Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 23:59:34

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
37.4 neutral
20d Trend
-12.8%
5d Trend
-1.7%
EMA20 Dist
-6.9%
ATR%
5.6%
Range Pos
6%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

3
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
2.7/10
Raw Quality 2.7/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 2.7

30-Day Momentum

9
-1.1%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
8
Trades
0.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.9 Conf: 0.81×
Steady (+6 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,984
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
128 days
Data Gaps
None (5 market holidays)

Market Closed (5 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$10,450.06
Current Value
$8,519.62
Period P&L
$-1,930.35
Max Drawdown
-48.4%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.08

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
60
Winners / Losers
21 / 39
Best Trade
+10.15%
Worst Trade
-7.16%
Avg Trade Return
-0.29%
Avg Hold Time
12.8h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,179,734.81
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,930.35
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,930.35
Gross Return
-18.47%
Net Return (after fees)
-18.47%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MU Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 128 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 60 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $10,450.06 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 12:25pm ET $382.27 27 $10,321.29 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 3:05pm ET $379.60 27 $10,249.20 $10,377.88 $-72.09
(-0.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.7h held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 26, 2026 3:35pm ET $356.88 29 $10,349.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 3:55pm ET $355.92 29 $10,321.68 $10,350.04 $-27.84
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
20m held
3 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 9:30am ET $362.00 28 $10,136.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 9:40am ET $345.18 28 $9,665.18 $9,879.22 $-470.82
(-4.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held
4 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 10:05am ET $327.24 30 $9,817.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 2:00pm ET $324.51 30 $9,735.15 $9,797.07 $-82.15
(-0.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.9h held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 10:45am ET $365.23 26 $9,496.11 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 12:05pm ET $361.39 26 $9,396.01 $9,696.97 $-100.10
(-1.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 1:30pm ET $380.56 25 $9,513.99 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 3:10pm ET $378.56 25 $9,463.97 $9,646.96 $-50.01
(-0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.7h held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 3:50pm ET $376.02 25 $9,400.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $414.18 25 $10,354.62 $10,601.21 +$954.25
(+10.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
17.7h held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 11:30am ET $405.40 26 $10,540.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 9:40am ET $410.40 26 $10,670.40 $10,731.21 +$130.00
(+1.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
22.2h held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 11:10am ET $418.31 25 $10,457.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 2:25pm ET $415.36 25 $10,384.12 $10,657.58 $-73.63
(-0.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.3h held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 1:50pm ET $447.26 23 $10,286.98 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 12:35pm ET $454.50 23 $10,453.50 $10,824.10 +$166.52
(+1.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
22.8h held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 12:40pm ET $458.89 23 $10,554.47 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 2:10pm ET $457.57 23 $10,524.11 $10,793.74 $-30.36
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.5h held
12 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 9:30am ET $464.55 23 $10,684.65 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET $482.23 23 $11,091.40 $11,200.49 +$406.75
(+3.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
1d held
13 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 9:30am ET $495.80 22 $10,907.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 12:50pm ET $497.63 22 $10,947.86 $11,240.75 +$40.26
(+0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.3h held
14 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 3:40pm ET $520.11 21 $10,922.41 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET $502.27 21 $10,547.67 $10,866.00 $-374.75
(-3.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
17.8h held
15 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET $527.40 20 $10,548.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 10:10am ET $510.53 20 $10,210.50 $10,528.50 $-337.50
(-3.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
1d held
16 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 1:50pm ET $534.99 19 $10,164.90 — — —
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 9:45am ET $578.70 19 $10,995.30 $11,358.90 +$830.40
(+8.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.8d held
17 🟢 BUY May 6, 2026 9:30am ET $659.20 17 $11,206.32 — — —
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 10:20am ET $632.17 17 $10,746.89 $10,899.47 $-459.43
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
50m held
18 🟢 BUY May 7, 2026 3:40pm ET $646.66 16 $10,346.64 — — —
🔴 SELL May 8, 2026 9:50am ET $700.14 16 $11,202.24 $11,755.07 +$855.60
(+8.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
18.2h held
19 🟢 BUY May 13, 2026 12:05pm ET $795.35 14 $11,134.90 — — —
🔴 SELL May 13, 2026 1:05pm ET $793.69 14 $11,111.60 $11,731.77 $-23.30
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
1h held
20 🟢 BUY May 14, 2026 2:55pm ET $791.28 14 $11,077.97 — — —
🔴 SELL May 14, 2026 3:30pm ET $787.79 14 $11,028.99 $11,682.79 $-48.98
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
35m held
21 🟢 BUY May 18, 2026 9:35am ET $752.72 15 $11,290.80 — — —
🔴 SELL May 18, 2026 9:50am ET $722.55 15 $10,838.25 $11,230.24 $-452.55
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
15m held
22 🟢 BUY May 19, 2026 11:00am ET $678.90 16 $10,862.40 — — —
🔴 SELL May 19, 2026 2:45pm ET $709.97 16 $11,359.52 $11,727.36 +$497.12
(+4.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.8h held
23 🟢 BUY May 21, 2026 3:35pm ET $754.28 15 $11,314.20 — — —
🔴 SELL May 22, 2026 10:05am ET $751.70 15 $11,275.43 $11,688.58 $-38.78
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
18.5h held
24 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 12:00pm ET $909.00 12 $10,908.00 — — —
🔴 SELL May 28, 2026 9:50am ET $906.06 12 $10,872.72 $11,653.30 $-35.28
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
21.8h held
25 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 9:30am ET $1,048.94 11 $11,538.39 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 10:35am ET $1,028.83 11 $11,317.13 $11,432.04 $-221.26
(-1.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.1h held
26 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 12:15pm ET $1,066.33 10 $10,663.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 12:25pm ET $1,060.56 10 $10,605.60 $11,374.34 $-57.70
(-0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
10m held
27 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 12:25pm ET $1,014.99 11 $11,164.94 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 9:30am ET $942.31 11 $10,365.41 $10,574.81 $-799.53
(-7.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.1h held
28 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 9:30am ET $938.26 11 $10,320.86 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 8, 2026 1:15pm ET $947.14 11 $10,418.54 $10,672.49 +$97.68
(+0.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.8h held
29 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 1:30pm ET $900.60 11 $9,906.65 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 11:10am ET $916.02 11 $10,076.17 $10,842.00 +$169.51
(+1.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
21.7h held
30 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2026 11:15am ET $911.40 11 $10,025.35 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 3:35pm ET $989.51 11 $10,884.61 $11,701.26 +$859.26
(+8.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.3h held
31 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET $1,055.02 11 $11,605.22 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 3:50pm ET $1,079.21 11 $11,871.36 $11,967.40 +$266.14
(+2.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
6.3h held
32 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2026 9:45am ET $1,047.46 11 $11,522.11 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 2:05pm ET $1,041.29 11 $11,454.19 $11,899.48 $-67.92
(-0.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
4.3h held
33 🟢 BUY Jun 24, 2026 9:30am ET $1,076.43 11 $11,840.73 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 24, 2026 11:25am ET $1,030.73 11 $11,338.03 $11,396.78 $-502.70
(-4.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9h held
34 🟢 BUY Jun 26, 2026 12:25pm ET $1,177.84 9 $10,600.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 26, 2026 1:40pm ET $1,166.41 9 $10,497.69 $11,293.91 $-102.87
(-1.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held
35 🟢 BUY Jun 30, 2026 2:45pm ET $1,155.29 9 $10,397.61 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 1, 2026 9:30am ET $1,073.73 9 $9,663.57 $10,559.87 $-734.04
(-7.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
18.8h held
36 🟢 BUY Jul 2, 2026 9:35am ET $1,057.84 9 $9,520.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 2, 2026 10:30am ET $1,012.22 9 $9,109.94 $10,149.25 $-410.62
(-4.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
55m held
37 🟢 BUY Jul 6, 2026 3:00pm ET $999.09 10 $9,990.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 6, 2026 3:55pm ET $990.64 10 $9,906.40 $10,064.75 $-84.50
(-0.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
55m held
38 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2026 3:55pm ET $930.56 10 $9,305.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 8, 2026 9:30am ET $905.47 10 $9,054.70 $9,813.85 $-250.90
(-2.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
17.6h held
39 🟢 BUY Jul 10, 2026 12:25pm ET $979.66 10 $9,796.55 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 13, 2026 9:30am ET $929.94 10 $9,299.40 $9,316.70 $-497.15
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held
40 🟢 BUY Jul 15, 2026 1:30pm ET $906.24 10 $9,062.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 15, 2026 3:00pm ET $901.20 10 $9,011.95 $9,266.25 $-50.45
(-0.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.5h held
41 🟢 BUY Jul 20, 2026 9:35am ET $894.60 10 $8,946.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 21, 2026 12:10pm ET $970.00 10 $9,700.00 $10,020.25 +$754.00
(+8.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held
42 🟢 BUY Jul 23, 2026 9:35am ET $976.94 10 $9,769.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 23, 2026 11:30am ET $981.97 10 $9,819.70 $10,070.55 +$50.30
(+0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.9h held
43 🟢 BUY Jul 24, 2026 12:00pm ET $946.10 10 $9,461.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 24, 2026 3:10pm ET $906.76 10 $9,067.60 $9,677.15 $-393.40
(-4.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.2h held
44 🟢 BUY Jul 28, 2026 11:50am ET $828.65 11 $9,115.15 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 28, 2026 1:05pm ET $821.95 11 $9,041.45 $9,603.45 $-73.70
(-0.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held
45 🟢 BUY Jul 29, 2026 2:15pm ET $777.68 12 $9,332.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 29, 2026 3:20pm ET $766.70 12 $9,200.40 $9,471.69 $-131.76
(-1.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.1h held
46 🟢 BUY Jul 31, 2026 3:20pm ET $840.77 11 $9,248.47 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 3, 2026 9:30am ET $782.70 11 $8,609.65 $8,832.86 $-638.83
(-6.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held
47 🟢 BUY Aug 4, 2026 2:50pm ET $897.25 9 $8,075.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 4, 2026 3:00pm ET $894.80 9 $8,053.20 $8,810.81 $-22.05
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
10m held
48 🟢 BUY Aug 6, 2026 10:50am ET $897.06 9 $8,073.58 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 6, 2026 12:05pm ET $897.07 9 $8,073.63 $8,810.86 +$0.05
(+0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held
49 🟢 BUY Aug 10, 2026 9:50am ET $877.24 10 $8,772.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 10, 2026 3:10pm ET $878.03 10 $8,780.33 $8,818.79 +$7.93
(+0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
5.3h held
50 🟢 BUY Aug 14, 2026 9:45am ET $971.93 9 $8,747.37 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 18, 2026 2:05pm ET $932.35 9 $8,391.15 $8,462.57 $-356.22
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.2d held
51 🟢 BUY Aug 19, 2026 3:00pm ET $932.31 9 $8,390.79 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 20, 2026 1:30pm ET $954.39 9 $8,589.51 $8,661.29 +$198.72
(+2.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
22.5h held
52 🟢 BUY Aug 24, 2026 12:00pm ET $913.85 9 $8,224.63 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 24, 2026 1:40pm ET $908.15 9 $8,173.35 $8,610.02 $-51.27
(-0.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.7h held
53 🟢 BUY Aug 25, 2026 2:45pm ET $927.68 9 $8,349.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 12:40pm ET $936.15 9 $8,425.35 $8,686.20 +$76.18
(+0.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
21.9h held
54 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 3:40pm ET $945.36 9 $8,508.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 9:40am ET $939.78 9 $8,458.02 $8,635.98 $-50.22
(-0.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
18h held
55 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2026 1:55pm ET $945.52 9 $8,509.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 3:35pm ET $948.53 9 $8,536.81 $8,663.11 +$27.13
(+0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.7h held
56 🟢 BUY Sep 8, 2026 2:20pm ET $1,020.34 8 $8,162.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 11:25am ET $1,020.82 8 $8,166.56 $8,666.95 +$3.84
(+0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
21.1h held
57 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2026 9:30am ET $991.47 8 $7,931.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2026 2:10pm ET $975.43 8 $7,803.44 $8,538.67 $-128.28
(-1.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
4.7h held
58 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 9:30am ET $935.80 9 $8,422.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 11:00am ET $931.78 9 $8,386.02 $8,502.49 $-36.18
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.5h held
59 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2026 9:30am ET $955.18 8 $7,641.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2026 2:45pm ET $975.61 8 $7,804.84 $8,665.89 +$163.40
(+2.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
5.3h held
60 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2026 10:00am ET $1,092.35 7 $7,646.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 2:55pm ET $1,071.46 7 $7,500.22 $8,519.62 $-146.27
(-1.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
4.9h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $8,519.62
Net Profit/Loss: $-1,480.38
Total Return: -14.80%
Back to Grace Crossover