Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-07 13:15:15

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
17.7 oversold
20d Trend
-28.4%
5d Trend
-8.8%
EMA20 Dist
-13.1%
ATR%
4.1%
Range Pos
12%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026

38
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
11.8/35
Total Return
17.1/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
4.0/15
Consistency
5.5/10
Raw Quality 38.3/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 37.7

30-Day Momentum

11
+0.2%
30d Return
36%
Win Rate
11
Trades
1.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 11.7 Conf: 0.90×
Declining (-27 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
15,070
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-07 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
138 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)

Market Closed (6 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$17,288.98
Current Value
$21,109.47
Period P&L
$3,820.57
Max Drawdown
-33.5%
Sharpe Ratio
0.15

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
61
Winners / Losers
22 / 39
Best Trade
+10.05%
Worst Trade
-5.60%
Avg Trade Return
+0.40%
Avg Hold Time
15.3h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$2,343,479.07
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$3,820.57
Net P&L (after fees)
$3,820.57
Gross Return
+22.10%
Net Return (after fees)
+22.10%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 RIVN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 138 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 61 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $17,288.98 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Nov 6, 2025 12:45pm ET $14.95 1,132 $16,923.51
🔴 SELL Nov 7, 2025 9:30am ET $14.44 1,132 $16,346.08 $16,349.35 $-577.43
(-3.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
20.8h held
2 🟢 BUY Nov 11, 2025 9:35am ET $16.73 977 $16,340.33
🔴 SELL Nov 11, 2025 12:40pm ET $17.29 977 $16,887.45 $16,896.47 +$547.12
(+3.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.1h held
3 🟢 BUY Nov 13, 2025 3:25pm ET $16.44 1,027 $16,883.88
🔴 SELL Nov 14, 2025 9:30am ET $15.52 1,027 $15,939.04 $15,951.63 $-944.84
(-5.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.1h held
4 🟢 BUY Nov 17, 2025 11:20am ET $15.18 1,051 $15,948.93
🔴 SELL Nov 17, 2025 12:10pm ET $15.05 1,051 $15,817.55 $15,820.25 $-131.38
(-0.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
48m held
5 🟢 BUY Nov 19, 2025 2:45pm ET $14.54 1,088 $15,819.52
🔴 SELL Nov 20, 2025 11:35am ET $15.22 1,088 $16,553.92 $16,554.65 +$734.40
(+4.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
20.8h held
6 🟢 BUY Nov 21, 2025 11:40am ET $14.59 1,135 $16,553.98
🔴 SELL Nov 24, 2025 9:50am ET $14.77 1,135 $16,765.77 $16,766.44 +$211.79
(+1.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.9d held
7 🟢 BUY Nov 25, 2025 2:50pm ET $15.52 1,080 $16,763.11
🔴 SELL Nov 28, 2025 9:40am ET $16.81 1,080 $18,149.40 $18,152.73 +$1,386.29
(+8.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.8d held
8 🟢 BUY Dec 2, 2025 12:10pm ET $17.49 1,037 $18,137.13
🔴 SELL Dec 2, 2025 3:20pm ET $17.38 1,037 $18,019.64 $18,035.24 $-117.49
(-0.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.2h held
9 🟢 BUY Dec 4, 2025 11:55am ET $17.71 1,018 $18,023.69
🔴 SELL Dec 4, 2025 12:15pm ET $17.53 1,018 $17,845.54 $17,857.09 $-178.15
(-1.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
18m held
10 🟢 BUY Dec 8, 2025 12:45pm ET $17.43 1,024 $17,848.32
🔴 SELL Dec 8, 2025 1:45pm ET $17.32 1,024 $17,735.68 $17,744.45 $-112.64
(-0.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
1h held
11 🟢 BUY Dec 9, 2025 2:30pm ET $17.62 1,007 $17,738.31
🔴 SELL Dec 10, 2025 1:30pm ET $17.92 1,007 $18,045.44 $18,051.58 +$307.14
(+1.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
23h held
12 🟢 BUY Dec 11, 2025 2:45pm ET $16.61 1,086 $18,038.46
🔴 SELL Dec 12, 2025 9:35am ET $18.28 1,086 $19,852.19 $19,865.31 +$1,813.73
(+10.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
18.8h held
13 🟢 BUY Dec 15, 2025 9:45am ET $19.00 1,045 $19,855.00
🔴 SELL Dec 15, 2025 11:10am ET $18.66 1,045 $19,499.70 $19,510.01 $-355.30
(-1.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.4h held
14 🟢 BUY Dec 16, 2025 3:35pm ET $18.14 1,075 $19,495.13
🔴 SELL Dec 17, 2025 10:55am ET $17.92 1,075 $19,258.63 $19,273.51 $-236.50
(-1.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
19.3h held
15 🟢 BUY Dec 19, 2025 3:40pm ET $22.51 856 $19,268.56
🔴 SELL Dec 22, 2025 9:55am ET $22.25 856 $19,041.72 $19,046.67 $-226.84
(-1.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.8d held
16 🟢 BUY Dec 23, 2025 12:05pm ET $21.18 899 $19,044.96
🔴 SELL Dec 23, 2025 12:40pm ET $21.00 899 $18,874.51 $18,876.22 $-170.45
(-0.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
36m held
17 🟢 BUY Dec 26, 2025 12:30pm ET $21.09 895 $18,875.55
🔴 SELL Dec 26, 2025 12:55pm ET $21.00 895 $18,794.91 $18,795.58 $-80.64
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
24m held
18 🟢 BUY Dec 29, 2025 1:15pm ET $20.93 898 $18,790.65
🔴 SELL Dec 29, 2025 1:25pm ET $20.89 898 $18,754.73 $18,759.66 $-35.92
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
12m held
19 🟢 BUY Dec 30, 2025 3:20pm ET $19.49 962 $18,744.57
🔴 SELL Dec 30, 2025 3:30pm ET $19.36 962 $18,624.42 $18,639.51 $-120.15
(-0.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
12m held
20 🟢 BUY Dec 31, 2025 3:35pm ET $19.79 942 $18,637.47
🔴 SELL Jan 2, 2026 10:30am ET $19.65 942 $18,509.64 $18,511.68 $-127.83
(-0.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.8d held
21 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 2:55pm ET $19.69 940 $18,503.90
🔴 SELL Jan 6, 2026 9:30am ET $19.60 940 $18,419.30 $18,427.08 $-84.60
(-0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
18.6h held
22 🟢 BUY Jan 7, 2026 10:35am ET $19.60 940 $18,419.30
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 1:55pm ET $19.92 940 $18,723.86 $18,731.64 +$304.56
(+1.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.3h held
23 🟢 BUY Jan 9, 2026 10:30am ET $19.98 937 $18,721.35
🔴 SELL Jan 9, 2026 10:35am ET $19.83 937 $18,576.03 $18,586.31 $-145.33
(-0.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
6m held
24 🟢 BUY Jan 12, 2026 11:30am ET $19.16 970 $18,585.20
🔴 SELL Jan 12, 2026 12:50pm ET $19.12 970 $18,550.38 $18,551.49 $-34.82
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held
25 🟢 BUY Jan 13, 2026 2:55pm ET $18.96 978 $18,537.99
🔴 SELL Jan 13, 2026 3:20pm ET $18.80 978 $18,386.40 $18,399.90 $-151.59
(-0.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
24m held
26 🟢 BUY Jan 16, 2026 1:00pm ET $16.85 1,092 $18,394.74
🔴 SELL Jan 16, 2026 1:20pm ET $16.78 1,092 $18,318.30 $18,323.46 $-76.44
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
18m held
27 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 3:20pm ET $16.09 1,139 $18,320.82
🔴 SELL Jan 21, 2026 11:45am ET $16.23 1,139 $18,486.08 $18,488.73 +$165.27
(+0.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
20.4h held
28 🟢 BUY Jan 26, 2026 1:45pm ET $15.70 1,178 $18,488.71
🔴 SELL Jan 26, 2026 3:05pm ET $15.67 1,178 $18,459.26 $18,459.28 $-29.45
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held
29 🟢 BUY Jan 27, 2026 3:20pm ET $15.23 1,212 $18,452.70
🔴 SELL Jan 27, 2026 3:35pm ET $15.19 1,212 $18,410.28 $18,416.86 $-42.42
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
18m held
30 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 9:40am ET $15.30 1,203 $18,405.90
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 10:05am ET $15.25 1,203 $18,339.74 $18,350.69 $-66.17
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
24m held
31 🟢 BUY Jan 30, 2026 3:50pm ET $14.75 1,244 $18,342.78
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2026 9:30am ET $14.48 1,244 $18,013.12 $18,021.03 $-329.66
(-1.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.7d held
32 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 10:10am ET $14.59 1,234 $18,007.76
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 11:05am ET $14.41 1,234 $17,788.11 $17,801.38 $-219.65
(-1.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
54m held
33 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 2:40pm ET $14.24 1,250 $17,800.00
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 9:35am ET $14.19 1,250 $17,737.50 $17,738.88 $-62.50
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
18.9h held
34 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 9:45am ET $14.02 1,264 $17,727.60
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 9:30am ET $14.48 1,264 $18,302.72 $18,314.00 +$575.12
(+3.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
3d held
35 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 9:40am ET $14.97 1,223 $18,302.20
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 12:25pm ET $15.32 1,223 $18,736.36 $18,748.16 +$434.16
(+2.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.8h held
36 🟢 BUY Feb 11, 2026 2:15pm ET $14.47 1,295 $18,743.83
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 3:10pm ET $14.43 1,295 $18,680.38 $18,684.71 $-63.45
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
55m held
37 🟢 BUY Feb 19, 2026 1:50pm ET $15.32 1,219 $18,675.08
🔴 SELL Feb 19, 2026 2:20pm ET $15.21 1,219 $18,540.87 $18,550.50 $-134.21
(-0.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
30m held
38 🟢 BUY Feb 23, 2026 1:30pm ET $14.86 1,248 $18,545.28
🔴 SELL Feb 24, 2026 2:25pm ET $15.23 1,248 $19,000.80 $19,006.02 +$455.52
(+2.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
1d held
39 🟢 BUY Feb 26, 2026 9:35am ET $15.54 1,223 $19,005.42
🔴 SELL Feb 27, 2026 2:00pm ET $15.30 1,223 $18,711.90 $18,712.50 $-293.52
(-1.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.2d held
40 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2026 11:00am ET $14.95 1,251 $18,702.45
🔴 SELL Mar 3, 2026 12:50pm ET $15.10 1,251 $18,883.85 $18,893.90 +$181.40
(+1.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.8h held
41 🟢 BUY Mar 5, 2026 9:55am ET $15.09 1,252 $18,892.68
🔴 SELL Mar 5, 2026 11:35am ET $14.95 1,252 $18,723.66 $18,724.88 $-169.02
(-0.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.7h held
42 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 10:50am ET $15.48 1,209 $18,721.36
🔴 SELL Mar 10, 2026 9:35am ET $16.73 1,209 $20,226.57 $20,230.08 +$1,505.20
(+8.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.8h held
43 🟢 BUY Mar 11, 2026 2:40pm ET $16.33 1,238 $20,222.73
🔴 SELL Mar 12, 2026 9:55am ET $16.27 1,238 $20,148.45 $20,155.80 $-74.28
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
19.3h held
44 🟢 BUY Mar 16, 2026 9:30am ET $15.03 1,341 $20,155.23
🔴 SELL Mar 16, 2026 3:20pm ET $15.26 1,341 $20,463.66 $20,464.23 +$308.43
(+1.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
5.8h held
45 🟢 BUY Mar 18, 2026 9:35am ET $15.96 1,282 $20,460.72
🔴 SELL Mar 19, 2026 10:50am ET $16.03 1,282 $20,553.02 $20,556.53 +$92.30
(+0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held
46 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET $15.35 1,339 $20,553.65
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 11:50am ET $15.76 1,339 $21,102.91 $21,105.79 +$549.26
(+2.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.3h held
47 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 2:25pm ET $15.56 1,356 $21,099.36
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 10:55am ET $15.88 1,356 $21,526.50 $21,532.93 +$427.14
(+2.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
20.5h held
48 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 11:45am ET $15.11 1,425 $21,531.75
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 12:30pm ET $14.65 1,425 $20,883.37 $20,884.56 $-648.37
(-3.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
3d held
49 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 10:20am ET $15.03 1,389 $20,876.53
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 2:20pm ET $15.27 1,389 $21,216.97 $21,225.00 +$340.44
(+1.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
4h held
50 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 12:45pm ET $14.67 1,447 $21,224.60
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 2:45pm ET $14.63 1,447 $21,169.61 $21,170.01 $-54.99
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
2h held
51 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 9:45am ET $15.19 1,393 $21,166.63
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $15.27 1,393 $21,278.07 $21,281.45 +$111.44
(+0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
6.2h held
52 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 12:10pm ET $15.48 1,375 $21,279.36
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 10:20am ET $15.84 1,375 $21,780.00 $21,782.09 +$500.64
(+2.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
22.2h held
53 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 3:30pm ET $16.83 1,294 $21,778.41
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 1:10pm ET $17.40 1,294 $22,509.13 $22,512.81 +$730.72
(+3.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
21.7h held
54 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 1:40pm ET $16.91 1,331 $22,507.21
🔴 SELL Apr 20, 2026 2:40pm ET $16.86 1,331 $22,440.53 $22,446.13 $-66.68
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
1h held
55 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 9:30am ET $17.46 1,285 $22,436.10
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 1:45pm ET $17.75 1,285 $22,808.75 $22,818.78 +$372.65
(+1.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
4.3h held
56 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 2:30pm ET $17.03 1,339 $22,809.86
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 12:55pm ET $16.34 1,339 $21,885.95 $21,894.87 $-923.91
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.4h held
57 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 1:25pm ET $16.72 1,309 $21,886.35
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET $16.45 1,309 $21,533.05 $21,541.57 $-353.30
(-1.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
20.1h held
58 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 10:40am ET $16.11 1,337 $21,539.07
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 10:50am ET $16.05 1,337 $21,458.72 $21,461.22 $-80.35
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
10m held
59 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 3:25pm ET $15.23 1,409 $21,452.03
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 3:35pm ET $15.16 1,409 $21,367.48 $21,376.68 $-84.54
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
10m held
60 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 3:40pm ET $14.69 1,455 $21,373.95
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 10:00am ET $14.61 1,455 $21,264.82 $21,267.56 $-109.12
(-0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
18.3h held
61 🟢 BUY May 7, 2026 11:35am ET $14.45 1,472 $21,266.57
🔴 SELL May 7, 2026 12:15pm ET $14.34 1,472 $21,108.48 $21,109.47 $-158.09
(-0.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
40m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $21,109.47
Net Profit/Loss: +$11,109.47
Total Return: +111.09%
Back to Grace Crossover