Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-07-26 19:32:24

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
26
Fear
VIX
18.7
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.71%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.36%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.4
Unsettled
⛈️ 2 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
30.2 neutral
20d Trend
-10.9%
5d Trend
-5.8%
EMA20 Dist
-5.4%
ATR%
3.3%
Range Pos
4%
Bounce Ratio
0.9×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Jul 26, 2026

23
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
5.7/35
Total Return
11.3/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
1.8/15
Consistency
4.5/10
Raw Quality 23.4/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 23.2

30-Day Momentum

48
+6.5%
30d Return
83%
Win Rate
6
Trades
8.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 64.0 Conf: 0.74×
Accelerating (+24 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
10,803
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-26 → 2026-07-24
Trading Days
126 days
Data Gaps
None (5 market holidays)

Market Closed (5 days)

2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed)
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$11,056.13
Current Value
$12,213.52
Period P&L
$1,157.45
Max Drawdown
-13.6%
Sharpe Ratio
0.10

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
56
Winners / Losers
23 / 33
Best Trade
+13.85%
Worst Trade
-4.12%
Avg Trade Return
+0.22%
Avg Hold Time
14.8h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,309,545.31
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,157.45
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,157.45
Gross Return
+10.47%
Net Return (after fees)
+10.47%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 NFLX Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 126 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 56 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $11,056.13 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jan 23, 2026 3:40pm ET $86.01 127 $10,922.64
🔴 SELL Jan 26, 2026 12:55pm ET $85.73 127 $10,887.08 $10,892.89 $-35.56
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.9d held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 28, 2026 1:45pm ET $84.75 128 $10,848.00
🔴 SELL Jan 28, 2026 3:40pm ET $84.79 128 $10,853.15 $10,898.03 +$5.15
(+0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.9h held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 30, 2026 12:20pm ET $83.42 130 $10,844.59
🔴 SELL Jan 30, 2026 1:10pm ET $83.19 130 $10,815.29 $10,868.73 $-29.30
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
48m held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 10:10am ET $80.36 135 $10,848.60
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 12:35pm ET $80.57 135 $10,876.28 $10,896.41 +$27.68
(+0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.4h held
5 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 9:30am ET $82.09 132 $10,835.88
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 10:05am ET $80.92 132 $10,680.78 $10,741.31 $-155.10
(-1.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
36m held
6 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 11:10am ET $80.88 132 $10,675.50
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $81.42 132 $10,746.78 $10,812.59 +$71.28
(+0.7%)
📅 Sim Ended
4.8h held
7 🟢 BUY Feb 11, 2026 1:30pm ET $80.00 135 $10,800.67
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 2:40pm ET $79.84 135 $10,778.40 $10,790.31 $-22.28
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.2h held
8 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 11:10am ET $76.29 141 $10,756.19
🔴 SELL Feb 17, 2026 12:45pm ET $76.35 141 $10,764.65 $10,798.77 +$8.46
(+0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.6h held
9 🟢 BUY Feb 18, 2026 3:35pm ET $77.87 138 $10,746.02
🔴 SELL Feb 19, 2026 10:50am ET $77.97 138 $10,760.55 $10,813.30 +$14.53
(+0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
19.3h held
10 🟢 BUY Feb 23, 2026 1:00pm ET $76.08 142 $10,804.07
🔴 SELL Feb 23, 2026 3:25pm ET $75.95 142 $10,784.90 $10,794.13 $-19.17
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.4h held
11 🟢 BUY Feb 25, 2026 3:40pm ET $82.73 130 $10,755.38
🔴 SELL Feb 27, 2026 9:30am ET $94.19 130 $12,245.05 $12,283.80 +$1,489.67
(+13.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.7d held
12 🟢 BUY Mar 2, 2026 2:10pm ET $97.19 126 $12,245.94
🔴 SELL Mar 3, 2026 9:30am ET $95.68 126 $12,055.05 $12,092.91 $-190.89
(-1.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
19.3h held
13 🟢 BUY Mar 5, 2026 2:35pm ET $98.71 122 $12,042.62
🔴 SELL Mar 6, 2026 9:45am ET $98.63 122 $12,032.86 $12,083.15 $-9.76
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
19.2h held
14 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 11:55am ET $97.76 123 $12,023.88
🔴 SELL Mar 10, 2026 1:20pm ET $97.04 123 $11,935.31 $11,994.58 $-88.57
(-0.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held
15 🟢 BUY Mar 12, 2026 9:50am ET $95.32 125 $11,914.38
🔴 SELL Mar 12, 2026 3:40pm ET $94.56 125 $11,819.38 $11,899.58 $-95.00
(-0.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
5.8h held
16 🟢 BUY Mar 16, 2026 2:40pm ET $95.11 125 $11,889.37
🔴 SELL Mar 17, 2026 10:40am ET $95.26 125 $11,907.50 $11,917.71 +$18.13
(+0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
20h held
17 🟢 BUY Mar 18, 2026 11:25am ET $94.47 126 $11,903.23
🔴 SELL Mar 18, 2026 1:15pm ET $94.70 126 $11,932.20 $11,946.68 +$28.97
(+0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.8h held
18 🟢 BUY Mar 20, 2026 11:00am ET $91.51 130 $11,896.95
🔴 SELL Mar 20, 2026 12:15pm ET $91.26 130 $11,863.80 $11,913.53 $-33.15
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held
19 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 12:30pm ET $92.69 128 $11,864.32
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 11:40am ET $91.71 128 $11,738.88 $11,788.09 $-125.44
(-1.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
23.2h held
20 🟢 BUY Mar 26, 2026 11:40am ET $92.96 126 $11,712.33
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 12:00pm ET $92.81 126 $11,693.43 $11,769.19 $-18.90
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
20m held
21 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 12:50pm ET $93.72 125 $11,715.62
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 1:20pm ET $93.42 125 $11,677.50 $11,731.06 $-38.13
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
30m held
22 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 9:30am ET $93.55 125 $11,693.75
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 2:50pm ET $95.65 125 $11,956.87 $11,994.18 +$263.12
(+2.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
5.3h held
23 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 3:10pm ET $95.63 125 $11,954.07
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET $95.39 125 $11,923.13 $11,963.23 $-30.95
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
18.3h held
24 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 12:45pm ET $98.74 121 $11,946.94
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 3:00pm ET $98.75 121 $11,949.35 $11,965.65 +$2.42
(+0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.3h held
25 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 3:55pm ET $98.79 121 $11,952.99
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 12:00pm ET $99.04 121 $11,984.44 $11,997.11 +$31.46
(+0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
20.1h held
26 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 2:45pm ET $103.43 115 $11,893.88
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 10:15am ET $105.71 115 $12,156.57 $12,259.80 +$262.69
(+2.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.8d held
27 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 3:05pm ET $108.27 113 $12,234.23
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 3:30pm ET $108.05 113 $12,209.65 $12,235.22 $-24.58
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
25m held
28 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 3:30pm ET $97.31 125 $12,163.13
🔴 SELL Apr 20, 2026 2:30pm ET $94.29 125 $11,786.87 $11,858.97 $-376.25
(-3.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
3d held
29 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 9:35am ET $93.25 127 $11,842.75
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 11:05am ET $93.09 127 $11,822.43 $11,838.65 $-20.32
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.5h held
30 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 2:10pm ET $92.81 127 $11,786.24
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 3:55pm ET $92.78 127 $11,782.72 $11,835.13 $-3.52
(-0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.8h held
31 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 10:25am ET $92.68 127 $11,769.73
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 11:50am ET $92.43 127 $11,739.24 $11,804.65 $-30.48
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.4h held
32 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 10:25am ET $91.91 128 $11,764.48
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 11:55am ET $91.93 128 $11,767.68 $11,807.85 +$3.20
(+0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.5h held
33 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 10:45am ET $92.04 128 $11,780.48
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 11:00am ET $91.82 128 $11,753.60 $11,780.97 $-26.88
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
15m held
34 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 3:30pm ET $88.06 133 $11,712.25
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 3:55pm ET $87.66 133 $11,658.78 $11,727.50 $-53.47
(-0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
25m held
35 🟢 BUY May 12, 2026 9:30am ET $85.92 136 $11,684.44
🔴 SELL May 12, 2026 1:15pm ET $88.16 136 $11,989.39 $12,032.45 +$304.95
(+2.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.8h held
36 🟢 BUY May 14, 2026 9:35am ET $88.29 136 $12,007.44
🔴 SELL May 14, 2026 10:25am ET $87.89 136 $11,952.36 $11,977.37 $-55.08
(-0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
50m held
37 🟢 BUY May 15, 2026 12:50pm ET $87.33 137 $11,964.21
🔴 SELL May 15, 2026 1:20pm ET $87.12 137 $11,935.45 $11,948.61 $-28.76
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
30m held
38 🟢 BUY May 18, 2026 3:05pm ET $89.62 133 $11,919.45
🔴 SELL May 19, 2026 11:20am ET $90.23 133 $12,000.59 $12,029.75 +$81.14
(+0.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
20.3h held
39 🟢 BUY May 20, 2026 1:30pm ET $88.17 136 $11,991.12
🔴 SELL May 21, 2026 9:30am ET $88.14 136 $11,987.38 $12,026.01 $-3.74
(-0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
20h held
40 🟢 BUY May 26, 2026 11:55am ET $87.85 136 $11,947.60
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 1:45pm ET $87.82 136 $11,943.53 $12,021.94 $-4.07
(-0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.8h held
41 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 3:15pm ET $87.64 137 $12,006.00
🔴 SELL May 27, 2026 3:55pm ET $87.46 137 $11,982.02 $11,997.96 $-23.98
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
40m held
42 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 3:20pm ET $86.11 139 $11,969.29
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 9:30am ET $85.76 139 $11,921.33 $11,950.00 $-47.96
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.8d held
43 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 1:30pm ET $81.51 146 $11,900.46
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 11:10am ET $82.29 146 $12,014.34 $12,063.88 +$113.88
(+1.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
21.7h held
44 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 2:25pm ET $81.67 147 $12,004.76
🔴 SELL Jun 8, 2026 11:20am ET $82.10 147 $12,067.97 $12,127.09 +$63.21
(+0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.9d held
45 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 12:35pm ET $82.24 147 $12,088.55
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 3:35pm ET $81.56 147 $11,988.59 $12,027.13 $-99.96
(-0.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
3h held
46 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2026 12:15pm ET $80.90 148 $11,973.94
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2026 2:30pm ET $80.68 148 $11,940.64 $11,993.83 $-33.30
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held
47 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 9:45am ET $81.49 147 $11,979.03
🔴 SELL Jun 16, 2026 1:40pm ET $78.14 147 $11,485.85 $11,500.65 $-493.18
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9h held
48 🟢 BUY Jun 18, 2026 10:30am ET $77.16 149 $11,496.84
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2026 11:30am ET $76.94 149 $11,464.06 $11,467.87 $-32.78
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
1h held
49 🟢 BUY Jun 22, 2026 2:05pm ET $72.99 157 $11,459.43
🔴 SELL Jun 22, 2026 3:25pm ET $72.89 157 $11,442.95 $11,451.39 $-16.48
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held
50 🟢 BUY Jun 24, 2026 1:50pm ET $72.13 158 $11,396.56
🔴 SELL Jun 24, 2026 3:35pm ET $72.25 158 $11,414.80 $11,469.64 +$18.25
(+0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.8h held
51 🟢 BUY Jun 26, 2026 9:35am ET $72.95 157 $11,453.15
🔴 SELL Jun 26, 2026 12:55pm ET $74.31 157 $11,665.89 $11,682.38 +$212.74
(+1.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.3h held
52 🟢 BUY Jul 1, 2026 9:35am ET $73.19 159 $11,637.21
🔴 SELL Jul 6, 2026 1:35pm ET $76.26 159 $12,126.13 $12,171.30 +$488.92
(+4.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
5.2d held
53 🟢 BUY Jul 8, 2026 11:30am ET $75.73 160 $12,116.48
🔴 SELL Jul 8, 2026 2:50pm ET $75.81 160 $12,129.60 $12,184.42 +$13.12
(+0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.3h held
54 🟢 BUY Jul 14, 2026 3:30pm ET $73.84 165 $12,183.60
🔴 SELL Jul 15, 2026 12:30pm ET $74.22 165 $12,246.30 $12,247.12 +$62.70
(+0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
21h held
55 🟢 BUY Jul 20, 2026 11:25am ET $67.96 180 $12,231.90
🔴 SELL Jul 20, 2026 12:00pm ET $67.67 180 $12,180.60 $12,195.82 $-51.30
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
35m held
56 🟢 BUY Jul 23, 2026 10:45am ET $68.80 177 $12,177.60
🔴 SELL Jul 23, 2026 3:15pm ET $68.90 177 $12,195.30 $12,213.52 +$17.70
(+0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
4.5h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,213.52
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,213.52
Total Return: +22.14%
Back to Grace Crossover