QQQ Grace Crossover's Analysis
Last 6 Months: 2026-03-25 to present • 55 trades in period
-1.30%
Last 6 Months Return
$10,928.31
Current Value
31%
Win Rate
$11,071.86
Period Start
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
31.7 neutral
20d Trend
-3.6%
5d Trend
-4.6%
EMA20 Dist
-3.6%
ATR%
1.8%
Range Pos
21%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
19
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
3.8/35
Total Return
8.7/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
1.2/15
Consistency
5.5/10
Raw Quality
19.1/100
× Confidence 1.00
= 19.1
30-Day Momentum
30
+1.4%
30d Return
40%
Win Rate
10
Trades
2.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 34.6
Conf: 0.87×
Accelerating (+11 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,906
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
127 days
Data Gaps
None (5 market holidays)
Market Closed (5 days)
2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)
Period Start Capital
$11,071.86
Current Value
$10,928.31
Period P&L
$-143.54
Max Drawdown
-9.3%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.02
Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)
Trades in Period
55
Winners / Losers
17 /
38
Best Trade
+3.56%
Worst Trade
-1.70%
Avg Trade Return
-0.02%
Avg Hold Time
18.5h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,193,564.94
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-143.54
Net P&L (after fees)
$-143.54
Gross Return
-1.30%
Net Return (after fees)
-1.30%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 QQQ Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 127 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 6 Months - 55 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $11,071.86 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 25, 2026 9:30am ET | $589.25 | 18 | $10,606.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 25, 2026 11:20am ET | $586.87 | 18 | $10,563.66 | $11,029.01 |
$-42.84 (-0.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.8h held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $567.08 | 19 | $10,774.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 12:10pm ET | $563.01 | 19 | $10,697.19 | $10,951.68 |
$-77.33 (-0.7%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.7h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 3:45pm ET | $584.91 | 18 | $10,528.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 2, 2026 1:50pm ET | $581.61 | 18 | $10,468.98 | $10,892.26 |
$-59.42 (-0.6%) |
DEATH_CROSS
22.1h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 2:20pm ET | $587.70 | 18 | $10,578.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 1:40pm ET | $606.02 | 18 | $10,908.36 | $11,222.04 |
+$329.78 (+3.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2026 3:05pm ET | $610.84 | 18 | $10,995.21 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $609.78 | 18 | $10,976.04 | $11,202.87 |
$-19.17 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.8d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 14, 2026 2:40pm ET | $626.76 | 17 | $10,654.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 16, 2026 1:10pm ET | $639.94 | 17 | $10,878.98 | $11,426.93 |
+$224.06 (+2.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.9d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 17, 2026 3:40pm ET | $648.24 | 17 | $11,020.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2026 11:00am ET | $646.62 | 17 | $10,992.54 | $11,399.39 |
$-27.54 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.8d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 23, 2026 10:50am ET | $654.12 | 17 | $11,120.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 12:05pm ET | $654.21 | 17 | $11,121.49 | $11,400.84 |
+$1.45 (+0.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 27, 2026 12:15pm ET | $662.53 | 17 | $11,263.01 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 27, 2026 2:55pm ET | $663.04 | 17 | $11,271.68 | $11,409.51 |
+$8.67 (+0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.7h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 29, 2026 1:50pm ET | $659.26 | 17 | $11,207.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 2:05pm ET | $658.53 | 17 | $11,195.01 | $11,397.10 |
$-12.41 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
15m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | May 1, 2026 1:10pm ET | $674.37 | 16 | $10,789.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2026 2:35pm ET | $674.11 | 16 | $10,785.76 | $11,392.94 |
$-4.16 (-0.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.4h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | May 4, 2026 3:15pm ET | $672.79 | 16 | $10,764.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 7, 2026 12:00pm ET | $696.75 | 16 | $11,148.00 | $11,776.30 |
+$383.36 (+3.6%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.9d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | May 11, 2026 1:30pm ET | $713.65 | 16 | $11,418.37 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 11, 2026 2:55pm ET | $713.32 | 16 | $11,413.12 | $11,771.05 |
$-5.25 (-0.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.4h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | May 14, 2026 1:55pm ET | $721.07 | 16 | $11,537.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $710.09 | 16 | $11,361.44 | $11,595.37 |
$-175.68 (-1.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
19.6h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | May 18, 2026 2:00pm ET | $703.59 | 16 | $11,257.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 19, 2026 10:00am ET | $701.60 | 16 | $11,225.68 | $11,563.61 |
$-31.76 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
20h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | May 21, 2026 11:45am ET | $710.13 | 16 | $11,362.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 21, 2026 2:55pm ET | $711.24 | 16 | $11,379.92 | $11,581.45 |
+$17.84 (+0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.2h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | May 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $726.04 | 15 | $10,890.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 26, 2026 11:55am ET | $726.13 | 15 | $10,891.95 | $11,582.80 |
+$1.35 (+0.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.4h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | May 27, 2026 12:20pm ET | $728.27 | 15 | $10,923.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 28, 2026 9:35am ET | $728.26 | 15 | $10,923.90 | $11,582.72 |
$-0.08 (-0.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
21.3h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | May 29, 2026 2:35pm ET | $738.25 | 15 | $11,073.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 1, 2026 10:00am ET | $736.81 | 15 | $11,052.15 | $11,561.12 |
$-21.60 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.8d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 2, 2026 10:10am ET | $743.90 | 15 | $11,158.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 2, 2026 10:30am ET | $742.69 | 15 | $11,140.35 | $11,542.97 |
$-18.15 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
20m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 3, 2026 1:45pm ET | $744.07 | 15 | $11,161.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $735.25 | 15 | $11,028.75 | $11,410.67 |
$-132.30 (-1.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
19.8h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 8, 2026 9:35am ET | $714.96 | 15 | $10,724.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 8, 2026 1:00pm ET | $718.84 | 15 | $10,782.60 | $11,468.87 |
+$58.20 (+0.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.4h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 9, 2026 1:40pm ET | $701.20 | 16 | $11,219.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 10, 2026 11:00am ET | $702.11 | 16 | $11,233.76 | $11,483.43 |
+$14.56 (+0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
21.3h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 11, 2026 11:25am ET | $700.89 | 16 | $11,214.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 11, 2026 1:00pm ET | $699.83 | 16 | $11,197.34 | $11,466.53 |
$-16.90 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.6h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $738.03 | 15 | $11,070.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 15, 2026 2:05pm ET | $742.90 | 15 | $11,143.54 | $11,539.62 |
+$73.09 (+0.7%) |
DEATH_CROSS
4.6h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 17, 2026 9:45am ET | $735.26 | 15 | $11,028.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 17, 2026 12:50pm ET | $732.29 | 15 | $10,984.35 | $11,495.07 |
$-44.55 (-0.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.1h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 18, 2026 2:50pm ET | $739.69 | 15 | $11,095.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 22, 2026 10:35am ET | $738.81 | 15 | $11,082.15 | $11,481.87 |
$-13.20 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.8d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 23, 2026 1:25pm ET | $719.49 | 15 | $10,792.37 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 24, 2026 12:30pm ET | $715.71 | 15 | $10,735.68 | $11,425.18 |
$-56.69 (-0.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
23.1h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 26, 2026 11:30am ET | $713.62 | 16 | $11,417.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 26, 2026 12:25pm ET | $711.59 | 16 | $11,385.49 | $11,392.75 |
$-32.43 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
55m held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 6, 2026 2:50pm ET | $723.39 | 15 | $10,850.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 7, 2026 2:45pm ET | $711.12 | 15 | $10,666.80 | $11,208.69 |
$-184.06 (-1.7%) |
DEATH_CROSS
23.9h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 10, 2026 10:05am ET | $723.51 | 15 | $10,852.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 10, 2026 11:45am ET | $721.33 | 15 | $10,819.95 | $11,175.99 |
$-32.70 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.7h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $719.74 | 15 | $10,796.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 14, 2026 2:50pm ET | $720.49 | 15 | $10,807.35 | $11,187.24 |
+$11.25 (+0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
5.3h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 15, 2026 3:40pm ET | $716.75 | 15 | $10,751.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $712.88 | 15 | $10,693.20 | $11,129.19 |
$-58.05 (-0.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
17.8h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 17, 2026 11:55am ET | $698.40 | 15 | $10,476.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 17, 2026 2:00pm ET | $698.70 | 15 | $10,480.50 | $11,133.69 |
+$4.50 (+0.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.1h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $706.25 | 15 | $10,593.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 22, 2026 9:30am ET | $704.18 | 15 | $10,562.70 | $11,102.64 |
$-31.05 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1d held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 23, 2026 12:30pm ET | $694.07 | 15 | $10,411.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 23, 2026 1:00pm ET | $692.34 | 15 | $10,385.10 | $11,076.69 |
$-25.95 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
30m held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $691.76 | 16 | $11,068.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 27, 2026 10:10am ET | $684.19 | 16 | $10,947.04 | $10,955.57 |
$-121.12 (-1.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
40m held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 28, 2026 11:20am ET | $676.22 | 16 | $10,819.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 28, 2026 1:55pm ET | $676.04 | 16 | $10,816.64 | $10,952.69 |
$-2.88 (-0.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.6h held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 5, 2026 3:20pm ET | $721.24 | 15 | $10,818.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 6, 2026 11:20am ET | $716.86 | 15 | $10,752.90 | $10,886.99 |
$-65.70 (-0.6%) |
DEATH_CROSS
20h held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 7, 2026 3:10pm ET | $722.05 | 15 | $10,830.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 10, 2026 11:10am ET | $721.82 | 15 | $10,827.30 | $10,883.54 |
$-3.45 (-0.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.8d held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 13, 2026 9:35am ET | $726.34 | 14 | $10,168.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 13, 2026 11:55am ET | $730.23 | 14 | $10,223.22 | $10,938.00 |
+$54.46 (+0.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.3h held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 14, 2026 2:10pm ET | $729.66 | 14 | $10,215.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 14, 2026 2:30pm ET | $729.22 | 14 | $10,209.15 | $10,931.90 |
$-6.10 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
20m held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 18, 2026 3:45pm ET | $717.97 | 15 | $10,769.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 19, 2026 12:55pm ET | $717.14 | 15 | $10,757.10 | $10,919.45 |
$-12.45 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
21.2h held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 21, 2026 3:00pm ET | $713.58 | 15 | $10,703.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $709.49 | 15 | $10,642.35 | $10,858.10 |
$-61.35 (-0.6%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.8d held |
|
| 45 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 25, 2026 9:30am ET | $710.88 | 15 | $10,663.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 25, 2026 11:05am ET | $709.05 | 15 | $10,635.75 | $10,830.65 |
$-27.45 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.6h held |
|
| 46 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 26, 2026 11:05am ET | $710.55 | 15 | $10,658.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 26, 2026 11:35am ET | $709.95 | 15 | $10,649.25 | $10,821.65 |
$-9.00 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
30m held |
|
| 47 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 27, 2026 3:25pm ET | $718.76 | 15 | $10,781.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 28, 2026 11:50am ET | $720.08 | 15 | $10,801.20 | $10,841.45 |
+$19.80 (+0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
20.4h held |
|
| 48 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 31, 2026 1:40pm ET | $714.68 | 15 | $10,720.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 31, 2026 2:40pm ET | $714.18 | 15 | $10,712.70 | $10,833.95 |
$-7.50 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1h held |
|
| 49 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 2, 2026 10:15am ET | $707.66 | 15 | $10,614.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 3, 2026 3:25pm ET | $717.63 | 15 | $10,764.45 | $10,983.50 |
+$149.55 (+1.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.2d held |
|
| 50 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 9, 2026 1:45pm ET | $716.40 | 15 | $10,746.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 9, 2026 2:15pm ET | $716.08 | 15 | $10,741.20 | $10,978.70 |
$-4.80 (-0.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
30m held |
|
| 51 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 11, 2026 9:30am ET | $714.99 | 15 | $10,724.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 11, 2026 2:20pm ET | $716.03 | 15 | $10,740.45 | $10,994.30 |
+$15.60 (+0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
4.8h held |
|
| 52 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $708.20 | 15 | $10,623.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 16, 2026 1:00pm ET | $709.87 | 15 | $10,648.05 | $11,019.35 |
+$25.05 (+0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.5h held |
|
| 53 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 17, 2026 3:05pm ET | $716.71 | 15 | $10,750.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 18, 2026 10:15am ET | $716.42 | 15 | $10,746.30 | $11,015.00 |
$-4.35 (-0.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
19.2h held |
|
| 54 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 22, 2026 12:00pm ET | $744.62 | 14 | $10,424.71 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 22, 2026 12:25pm ET | $744.33 | 14 | $10,420.62 | $11,010.91 |
$-4.09 (-0.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
25m held |
|
| 55 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 23, 2026 1:50pm ET | $740.87 | 14 | $10,372.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $734.97 | 14 | $10,289.58 | $10,928.31 |
$-82.60 (-0.8%) |
DEATH_CROSS
19.7h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$10,928.31
Net Profit/Loss:
+$928.31
Total Return:
+9.28%