IBM Grace Crossover's Analysis
Last 6 Months: 2026-03-25 to present • 56 trades in period
-6.56%
Last 6 Months Return
$8,053.77
Current Value
39%
Win Rate
$8,619.31
Period Start
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
41.6 neutral
20d Trend
-5.4%
5d Trend
-6.3%
EMA20 Dist
-3.9%
ATR%
3.9%
Range Pos
40%
Bounce Ratio
1.2×
Green/Red 10d
2/8
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
5
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.6/10
Raw Quality
4.5/100
× Confidence 1.00
= 4.5
30-Day Momentum
25
+2.1%
30d Return
27%
Win Rate
11
Trades
1.5×
Profit Factor
Quality: 27.6
Conf: 0.90×
Accelerating (+20 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,906
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
127 days
Data Gaps
None (5 market holidays)
Market Closed (5 days)
2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)
Period Start Capital
$8,619.31
Current Value
$8,053.77
Period P&L
$-565.58
Max Drawdown
-12.8%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.06
Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)
Trades in Period
56
Winners / Losers
22 /
34
Best Trade
+3.75%
Worst Trade
-4.44%
Avg Trade Return
-0.08%
Avg Hold Time
18.3h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$903,429.32
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-565.58
Net P&L (after fees)
$-565.58
Gross Return
-6.56%
Net Return (after fees)
-6.56%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 IBM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 127 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 6 Months - 56 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $8,619.31 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 1:50pm ET | $240.74 | 35 | $8,425.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 25, 2026 11:05am ET | $240.81 | 35 | $8,428.35 | $8,478.12 |
+$2.45 (+0.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
21.3h held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 27, 2026 3:30pm ET | $236.17 | 35 | $8,265.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 31, 2026 10:50am ET | $237.49 | 35 | $8,312.15 | $8,524.32 |
+$46.20 (+0.6%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.8d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 1:30pm ET | $245.21 | 34 | $8,336.97 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 2, 2026 10:05am ET | $243.60 | 34 | $8,282.40 | $8,469.75 |
$-54.57 (-0.7%) |
DEATH_CROSS
20.6h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 12:35pm ET | $245.98 | 34 | $8,363.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 2:55pm ET | $246.05 | 34 | $8,365.70 | $8,472.13 |
+$2.38 (+0.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.3h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2026 3:20pm ET | $244.63 | 34 | $8,317.59 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 11:05am ET | $245.17 | 34 | $8,335.78 | $8,490.32 |
+$18.19 (+0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
19.8h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 9, 2026 12:20pm ET | $237.09 | 35 | $8,298.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 9, 2026 2:15pm ET | $236.18 | 35 | $8,266.30 | $8,458.47 |
$-31.85 (-0.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.9h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $233.43 | 36 | $8,403.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 13, 2026 11:15am ET | $232.68 | 36 | $8,376.48 | $8,431.65 |
$-26.82 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.8h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 14, 2026 3:20pm ET | $240.10 | 35 | $8,403.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 15, 2026 3:35pm ET | $244.92 | 35 | $8,572.20 | $8,600.35 |
+$168.70 (+2.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 16, 2026 3:55pm ET | $250.72 | 34 | $8,524.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2026 11:40am ET | $252.94 | 34 | $8,599.85 | $8,675.72 |
+$75.37 (+0.9%) |
DEATH_CROSS
19.8h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 20, 2026 3:05pm ET | $253.28 | 34 | $8,611.51 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2026 11:50am ET | $255.00 | 34 | $8,670.00 | $8,734.21 |
+$58.49 (+0.7%) |
DEATH_CROSS
20.8h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 27, 2026 1:25pm ET | $228.44 | 38 | $8,680.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 1:50pm ET | $229.56 | 38 | $8,723.28 | $8,776.77 |
+$42.56 (+0.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | May 4, 2026 10:15am ET | $233.04 | 37 | $8,622.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 4, 2026 3:45pm ET | $229.25 | 37 | $8,482.25 | $8,636.36 |
$-140.41 (-1.6%) |
DEATH_CROSS
5.5h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | May 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $227.97 | 37 | $8,434.89 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 7, 2026 12:40pm ET | $229.38 | 37 | $8,487.15 | $8,688.62 |
+$52.26 (+0.6%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.2h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | May 11, 2026 3:55pm ET | $223.66 | 38 | $8,499.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 13, 2026 9:40am ET | $213.73 | 38 | $8,121.74 | $8,311.09 |
$-377.53 (-4.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.7d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | May 15, 2026 12:25pm ET | $218.98 | 37 | $8,102.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 15, 2026 2:55pm ET | $219.38 | 37 | $8,117.06 | $8,325.89 |
+$14.80 (+0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.5h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | May 18, 2026 3:45pm ET | $222.65 | 37 | $8,238.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 19, 2026 11:20am ET | $223.74 | 37 | $8,278.38 | $8,366.22 |
+$40.33 (+0.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
19.6h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | May 22, 2026 12:05pm ET | $257.65 | 32 | $8,244.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 22, 2026 1:00pm ET | $256.67 | 32 | $8,213.44 | $8,334.86 |
$-31.36 (-0.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
55m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | May 27, 2026 2:45pm ET | $255.79 | 32 | $8,185.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 28, 2026 12:20pm ET | $263.57 | 32 | $8,434.24 | $8,583.66 |
+$248.80 (+3.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
21.6h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 2, 2026 10:50am ET | $321.72 | 26 | $8,364.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $317.09 | 26 | $8,244.34 | $8,463.28 |
$-120.38 (-1.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
22.7h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 4, 2026 11:35am ET | $306.70 | 27 | $8,280.77 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 4, 2026 11:50am ET | $305.47 | 27 | $8,247.69 | $8,430.20 |
$-33.08 (-0.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
15m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 5, 2026 1:55pm ET | $285.35 | 29 | $8,275.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 5, 2026 2:15pm ET | $283.83 | 29 | $8,230.93 | $8,385.98 |
$-44.22 (-0.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
20m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 8, 2026 2:25pm ET | $281.94 | 29 | $8,176.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 8, 2026 3:05pm ET | $281.22 | 29 | $8,155.38 | $8,365.10 |
$-20.88 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
40m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 10, 2026 9:45am ET | $278.64 | 30 | $8,359.07 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 10, 2026 11:10am ET | $276.25 | 30 | $8,287.50 | $8,293.53 |
$-71.57 (-0.9%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.4h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 11, 2026 11:45am ET | $272.54 | 30 | $8,176.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 11, 2026 12:50pm ET | $271.90 | 30 | $8,157.15 | $8,274.48 |
$-19.05 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.1h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 12, 2026 1:05pm ET | $273.15 | 30 | $8,194.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $270.14 | 30 | $8,104.20 | $8,184.18 |
$-90.30 (-1.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.9d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 16, 2026 12:25pm ET | $270.70 | 30 | $8,121.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 16, 2026 3:15pm ET | $270.26 | 30 | $8,107.80 | $8,170.98 |
$-13.20 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.8h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 18, 2026 12:35pm ET | $249.07 | 32 | $7,970.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 18, 2026 2:40pm ET | $249.17 | 32 | $7,973.44 | $8,174.34 |
+$3.36 (+0.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.1h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 23, 2026 3:45pm ET | $264.11 | 30 | $7,923.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $261.21 | 30 | $7,836.30 | $8,087.49 |
$-86.85 (-1.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
17.8h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 25, 2026 9:30am ET | $266.23 | 30 | $7,987.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 25, 2026 11:05am ET | $262.37 | 30 | $7,871.10 | $7,971.54 |
$-115.95 (-1.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.6h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 2, 2026 9:55am ET | $288.70 | 27 | $7,794.77 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 6, 2026 1:50pm ET | $298.24 | 27 | $8,052.61 | $8,229.39 |
+$257.85 (+3.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
4.2d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 8, 2026 12:30pm ET | $303.05 | 27 | $8,182.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 8, 2026 3:05pm ET | $301.86 | 27 | $8,150.22 | $8,197.26 |
$-32.13 (-0.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.6h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 15, 2026 2:30pm ET | $213.71 | 38 | $8,120.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 16, 2026 9:45am ET | $205.09 | 38 | $7,793.42 | $7,869.70 |
$-327.56 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
19.3h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 17, 2026 3:50pm ET | $212.13 | 37 | $7,848.81 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $209.26 | 37 | $7,742.62 | $7,763.51 |
$-106.19 (-1.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.7d held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 21, 2026 12:25pm ET | $211.17 | 36 | $7,602.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 21, 2026 1:15pm ET | $210.91 | 36 | $7,592.94 | $7,754.33 |
$-9.18 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
50m held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 23, 2026 10:25am ET | $205.48 | 37 | $7,602.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 23, 2026 12:45pm ET | $205.56 | 37 | $7,605.72 | $7,757.29 |
+$2.96 (+0.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.3h held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $217.75 | 35 | $7,621.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 27, 2026 11:40am ET | $216.82 | 35 | $7,588.87 | $7,724.91 |
$-32.38 (-0.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.2h held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 29, 2026 10:05am ET | $229.34 | 33 | $7,568.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 30, 2026 12:30pm ET | $221.94 | 33 | $7,324.02 | $7,480.71 |
$-244.20 (-3.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 4, 2026 9:50am ET | $228.20 | 32 | $7,302.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 5, 2026 2:35pm ET | $236.77 | 32 | $7,576.58 | $7,754.89 |
+$274.18 (+3.8%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.2d held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 6, 2026 3:10pm ET | $233.06 | 33 | $7,690.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 7, 2026 2:15pm ET | $235.63 | 33 | $7,775.79 | $7,839.70 |
+$84.81 (+1.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
23.1h held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 10, 2026 3:10pm ET | $236.74 | 33 | $7,812.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 10, 2026 3:50pm ET | $236.18 | 33 | $7,793.94 | $7,821.05 |
$-18.65 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
40m held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 12, 2026 12:10pm ET | $234.32 | 33 | $7,732.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 12, 2026 1:05pm ET | $233.84 | 33 | $7,716.72 | $7,805.21 |
$-15.84 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
55m held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 13, 2026 1:10pm ET | $235.43 | 33 | $7,769.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 14, 2026 3:20pm ET | $234.81 | 33 | $7,748.73 | $7,784.91 |
$-20.30 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 19, 2026 9:35am ET | $234.10 | 33 | $7,725.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 19, 2026 12:40pm ET | $236.62 | 33 | $7,808.46 | $7,868.07 |
+$83.16 (+1.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.1h held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 21, 2026 10:15am ET | $235.26 | 33 | $7,763.73 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 21, 2026 12:50pm ET | $236.54 | 33 | $7,805.75 | $7,910.08 |
+$42.01 (+0.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.6h held |
|
| 45 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 24, 2026 2:25pm ET | $232.85 | 33 | $7,684.21 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 25, 2026 12:20pm ET | $232.32 | 33 | $7,666.72 | $7,892.59 |
$-17.49 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
21.9h held |
|
| 46 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 26, 2026 2:45pm ET | $230.18 | 34 | $7,826.29 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 27, 2026 1:55pm ET | $238.75 | 34 | $8,117.50 | $8,183.80 |
+$291.21 (+3.7%) |
DEATH_CROSS
23.2h held |
|
| 47 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 28, 2026 2:10pm ET | $236.09 | 34 | $8,026.89 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 31, 2026 11:30am ET | $234.07 | 34 | $7,958.55 | $8,115.46 |
$-68.34 (-0.9%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.9d held |
|
| 48 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 1, 2026 1:40pm ET | $231.38 | 35 | $8,098.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 1, 2026 1:50pm ET | $230.88 | 35 | $8,080.97 | $8,098.31 |
$-17.15 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
10m held |
|
| 49 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 2, 2026 3:05pm ET | $232.16 | 34 | $7,893.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 2, 2026 3:30pm ET | $231.60 | 34 | $7,874.42 | $8,079.29 |
$-19.02 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
25m held |
|
| 50 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 4, 2026 10:05am ET | $234.15 | 34 | $7,961.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 4, 2026 10:55am ET | $233.37 | 34 | $7,934.58 | $8,052.60 |
$-26.69 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
50m held |
|
| 51 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 8, 2026 11:20am ET | $232.61 | 34 | $7,908.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 8, 2026 11:40am ET | $232.18 | 34 | $7,893.95 | $8,037.81 |
$-14.79 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
20m held |
|
| 52 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 9, 2026 12:05pm ET | $232.05 | 34 | $7,889.87 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 10, 2026 9:35am ET | $235.52 | 34 | $8,007.85 | $8,155.79 |
+$117.98 (+1.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
21.5h held |
|
| 53 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 15, 2026 11:15am ET | $249.04 | 32 | $7,969.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 15, 2026 11:25am ET | $248.33 | 32 | $7,946.56 | $8,133.07 |
$-22.72 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
10m held |
|
| 54 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 17, 2026 9:35am ET | $240.41 | 33 | $7,933.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 17, 2026 10:30am ET | $238.30 | 33 | $7,864.06 | $8,063.60 |
$-69.47 (-0.9%) |
DEATH_CROSS
55m held |
|
| 55 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 18, 2026 1:45pm ET | $230.40 | 34 | $7,833.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 22, 2026 1:05pm ET | $230.78 | 34 | $7,846.52 | $8,076.52 |
+$12.92 (+0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
4d held |
|
| 56 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 24, 2026 12:35pm ET | $227.88 | 35 | $7,975.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 24, 2026 2:00pm ET | $227.23 | 35 | $7,953.05 | $8,053.77 |
$-22.75 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.4h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$8,053.77
Net Profit/Loss:
$-1,946.23
Total Return:
-19.46%