Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-09-25 01:30:39

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
45 neutral
20d Trend
-0.3%
5d Trend
-10.0%
EMA20 Dist
-6.7%
ATR%
7.8%
Range Pos
52%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

4
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.9/10
Raw Quality 3.9/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 3.9

30-Day Momentum

21
+3.1%
30d Return
38%
Win Rate
8
Trades
1.3×
Profit Factor
Quality: 25.6 Conf: 0.81×
Accelerating (+17 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,906
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
127 days
Data Gaps
None (5 market holidays)

Market Closed (5 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$4,573.00
Current Value
$6,710.72
Period P&L
$2,137.72
Max Drawdown
-67.6%
Sharpe Ratio
0.19

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
59
Winners / Losers
24 / 35
Best Trade
+10.08%
Worst Trade
-6.61%
Avg Trade Return
+0.73%
Avg Hold Time
13.5h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$669,806.36
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$2,137.72
Net P&L (after fees)
$2,137.72
Gross Return
+46.75%
Net Return (after fees)
+46.75%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MRNA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 127 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 59 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $4,573.00 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 26, 2026 9:35am ET $53.19 85 $4,521.15 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 11:35am ET $53.67 85 $4,561.53 $4,613.38 +$40.38
(+0.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
2h held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 1:40pm ET $50.99 90 $4,588.65 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 2:05pm ET $50.66 90 $4,559.40 $4,584.13 $-29.25
(-0.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
25m held
3 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 12:50pm ET $49.25 93 $4,580.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 10:15am ET $50.09 93 $4,658.37 $4,662.25 +$78.12
(+1.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
21.4h held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 10:40am ET $50.24 92 $4,621.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 11:15am ET $49.53 92 $4,556.76 $4,597.31 $-64.94
(-1.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
35m held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 1:45pm ET $48.83 94 $4,590.01 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 9:45am ET $51.42 94 $4,833.48 $4,840.78 +$243.47
(+5.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.8d held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 10:30am ET $51.51 93 $4,790.63 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 1:20pm ET $51.95 93 $4,831.35 $4,881.50 +$40.72
(+0.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.8h held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 2:30pm ET $51.51 94 $4,842.41 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 2:40pm ET $51.33 94 $4,824.55 $4,863.64 $-17.86
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
10m held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 3:05pm ET $52.75 92 $4,853.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 11:10am ET $53.40 92 $4,912.34 $4,922.98 +$59.34
(+1.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
20.1h held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 11:10am ET $53.85 91 $4,900.35 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 12:55pm ET $53.60 91 $4,878.05 $4,900.69 $-22.29
(-0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.8h held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 2:55pm ET $54.67 89 $4,865.63 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 3:30pm ET $54.20 89 $4,823.80 $4,858.86 $-41.83
(-0.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
35m held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 10:20am ET $54.67 88 $4,810.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 3:25pm ET $54.76 88 $4,818.88 $4,866.78 +$7.92
(+0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
5.1h held
12 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 2:00pm ET $47.19 103 $4,860.06 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 2:30pm ET $47.09 103 $4,850.27 $4,856.99 $-9.79
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
30m held
13 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 3:45pm ET $45.18 107 $4,834.28 — — —
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 1:35pm ET $47.26 107 $5,057.13 $5,079.84 +$222.85
(+4.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.9d held
14 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 2:25pm ET $46.21 109 $5,036.35 — — —
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 3:20pm ET $46.02 109 $5,016.18 $5,059.67 $-20.17
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
55m held
15 🟢 BUY May 8, 2026 9:30am ET $50.08 101 $5,058.58 — — —
🔴 SELL May 8, 2026 10:25am ET $54.60 101 $5,514.60 $5,515.68 +$456.01
(+9.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
55m held
16 🟢 BUY May 12, 2026 9:35am ET $52.53 105 $5,515.13 — — —
🔴 SELL May 12, 2026 12:40pm ET $53.32 105 $5,598.60 $5,599.15 +$83.47
(+1.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.1h held
17 🟢 BUY May 13, 2026 2:50pm ET $50.64 110 $5,570.40 — — —
🔴 SELL May 13, 2026 2:55pm ET $50.40 110 $5,544.00 $5,572.75 $-26.40
(-0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
5m held
18 🟢 BUY May 14, 2026 3:25pm ET $50.30 110 $5,533.00 — — —
🔴 SELL May 14, 2026 3:55pm ET $50.00 110 $5,500.00 $5,539.75 $-33.00
(-0.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
30m held
19 🟢 BUY May 20, 2026 3:20pm ET $48.46 114 $5,524.43 — — —
🔴 SELL May 22, 2026 10:30am ET $47.44 114 $5,407.69 $5,423.01 $-116.74
(-2.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.8d held
20 🟢 BUY May 26, 2026 2:35pm ET $47.67 113 $5,386.15 — — —
🔴 SELL May 27, 2026 11:35am ET $48.17 113 $5,443.21 $5,480.07 +$57.06
(+1.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
21h held
21 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 11:10am ET $47.44 115 $5,455.03 — — —
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 2:35pm ET $48.39 115 $5,564.85 $5,589.89 +$109.82
(+2.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.4h held
22 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 11:50am ET $44.91 124 $5,568.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 2:15pm ET $48.76 124 $6,046.86 $6,067.91 +$478.02
(+8.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held
23 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 2:55pm ET $51.22 118 $6,043.37 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 10:25am ET $49.09 118 $5,792.62 $5,817.16 $-250.75
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
19.5h held
24 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 3:50pm ET $47.39 122 $5,781.58 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 10:05am ET $46.97 122 $5,730.03 $5,765.61 $-51.55
(-0.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
18.3h held
25 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 2:25pm ET $46.63 123 $5,735.49 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 2:45pm ET $46.39 123 $5,705.97 $5,736.09 $-29.52
(-0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
20m held
26 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 12:50pm ET $51.03 112 $5,715.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2026 1:30pm ET $50.60 112 $5,667.20 $5,687.93 $-48.16
(-0.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
40m held
27 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 1:30pm ET $51.45 110 $5,659.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 16, 2026 12:05pm ET $55.81 110 $6,139.10 $6,167.53 +$479.60
(+8.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.6h held
28 🟢 BUY Jun 18, 2026 10:30am ET $61.76 99 $6,114.65 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2026 12:40pm ET $62.26 99 $6,164.23 $6,217.12 +$49.59
(+0.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.2h held
29 🟢 BUY Jun 22, 2026 3:35pm ET $59.87 103 $6,166.61 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 24, 2026 3:10pm ET $61.38 103 $6,322.14 $6,372.65 +$155.53
(+2.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
2d held
30 🟢 BUY Jun 26, 2026 1:30pm ET $67.47 94 $6,342.18 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 26, 2026 2:00pm ET $66.35 94 $6,236.90 $6,267.37 $-105.28
(-1.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
30m held
31 🟢 BUY Jun 29, 2026 2:10pm ET $68.66 91 $6,248.06 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 30, 2026 12:05pm ET $71.41 91 $6,498.31 $6,517.62 +$250.25
(+4.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
21.9h held
32 🟢 BUY Jul 2, 2026 9:30am ET $73.71 88 $6,486.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 2, 2026 10:00am ET $80.92 88 $7,120.52 $7,151.66 +$634.04
(+9.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
30m held
33 🟢 BUY Jul 6, 2026 3:20pm ET $82.33 86 $7,080.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 7, 2026 10:05am ET $78.74 86 $6,771.21 $6,842.49 $-309.17
(-4.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.8h held
34 🟢 BUY Jul 8, 2026 2:10pm ET $74.80 91 $6,806.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 8, 2026 2:20pm ET $74.43 91 $6,773.13 $6,808.82 $-33.67
(-0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
10m held
35 🟢 BUY Jul 9, 2026 2:35pm ET $75.73 89 $6,739.97 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 10, 2026 9:40am ET $70.72 89 $6,294.52 $6,363.37 $-445.45
(-6.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
19.1h held
36 🟢 BUY Jul 13, 2026 10:15am ET $68.67 92 $6,317.79 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 14, 2026 10:25am ET $66.61 92 $6,128.12 $6,173.70 $-189.67
(-3.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
1d held
37 🟢 BUY Jul 15, 2026 1:20pm ET $67.01 92 $6,165.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 16, 2026 12:00pm ET $64.31 92 $5,916.62 $5,924.94 $-248.76
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.7h held
38 🟢 BUY Jul 17, 2026 12:50pm ET $62.67 94 $5,890.98 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 17, 2026 1:50pm ET $62.49 94 $5,874.06 $5,908.02 $-16.92
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
1h held
39 🟢 BUY Jul 20, 2026 1:50pm ET $61.49 96 $5,903.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 21, 2026 10:55am ET $58.78 96 $5,643.36 $5,648.34 $-259.68
(-4.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.1h held
40 🟢 BUY Jul 22, 2026 11:30am ET $59.42 95 $5,644.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 23, 2026 11:25am ET $56.79 95 $5,395.05 $5,398.49 $-249.85
(-4.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.9h held
41 🟢 BUY Jul 24, 2026 3:35pm ET $54.60 98 $5,350.31 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 27, 2026 1:30pm ET $55.57 98 $5,445.86 $5,494.04 +$95.55
(+1.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.9d held
42 🟢 BUY Jul 29, 2026 1:25pm ET $54.88 100 $5,488.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 29, 2026 1:40pm ET $54.69 100 $5,469.00 $5,475.04 $-19.00
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
15m held
43 🟢 BUY Jul 31, 2026 10:25am ET $57.72 94 $5,425.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 31, 2026 1:05pm ET $56.79 94 $5,338.26 $5,387.62 $-87.42
(-1.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.7h held
44 🟢 BUY Aug 3, 2026 3:35pm ET $56.13 95 $5,332.35 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 4, 2026 10:30am ET $56.07 95 $5,326.65 $5,381.92 $-5.70
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
18.9h held
45 🟢 BUY Aug 6, 2026 9:30am ET $57.54 93 $5,351.22 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 6, 2026 10:15am ET $55.74 93 $5,184.28 $5,214.98 $-166.94
(-3.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
45m held
46 🟢 BUY Aug 10, 2026 12:20pm ET $59.68 87 $5,192.15 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 10, 2026 1:30pm ET $59.44 87 $5,171.28 $5,194.11 $-20.87
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.2h held
47 🟢 BUY Aug 11, 2026 2:05pm ET $59.89 86 $5,150.54 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 13, 2026 10:20am ET $63.76 86 $5,482.93 $5,526.50 +$332.39
(+6.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.8d held
48 🟢 BUY Aug 17, 2026 9:30am ET $64.79 85 $5,507.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 17, 2026 3:50pm ET $64.50 85 $5,482.50 $5,501.60 $-24.90
(-0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
6.3h held
49 🟢 BUY Aug 19, 2026 9:30am ET $118.10 46 $5,432.57 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 19, 2026 9:50am ET $130.00 46 $5,980.00 $6,049.03 +$547.43
(+10.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
20m held
50 🟢 BUY Aug 20, 2026 2:25pm ET $133.63 45 $6,013.35 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 21, 2026 9:35am ET $144.45 45 $6,500.25 $6,535.93 +$486.90
(+8.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
19.2h held
51 🟢 BUY Aug 24, 2026 11:30am ET $137.40 47 $6,457.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 24, 2026 12:45pm ET $136.84 47 $6,431.25 $6,509.38 $-26.55
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held
52 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 1:00pm ET $141.29 46 $6,499.57 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2026 9:30am ET $136.56 46 $6,281.76 $6,291.57 $-217.81
(-3.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
20.5h held
53 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2026 1:10pm ET $148.76 42 $6,247.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2026 3:10pm ET $148.71 42 $6,245.61 $6,289.26 $-2.31
(-0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
2h held
54 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 12:10pm ET $144.78 43 $6,225.54 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 4, 2026 1:20pm ET $144.30 43 $6,205.11 $6,268.83 $-20.43
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.2h held
55 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2026 12:05pm ET $134.93 46 $6,206.78 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2026 10:10am ET $145.88 46 $6,710.48 $6,772.53 +$503.70
(+8.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.1h held
56 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 11:10am ET $143.51 47 $6,744.97 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 2:15pm ET $145.40 47 $6,833.57 $6,861.13 +$88.60
(+1.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.1h held
57 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 9:30am ET $145.37 47 $6,832.39 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 10:20am ET $143.20 47 $6,730.40 $6,759.14 $-101.99
(-1.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
50m held
58 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2026 9:30am ET $158.80 42 $6,669.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2026 2:20pm ET $155.10 42 $6,514.20 $6,603.74 $-155.40
(-2.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
4.8h held
59 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2026 1:10pm ET $182.13 36 $6,556.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 10:55am ET $185.10 36 $6,663.66 $6,710.72 +$106.98
(+1.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
21.8h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $6,710.72
Net Profit/Loss: $-3,289.28
Total Return: -32.89%
Back to Grace Crossover