MCD Grace Crossover's Analysis
Last 6 Months: 2026-03-24 to present • 53 trades in period
+1.84%
Last 6 Months Return
$8,431.64
Current Value
38%
Win Rate
$8,279.09
Period Start
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
4.96%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.26%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
71.6 overbought
20d Trend
+5.3%
5d Trend
+2.7%
EMA20 Dist
+2.8%
ATR%
1.5%
Range Pos
87%
Bounce Ratio
3.3×
Green/Red 10d
8/2
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
4
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.9/10
Raw Quality
3.9/100
× Confidence 1.00
= 3.9
30-Day Momentum
7
-1.9%
30d Return
22%
Win Rate
9
Trades
0.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 8.6
Conf: 0.84×
Steady (+3 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,984
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
128 days
Data Gaps
None (5 market holidays)
Market Closed (5 days)
2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)
Period Start Capital
$8,279.09
Current Value
$8,431.64
Period P&L
$152.58
Max Drawdown
-16.7%
Sharpe Ratio
0.04
Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)
Trades in Period
53
Winners / Losers
20 /
33
Best Trade
+2.87%
Worst Trade
-2.83%
Avg Trade Return
+0.04%
Avg Hold Time
1d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$878,346.88
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$152.58
Net P&L (after fees)
$152.58
Gross Return
+1.84%
Net Return (after fees)
+1.84%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 MCD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 128 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 6 Months - 53 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $8,279.09 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 10:20am ET | $309.36 | 26 | $8,043.49 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 26, 2026 10:10am ET | $311.80 | 26 | $8,106.93 | $8,342.50 |
+$63.44 (+0.8%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $308.75 | 27 | $8,336.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 31, 2026 1:30pm ET | $309.03 | 27 | $8,343.81 | $8,350.06 |
+$7.56 (+0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.2d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 3:05pm ET | $307.45 | 27 | $8,301.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 10:35am ET | $304.98 | 27 | $8,234.39 | $8,283.17 |
$-66.89 (-0.8%) |
DEATH_CROSS
6.8d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2026 2:35pm ET | $305.83 | 27 | $8,257.41 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 13, 2026 2:35pm ET | $303.24 | 27 | $8,187.52 | $8,213.28 |
$-69.89 (-0.8%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 14, 2026 2:40pm ET | $302.39 | 27 | $8,164.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 15, 2026 2:05pm ET | $305.64 | 27 | $8,252.28 | $8,301.03 |
+$87.75 (+1.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
23.4h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 16, 2026 3:55pm ET | $307.77 | 26 | $8,002.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2026 2:50pm ET | $311.43 | 26 | $8,097.18 | $8,396.06 |
+$95.03 (+1.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
22.9h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 22, 2026 9:35am ET | $302.27 | 27 | $8,161.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 12:35pm ET | $303.16 | 27 | $8,185.41 | $8,420.31 |
+$24.25 (+0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 29, 2026 11:30am ET | $291.27 | 28 | $8,155.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 1:15pm ET | $291.23 | 28 | $8,154.44 | $8,419.05 |
$-1.26 (-0.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.8h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 30, 2026 3:50pm ET | $293.52 | 28 | $8,218.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2026 10:25am ET | $292.88 | 28 | $8,200.64 | $8,401.13 |
$-17.92 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
18.6h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | May 5, 2026 10:00am ET | $285.14 | 29 | $8,269.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 5, 2026 1:00pm ET | $284.55 | 29 | $8,251.81 | $8,383.73 |
$-17.40 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | May 6, 2026 2:20pm ET | $283.68 | 29 | $8,226.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 6, 2026 3:45pm ET | $283.54 | 29 | $8,222.66 | $8,379.53 |
$-4.20 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.4h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | May 11, 2026 1:45pm ET | $274.06 | 30 | $8,221.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 12, 2026 12:15pm ET | $276.71 | 30 | $8,301.30 | $8,459.03 |
+$79.50 (+1.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
22.5h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | May 13, 2026 1:55pm ET | $275.50 | 30 | $8,265.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 14, 2026 10:05am ET | $275.20 | 30 | $8,255.85 | $8,449.88 |
$-9.15 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
20.2h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | May 15, 2026 12:15pm ET | $276.21 | 30 | $8,286.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 15, 2026 12:30pm ET | $275.84 | 30 | $8,275.20 | $8,438.78 |
$-11.10 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
15m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | May 20, 2026 11:20am ET | $279.64 | 30 | $8,389.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 22, 2026 9:30am ET | $282.71 | 30 | $8,481.30 | $8,530.88 |
+$92.10 (+1.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.9d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | May 26, 2026 11:55am ET | $280.73 | 30 | $8,421.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 27, 2026 12:15pm ET | $281.80 | 30 | $8,454.00 | $8,562.98 |
+$32.10 (+0.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | May 28, 2026 3:25pm ET | $278.12 | 30 | $8,343.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 28, 2026 3:50pm ET | $277.80 | 30 | $8,334.15 | $8,553.53 |
$-9.45 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
25m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 1, 2026 1:55pm ET | $274.53 | 31 | $8,510.43 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 2, 2026 1:15pm ET | $275.24 | 31 | $8,532.44 | $8,575.54 |
+$22.01 (+0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
23.3h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $277.88 | 30 | $8,336.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 4, 2026 10:55am ET | $275.57 | 30 | $8,266.95 | $8,506.24 |
$-69.30 (-0.8%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.4h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 8, 2026 1:25pm ET | $278.28 | 30 | $8,348.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 8, 2026 1:40pm ET | $278.04 | 30 | $8,341.20 | $8,499.04 |
$-7.20 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
15m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 11, 2026 11:30am ET | $282.92 | 30 | $8,487.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 12, 2026 10:00am ET | $284.65 | 30 | $8,539.65 | $8,551.24 |
+$52.20 (+0.6%) |
DEATH_CROSS
22.5h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $288.14 | 29 | $8,355.99 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 16, 2026 9:50am ET | $285.71 | 29 | $8,285.59 | $8,480.84 |
$-70.40 (-0.8%) |
DEATH_CROSS
20m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 17, 2026 2:55pm ET | $284.23 | 29 | $8,242.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 17, 2026 3:30pm ET | $283.86 | 29 | $8,231.94 | $8,470.25 |
$-10.59 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
35m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 18, 2026 3:45pm ET | $279.48 | 30 | $8,384.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 23, 2026 11:40am ET | $271.58 | 30 | $8,147.40 | $8,233.10 |
$-237.15 (-2.8%) |
DEATH_CROSS
4.8d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 25, 2026 2:35pm ET | $267.22 | 30 | $8,016.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 26, 2026 12:40pm ET | $268.92 | 30 | $8,067.75 | $8,284.40 |
+$51.30 (+0.6%) |
DEATH_CROSS
22.1h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 29, 2026 1:25pm ET | $267.27 | 30 | $8,018.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 30, 2026 3:10pm ET | $270.06 | 30 | $8,101.80 | $8,367.95 |
+$83.55 (+1.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 2, 2026 9:35am ET | $271.80 | 30 | $8,154.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 2, 2026 10:40am ET | $270.84 | 30 | $8,125.20 | $8,339.00 |
$-28.95 (-0.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.1h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 6, 2026 12:25pm ET | $275.48 | 30 | $8,264.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 7, 2026 11:30am ET | $283.38 | 30 | $8,501.40 | $8,575.90 |
+$236.90 (+2.9%) |
DEATH_CROSS
23.1h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 9, 2026 3:10pm ET | $276.50 | 31 | $8,571.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 13, 2026 3:40pm ET | $271.94 | 31 | $8,430.14 | $8,434.54 |
$-141.36 (-1.6%) |
DEATH_CROSS
4d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 15, 2026 10:30am ET | $269.01 | 31 | $8,339.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 15, 2026 11:35am ET | $268.42 | 31 | $8,320.87 | $8,416.25 |
$-18.29 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.1h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 16, 2026 2:15pm ET | $271.72 | 30 | $8,151.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 17, 2026 10:40am ET | $272.55 | 30 | $8,176.50 | $8,441.15 |
+$24.90 (+0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
20.4h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 20, 2026 3:25pm ET | $267.30 | 31 | $8,286.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 21, 2026 9:35am ET | $265.98 | 31 | $8,245.23 | $8,400.23 |
$-40.92 (-0.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
18.2h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 22, 2026 11:45am ET | $264.55 | 31 | $8,201.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 22, 2026 2:30pm ET | $264.03 | 31 | $8,184.93 | $8,383.96 |
$-16.27 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.8h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 23, 2026 3:10pm ET | $262.32 | 31 | $8,131.77 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 24, 2026 1:25pm ET | $265.28 | 31 | $8,223.76 | $8,475.95 |
+$91.99 (+1.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
22.3h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 27, 2026 2:35pm ET | $270.12 | 31 | $8,373.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 28, 2026 11:55am ET | $275.85 | 31 | $8,551.35 | $8,653.58 |
+$177.63 (+2.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
21.3h held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 29, 2026 2:45pm ET | $272.30 | 31 | $8,441.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 29, 2026 3:00pm ET | $271.72 | 31 | $8,423.32 | $8,635.60 |
$-17.98 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
15m held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 4, 2026 9:55am ET | $268.89 | 32 | $8,604.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 4, 2026 11:55am ET | $268.46 | 32 | $8,590.72 | $8,621.84 |
$-13.76 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2h held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 5, 2026 1:25pm ET | $273.79 | 31 | $8,487.43 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 6, 2026 10:10am ET | $272.01 | 31 | $8,432.43 | $8,566.84 |
$-55.00 (-0.6%) |
DEATH_CROSS
20.8h held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 7, 2026 1:45pm ET | $275.06 | 31 | $8,526.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 10, 2026 9:50am ET | $273.03 | 31 | $8,463.93 | $8,503.91 |
$-62.93 (-0.7%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.8d held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 11, 2026 10:40am ET | $272.73 | 31 | $8,454.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 11, 2026 12:55pm ET | $272.14 | 31 | $8,436.34 | $8,485.62 |
$-18.29 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.3h held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 12, 2026 3:40pm ET | $275.48 | 30 | $8,264.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 12, 2026 3:50pm ET | $275.21 | 30 | $8,256.45 | $8,477.67 |
$-7.95 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
10m held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $267.74 | 31 | $8,300.09 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 18, 2026 2:40pm ET | $268.69 | 31 | $8,329.41 | $8,506.99 |
+$29.32 (+0.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
5.2h held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 20, 2026 2:50pm ET | $269.70 | 31 | $8,360.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $268.28 | 31 | $8,316.68 | $8,462.82 |
$-44.17 (-0.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
18.7h held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 24, 2026 2:00pm ET | $272.49 | 31 | $8,447.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 25, 2026 9:30am ET | $271.38 | 31 | $8,412.63 | $8,428.10 |
$-34.72 (-0.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
19.5h held |
|
| 45 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 26, 2026 2:25pm ET | $267.09 | 31 | $8,279.79 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $265.36 | 31 | $8,226.16 | $8,374.47 |
$-53.63 (-0.6%) |
DEATH_CROSS
19.1h held |
|
| 46 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 28, 2026 9:35am ET | $261.62 | 32 | $8,371.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 31, 2026 2:55pm ET | $265.35 | 32 | $8,491.04 | $8,493.67 |
+$119.20 (+1.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.2d held |
|
| 47 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 2, 2026 12:25pm ET | $261.90 | 32 | $8,380.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $258.07 | 32 | $8,258.24 | $8,371.11 |
$-122.56 (-1.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.9d held |
|
| 48 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 8, 2026 10:25am ET | $256.72 | 32 | $8,215.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 8, 2026 1:20pm ET | $255.82 | 32 | $8,186.32 | $8,342.39 |
$-28.72 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.9h held |
|
| 49 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 10, 2026 12:10pm ET | $253.60 | 32 | $8,115.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 10, 2026 1:35pm ET | $253.58 | 32 | $8,114.56 | $8,341.91 |
$-0.48 (-0.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.4h held |
|
| 50 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $254.65 | 32 | $8,148.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 16, 2026 2:05pm ET | $250.98 | 32 | $8,031.36 | $8,224.63 |
$-117.28 (-1.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.2d held |
|
| 51 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 18, 2026 10:25am ET | $249.63 | 32 | $7,988.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 18, 2026 12:25pm ET | $249.41 | 32 | $7,981.12 | $8,217.59 |
$-7.04 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2h held |
|
| 52 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 21, 2026 2:50pm ET | $248.17 | 33 | $8,189.61 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 22, 2026 1:40pm ET | $250.60 | 33 | $8,269.96 | $8,297.94 |
+$80.35 (+1.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
22.8h held |
|
| 53 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 23, 2026 1:40pm ET | $236.64 | 35 | $8,282.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 24, 2026 12:55pm ET | $240.46 | 35 | $8,416.10 | $8,431.64 |
+$133.70 (+1.6%) |
DEATH_CROSS
23.3h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$8,431.64
Net Profit/Loss:
$-1,568.36
Total Return:
-15.68%