Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 23:59:18

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
49.4 neutral
20d Trend
-5.1%
5d Trend
+1.5%
EMA20 Dist
+0.1%
ATR%
2.3%
Range Pos
39%
Bounce Ratio
2.4×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

24
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
6.1/35
Total Return
10.3/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
2.0/15
Consistency
6.1/10
Raw Quality 24.4/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 24.3

30-Day Momentum

9
-0.3%
30d Return
27%
Win Rate
11
Trades
0.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0 Conf: 0.90×
Declining (-15 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,984
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
128 days
Data Gaps
None (5 market holidays)

Market Closed (5 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$10,252.73
Current Value
$11,655.36
Period P&L
$1,402.54
Max Drawdown
-9.3%
Sharpe Ratio
0.24

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
61
Winners / Losers
26 / 35
Best Trade
+3.10%
Worst Trade
-1.14%
Avg Trade Return
+0.22%
Avg Hold Time
16.3h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,331,083.04
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,402.54
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,402.54
Gross Return
+13.68%
Net Return (after fees)
+13.68%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 128 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 61 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $10,252.73 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 9:30am ET $503.00 20 $10,060.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 11:30am ET $502.34 20 $10,046.80 $10,239.62 $-13.20
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 2:00pm ET $484.83 21 $10,181.43 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 3:50pm ET $482.78 21 $10,138.38 $10,196.57 $-43.05
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.8h held
3 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 3:50pm ET $493.59 20 $9,871.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 10:30am ET $493.02 20 $9,860.40 $10,185.17 $-11.40
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
18.7h held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 9:35am ET $494.24 20 $9,884.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 1:40pm ET $499.97 20 $9,999.40 $10,299.67 +$114.50
(+1.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
4.1h held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 3:30pm ET $497.86 20 $9,957.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 2:20pm ET $509.48 20 $10,189.60 $10,532.07 +$232.40
(+2.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
22.8h held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 3:35pm ET $504.60 20 $10,092.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 9:30am ET $503.01 20 $10,060.20 $10,500.27 $-31.80
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
17.9h held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 3:30pm ET $512.07 20 $10,241.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 3:50pm ET $520.66 20 $10,413.10 $10,671.97 +$171.70
(+1.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
1d held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 9:35am ET $521.66 20 $10,433.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 9:45am ET $519.35 20 $10,387.10 $10,625.87 $-46.10
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
10m held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 2:25pm ET $517.36 20 $10,347.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 9:30am ET $515.10 20 $10,302.00 $10,580.67 $-45.20
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
19.1h held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 10:25am ET $501.82 21 $10,538.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 10:40am ET $501.55 21 $10,532.55 $10,575.10 $-5.57
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
15m held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 2:50pm ET $506.47 20 $10,129.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 12:30pm ET $513.33 20 $10,266.50 $10,712.20 +$137.10
(+1.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
21.7h held
12 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 2:15pm ET $504.79 21 $10,600.59 — — —
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 10:10am ET $503.45 21 $10,572.40 $10,684.01 $-28.19
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
19.9h held
13 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 3:00pm ET $505.56 21 $10,616.76 — — —
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 9:30am ET $500.37 21 $10,507.77 $10,575.02 $-108.99
(-1.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
18.5h held
14 🟢 BUY May 6, 2026 3:15pm ET $492.36 21 $10,339.56 — — —
🔴 SELL May 8, 2026 9:30am ET $498.93 21 $10,477.53 $10,712.99 +$137.97
(+1.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.8d held
15 🟢 BUY May 11, 2026 3:35pm ET $499.39 21 $10,487.19 — — —
🔴 SELL May 12, 2026 1:25pm ET $503.76 21 $10,578.96 $10,804.76 +$91.77
(+0.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
21.8h held
16 🟢 BUY May 14, 2026 10:45am ET $492.46 21 $10,341.66 — — —
🔴 SELL May 14, 2026 11:35am ET $491.60 21 $10,323.60 $10,786.70 $-18.06
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
50m held
17 🟢 BUY May 18, 2026 9:45am ET $494.96 21 $10,394.16 — — —
🔴 SELL May 19, 2026 11:20am ET $506.75 21 $10,641.70 $11,034.24 +$247.54
(+2.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held
18 🟢 BUY May 20, 2026 12:20pm ET $495.23 22 $10,894.95 — — —
🔴 SELL May 20, 2026 12:35pm ET $493.17 22 $10,849.63 $10,988.92 $-45.32
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
15m held
19 🟢 BUY May 22, 2026 9:35am ET $501.75 21 $10,536.75 — — —
🔴 SELL May 22, 2026 10:25am ET $499.46 21 $10,488.69 $10,940.86 $-48.06
(-0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
50m held
20 🟢 BUY May 26, 2026 12:45pm ET $494.17 22 $10,871.74 — — —
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 1:45pm ET $493.10 22 $10,848.20 $10,917.32 $-23.54
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
1h held
21 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 2:15pm ET $494.93 22 $10,888.46 — — —
🔴 SELL May 27, 2026 2:30pm ET $494.49 22 $10,878.78 $10,907.64 $-9.68
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
15m held
22 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 1:20pm ET $498.36 21 $10,465.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 9:30am ET $492.95 21 $10,351.85 $10,793.93 $-113.71
(-1.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.8d held
23 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 12:45pm ET $469.10 23 $10,789.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 12:10pm ET $482.76 23 $11,103.48 $11,108.11 +$314.18
(+2.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
23.4h held
24 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 2:00pm ET $485.78 22 $10,687.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 8, 2026 3:15pm ET $485.15 22 $10,673.30 $11,094.25 $-13.86
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held
25 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 9:45am ET $494.01 22 $10,868.22 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 3:15pm ET $488.99 22 $10,757.78 $10,983.81 $-110.44
(-1.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
5.5h held
26 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 10:50am ET $488.15 22 $10,739.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2026 1:10pm ET $490.10 22 $10,782.09 $11,026.60 +$42.79
(+0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.3h held
27 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 3:50pm ET $490.11 22 $10,782.42 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 16, 2026 1:45pm ET $497.18 22 $10,937.96 $11,182.14 +$155.54
(+1.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
21.9h held
28 🟢 BUY Jun 18, 2026 1:30pm ET $490.62 22 $10,793.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2026 3:15pm ET $490.10 22 $10,782.20 $11,170.70 $-11.44
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.8h held
29 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2026 9:30am ET $490.88 22 $10,799.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 24, 2026 12:35pm ET $493.85 22 $10,864.70 $11,236.04 +$65.34
(+0.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held
30 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2026 2:30pm ET $495.74 22 $10,906.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 26, 2026 1:45pm ET $501.39 22 $11,030.69 $11,360.45 +$124.41
(+1.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
23.3h held
31 🟢 BUY Jun 30, 2026 10:55am ET $511.10 22 $11,244.09 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 30, 2026 1:10pm ET $511.26 22 $11,247.72 $11,364.08 +$3.63
(+0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.3h held
32 🟢 BUY Jul 2, 2026 9:35am ET $529.29 21 $11,115.09 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 7, 2026 9:30am ET $532.22 21 $11,176.72 $11,425.71 +$61.63
(+0.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
5d held
33 🟢 BUY Jul 8, 2026 2:20pm ET $519.12 22 $11,420.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 9, 2026 9:35am ET $517.86 22 $11,393.03 $11,398.10 $-27.61
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
19.3h held
34 🟢 BUY Jul 10, 2026 10:45am ET $522.51 21 $10,972.71 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 10, 2026 11:05am ET $521.39 21 $10,949.19 $11,374.58 $-23.52
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
20m held
35 🟢 BUY Jul 14, 2026 12:10pm ET $540.77 21 $11,356.17 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 14, 2026 12:50pm ET $539.78 21 $11,335.38 $11,353.79 $-20.79
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
40m held
36 🟢 BUY Jul 16, 2026 9:30am ET $541.85 20 $10,837.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 17, 2026 10:00am ET $547.20 20 $10,944.00 $11,460.79 +$107.00
(+1.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
1d held
37 🟢 BUY Jul 20, 2026 10:15am ET $542.93 21 $11,401.53 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 20, 2026 2:25pm ET $546.12 21 $11,468.52 $11,527.78 +$66.99
(+0.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
4.2h held
38 🟢 BUY Jul 22, 2026 12:35pm ET $536.66 21 $11,269.86 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 22, 2026 12:55pm ET $535.50 21 $11,245.50 $11,503.42 $-24.36
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
20m held
39 🟢 BUY Jul 23, 2026 1:05pm ET $527.58 21 $11,079.18 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 23, 2026 1:20pm ET $527.13 21 $11,069.73 $11,493.97 $-9.45
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
15m held
40 🟢 BUY Jul 24, 2026 2:20pm ET $535.18 21 $11,238.78 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 27, 2026 1:20pm ET $551.79 21 $11,587.59 $11,842.78 +$348.81
(+3.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
3d held
41 🟢 BUY Jul 28, 2026 2:50pm ET $561.37 21 $11,788.77 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 29, 2026 9:30am ET $557.28 21 $11,702.78 $11,756.79 $-85.99
(-0.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
18.7h held
42 🟢 BUY Jul 30, 2026 9:30am ET $575.92 20 $11,518.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 30, 2026 10:45am ET $569.34 20 $11,386.70 $11,625.09 $-131.70
(-1.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held
43 🟢 BUY Aug 3, 2026 1:15pm ET $573.73 20 $11,474.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 3, 2026 3:35pm ET $573.89 20 $11,477.80 $11,628.29 +$3.20
(+0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.3h held
44 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2026 9:30am ET $575.50 20 $11,510.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 5, 2026 10:45am ET $571.97 20 $11,439.30 $11,557.59 $-70.70
(-0.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held
45 🟢 BUY Aug 6, 2026 11:05am ET $570.06 20 $11,401.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 7, 2026 9:35am ET $570.64 20 $11,412.70 $11,569.09 +$11.50
(+0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
22.5h held
46 🟢 BUY Aug 10, 2026 3:55pm ET $561.79 20 $11,235.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 11, 2026 12:20pm ET $564.73 20 $11,294.60 $11,627.89 +$58.80
(+0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
20.4h held
47 🟢 BUY Aug 12, 2026 1:20pm ET $557.72 20 $11,154.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 13, 2026 10:45am ET $560.01 20 $11,200.20 $11,673.69 +$45.80
(+0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
21.4h held
48 🟢 BUY Aug 14, 2026 11:10am ET $566.61 20 $11,332.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 14, 2026 3:50pm ET $568.91 20 $11,378.30 $11,719.79 +$46.10
(+0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
4.7h held
49 🟢 BUY Aug 19, 2026 9:55am ET $577.82 20 $11,556.35 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 20, 2026 10:10am ET $574.68 20 $11,493.60 $11,657.04 $-62.75
(-0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
1d held
50 🟢 BUY Aug 25, 2026 12:25pm ET $597.66 19 $11,355.54 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 25, 2026 3:10pm ET $597.73 19 $11,356.96 $11,658.47 +$1.43
(+0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.8h held
51 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 11:50am ET $593.15 19 $11,269.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2026 2:15pm ET $591.50 19 $11,238.50 $11,627.12 $-31.35
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.4h held
52 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 1:50pm ET $592.81 19 $11,263.39 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 10:45am ET $588.66 19 $11,184.45 $11,548.18 $-78.94
(-0.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
20.9h held
53 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2026 1:00pm ET $588.36 19 $11,178.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2026 1:10pm ET $588.06 19 $11,173.14 $11,542.48 $-5.70
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
10m held
54 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2026 1:55pm ET $586.04 19 $11,134.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 3:05pm ET $585.36 19 $11,121.84 $11,529.56 $-12.92
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.2h held
55 🟢 BUY Sep 8, 2026 2:15pm ET $569.00 20 $11,380.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 9:35am ET $566.28 20 $11,325.50 $11,475.06 $-54.50
(-0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
19.3h held
56 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2026 12:15pm ET $565.83 20 $11,316.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 11:25am ET $574.38 20 $11,487.60 $11,646.06 +$171.00
(+1.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
4d held
57 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 1:45pm ET $571.79 20 $11,435.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 3:00pm ET $571.61 20 $11,432.20 $11,642.46 $-3.60
(-0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held
58 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2026 11:30am ET $566.84 20 $11,336.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2026 2:55pm ET $567.81 20 $11,356.20 $11,661.86 +$19.40
(+0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.4h held
59 🟢 BUY Sep 21, 2026 12:10pm ET $565.71 20 $11,314.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 12:25pm ET $564.62 20 $11,292.40 $11,640.06 $-21.80
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
15m held
60 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2026 12:45pm ET $559.40 20 $11,188.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 2:00pm ET $558.28 20 $11,165.50 $11,617.56 $-22.50
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held
61 🟢 BUY Sep 24, 2026 9:30am ET $561.00 20 $11,220.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2026 11:10am ET $562.89 20 $11,257.80 $11,655.36 +$37.80
(+0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.7h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,655.36
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,655.36
Total Return: +16.55%
Back to Grace Crossover