Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-09-25 04:05:36

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 2.8
Storm
⛈️ 1 storm day in 7d
RSI(14)
79.9 overbought
20d Trend
+11.9%
5d Trend
+9.6%
EMA20 Dist
+7.7%
ATR%
2.4%
Range Pos
96%
Bounce Ratio
5.6×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

29
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
8.1/35
Total Return
12.9/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
3.6/15
Consistency
4.9/10
Raw Quality 29.5/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 28.9

30-Day Momentum

9
-1.7%
30d Return
30%
Win Rate
10
Trades
0.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0 Conf: 0.87×
Declining (-20 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,906
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
127 days
Data Gaps
None (5 market holidays)

Market Closed (5 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$11,256.84
Current Value
$13,487.40
Period P&L
$2,230.50
Max Drawdown
-15.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.20

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
59
Winners / Losers
24 / 35
Best Trade
+9.11%
Worst Trade
-3.02%
Avg Trade Return
+0.35%
Avg Hold Time
16.8h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,455,417.06
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$2,230.50
Net P&L (after fees)
$2,230.50
Gross Return
+19.81%
Net Return (after fees)
+19.81%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MRK Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 127 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 59 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $11,256.84 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 2:20pm ET $115.83 95 $11,003.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 10:05am ET $119.03 95 $11,307.85 $11,418.40 +$304.01
(+2.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.8d held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 1:55pm ET $118.08 96 $11,335.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 1:20pm ET $120.05 96 $11,524.80 $11,607.52 +$189.12
(+1.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
23.4h held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 9:45am ET $121.29 95 $11,522.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 11:10am ET $120.42 95 $11,439.90 $11,525.34 $-82.18
(-0.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
4.1d held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 1:00pm ET $117.80 97 $11,426.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 3:10pm ET $117.80 97 $11,426.60 $11,525.34 $0.00
(+0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.2h held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 11:55am ET $122.68 93 $11,409.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 2:50pm ET $122.74 93 $11,414.82 $11,530.92 +$5.58
(+0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.9h held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 10:10am ET $120.14 95 $11,413.77 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 10:45am ET $119.51 95 $11,353.92 $11,471.07 $-59.85
(-0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
35m held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 12:45pm ET $117.88 97 $11,433.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 9:30am ET $117.21 97 $11,369.37 $11,406.56 $-64.51
(-0.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
20.8h held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 10:25am ET $118.39 96 $11,365.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 20, 2026 12:10pm ET $118.45 96 $11,371.20 $11,412.32 +$5.76
(+0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.8h held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 2:40pm ET $112.67 101 $11,379.37 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 10:50am ET $112.28 101 $11,340.28 $11,373.23 $-39.09
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
20.2h held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 3:10pm ET $112.03 101 $11,314.53 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 3:35pm ET $111.85 101 $11,296.85 $11,355.55 $-17.68
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
25m held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 9:35am ET $111.46 101 $11,257.46 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 12:00pm ET $111.38 101 $11,249.38 $11,347.47 $-8.08
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.4h held
12 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 9:55am ET $111.14 102 $11,335.77 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 10:05am ET $110.61 102 $11,281.71 $11,293.41 $-54.06
(-0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
10m held
13 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 9:55am ET $113.45 99 $11,231.55 — — —
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 10:25am ET $113.17 99 $11,203.83 $11,265.69 $-27.72
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
30m held
14 🟢 BUY May 6, 2026 1:45pm ET $113.41 99 $11,227.59 — — —
🔴 SELL May 7, 2026 9:35am ET $112.89 99 $11,176.11 $11,214.21 $-51.48
(-0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
19.8h held
15 🟢 BUY May 8, 2026 1:55pm ET $111.91 100 $11,191.00 — — —
🔴 SELL May 8, 2026 2:30pm ET $111.86 100 $11,186.50 $11,209.71 $-4.50
(-0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
35m held
16 🟢 BUY May 12, 2026 9:50am ET $112.06 100 $11,206.00 — — —
🔴 SELL May 12, 2026 10:40am ET $111.59 100 $11,159.00 $11,162.71 $-47.00
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
50m held
17 🟢 BUY May 13, 2026 11:50am ET $112.87 98 $11,061.26 — — —
🔴 SELL May 15, 2026 9:50am ET $112.66 98 $11,040.68 $11,142.13 $-20.58
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.9d held
18 🟢 BUY May 18, 2026 10:25am ET $111.67 99 $11,055.27 — — —
🔴 SELL May 18, 2026 11:25am ET $111.58 99 $11,046.42 $11,133.28 $-8.85
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1h held
19 🟢 BUY May 19, 2026 1:50pm ET $114.60 97 $11,115.72 — — —
🔴 SELL May 19, 2026 2:30pm ET $114.36 97 $11,092.49 $11,110.06 $-23.22
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
40m held
20 🟢 BUY May 21, 2026 9:55am ET $113.93 97 $11,051.21 — — —
🔴 SELL May 22, 2026 1:25pm ET $121.48 97 $11,783.56 $11,842.41 +$732.35
(+6.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held
21 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 9:40am ET $121.01 97 $11,738.16 — — —
🔴 SELL May 27, 2026 12:05pm ET $121.17 97 $11,753.49 $11,857.74 +$15.33
(+0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.4h held
22 🟢 BUY May 28, 2026 3:30pm ET $119.88 98 $11,748.69 — — —
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 9:45am ET $119.47 98 $11,708.06 $11,817.11 $-40.63
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
18.3h held
23 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 9:30am ET $116.00 101 $11,716.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 2:00pm ET $118.88 101 $12,006.88 $12,107.99 +$290.88
(+2.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.2d held
24 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 3:35pm ET $119.22 101 $12,041.22 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 11:50am ET $118.89 101 $12,007.89 $12,074.66 $-33.33
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
20.3h held
25 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 1:45pm ET $118.06 102 $12,042.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 3:45pm ET $122.02 102 $12,446.04 $12,478.58 +$403.92
(+3.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held
26 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 1:15pm ET $115.69 107 $12,379.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 1:25pm ET $115.53 107 $12,361.71 $12,460.92 $-17.66
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
10m held
27 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 3:35pm ET $115.02 108 $12,422.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 9:30am ET $114.86 108 $12,404.88 $12,443.64 $-17.28
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
17.9h held
28 🟢 BUY Jun 18, 2026 12:25pm ET $112.85 110 $12,413.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 22, 2026 9:30am ET $113.80 110 $12,518.00 $12,548.14 +$104.50
(+0.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.9d held
29 🟢 BUY Jun 24, 2026 11:35am ET $120.30 104 $12,511.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 24, 2026 1:35pm ET $120.36 104 $12,516.92 $12,553.86 +$5.72
(+0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
2h held
30 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2026 1:40pm ET $123.78 101 $12,501.78 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 26, 2026 12:25pm ET $127.36 101 $12,862.86 $12,914.94 +$361.08
(+2.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
22.8h held
31 🟢 BUY Jun 29, 2026 2:05pm ET $129.12 100 $12,911.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 30, 2026 9:30am ET $128.58 100 $12,858.00 $12,861.44 $-53.50
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
19.4h held
32 🟢 BUY Jul 2, 2026 9:30am ET $126.42 101 $12,768.42 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 2, 2026 12:25pm ET $127.97 101 $12,925.47 $13,018.50 +$157.06
(+1.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.9h held
33 🟢 BUY Jul 6, 2026 12:50pm ET $126.87 102 $12,940.74 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 6, 2026 2:15pm ET $126.55 102 $12,908.10 $12,985.86 $-32.64
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.4h held
34 🟢 BUY Jul 8, 2026 11:55am ET $127.08 102 $12,962.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 13, 2026 10:25am ET $123.24 102 $12,570.48 $12,594.18 $-391.68
(-3.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
4.9d held
35 🟢 BUY Jul 14, 2026 1:55pm ET $120.89 104 $12,572.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 14, 2026 2:50pm ET $120.60 104 $12,542.40 $12,564.02 $-30.16
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
55m held
36 🟢 BUY Jul 17, 2026 9:35am ET $129.85 96 $12,465.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 17, 2026 11:50am ET $129.87 96 $12,467.52 $12,566.42 +$2.40
(+0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.3h held
37 🟢 BUY Jul 21, 2026 9:45am ET $125.07 100 $12,507.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 21, 2026 10:55am ET $125.00 100 $12,500.00 $12,559.42 $-7.00
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.2h held
38 🟢 BUY Jul 23, 2026 9:30am ET $128.41 97 $12,455.77 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 23, 2026 12:50pm ET $130.22 97 $12,631.34 $12,734.99 +$175.57
(+1.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.3h held
39 🟢 BUY Jul 24, 2026 2:55pm ET $131.34 96 $12,608.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 24, 2026 3:55pm ET $131.17 96 $12,592.32 $12,718.67 $-16.32
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1h held
40 🟢 BUY Jul 28, 2026 9:30am ET $132.58 95 $12,595.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 28, 2026 11:20am ET $133.00 95 $12,635.00 $12,758.57 +$39.90
(+0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.8h held
41 🟢 BUY Jul 29, 2026 11:20am ET $131.32 97 $12,738.03 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 29, 2026 12:40pm ET $131.16 97 $12,723.00 $12,743.54 $-15.03
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held
42 🟢 BUY Jul 31, 2026 10:35am ET $129.82 98 $12,722.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 31, 2026 1:50pm ET $130.62 98 $12,800.76 $12,821.94 +$78.40
(+0.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.3h held
43 🟢 BUY Aug 3, 2026 1:55pm ET $127.48 100 $12,748.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 4, 2026 10:55am ET $127.81 100 $12,780.50 $12,854.44 +$32.50
(+0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
21h held
44 🟢 BUY Aug 6, 2026 9:30am ET $130.16 98 $12,755.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 6, 2026 10:20am ET $128.47 98 $12,590.06 $12,688.82 $-165.62
(-1.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
50m held
45 🟢 BUY Aug 7, 2026 11:25am ET $127.86 99 $12,658.14 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 7, 2026 1:45pm ET $128.02 99 $12,674.47 $12,705.15 +$16.33
(+0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.3h held
46 🟢 BUY Aug 13, 2026 9:35am ET $134.16 94 $12,611.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 13, 2026 1:40pm ET $134.58 94 $12,650.52 $12,744.63 +$39.48
(+0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
4.1h held
47 🟢 BUY Aug 17, 2026 3:50pm ET $135.95 93 $12,643.35 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 19, 2026 9:30am ET $148.34 93 $13,795.16 $13,896.44 +$1,151.81
(+9.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.7d held
48 🟢 BUY Aug 20, 2026 12:45pm ET $151.51 91 $13,786.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 20, 2026 2:15pm ET $151.13 91 $13,753.28 $13,862.77 $-33.67
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.5h held
49 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 2:35pm ET $152.41 90 $13,717.35 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 24, 2026 9:30am ET $150.88 90 $13,579.20 $13,724.62 $-138.15
(-1.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.8d held
50 🟢 BUY Aug 26, 2026 1:40pm ET $153.78 89 $13,686.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 1:55pm ET $153.62 89 $13,671.74 $13,709.52 $-15.10
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
15m held
51 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 2:00pm ET $151.29 90 $13,616.01 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2026 2:25pm ET $151.05 90 $13,594.50 $13,688.01 $-21.51
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
25m held
52 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 10:55am ET $147.82 92 $13,599.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 11:30am ET $149.27 92 $13,733.30 $13,821.87 +$133.86
(+1.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
1d held
53 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2026 11:30am ET $150.74 91 $13,717.34 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 4, 2026 9:30am ET $150.90 91 $13,731.90 $13,836.43 +$14.56
(+0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.9d held
54 🟢 BUY Sep 8, 2026 1:15pm ET $148.73 93 $13,831.89 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 2:25pm ET $148.57 93 $13,817.01 $13,821.55 $-14.88
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.2h held
55 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2026 2:05pm ET $145.06 95 $13,780.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 10, 2026 3:25pm ET $144.74 95 $13,750.77 $13,791.62 $-29.93
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held
56 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET $146.85 93 $13,657.05 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 10:15am ET $144.39 93 $13,428.27 $13,562.84 $-228.78
(-1.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
45m held
57 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 11:40am ET $143.74 94 $13,511.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 11:50am ET $143.49 94 $13,488.06 $13,539.34 $-23.50
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
10m held
58 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 3:50pm ET $144.34 93 $13,423.62 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2026 1:15pm ET $146.58 93 $13,631.94 $13,747.66 +$208.32
(+1.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
21.4h held
59 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2026 10:15am ET $150.31 91 $13,678.21 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 2:35pm ET $147.45 91 $13,417.95 $13,487.40 $-260.26
(-1.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.2d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $13,487.40
Net Profit/Loss: +$3,487.40
Total Return: +34.87%
Back to Grace Crossover