NFLX Grace Crossover's Analysis
Last 6 Months: 2026-03-25 to present • 54 trades in period
+7.63%
Last 6 Months Return
$12,750.40
Current Value
44%
Win Rate
$11,847.02
Period Start
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 2.8
Storm
⛈️ 1 storm day in 7d
RSI(14)
30.2 neutral
20d Trend
-10.9%
5d Trend
-5.8%
EMA20 Dist
-5.4%
ATR%
3.3%
Range Pos
4%
Bounce Ratio
0.9×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored Sep 25, 2026
26
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
7.1/35
Total Return
12.1/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
2.1/15
Consistency
4.6/10
Raw Quality
25.8/100
× Confidence 1.00
= 25.7
30-Day Momentum
4
-2.1%
30d Return
29%
Win Rate
7
Trades
0.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 5.7
Conf: 0.78×
Declining (-21 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,984
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-25 → 2026-09-25
Trading Days
128 days
Data Gaps
None (5 market holidays)
Market Closed (5 days)
2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)
Period Start Capital
$11,847.02
Current Value
$12,750.40
Period P&L
$903.43
Max Drawdown
-13.6%
Sharpe Ratio
0.10
Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)
Trades in Period
54
Winners / Losers
24 /
30
Best Trade
+4.20%
Worst Trade
-4.12%
Avg Trade Return
+0.14%
Avg Hold Time
19.1h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,306,592.60
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$903.43
Net P&L (after fees)
$903.43
Gross Return
+7.63%
Net Return (after fees)
+7.63%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 NFLX Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 128 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 6 Months - 54 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $11,847.02 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 12:30pm ET | $92.69 | 128 | $11,864.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 25, 2026 11:40am ET | $91.71 | 128 | $11,738.88 | $11,788.09 |
$-125.44 (-1.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
23.2h held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 26, 2026 11:40am ET | $92.96 | 126 | $11,712.33 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 26, 2026 12:00pm ET | $92.81 | 126 | $11,693.43 | $11,769.19 |
$-18.90 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
20m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 27, 2026 12:50pm ET | $93.72 | 125 | $11,715.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 1:20pm ET | $93.42 | 125 | $11,677.50 | $11,731.06 |
$-38.13 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
30m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 31, 2026 9:30am ET | $93.55 | 125 | $11,693.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 31, 2026 2:50pm ET | $95.65 | 125 | $11,956.87 | $11,994.18 |
+$263.12 (+2.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
5.3h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 3:10pm ET | $95.63 | 125 | $11,954.07 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $95.39 | 125 | $11,923.13 | $11,963.23 |
$-30.95 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
18.3h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 12:45pm ET | $98.74 | 121 | $11,946.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 3:00pm ET | $98.75 | 121 | $11,949.35 | $11,965.65 |
+$2.42 (+0.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.3h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2026 3:55pm ET | $98.79 | 121 | $11,952.99 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 12:00pm ET | $99.04 | 121 | $11,984.44 | $11,997.11 |
+$31.46 (+0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
20.1h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 13, 2026 2:45pm ET | $103.43 | 115 | $11,893.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 15, 2026 10:15am ET | $105.71 | 115 | $12,156.57 | $12,259.80 |
+$262.69 (+2.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.8d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 16, 2026 3:05pm ET | $108.27 | 113 | $12,234.23 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 16, 2026 3:30pm ET | $108.05 | 113 | $12,209.65 | $12,235.22 |
$-24.58 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
25m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 17, 2026 3:30pm ET | $97.31 | 125 | $12,163.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 20, 2026 2:30pm ET | $94.29 | 125 | $11,786.87 | $11,858.97 |
$-376.25 (-3.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 22, 2026 9:35am ET | $93.25 | 127 | $11,842.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 22, 2026 11:05am ET | $93.09 | 127 | $11,822.43 | $11,838.65 |
$-20.32 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.5h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 23, 2026 2:10pm ET | $92.81 | 127 | $11,786.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 3:55pm ET | $92.78 | 127 | $11,782.72 | $11,835.13 |
$-3.52 (-0.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.8h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 27, 2026 10:25am ET | $92.68 | 127 | $11,769.73 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 27, 2026 11:50am ET | $92.43 | 127 | $11,739.24 | $11,804.65 |
$-30.48 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.4h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 29, 2026 10:25am ET | $91.91 | 128 | $11,764.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 11:55am ET | $91.93 | 128 | $11,767.68 | $11,807.85 |
+$3.20 (+0.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.5h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | May 4, 2026 10:45am ET | $92.04 | 128 | $11,780.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 4, 2026 11:00am ET | $91.82 | 128 | $11,753.60 | $11,780.97 |
$-26.88 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
15m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | May 5, 2026 3:30pm ET | $88.06 | 133 | $11,712.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 5, 2026 3:55pm ET | $87.66 | 133 | $11,658.78 | $11,727.50 |
$-53.47 (-0.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
25m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | May 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $85.92 | 136 | $11,684.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 12, 2026 1:15pm ET | $88.16 | 136 | $11,989.39 | $12,032.45 |
+$304.95 (+2.6%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.8h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | May 14, 2026 9:35am ET | $88.29 | 136 | $12,007.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 14, 2026 10:25am ET | $87.89 | 136 | $11,952.36 | $11,977.37 |
$-55.08 (-0.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
50m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | May 15, 2026 12:50pm ET | $87.33 | 137 | $11,964.21 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 15, 2026 1:20pm ET | $87.12 | 137 | $11,935.45 | $11,948.61 |
$-28.76 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
30m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | May 18, 2026 3:05pm ET | $89.62 | 133 | $11,919.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 19, 2026 11:20am ET | $90.23 | 133 | $12,000.59 | $12,029.75 |
+$81.14 (+0.7%) |
DEATH_CROSS
20.3h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | May 20, 2026 1:30pm ET | $88.17 | 136 | $11,991.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $88.14 | 136 | $11,987.38 | $12,026.01 |
$-3.74 (-0.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
20h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | May 26, 2026 11:55am ET | $87.85 | 136 | $11,947.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 26, 2026 1:45pm ET | $87.82 | 136 | $11,943.53 | $12,021.94 |
$-4.07 (-0.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.8h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | May 27, 2026 3:15pm ET | $87.64 | 137 | $12,006.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 27, 2026 3:55pm ET | $87.46 | 137 | $11,982.02 | $11,997.96 |
$-23.98 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
40m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | May 29, 2026 3:20pm ET | $86.11 | 139 | $11,969.29 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $85.76 | 139 | $11,921.33 | $11,950.00 |
$-47.96 (-0.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.8d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 3, 2026 1:30pm ET | $81.51 | 146 | $11,900.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 4, 2026 11:10am ET | $82.29 | 146 | $12,014.34 | $12,063.88 |
+$113.88 (+1.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
21.7h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 5, 2026 2:25pm ET | $81.67 | 147 | $12,004.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 8, 2026 11:20am ET | $82.10 | 147 | $12,067.97 | $12,127.09 |
+$63.21 (+0.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.9d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 9, 2026 12:35pm ET | $82.24 | 147 | $12,088.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 9, 2026 3:35pm ET | $81.56 | 147 | $11,988.59 | $12,027.13 |
$-99.96 (-0.8%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 11, 2026 12:15pm ET | $80.90 | 148 | $11,973.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 12, 2026 2:30pm ET | $80.68 | 148 | $11,940.64 | $11,993.83 |
$-33.30 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 16, 2026 9:45am ET | $81.49 | 147 | $11,979.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 16, 2026 1:40pm ET | $78.14 | 147 | $11,485.85 | $11,500.65 |
$-493.18 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 18, 2026 10:30am ET | $77.16 | 149 | $11,496.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 18, 2026 11:30am ET | $76.94 | 149 | $11,464.06 | $11,467.87 |
$-32.78 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 22, 2026 2:05pm ET | $72.99 | 157 | $11,459.43 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 22, 2026 3:25pm ET | $72.89 | 157 | $11,442.95 | $11,451.39 |
$-16.48 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 24, 2026 1:50pm ET | $72.13 | 158 | $11,396.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 24, 2026 3:35pm ET | $72.25 | 158 | $11,414.80 | $11,469.64 |
+$18.25 (+0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.8h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 26, 2026 9:35am ET | $72.95 | 157 | $11,453.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 26, 2026 12:55pm ET | $74.31 | 157 | $11,665.89 | $11,682.38 |
+$212.74 (+1.9%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.3h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 1, 2026 9:35am ET | $73.19 | 159 | $11,637.21 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 6, 2026 1:35pm ET | $76.26 | 159 | $12,126.13 | $12,171.30 |
+$488.92 (+4.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
5.2d held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 8, 2026 11:30am ET | $75.73 | 160 | $12,116.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 8, 2026 2:50pm ET | $75.81 | 160 | $12,129.60 | $12,184.42 |
+$13.12 (+0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.3h held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 14, 2026 3:30pm ET | $73.84 | 165 | $12,183.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 15, 2026 12:30pm ET | $74.22 | 165 | $12,246.30 | $12,247.12 |
+$62.70 (+0.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
21h held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 20, 2026 11:25am ET | $67.96 | 180 | $12,231.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 20, 2026 12:00pm ET | $67.67 | 180 | $12,180.60 | $12,195.82 |
$-51.30 (-0.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
35m held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 23, 2026 10:45am ET | $68.80 | 177 | $12,177.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 23, 2026 3:15pm ET | $68.90 | 177 | $12,195.30 | $12,213.52 |
+$17.70 (+0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
4.5h held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 27, 2026 9:45am ET | $70.41 | 173 | $12,180.93 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 27, 2026 1:10pm ET | $70.96 | 173 | $12,276.94 | $12,309.53 |
+$96.01 (+0.8%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.4h held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 29, 2026 11:45am ET | $72.39 | 170 | $12,305.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $71.71 | 170 | $12,190.70 | $12,194.78 |
$-114.75 (-0.9%) |
DEATH_CROSS
21.8h held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 31, 2026 1:50pm ET | $71.61 | 170 | $12,172.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 31, 2026 3:30pm ET | $71.61 | 170 | $12,172.85 | $12,194.78 |
$0.00 (+0.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.7h held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 4, 2026 1:35pm ET | $72.96 | 167 | $12,185.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 5, 2026 11:40am ET | $73.75 | 167 | $12,315.42 | $12,325.04 |
+$130.26 (+1.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
22.1h held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 6, 2026 11:40am ET | $73.79 | 167 | $12,322.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 7, 2026 12:30pm ET | $74.01 | 167 | $12,359.67 | $12,362.61 |
+$37.57 (+0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1d held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 12, 2026 12:45pm ET | $73.98 | 167 | $12,354.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 13, 2026 1:45pm ET | $76.85 | 167 | $12,833.30 | $12,841.25 |
+$478.64 (+3.9%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1d held |
|
| 45 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 14, 2026 2:55pm ET | $78.07 | 164 | $12,804.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 18, 2026 1:30pm ET | $78.60 | 164 | $12,890.40 | $12,927.35 |
+$86.10 (+0.7%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.9d held |
|
| 46 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 20, 2026 9:40am ET | $80.69 | 160 | $12,910.43 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 21, 2026 1:35pm ET | $80.08 | 160 | $12,812.80 | $12,829.72 |
$-97.63 (-0.8%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.2d held |
|
| 47 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 25, 2026 9:35am ET | $80.71 | 158 | $12,752.97 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 25, 2026 2:20pm ET | $81.93 | 158 | $12,945.73 | $13,022.48 |
+$192.76 (+1.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
4.8h held |
|
| 48 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 28, 2026 3:00pm ET | $81.65 | 159 | $12,982.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 31, 2026 9:30am ET | $80.89 | 159 | $12,862.30 | $12,902.43 |
$-120.05 (-0.9%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.8d held |
|
| 49 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 1, 2026 3:00pm ET | $81.03 | 159 | $12,883.77 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 2, 2026 12:00pm ET | $82.09 | 159 | $13,052.31 | $13,070.97 |
+$168.54 (+1.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
21h held |
|
| 50 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 4, 2026 3:00pm ET | $79.16 | 165 | $13,061.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 8, 2026 2:50pm ET | $76.64 | 165 | $12,644.78 | $12,654.23 |
$-416.74 (-3.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
4d held |
|
| 51 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 10, 2026 10:15am ET | $76.16 | 166 | $12,642.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 10, 2026 1:15pm ET | $75.97 | 166 | $12,611.85 | $12,623.80 |
$-30.43 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3h held |
|
| 52 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 16, 2026 2:10pm ET | $77.43 | 163 | $12,621.09 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 16, 2026 2:35pm ET | $77.12 | 163 | $12,570.56 | $12,573.27 |
$-50.53 (-0.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
25m held |
|
| 53 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $71.99 | 174 | $12,526.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 21, 2026 1:40pm ET | $73.28 | 174 | $12,749.85 | $12,796.86 |
+$223.59 (+1.8%) |
DEATH_CROSS
4.2h held |
|
| 54 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 22, 2026 2:50pm ET | $71.89 | 178 | $12,795.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 23, 2026 1:25pm ET | $71.62 | 178 | $12,749.07 | $12,750.40 |
$-46.46 (-0.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
22.6h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$12,750.40
Net Profit/Loss:
+$2,750.40
Total Return:
+27.50%