Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 23:56:07

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
17.7 oversold
20d Trend
-28.4%
5d Trend
-8.8%
EMA20 Dist
-13.1%
ATR%
4.1%
Range Pos
12%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

36
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
11.4/35
Total Return
17.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
2.9/15
Consistency
5.5/10
Raw Quality 36.7/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 36.1

30-Day Momentum

9
-6.4%
30d Return
18%
Win Rate
11
Trades
0.5×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0 Conf: 0.90×
Declining (-27 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,984
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
128 days
Data Gaps
None (5 market holidays)

Market Closed (5 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$21,105.87
Current Value
$20,901.90
Period P&L
$-203.89
Max Drawdown
-33.5%
Sharpe Ratio
0.01

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
57
Winners / Losers
23 / 34
Best Trade
+9.48%
Worst Trade
-10.09%
Avg Trade Return
+0.03%
Avg Hold Time
14.5h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$2,527,809.97
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-203.89
Net P&L (after fees)
$-203.89
Gross Return
-0.97%
Net Return (after fees)
-0.97%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 RIVN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 128 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 57 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $21,105.87 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 2:25pm ET $15.56 1,356 $21,099.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 10:55am ET $15.88 1,356 $21,526.50 $21,532.93 +$427.14
(+2.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
20.5h held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 11:45am ET $15.11 1,425 $21,531.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 12:30pm ET $14.65 1,425 $20,883.37 $20,884.56 $-648.37
(-3.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
3d held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 10:20am ET $15.03 1,389 $20,876.53 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 2:20pm ET $15.27 1,389 $21,216.97 $21,225.00 +$340.44
(+1.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
4h held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 12:45pm ET $14.67 1,447 $21,224.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 2:45pm ET $14.63 1,447 $21,169.61 $21,170.01 $-54.99
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
2h held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 9:45am ET $15.19 1,393 $21,166.63 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $15.27 1,393 $21,278.07 $21,281.45 +$111.44
(+0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
6.2h held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 12:10pm ET $15.48 1,375 $21,279.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 10:20am ET $15.84 1,375 $21,780.00 $21,782.09 +$500.64
(+2.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
22.2h held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 3:30pm ET $16.83 1,294 $21,778.41 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 1:10pm ET $17.40 1,294 $22,509.13 $22,512.81 +$730.72
(+3.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
21.7h held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 1:40pm ET $16.91 1,331 $22,507.21 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 20, 2026 2:40pm ET $16.86 1,331 $22,440.53 $22,446.13 $-66.68
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
1h held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 9:30am ET $17.46 1,285 $22,436.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 1:45pm ET $17.75 1,285 $22,808.75 $22,818.78 +$372.65
(+1.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
4.3h held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 2:30pm ET $17.03 1,339 $22,809.86 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 12:55pm ET $16.34 1,339 $21,885.95 $21,894.87 $-923.91
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.4h held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 1:25pm ET $16.72 1,309 $21,886.35 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET $16.45 1,309 $21,533.05 $21,541.57 $-353.30
(-1.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
20.1h held
12 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 10:40am ET $16.11 1,337 $21,539.07 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 10:50am ET $16.05 1,337 $21,458.72 $21,461.22 $-80.35
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
10m held
13 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 3:25pm ET $15.23 1,409 $21,452.03 — — —
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 3:35pm ET $15.16 1,409 $21,367.48 $21,376.68 $-84.54
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
10m held
14 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 3:40pm ET $14.69 1,455 $21,373.95 — — —
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 10:00am ET $14.61 1,455 $21,264.82 $21,267.56 $-109.12
(-0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
18.3h held
15 🟢 BUY May 7, 2026 11:35am ET $14.45 1,472 $21,266.57 — — —
🔴 SELL May 7, 2026 12:15pm ET $14.34 1,472 $21,108.48 $21,109.47 $-158.09
(-0.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
40m held
16 🟢 BUY May 8, 2026 1:10pm ET $14.05 1,502 $21,102.80 — — —
🔴 SELL May 11, 2026 9:35am ET $14.10 1,502 $21,185.71 $21,192.38 +$82.91
(+0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.9d held
17 🟢 BUY May 12, 2026 1:15pm ET $13.83 1,532 $21,187.41 — — —
🔴 SELL May 13, 2026 1:20pm ET $14.41 1,532 $22,076.12 $22,081.09 +$888.71
(+4.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
1d held
18 🟢 BUY May 15, 2026 1:05pm ET $13.94 1,584 $22,073.04 — — —
🔴 SELL May 15, 2026 3:40pm ET $13.90 1,584 $22,025.52 $22,033.57 $-47.52
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.6h held
19 🟢 BUY May 19, 2026 1:10pm ET $12.90 1,708 $22,024.66 — — —
🔴 SELL May 19, 2026 3:50pm ET $12.93 1,708 $22,075.90 $22,084.81 +$51.24
(+0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.7h held
20 🟢 BUY May 26, 2026 9:30am ET $14.37 1,536 $22,072.32 — — —
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 11:55am ET $14.49 1,536 $22,264.32 $22,276.81 +$192.00
(+0.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.4h held
21 🟢 BUY May 28, 2026 3:50pm ET $15.22 1,464 $22,274.76 — — —
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 1:25pm ET $16.44 1,464 $24,075.48 $24,077.53 +$1,800.72
(+8.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
21.6h held
22 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 12:20pm ET $17.83 1,350 $24,077.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 1:25pm ET $17.83 1,350 $24,070.50 $24,070.78 $-6.75
(-0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.1h held
23 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 3:35pm ET $16.49 1,459 $24,058.91 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 3:55pm ET $16.39 1,459 $23,905.72 $23,917.59 $-153.19
(-0.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
20m held
24 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 1:35pm ET $15.63 1,530 $23,913.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 2:50pm ET $14.96 1,530 $22,890.33 $22,894.02 $-1,023.57
(-4.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
25 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 2:15pm ET $15.94 1,435 $22,881.07 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 16, 2026 2:45pm ET $15.82 1,435 $22,701.56 $22,714.50 $-179.52
(-0.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
30m held
26 🟢 BUY Jun 18, 2026 3:10pm ET $16.28 1,395 $22,710.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 22, 2026 9:35am ET $16.02 1,395 $22,347.90 $22,351.80 $-362.70
(-1.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.8d held
27 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2026 9:30am ET $14.64 1,526 $22,340.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 25, 2026 11:00am ET $14.49 1,526 $22,119.37 $22,130.53 $-221.27
(-1.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.5h held
28 🟢 BUY Jun 26, 2026 2:25pm ET $15.57 1,420 $22,116.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 29, 2026 3:35pm ET $16.83 1,420 $23,905.70 $23,919.73 +$1,789.20
(+8.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
29 🟢 BUY Jul 1, 2026 9:55am ET $17.42 1,372 $23,907.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 1, 2026 1:10pm ET $17.56 1,372 $24,092.32 $24,104.95 +$185.22
(+0.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.3h held
30 🟢 BUY Jul 6, 2026 2:55pm ET $19.75 1,220 $24,101.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 7, 2026 9:30am ET $17.76 1,220 $21,668.18 $21,672.03 $-2,432.92
(-10.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
18.6h held
31 🟢 BUY Jul 8, 2026 11:35am ET $16.25 1,334 $21,670.83 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 9, 2026 10:05am ET $17.78 1,334 $23,725.19 $23,726.39 +$2,054.36
(+9.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.5h held
32 🟢 BUY Jul 10, 2026 11:25am ET $18.49 1,283 $23,716.26 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 10, 2026 3:50pm ET $17.72 1,283 $22,728.35 $22,738.48 $-987.91
(-4.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.4h held
33 🟢 BUY Jul 13, 2026 3:55pm ET $17.22 1,320 $22,728.95 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 14, 2026 11:35am ET $17.37 1,320 $22,928.40 $22,937.93 +$199.45
(+0.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
19.7h held
34 🟢 BUY Jul 16, 2026 2:40pm ET $16.77 1,367 $22,931.42 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 16, 2026 3:25pm ET $16.75 1,367 $22,890.42 $22,896.92 $-41.01
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
45m held
35 🟢 BUY Jul 17, 2026 3:55pm ET $17.39 1,317 $22,896.05 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 20, 2026 10:25am ET $17.39 1,317 $22,902.76 $22,903.64 +$6.72
(+0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.8d held
36 🟢 BUY Jul 23, 2026 12:25pm ET $16.71 1,370 $22,892.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 24, 2026 10:35am ET $16.04 1,370 $21,974.66 $21,985.60 $-918.04
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.2h held
37 🟢 BUY Jul 28, 2026 11:20am ET $16.25 1,352 $21,974.06 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 28, 2026 2:40pm ET $16.38 1,352 $22,139.00 $22,150.54 +$164.94
(+0.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.3h held
38 🟢 BUY Jul 31, 2026 1:15pm ET $15.61 1,418 $22,142.07 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 31, 2026 2:40pm ET $15.48 1,418 $21,957.73 $21,966.20 $-184.34
(-0.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.4h held
39 🟢 BUY Aug 4, 2026 9:35am ET $15.75 1,394 $21,955.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 4, 2026 9:55am ET $15.53 1,394 $21,655.79 $21,666.49 $-299.71
(-1.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
20m held
40 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2026 12:30pm ET $15.49 1,398 $21,655.02 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 5, 2026 2:35pm ET $15.45 1,398 $21,599.10 $21,610.57 $-55.92
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.1h held
41 🟢 BUY Aug 7, 2026 9:30am ET $15.69 1,377 $21,598.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 7, 2026 2:30pm ET $16.02 1,377 $22,066.42 $22,078.75 +$468.18
(+2.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
5h held
42 🟢 BUY Aug 11, 2026 10:05am ET $16.20 1,362 $22,071.21 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 11, 2026 11:45am ET $16.22 1,362 $22,084.83 $22,092.37 +$13.62
(+0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.7h held
43 🟢 BUY Aug 13, 2026 10:10am ET $15.98 1,382 $22,091.27 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 13, 2026 10:35am ET $15.93 1,382 $22,008.35 $22,009.45 $-82.92
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
25m held
44 🟢 BUY Aug 14, 2026 12:15pm ET $15.62 1,409 $22,008.58 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 14, 2026 12:45pm ET $15.57 1,409 $21,945.17 $21,946.04 $-63.41
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
30m held
45 🟢 BUY Aug 18, 2026 11:25am ET $14.63 1,500 $21,945.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 18, 2026 1:40pm ET $14.69 1,500 $22,027.50 $22,028.54 +$82.50
(+0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.3h held
46 🟢 BUY Aug 19, 2026 1:55pm ET $15.38 1,432 $22,024.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 20, 2026 10:30am ET $15.59 1,432 $22,317.72 $22,322.10 +$293.56
(+1.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
20.6h held
47 🟢 BUY Aug 25, 2026 11:10am ET $16.71 1,335 $22,307.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 25, 2026 3:20pm ET $16.78 1,335 $22,396.23 $22,410.48 +$88.38
(+0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
4.2h held
48 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 1:35pm ET $16.73 1,339 $22,401.47 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2026 3:30pm ET $16.70 1,339 $22,356.35 $22,365.36 $-45.12
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.9h held
49 🟢 BUY Sep 1, 2026 12:00pm ET $15.66 1,428 $22,362.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 2:00pm ET $15.56 1,428 $22,212.54 $22,215.42 $-149.94
(-0.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
2h held
50 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2026 3:10pm ET $15.55 1,429 $22,213.81 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 12:30pm ET $15.84 1,429 $22,635.36 $22,636.98 +$421.56
(+1.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
21.3h held
51 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 1:05pm ET $15.69 1,442 $22,632.19 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 4, 2026 1:55pm ET $15.65 1,442 $22,560.09 $22,564.88 $-72.10
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
50m held
52 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2026 11:20am ET $16.25 1,388 $22,561.94 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 10, 2026 11:40am ET $16.11 1,388 $22,367.62 $22,370.56 $-194.32
(-0.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
1d held
53 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2026 12:05pm ET $16.37 1,366 $22,364.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2026 12:15pm ET $16.26 1,366 $22,211.30 $22,217.30 $-153.26
(-0.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
10m held
54 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 12:25pm ET $16.01 1,387 $22,212.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 11:00am ET $15.37 1,387 $21,315.69 $21,320.19 $-897.11
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.6h held
55 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 12:50pm ET $15.38 1,386 $21,309.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 1:30pm ET $15.30 1,386 $21,198.87 $21,209.31 $-110.88
(-0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
40m held
56 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2026 12:55pm ET $15.07 1,407 $21,203.49 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2026 3:40pm ET $14.98 1,407 $21,069.83 $21,075.65 $-133.66
(-0.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.8h held
57 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2026 2:05pm ET $15.15 1,390 $21,065.45 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 9:30am ET $15.03 1,390 $20,891.70 $20,901.90 $-173.75
(-0.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
19.4h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $20,901.90
Net Profit/Loss: +$10,901.90
Total Return: +109.02%
Back to Grace Crossover