IWM Grace Crossover's Analysis
Last 6 Months: 2026-03-24 to present • 52 trades in period
+5.11%
Last 6 Months Return
$11,366.64
Current Value
35%
Win Rate
$10,814.07
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
41.2 neutral
20d Trend
-2.2%
5d Trend
-1.3%
EMA20 Dist
-1.9%
ATR%
1.8%
Range Pos
63%
Bounce Ratio
0.9×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
23
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
6.1/35
Total Return
9.8/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
1.4/15
Consistency
5.5/10
Raw Quality
22.7/100
× Confidence 0.99
= 22.5
30-Day Momentum
3
-4.5%
30d Return
17%
Win Rate
6
Trades
0.5×
Profit Factor
Quality: 4.3
Conf: 0.74×
Declining (-19 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,984
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
128 days
Data Gaps
None (5 market holidays)
Market Closed (5 days)
2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)
Period Start Capital
$10,814.07
Current Value
$11,366.64
Period P&L
$552.56
Max Drawdown
-8.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.09
Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)
Trades in Period
52
Winners / Losers
18 /
34
Best Trade
+5.08%
Worst Trade
-2.32%
Avg Trade Return
+0.10%
Avg Hold Time
23h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,196,066.76
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$552.56
Net P&L (after fees)
$552.56
Gross Return
+5.11%
Net Return (after fees)
+5.11%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 IWM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 128 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 6 Months - 52 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $10,814.07 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 2:05pm ET | $248.61 | 43 | $10,690.23 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 24, 2026 3:55pm ET | $248.67 | 43 | $10,692.81 | $10,816.66 |
+$2.58 (+0.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.8h held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 26, 2026 10:25am ET | $251.31 | 43 | $10,806.33 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 12:00pm ET | $245.47 | 43 | $10,555.21 | $10,565.54 |
$-251.12 (-2.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 31, 2026 9:30am ET | $243.51 | 43 | $10,470.93 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 1, 2026 1:45pm ET | $251.67 | 43 | $10,821.81 | $10,916.42 |
+$350.88 (+3.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.2d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 2, 2026 2:10pm ET | $250.16 | 43 | $10,756.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 1:10pm ET | $251.68 | 43 | $10,822.24 | $10,981.78 |
+$65.36 (+0.6%) |
DEATH_CROSS
4d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2026 3:25pm ET | $252.06 | 43 | $10,838.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2026 3:40pm ET | $251.40 | 43 | $10,810.20 | $10,953.40 |
$-28.38 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
15m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 9, 2026 11:00am ET | $260.06 | 42 | $10,922.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 9, 2026 2:15pm ET | $261.80 | 42 | $10,995.60 | $11,026.48 |
+$73.08 (+0.7%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.3h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 14, 2026 1:20pm ET | $268.71 | 41 | $11,017.31 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 15, 2026 11:40am ET | $268.64 | 41 | $11,014.24 | $11,023.41 |
$-3.07 (-0.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
22.3h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 16, 2026 2:35pm ET | $269.32 | 40 | $10,772.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2026 1:30pm ET | $276.10 | 40 | $11,044.00 | $11,294.61 |
+$271.20 (+2.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
22.9h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 21, 2026 3:05pm ET | $275.68 | 40 | $11,027.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 22, 2026 11:05am ET | $276.08 | 40 | $11,043.20 | $11,310.41 |
+$15.80 (+0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
20h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 23, 2026 2:30pm ET | $275.68 | 41 | $11,302.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 24, 2026 9:55am ET | $274.46 | 41 | $11,252.86 | $11,260.39 |
$-50.02 (-0.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
19.4h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 27, 2026 12:20pm ET | $276.88 | 40 | $11,075.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 27, 2026 1:50pm ET | $276.70 | 40 | $11,067.80 | $11,252.99 |
$-7.40 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.5h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2026 3:55pm ET | $273.74 | 41 | $11,223.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2026 12:45pm ET | $278.25 | 41 | $11,408.25 | $11,437.90 |
+$184.91 (+1.6%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.9d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | May 4, 2026 1:50pm ET | $277.86 | 41 | $11,392.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 4, 2026 2:55pm ET | $277.54 | 41 | $11,379.14 | $11,424.98 |
$-12.92 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.1h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | May 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $283.98 | 40 | $11,359.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 8, 2026 2:55pm ET | $283.52 | 40 | $11,340.80 | $11,406.58 |
$-18.40 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
5.4h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | May 12, 2026 1:15pm ET | $280.08 | 40 | $11,203.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 15, 2026 3:10pm ET | $278.06 | 40 | $11,122.40 | $11,325.78 |
$-80.80 (-0.7%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.1d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | May 18, 2026 3:10pm ET | $275.58 | 41 | $11,298.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 18, 2026 3:25pm ET | $274.91 | 41 | $11,271.31 | $11,298.31 |
$-27.47 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
15m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | May 20, 2026 9:40am ET | $274.78 | 41 | $11,265.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 26, 2026 11:50am ET | $288.74 | 41 | $11,838.34 | $11,870.67 |
+$572.36 (+5.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
6.1d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | May 27, 2026 12:25pm ET | $290.90 | 40 | $11,636.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 27, 2026 1:10pm ET | $290.02 | 40 | $11,600.80 | $11,835.47 |
$-35.20 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
45m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | May 29, 2026 11:55am ET | $290.08 | 40 | $11,603.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $288.07 | 40 | $11,522.80 | $11,754.87 |
$-80.60 (-0.7%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.9d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 2, 2026 1:50pm ET | $290.92 | 40 | $11,636.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $289.65 | 40 | $11,586.00 | $11,704.27 |
$-50.60 (-0.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
19.7h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $285.41 | 41 | $11,701.81 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 8, 2026 12:35pm ET | $285.25 | 41 | $11,695.25 | $11,697.71 |
$-6.56 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.1h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 9, 2026 1:35pm ET | $282.62 | 41 | $11,587.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 10, 2026 11:00am ET | $285.15 | 41 | $11,691.15 | $11,801.44 |
+$103.73 (+0.9%) |
DEATH_CROSS
21.4h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 11, 2026 1:30pm ET | $288.54 | 40 | $11,541.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 12, 2026 2:00pm ET | $293.86 | 40 | $11,754.40 | $12,014.24 |
+$212.80 (+1.8%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 17, 2026 9:40am ET | $294.11 | 40 | $11,764.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 18, 2026 3:15pm ET | $294.20 | 40 | $11,768.00 | $12,017.84 |
+$3.60 (+0.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.2d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 23, 2026 12:05pm ET | $296.95 | 40 | $11,878.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 24, 2026 12:55pm ET | $298.01 | 40 | $11,920.20 | $12,060.04 |
+$42.20 (+0.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 25, 2026 3:55pm ET | $298.23 | 40 | $11,929.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $296.45 | 40 | $11,858.00 | $11,988.84 |
$-71.20 (-0.6%) |
DEATH_CROSS
17.6h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $297.73 | 40 | $11,909.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 29, 2026 12:35pm ET | $296.41 | 40 | $11,856.40 | $11,936.04 |
$-52.80 (-0.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.1h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 1, 2026 10:00am ET | $301.19 | 39 | $11,746.41 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 1, 2026 1:00pm ET | $301.74 | 39 | $11,767.86 | $11,957.49 |
+$21.45 (+0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 7, 2026 12:15pm ET | $297.14 | 40 | $11,885.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 7, 2026 2:35pm ET | $297.08 | 40 | $11,883.20 | $11,954.89 |
$-2.60 (-0.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.3h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 10, 2026 12:50pm ET | $295.61 | 40 | $11,824.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 10, 2026 3:35pm ET | $295.83 | 40 | $11,833.00 | $11,963.29 |
+$8.40 (+0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.8h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $295.75 | 40 | $11,830.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 14, 2026 1:00pm ET | $294.48 | 40 | $11,779.20 | $11,912.49 |
$-50.80 (-0.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.5h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 15, 2026 1:25pm ET | $295.60 | 40 | $11,823.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 15, 2026 2:45pm ET | $295.53 | 40 | $11,821.20 | $11,909.89 |
$-2.60 (-0.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 17, 2026 12:20pm ET | $294.77 | 40 | $11,790.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 17, 2026 2:00pm ET | $294.28 | 40 | $11,771.20 | $11,890.29 |
$-19.60 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.7h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 20, 2026 2:05pm ET | $293.99 | 40 | $11,759.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 20, 2026 2:35pm ET | $293.46 | 40 | $11,738.40 | $11,869.09 |
$-21.20 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
30m held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 23, 2026 12:30pm ET | $291.84 | 40 | $11,673.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 23, 2026 12:50pm ET | $291.30 | 40 | $11,652.00 | $11,847.49 |
$-21.60 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
20m held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 24, 2026 1:35pm ET | $293.15 | 40 | $11,726.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 24, 2026 1:45pm ET | $292.80 | 40 | $11,712.00 | $11,833.49 |
$-14.00 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
10m held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 27, 2026 2:00pm ET | $292.49 | 40 | $11,699.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 27, 2026 2:35pm ET | $291.87 | 40 | $11,674.80 | $11,808.69 |
$-24.80 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
35m held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 30, 2026 11:50am ET | $290.57 | 40 | $11,622.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 31, 2026 9:50am ET | $290.95 | 40 | $11,638.00 | $11,823.89 |
+$15.20 (+0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
22h held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 3, 2026 1:40pm ET | $295.66 | 39 | $11,530.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 5, 2026 9:35am ET | $301.72 | 39 | $11,767.08 | $12,060.23 |
+$236.34 (+2.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.8d held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 6, 2026 10:10am ET | $300.85 | 40 | $12,034.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 6, 2026 11:20am ET | $300.23 | 40 | $12,009.40 | $12,035.63 |
$-24.60 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.2h held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 7, 2026 3:05pm ET | $301.51 | 39 | $11,758.89 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 11, 2026 11:30am ET | $300.92 | 39 | $11,736.07 | $12,012.81 |
$-22.82 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.9d held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 14, 2026 9:45am ET | $303.66 | 39 | $11,842.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 14, 2026 11:40am ET | $304.02 | 39 | $11,856.97 | $12,027.04 |
+$14.23 (+0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.9h held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 17, 2026 12:10pm ET | $304.03 | 39 | $11,857.17 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $302.61 | 39 | $11,801.79 | $11,971.66 |
$-55.38 (-0.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
21.3h held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 19, 2026 9:30am ET | $302.71 | 39 | $11,805.69 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 19, 2026 12:30pm ET | $302.27 | 39 | $11,788.72 | $11,954.70 |
$-16.96 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3h held |
|
| 45 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 24, 2026 2:30pm ET | $298.28 | 40 | $11,931.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 24, 2026 3:55pm ET | $297.85 | 40 | $11,913.80 | $11,937.30 |
$-17.40 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.4h held |
|
| 46 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 26, 2026 1:20pm ET | $298.67 | 39 | $11,648.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 26, 2026 3:55pm ET | $298.80 | 39 | $11,653.39 | $11,942.56 |
+$5.26 (+0.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.6h held |
|
| 47 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 31, 2026 1:55pm ET | $293.25 | 40 | $11,730.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 1, 2026 9:35am ET | $292.10 | 40 | $11,684.00 | $11,896.56 |
$-46.00 (-0.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
19.7h held |
|
| 48 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 3, 2026 11:00am ET | $294.41 | 40 | $11,776.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $293.67 | 40 | $11,746.80 | $11,866.96 |
$-29.60 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
22.5h held |
|
| 49 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 8, 2026 11:05am ET | $295.29 | 40 | $11,811.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 11, 2026 1:50pm ET | $289.50 | 40 | $11,580.00 | $11,635.56 |
$-231.40 (-2.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.1d held |
|
| 50 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 14, 2026 3:00pm ET | $288.73 | 40 | $11,549.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 15, 2026 3:20pm ET | $285.16 | 40 | $11,406.40 | $11,492.56 |
$-143.00 (-1.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1d held |
|
| 51 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $288.12 | 39 | $11,236.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 21, 2026 1:00pm ET | $285.65 | 39 | $11,140.35 | $11,396.23 |
$-96.33 (-0.9%) |
DEATH_CROSS
4.1d held |
|
| 52 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 24, 2026 12:20pm ET | $281.26 | 40 | $11,250.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 24, 2026 2:05pm ET | $280.52 | 40 | $11,220.81 | $11,366.64 |
$-29.59 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.8h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$11,366.64
Net Profit/Loss:
+$1,366.64
Total Return:
+13.67%