 2:25pm ET | $485.63 | 28 | $13,597.64 | $13,968.35 |
$-27.72 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
6m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 29, 2026 3:35pm ET | $491.37 | 28 | $13,758.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $469.51 | 28 | $13,146.21 | $13,356.20 |
$-612.15 (-4.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.9h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 2, 2026 2:40pm ET | $431.50 | 30 | $12,945.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 2, 2026 3:55pm ET | $427.58 | 30 | $12,827.40 | $13,238.60 |
$-117.60 (-0.9%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 4, 2026 1:30pm ET | $452.65 | 29 | $13,126.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 4, 2026 1:35pm ET | $450.77 | 29 | $13,072.19 | $13,183.93 |
$-54.66 (-0.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
6m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 1:40pm ET | $447.53 | 29 | $12,978.37 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 1:45pm ET | $446.67 | 29 | $12,953.50 | $13,159.06 |
$-24.87 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
6m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 2:50pm ET | $456.02 | 28 | $12,768.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 6, 2026 3:00pm ET | $455.42 | 28 | $12,751.76 | $13,142.29 |
$-16.77 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
12m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 10, 2026 12:25pm ET | $462.98 | 28 | $12,963.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2026 1:00pm ET | $461.60 | 28 | $12,924.80 | $13,103.65 |
$-38.64 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
35m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 11, 2026 1:35pm ET | $466.99 | 28 | $13,075.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 11, 2026 3:30pm ET | $466.92 | 28 | $13,073.90 | $13,101.83 |
$-1.82 (-0.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.9h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $455.83 | 28 | $12,763.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 18, 2026 1:25pm ET | $458.77 | 28 | $12,845.56 | $13,184.01 |
+$82.18 (+0.6%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.9h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 19, 2026 3:00pm ET | $458.35 | 28 | $12,833.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $469.94 | 28 | $13,158.32 | $13,508.53 |
+$324.52 (+2.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
4.8d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 25, 2026 2:55pm ET | $478.47 | 28 | $13,397.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 26, 2026 12:30pm ET | $475.41 | 28 | $13,311.57 | $13,422.94 |
$-85.59 (-0.6%) |
DEATH_CROSS
21.6h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 27, 2026 12:45pm ET | $481.05 | 27 | $12,988.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 27, 2026 1:25pm ET | $480.51 | 27 | $12,973.77 | $13,408.36 |
$-14.58 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
40m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $474.60 | 28 | $13,288.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 4, 2026 3:10pm ET | $471.13 | 28 | $13,191.64 | $13,311.20 |
$-97.16 (-0.7%) |
DEATH_CROSS
5.7h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 5, 2026 3:15pm ET | $466.63 | 28 | $13,065.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 6, 2026 3:20pm ET | $473.58 | 28 | $13,260.24 | $13,505.94 |
+$194.74 (+1.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 11, 2026 2:20pm ET | $475.75 | 28 | $13,321.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 12, 2026 9:35am ET | $474.65 | 28 | $13,290.34 | $13,475.28 |
$-30.66 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
19.3h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 13, 2026 9:40am ET | $469.15 | 28 | $13,136.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 13, 2026 10:15am ET | $467.80 | 28 | $13,098.40 | $13,437.48 |
$-37.80 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
35m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 16, 2026 1:15pm ET | $459.49 | 29 | $13,325.21 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 17, 2026 10:30am ET | $460.18 | 29 | $13,345.22 | $13,457.49 |
+$20.01 (+0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
21.3h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 18, 2026 12:50pm ET | $448.46 | 30 | $13,453.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 18, 2026 2:25pm ET | $448.21 | 30 | $13,446.30 | $13,449.99 |
$-7.50 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.6h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 20, 2026 12:20pm ET | $422.72 | 31 | $13,104.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 20, 2026 1:20pm ET | $420.21 | 31 | $13,026.66 | $13,372.33 |
$-77.66 (-0.6%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 10:30am ET | $405.08 | 33 | $13,367.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 24, 2026 1:05pm ET | $404.39 | 33 | $13,344.87 | $13,349.73 |
$-22.60 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.6h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 25, 2026 1:35pm ET | $419.18 | 31 | $12,994.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 25, 2026 1:55pm ET | $417.81 | 31 | $12,952.11 | $13,307.26 |
$-42.47 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
20m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 27, 2026 9:35am ET | $405.80 | 32 | $12,985.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 1, 2026 11:10am ET | $438.34 | 32 | $14,026.88 | $14,348.38 |
+$1,041.12 (+8.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5.1d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 2, 2026 1:20pm ET | $428.32 | 33 | $14,134.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 11:10am ET | $428.60 | 33 | $14,143.85 | $14,357.67 |
+$9.29 (+0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.9d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2026 11:25am ET | $426.72 | 33 | $14,081.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2026 3:00pm ET | $428.30 | 33 | $14,134.02 | $14,409.93 |
+$52.26 (+0.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.6h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $436.61 | 33 | $14,408.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 9, 2026 2:15pm ET | $439.21 | 33 | $14,493.93 | $14,495.73 |
+$85.80 (+0.6%) |
DEATH_CROSS
4.8h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2026 2:30pm ET | $437.83 | 33 | $14,448.39 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 15, 2026 9:35am ET | $443.02 | 33 | $14,619.66 | $14,667.00 |
+$171.27 (+1.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
4.8d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 16, 2026 11:10am ET | $441.71 | 33 | $14,576.43 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 16, 2026 12:30pm ET | $440.67 | 33 | $14,542.11 | $14,632.68 |
$-34.32 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 17, 2026 2:35pm ET | $446.86 | 32 | $14,299.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 20, 2026 3:55pm ET | $441.87 | 32 | $14,139.84 | $14,473.00 |
$-159.68 (-1.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.1d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 22, 2026 9:35am ET | $435.54 | 33 | $14,372.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 22, 2026 11:40am ET | $434.14 | 33 | $14,326.62 | $14,426.80 |
$-46.20 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.1h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 23, 2026 12:45pm ET | $434.75 | 33 | $14,346.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 24, 2026 1:35pm ET | $433.50 | 33 | $14,305.50 | $14,385.55 |
$-41.25 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2026 12:50pm ET | $421.84 | 34 | $14,342.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $416.63 | 34 | $14,165.42 | $14,208.41 |
$-177.14 (-1.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
20.7h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | May 1, 2026 10:00am ET | $425.17 | 33 | $14,030.61 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2026 1:20pm ET | $425.53 | 33 | $14,042.49 | $14,220.29 |
+$11.88 (+0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.3h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | May 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $430.15 | 33 | $14,194.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 6, 2026 1:00pm ET | $429.91 | 33 | $14,187.02 | $14,212.36 |
$-7.93 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.5h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | May 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $434.15 | 32 | $13,892.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 8, 2026 10:55am ET | $433.21 | 32 | $13,862.88 | $14,182.44 |
$-29.92 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.4h held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | May 11, 2026 11:20am ET | $434.41 | 32 | $13,901.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 11, 2026 11:45am ET | $433.99 | 32 | $13,887.68 | $14,169.00 |
$-13.44 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
25m held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | May 12, 2026 1:05pm ET | $429.38 | 32 | $13,740.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 13, 2026 9:40am ET | $429.36 | 32 | $13,739.36 | $14,168.26 |
$-0.74 (-0.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
20.6h held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | May 14, 2026 10:20am ET | $431.04 | 32 | $13,793.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 15, 2026 3:10pm ET | $417.91 | 32 | $13,373.12 | $13,748.10 |
$-420.16 (-3.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.2d held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | May 19, 2026 12:00pm ET | $413.94 | 33 | $13,660.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 19, 2026 1:50pm ET | $413.15 | 33 | $13,633.95 | $13,721.97 |
$-26.13 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.8h held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | May 21, 2026 12:05pm ET | $414.40 | 33 | $13,675.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 21, 2026 3:00pm ET | $416.12 | 33 | $13,731.96 | $13,778.73 |
+$56.76 (+0.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.9h held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | May 26, 2026 9:35am ET | $415.11 | 33 | $13,698.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $404.70 | 33 | $13,355.10 | $13,435.20 |
$-343.53 (-2.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
23.9h held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | May 28, 2026 10:15am ET | $409.42 | 32 | $13,101.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 28, 2026 2:50pm ET | $412.93 | 32 | $13,213.76 | $13,547.52 |
+$112.32 (+0.9%) |
DEATH_CROSS
4.6h held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 1, 2026 12:55pm ET | $411.19 | 32 | $13,158.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 2, 2026 12:15pm ET | $412.61 | 32 | $13,203.63 | $13,593.10 |
+$45.58 (+0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
23.3h held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 5, 2026 1:35pm ET | $398.78 | 34 | $13,558.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 8, 2026 10:10am ET | $396.50 | 34 | $13,481.04 | $13,515.62 |
$-77.48 (-0.6%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.9d held |
|
| 45 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $399.58 | 33 | $13,186.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 15, 2026 12:40pm ET | $398.21 | 33 | $13,140.93 | $13,470.41 |
$-45.21 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.2h held |
|
| 46 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 16, 2026 1:45pm ET | $398.15 | 33 | $13,138.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 18, 2026 2:30pm ET | $387.77 | 33 | $12,796.41 | $13,127.87 |
$-342.54 (-2.6%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2d held |
|
| 47 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 23, 2026 12:35pm ET | $379.92 | 34 | $12,917.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 23, 2026 1:00pm ET | $379.36 | 34 | $12,898.24 | $13,108.66 |
$-19.21 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
25m held |
|
| 48 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 24, 2026 3:55pm ET | $366.08 | 35 | $12,812.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 25, 2026 3:45pm ET | $370.09 | 35 | $12,953.15 | $13,249.01 |
+$140.35 (+1.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
23.8h held |
|
| 49 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 29, 2026 1:10pm ET | $369.80 | 35 | $12,943.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 29, 2026 1:40pm ET | $369.23 | 35 | $12,923.05 | $13,229.00 |
$-20.01 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
30m held |
|
| 50 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 30, 2026 2:05pm ET | $369.96 | 35 | $12,948.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 1, 2026 12:35pm ET | $374.08 | 35 | $13,092.80 | $13,373.20 |
+$144.20 (+1.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
22.5h held |
|
| 51 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 7, 2026 1:45pm ET | $380.52 | 35 | $13,318.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 9, 2026 1:25pm ET | $378.62 | 35 | $13,251.70 | $13,306.70 |
$-66.50 (-0.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2d held |
|
| 52 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 10, 2026 3:50pm ET | $376.65 | 35 | $13,182.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $372.70 | 35 | $13,044.50 | $13,168.28 |
$-138.42 (-1.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.7d held |
|
| 53 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 15, 2026 9:35am ET | $372.45 | 35 | $13,035.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 15, 2026 10:55am ET | $372.18 | 35 | $13,026.30 | $13,158.83 |
$-9.45 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held |
|
| 54 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 16, 2026 11:40am ET | $368.11 | 35 | $12,883.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 17, 2026 1:40pm ET | $368.06 | 35 | $12,882.10 | $13,157.08 |
$-1.75 (-0.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held |
|
| 55 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 21, 2026 2:20pm ET | $373.72 | 35 | $13,080.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 22, 2026 12:45pm ET | $380.58 | 35 | $13,320.13 | $13,397.18 |
+$240.10 (+1.8%) |
DEATH_CROSS
22.4h held |
|
| 56 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 23, 2026 3:00pm ET | $371.22 | 36 | $13,363.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 24, 2026 12:50pm ET | $372.93 | 36 | $13,425.48 | $13,458.74 |
+$61.56 (+0.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
21.8h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$13,458.74
Net Profit/Loss:
+$3,458.74
Total Return:
+34.59%