PLTR Grace Crossover's Analysis
Last 6 Months: 2026-03-25 to present • 56 trades in period
-0.23%
Last 6 Months Return
$20,421.75
Current Value
20%
Win Rate
$20,469.04
Period Start
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
21.5 oversold
20d Trend
-29.6%
5d Trend
-14.4%
EMA20 Dist
-18.7%
ATR%
7.0%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.8×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
41
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
15.6/35
Total Return
16.8/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
2.6/15
Consistency
5.8/10
Raw Quality
40.8/100
× Confidence 1.00
= 40.6
30-Day Momentum
9
-4.8%
30d Return
9%
Win Rate
11
Trades
0.3×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0
Conf: 0.90×
Declining (-32 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,906
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
127 days
Data Gaps
None (5 market holidays)
Market Closed (5 days)
2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)
Period Start Capital
$20,469.04
Current Value
$20,421.75
Period P&L
$-47.25
Max Drawdown
-23.6%
Sharpe Ratio
0.01
Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)
Trades in Period
56
Winners / Losers
11 /
45
Best Trade
+9.44%
Worst Trade
-4.61%
Avg Trade Return
+0.02%
Avg Hold Time
20.4h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$2,336,750.56
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-47.25
Net P&L (after fees)
$-47.25
Gross Return
-0.23%
Net Return (after fees)
-0.23%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 PLTR Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 127 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 6 Months - 56 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $20,469.04 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 26, 2026 12:00pm ET | $151.25 | 135 | $20,418.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 9:35am ET | $144.28 | 135 | $19,477.80 | $19,528.05 |
$-940.95 (-4.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
21.6h held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 11:35am ET | $142.21 | 137 | $19,482.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 12:05pm ET | $141.43 | 137 | $19,375.92 | $19,421.19 |
$-106.86 (-0.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
30m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 3:35pm ET | $146.52 | 132 | $19,341.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 1, 2026 3:45pm ET | $146.37 | 132 | $19,320.84 | $19,400.73 |
$-20.46 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
10m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 12:30pm ET | $148.66 | 130 | $19,325.79 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 3:55pm ET | $147.77 | 130 | $19,210.10 | $19,285.04 |
$-115.69 (-0.6%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.4h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2026 3:05pm ET | $127.71 | 151 | $19,283.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 13, 2026 2:15pm ET | $133.34 | 151 | $20,133.59 | $20,135.17 |
+$850.13 (+4.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 14, 2026 3:20pm ET | $135.96 | 148 | $20,122.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 16, 2026 12:50pm ET | $142.96 | 148 | $21,158.57 | $21,171.66 |
+$1,036.49 (+5.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.9d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 17, 2026 3:15pm ET | $147.19 | 143 | $21,048.17 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2026 11:05am ET | $146.35 | 143 | $20,928.05 | $21,051.54 |
$-120.12 (-0.6%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.8d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 24, 2026 11:45am ET | $141.52 | 148 | $20,944.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $141.47 | 148 | $20,937.56 | $21,044.16 |
$-7.38 (-0.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.9d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 29, 2026 12:50pm ET | $136.99 | 153 | $20,959.47 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 1:00pm ET | $136.84 | 153 | $20,936.52 | $21,021.21 |
$-22.95 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
10m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 30, 2026 1:30pm ET | $138.90 | 151 | $20,973.61 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 4, 2026 11:20am ET | $146.10 | 151 | $22,061.85 | $22,109.45 |
+$1,088.24 (+5.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.9d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | May 5, 2026 2:05pm ET | $136.52 | 161 | $21,979.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 5, 2026 2:25pm ET | $135.68 | 161 | $21,844.50 | $21,974.23 |
$-135.22 (-0.6%) |
DEATH_CROSS
20m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | May 8, 2026 10:55am ET | $135.98 | 161 | $21,891.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 8, 2026 11:55am ET | $135.05 | 161 | $21,742.86 | $21,825.11 |
$-149.12 (-0.7%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | May 11, 2026 12:05pm ET | $135.52 | 161 | $21,819.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 11, 2026 12:55pm ET | $134.79 | 161 | $21,701.19 | $21,706.77 |
$-118.34 (-0.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
50m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | May 12, 2026 3:05pm ET | $134.15 | 161 | $21,598.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $129.51 | 161 | $20,851.11 | $20,959.73 |
$-747.04 (-3.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.8d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | May 15, 2026 11:40am ET | $133.90 | 156 | $20,888.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 18, 2026 10:35am ET | $133.38 | 156 | $20,807.28 | $20,878.61 |
$-81.12 (-0.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | May 19, 2026 1:10pm ET | $134.68 | 155 | $20,875.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $134.13 | 155 | $20,790.15 | $20,793.41 |
$-85.20 (-0.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
20.3h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | May 21, 2026 1:20pm ET | $137.57 | 151 | $20,773.07 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 21, 2026 3:00pm ET | $137.52 | 151 | $20,765.52 | $20,785.86 |
$-7.55 (-0.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.7h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | May 27, 2026 10:40am ET | $135.51 | 153 | $20,732.57 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $148.30 | 153 | $22,689.90 | $22,743.19 |
+$1,957.33 (+9.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 1, 2026 10:50am ET | $158.40 | 143 | $22,651.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 2, 2026 10:30am ET | $151.87 | 143 | $21,716.70 | $21,808.40 |
$-934.79 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.7h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $145.71 | 149 | $21,710.79 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 4, 2026 10:25am ET | $142.22 | 149 | $21,190.78 | $21,288.39 |
$-520.01 (-2.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
55m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 8, 2026 2:10pm ET | $136.23 | 156 | $21,251.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $135.15 | 156 | $21,083.40 | $21,119.91 |
$-168.48 (-0.8%) |
DEATH_CROSS
19.3h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 11, 2026 11:40am ET | $130.12 | 162 | $21,079.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 11, 2026 12:55pm ET | $129.18 | 162 | $20,927.97 | $20,968.44 |
$-151.47 (-0.7%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 12, 2026 3:25pm ET | $128.13 | 163 | $20,885.19 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 12, 2026 3:35pm ET | $127.94 | 163 | $20,855.03 | $20,938.28 |
$-30.16 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
10m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 16, 2026 1:10pm ET | $131.32 | 159 | $20,879.09 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 17, 2026 2:05pm ET | $134.04 | 159 | $21,312.36 | $21,371.55 |
+$433.27 (+2.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 18, 2026 3:30pm ET | $128.29 | 166 | $21,296.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 22, 2026 9:30am ET | $126.25 | 166 | $20,957.50 | $21,032.91 |
$-338.64 (-1.6%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.8d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 23, 2026 12:25pm ET | $119.13 | 176 | $20,966.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 23, 2026 1:10pm ET | $118.89 | 176 | $20,923.76 | $20,989.79 |
$-43.12 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
45m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 24, 2026 3:25pm ET | $113.65 | 184 | $20,911.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 25, 2026 9:30am ET | $111.85 | 184 | $20,580.40 | $20,658.59 |
$-331.20 (-1.6%) |
DEATH_CROSS
18.1h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $109.56 | 188 | $20,597.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 26, 2026 1:25pm ET | $112.62 | 188 | $21,172.80 | $21,234.11 |
+$575.52 (+2.8%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.9h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 30, 2026 10:30am ET | $116.23 | 182 | $21,153.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 30, 2026 10:40am ET | $115.86 | 182 | $21,087.43 | $21,167.68 |
$-66.43 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
10m held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 6, 2026 9:45am ET | $131.23 | 161 | $21,128.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 6, 2026 10:55am ET | $130.25 | 161 | $20,970.73 | $21,010.38 |
$-157.30 (-0.7%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.2h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 9, 2026 12:40pm ET | $127.25 | 165 | $20,996.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 10, 2026 10:00am ET | $127.35 | 165 | $21,012.75 | $21,026.88 |
+$16.50 (+0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
21.3h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 13, 2026 2:35pm ET | $129.60 | 162 | $20,995.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 13, 2026 3:15pm ET | $129.21 | 162 | $20,932.83 | $20,964.51 |
$-62.37 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
40m held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 15, 2026 9:35am ET | $135.89 | 154 | $20,927.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 15, 2026 9:45am ET | $133.60 | 154 | $20,574.40 | $20,611.83 |
$-352.68 (-1.7%) |
DEATH_CROSS
10m held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 16, 2026 10:45am ET | $132.79 | 155 | $20,582.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $131.61 | 155 | $20,399.55 | $20,428.93 |
$-182.90 (-0.9%) |
DEATH_CROSS
22.8h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 21, 2026 12:00pm ET | $134.33 | 152 | $20,418.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 21, 2026 12:10pm ET | $133.76 | 152 | $20,331.52 | $20,342.29 |
$-86.64 (-0.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
10m held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 22, 2026 3:30pm ET | $124.80 | 163 | $20,342.11 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 24, 2026 3:35pm ET | $123.75 | 163 | $20,172.06 | $20,172.25 |
$-170.04 (-0.8%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2d held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 28, 2026 11:30am ET | $123.78 | 162 | $20,051.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 28, 2026 2:15pm ET | $123.50 | 162 | $20,007.00 | $20,127.70 |
$-44.55 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.8h held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 30, 2026 12:15pm ET | $122.07 | 164 | $20,018.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 30, 2026 2:40pm ET | $121.85 | 164 | $19,983.40 | $20,092.44 |
$-35.26 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.4h held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 5, 2026 12:30pm ET | $160.99 | 124 | $19,962.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 5, 2026 12:45pm ET | $160.29 | 124 | $19,876.58 | $20,006.88 |
$-85.56 (-0.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
15m held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 6, 2026 1:25pm ET | $156.03 | 128 | $19,971.83 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 7, 2026 10:20am ET | $169.21 | 128 | $21,659.30 | $21,694.35 |
+$1,687.47 (+8.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
20.9h held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 10, 2026 1:15pm ET | $178.16 | 121 | $21,557.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 11, 2026 11:10am ET | $175.19 | 121 | $21,197.99 | $21,334.99 |
$-359.36 (-1.7%) |
DEATH_CROSS
21.9h held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 12, 2026 12:15pm ET | $170.76 | 124 | $21,174.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 13, 2026 11:15am ET | $173.74 | 124 | $21,543.83 | $21,704.59 |
+$369.60 (+1.7%) |
DEATH_CROSS
23h held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 14, 2026 11:45am ET | $177.46 | 122 | $21,650.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 17, 2026 10:35am ET | $174.28 | 122 | $21,262.17 | $21,316.64 |
$-387.95 (-1.8%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3d held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 19, 2026 10:50am ET | $173.15 | 123 | $21,297.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 20, 2026 3:45pm ET | $174.79 | 123 | $21,499.17 | $21,518.35 |
+$201.71 (+0.9%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.2d held |
|
| 45 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 24, 2026 11:05am ET | $176.29 | 122 | $21,507.99 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 25, 2026 10:05am ET | $176.18 | 122 | $21,493.96 | $21,504.32 |
$-14.03 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
23h held |
|
| 46 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 27, 2026 2:10pm ET | $185.86 | 115 | $21,373.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $185.40 | 115 | $21,321.00 | $21,451.42 |
$-52.90 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
19.3h held |
|
| 47 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 31, 2026 11:05am ET | $186.07 | 115 | $21,398.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 31, 2026 1:15pm ET | $185.81 | 115 | $21,368.15 | $21,421.29 |
$-30.13 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.2h held |
|
| 48 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 2, 2026 1:45pm ET | $169.07 | 126 | $21,302.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 2, 2026 2:45pm ET | $168.60 | 126 | $21,243.60 | $21,362.07 |
$-59.22 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1h held |
|
| 49 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 3, 2026 2:55pm ET | $183.06 | 116 | $21,234.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 3, 2026 3:55pm ET | $182.31 | 116 | $21,147.96 | $21,275.07 |
$-87.00 (-0.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1h held |
|
| 50 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 9, 2026 10:40am ET | $171.80 | 123 | $21,131.39 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 9, 2026 11:15am ET | $169.99 | 123 | $20,908.77 | $21,052.45 |
$-222.62 (-1.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
35m held |
|
| 51 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 10, 2026 2:55pm ET | $166.63 | 126 | $20,996.01 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 10, 2026 3:20pm ET | $166.18 | 126 | $20,938.68 | $20,995.12 |
$-57.33 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
25m held |
|
| 52 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 14, 2026 3:25pm ET | $173.18 | 121 | $20,954.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $170.13 | 121 | $20,585.73 | $20,626.68 |
$-368.44 (-1.8%) |
DEATH_CROSS
18.1h held |
|
| 53 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 16, 2026 11:10am ET | $172.29 | 119 | $20,501.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 16, 2026 11:55am ET | $171.45 | 119 | $20,402.76 | $20,527.53 |
$-99.15 (-0.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
45m held |
|
| 54 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 17, 2026 3:25pm ET | $175.65 | 116 | $20,375.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 18, 2026 12:40pm ET | $175.02 | 116 | $20,302.32 | $20,454.45 |
$-73.08 (-0.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
21.3h held |
|
| 55 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 21, 2026 2:10pm ET | $182.15 | 112 | $20,400.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 22, 2026 10:40am ET | $182.53 | 112 | $20,443.36 | $20,497.01 |
+$42.56 (+0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
20.5h held |
|
| 56 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 24, 2026 10:25am ET | $191.57 | 106 | $20,305.89 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 24, 2026 11:15am ET | $190.85 | 106 | $20,230.63 | $20,421.75 |
$-75.26 (-0.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
50m held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$20,421.75
Net Profit/Loss:
+$10,421.75
Total Return:
+104.22%