PANW Grace Crossover's Analysis
Last 6 Months: 2026-03-25 to present • 53 trades in period
+40.02%
Last 6 Months Return
$18,377.10
Current Value
51%
Win Rate
$13,124.82
Period Start
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
18.4 oversold
20d Trend
-19.1%
5d Trend
-12.6%
EMA20 Dist
-11.6%
ATR%
3.8%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.0×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
56
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
29.1/35
Total Return
16.1/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
4.5/15
Consistency
6.7/10
Raw Quality
56.3/100
× Confidence 1.00
= 56.0
30-Day Momentum
20
+2.4%
30d Return
44%
Win Rate
9
Trades
1.2×
Profit Factor
Quality: 23.8
Conf: 0.84×
Declining (-36 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,906
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
127 days
Data Gaps
None (5 market holidays)
Market Closed (5 days)
2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)
Period Start Capital
$13,124.82
Current Value
$18,377.10
Period P&L
$5,252.26
Max Drawdown
-10.2%
Sharpe Ratio
0.25
Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)
Trades in Period
53
Winners / Losers
27 /
26
Best Trade
+8.57%
Worst Trade
-4.30%
Avg Trade Return
+0.70%
Avg Hold Time
20.4h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,739,356.21
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$5,252.26
Net P&L (after fees)
$5,252.26
Gross Return
+40.02%
Net Return (after fees)
+40.02%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 PANW Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 127 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 6 Months - 53 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $13,124.82 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 2:40pm ET | $158.10 | 82 | $12,964.61 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 25, 2026 11:15am ET | $156.70 | 82 | $12,849.40 | $12,891.14 |
$-115.21 (-0.9%) |
DEATH_CROSS
20.6h held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 26, 2026 1:05pm ET | $157.50 | 81 | $12,757.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 26, 2026 1:45pm ET | $156.82 | 81 | $12,702.42 | $12,836.06 |
$-55.08 (-0.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
40m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 27, 2026 3:30pm ET | $146.84 | 87 | $12,774.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 12:00pm ET | $159.00 | 87 | $13,833.14 | $13,894.55 |
+$1,058.49 (+8.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 31, 2026 3:15pm ET | $160.21 | 86 | $13,778.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 1, 2026 11:30am ET | $159.65 | 86 | $13,729.91 | $13,846.40 |
$-48.15 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
20.3h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2026 10:45am ET | $161.93 | 85 | $13,763.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2026 2:20pm ET | $161.96 | 85 | $13,766.60 | $13,849.38 |
+$2.98 (+0.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.6h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2026 12:25pm ET | $155.59 | 89 | $13,847.51 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 10, 2026 12:45pm ET | $154.76 | 89 | $13,773.64 | $13,775.51 |
$-73.87 (-0.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
20m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 14, 2026 12:35pm ET | $161.33 | 85 | $13,713.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 14, 2026 1:00pm ET | $161.17 | 85 | $13,699.45 | $13,761.91 |
$-13.60 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
25m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 16, 2026 3:55pm ET | $167.10 | 82 | $13,702.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2026 11:15am ET | $167.56 | 82 | $13,739.92 | $13,799.63 |
+$37.72 (+0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
19.3h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $170.40 | 80 | $13,632.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2026 12:25pm ET | $174.87 | 80 | $13,989.60 | $14,157.23 |
+$357.60 (+2.6%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.9h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 23, 2026 2:10pm ET | $172.34 | 82 | $14,131.47 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 24, 2026 11:35am ET | $174.46 | 82 | $14,305.72 | $14,331.48 |
+$174.25 (+1.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
21.4h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 27, 2026 3:25pm ET | $183.38 | 78 | $14,303.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 28, 2026 10:30am ET | $182.92 | 78 | $14,267.76 | $14,295.99 |
$-35.49 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
19.1h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 29, 2026 12:10pm ET | $180.30 | 79 | $14,243.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $179.08 | 79 | $14,147.32 | $14,199.61 |
$-96.38 (-0.7%) |
DEATH_CROSS
21.3h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | May 1, 2026 10:35am ET | $180.57 | 78 | $14,084.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2026 3:25pm ET | $182.03 | 78 | $14,198.34 | $14,313.10 |
+$113.49 (+0.8%) |
DEATH_CROSS
4.8h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | May 5, 2026 10:50am ET | $184.28 | 77 | $14,189.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 5, 2026 11:50am ET | $183.33 | 77 | $14,116.41 | $14,239.95 |
$-73.15 (-0.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | May 6, 2026 1:10pm ET | $182.85 | 77 | $14,079.07 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 7, 2026 9:45am ET | $198.48 | 77 | $15,282.58 | $15,443.46 |
+$1,203.51 (+8.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
20.6h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | May 12, 2026 10:15am ET | $213.81 | 72 | $15,394.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 12, 2026 11:35am ET | $213.89 | 72 | $15,400.08 | $15,449.22 |
+$5.76 (+0.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | May 14, 2026 1:50pm ET | $236.39 | 65 | $15,365.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 15, 2026 2:35pm ET | $242.05 | 65 | $15,733.25 | $15,817.12 |
+$367.90 (+2.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | May 18, 2026 3:05pm ET | $247.50 | 63 | $15,592.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $236.86 | 63 | $14,922.18 | $15,146.80 |
$-670.32 (-4.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | May 21, 2026 2:05pm ET | $250.77 | 60 | $15,046.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 22, 2026 2:25pm ET | $259.20 | 60 | $15,552.00 | $15,652.60 |
+$505.80 (+3.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | May 27, 2026 2:10pm ET | $249.12 | 62 | $15,445.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 28, 2026 3:05pm ET | $257.77 | 62 | $15,981.43 | $16,188.59 |
+$535.99 (+3.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 2, 2026 12:10pm ET | $295.00 | 54 | $15,930.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 2, 2026 1:15pm ET | $293.61 | 54 | $15,855.21 | $16,113.80 |
$-74.79 (-0.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.1h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 3, 2026 2:25pm ET | $280.87 | 57 | $16,009.59 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 5, 2026 12:10pm ET | $275.93 | 57 | $15,728.01 | $15,832.22 |
$-281.58 (-1.8%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.9d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 9, 2026 1:35pm ET | $256.43 | 61 | $15,642.23 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 11, 2026 1:30pm ET | $277.21 | 61 | $16,909.81 | $17,099.80 |
+$1,267.58 (+8.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 15, 2026 9:50am ET | $281.89 | 60 | $16,913.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 17, 2026 9:35am ET | $278.70 | 60 | $16,721.70 | $16,907.80 |
$-192.00 (-1.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 18, 2026 9:50am ET | $283.51 | 59 | $16,727.09 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 23, 2026 9:35am ET | $285.12 | 59 | $16,822.08 | $17,002.79 |
+$94.99 (+0.6%) |
DEATH_CROSS
5d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 24, 2026 11:55am ET | $288.36 | 58 | $16,724.59 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 25, 2026 3:30pm ET | $292.73 | 58 | $16,978.34 | $17,256.54 |
+$253.75 (+1.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 6, 2026 9:35am ET | $354.64 | 48 | $17,022.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 7, 2026 2:45pm ET | $346.47 | 48 | $16,630.56 | $16,864.62 |
$-391.92 (-2.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.2d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 8, 2026 3:35pm ET | $320.13 | 52 | $16,646.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 9, 2026 3:50pm ET | $335.27 | 52 | $17,434.04 | $17,652.03 |
+$787.41 (+4.7%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 13, 2026 10:30am ET | $326.30 | 54 | $17,620.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 13, 2026 1:55pm ET | $328.08 | 54 | $17,716.05 | $17,747.78 |
+$95.75 (+0.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.4h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 14, 2026 3:25pm ET | $352.11 | 50 | $17,605.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 15, 2026 10:55am ET | $354.07 | 50 | $17,703.50 | $17,846.03 |
+$98.25 (+0.6%) |
DEATH_CROSS
19.5h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 16, 2026 2:00pm ET | $353.85 | 50 | $17,692.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 17, 2026 12:05pm ET | $360.75 | 50 | $18,037.50 | $18,191.28 |
+$345.25 (+2.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
22.1h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 20, 2026 12:05pm ET | $359.41 | 50 | $17,970.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 20, 2026 2:45pm ET | $358.61 | 50 | $17,930.50 | $18,151.28 |
$-40.00 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.7h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 22, 2026 12:50pm ET | $335.96 | 54 | $18,141.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 22, 2026 2:00pm ET | $334.19 | 54 | $18,046.26 | $18,055.70 |
$-95.58 (-0.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.2h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 24, 2026 11:20am ET | $326.00 | 55 | $17,930.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 24, 2026 11:55am ET | $325.18 | 55 | $17,884.90 | $18,010.60 |
$-45.10 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
35m held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 28, 2026 11:00am ET | $316.64 | 56 | $17,731.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 28, 2026 3:20pm ET | $320.33 | 56 | $17,938.76 | $18,217.52 |
+$206.92 (+1.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
4.3h held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 30, 2026 9:35am ET | $318.50 | 57 | $18,154.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 30, 2026 10:25am ET | $315.47 | 57 | $17,981.79 | $18,044.81 |
$-172.71 (-1.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
50m held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 31, 2026 11:15am ET | $325.40 | 55 | $17,897.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 31, 2026 3:25pm ET | $330.87 | 55 | $18,197.85 | $18,345.66 |
+$300.85 (+1.7%) |
DEATH_CROSS
4.2h held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 6, 2026 11:10am ET | $358.95 | 51 | $18,306.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 7, 2026 10:55am ET | $360.23 | 51 | $18,371.73 | $18,410.94 |
+$65.28 (+0.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
23.8h held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 10, 2026 3:45pm ET | $382.33 | 48 | $18,351.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 11, 2026 12:25pm ET | $382.23 | 48 | $18,347.28 | $18,406.38 |
$-4.56 (-0.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
20.7h held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 12, 2026 1:55pm ET | $383.09 | 48 | $18,388.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 13, 2026 11:20am ET | $390.64 | 48 | $18,750.96 | $18,769.02 |
+$362.64 (+2.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
21.4h held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 14, 2026 1:55pm ET | $385.55 | 48 | $18,506.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 14, 2026 2:30pm ET | $384.61 | 48 | $18,461.04 | $18,723.66 |
$-45.36 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
35m held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 18, 2026 12:05pm ET | $371.75 | 50 | $18,587.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 18, 2026 3:25pm ET | $373.74 | 50 | $18,687.25 | $18,823.41 |
+$99.75 (+0.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.3h held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 19, 2026 3:55pm ET | $360.60 | 52 | $18,750.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 21, 2026 9:45am ET | $345.30 | 52 | $17,955.60 | $18,028.07 |
$-795.34 (-4.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.7d held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 24, 2026 1:05pm ET | $351.21 | 51 | $17,911.71 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 25, 2026 2:05pm ET | $336.67 | 51 | $17,170.17 | $17,286.53 |
$-741.54 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 45 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $358.56 | 48 | $17,210.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 28, 2026 12:05pm ET | $368.82 | 48 | $17,703.43 | $17,779.08 |
+$492.55 (+2.9%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held |
|
| 46 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 1, 2026 3:15pm ET | $360.02 | 49 | $17,640.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 1, 2026 3:35pm ET | $359.40 | 49 | $17,610.60 | $17,748.94 |
$-30.14 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
20m held |
|
| 47 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 3, 2026 2:25pm ET | $329.76 | 53 | $17,477.07 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $328.02 | 53 | $17,385.06 | $17,656.93 |
$-92.01 (-0.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
19.1h held |
|
| 48 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 8, 2026 10:55am ET | $331.72 | 53 | $17,581.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 9, 2026 10:00am ET | $335.93 | 53 | $17,804.29 | $17,880.06 |
+$223.13 (+1.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
23.1h held |
|
| 49 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 11, 2026 10:00am ET | $340.37 | 52 | $17,699.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 14, 2026 10:50am ET | $369.54 | 52 | $19,216.08 | $19,396.90 |
+$1,516.84 (+8.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3d held |
|
| 50 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 15, 2026 3:45pm ET | $377.48 | 51 | $19,251.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 16, 2026 12:55pm ET | $377.83 | 51 | $19,269.33 | $19,414.75 |
+$17.85 (+0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
21.2h held |
|
| 51 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 17, 2026 2:55pm ET | $376.20 | 51 | $19,186.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 18, 2026 9:55am ET | $360.04 | 51 | $18,362.04 | $18,590.34 |
$-824.41 (-4.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
19h held |
|
| 52 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 21, 2026 2:55pm ET | $371.11 | 50 | $18,555.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 22, 2026 9:35am ET | $368.33 | 50 | $18,416.75 | $18,451.59 |
$-138.75 (-0.7%) |
DEATH_CROSS
18.7h held |
|
| 53 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 24, 2026 10:45am ET | $391.88 | 47 | $18,418.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 24, 2026 11:40am ET | $390.30 | 47 | $18,343.87 | $18,377.10 |
$-74.49 (-0.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
55m held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$18,377.10
Net Profit/Loss:
+$8,377.10
Total Return:
+83.77%